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Upturn AI Summary - About
RTX Corporation(RTX)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for RTX
10/09/2026: RTX (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
RTX Corporation is a leading global aerospace and defense firm that provides critical propulsion, sensor, and defense systems. The company benefits from a balanced portfolio with a significant backlog in both commercial aviation and government defense, which provides stable, long-term revenue visibility. Its main growth opportunity lies in modernization cycles for global defense and the ongoing recovery in commercial air travel. However, investors face execution risks related to supply chain constraints and the financial costs of engine fleet inspections. As a major industry player, RTX may suit dividend-focused investors seeking stability, though potential investors should closely monitor manufacturing quality and defense budget policy updates.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | RTX provides steady growth rather than explosive upside, driven by long-cycle aerospace cycles. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | Momentum investors may favor RTX when the defense sector receives positive tailwinds or commercial aerospace beats expectations. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | The valuation often reflects the company's defensive quality, leaving limited room for deep-value bargain hunting. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | RTX is a reliable dividend payer with a mature business model well-suited for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Strong fit | As a major defense contractor, RTX offers a relatively stable risk profile compared to more volatile growth stocks. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium | Defense stocks can react sharply to geopolitical news or shifts in government defense budgets. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Investors must weigh current price against long-term operational performance expectations. |
| Competition risk (Defense and Propulsion) | Medium | Strong competition from industry giants requires constant R&D to maintain market share. |
| Business quality | Strong | The company's deep integration into global defense and aviation infrastructure provides a durable franchise. |
| Dividend income | Strong | Reliable cash flows support consistent dividend payouts to shareholders. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Large-scale manufacturing of complex systems carries inherent risks in delivery and quality control. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Smooth
The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 86.75% | Avg. Invested days 110 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  5.0 | Stock Returns Performance  4.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/09/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 250.64B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 32.74 | 1Y Target Price 230.13 |
Price to earnings Ratio 32.74 | 1Y Target Price 230.13 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3.9M shares | Beta 0.31 | 52 Weeks Range 153.36 - 226.41 | Updated Date 10/10/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 153.36 - 226.41 | Updated Date 10/10/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.50% | Basic EPS (TTM) 5.68 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Collins Aerospace | Aerostructures, avionics, and interiors for commercial/military platforms. | This segment benefits from the high volume of aircraft manufacturing and the recurring need for aftermarket parts. |
| Pratt & Whitney | Aircraft engines and maintenance services for commercial/military aircraft. | Profitability is driven by long-term service agreements (LTSAs) that provide recurring revenue over the engine's life. |
| Raytheon | Missiles, radars, sensors, and cyber security solutions. | Revenue is largely driven by multi-year government defense contracts that provide significant visibility. |
| Geography | Global sales across North America, Europe, and international export markets. | International defense demand is a key growth driver, though it carries geopolitical and regulatory complexities. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 32.74 | Forward PE 24.57 | Enterprise Value 287.96B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.68 |
Enterprise Value 287.96B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.68 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.08 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.9 | Shares Outstanding 1.35B | Shares Floating 1.25B |
Shares Outstanding 1.35B | Shares Floating 1.25B | ||
Percent Insiders 0.09 | Percent Institutions 81.66 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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