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Cassava Sciences Inc (SAVA)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/24/2025: SAVA (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -51.02% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 84.54M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta -2.02 | 52 Weeks Range 1.15 - 42.20 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.15 - 42.20 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.59 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -59.03% | Return on Equity (TTM) -70.6% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 151.52 | Enterprise Value -35631025 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value -35631025 | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -8.26 | Shares Outstanding 48307900 | Shares Floating 43475174 |
Shares Outstanding 48307900 | Shares Floating 43475174 | ||
Percent Insiders 12.79 | Percent Institutions 33.05 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Cassava Sciences Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Cassava Sciences Inc. was founded in 2014 with the mission to develop novel treatments for neurodegenerative diseases. The company's primary focus is on Alzheimer's disease. A significant milestone was the initiation of its Phase 3 clinical trials for its lead drug candidate, simufilam, in 2021. The company has evolved from a clinical-stage biotechnology firm to one actively pursuing regulatory approval for its innovative therapeutic.
Core Business Areas
- Drug Development for Neurodegenerative Diseases: Cassava Sciences focuses on developing small molecule drugs targeting the root causes of neurodegenerative diseases, with a primary emphasis on Alzheimer's disease.
Leadership and Structure
Cassava Sciences is led by a management team with expertise in drug development and clinical trials. Key leadership roles include Chief Executive Officer, Chief Medical Officer, and Chief Scientific Officer. The company operates with a lean structure typical of clinical-stage biopharmaceutical companies, emphasizing research and development.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Simufilam: Simufilam is Cassava Sciences' lead drug candidate, a small molecule drug designed to treat Alzheimer's disease by targeting neuroinflammation and improving neuronal function. While it is still in clinical development, it represents the company's primary product. Competitors in the Alzheimer's drug market include companies developing antibodies targeting amyloid plaques, such as Biogen (with Aduhelm) and Eisai/Biogen (with Lecanemab), as well as other oral small molecule candidates in development by various pharmaceutical companies. Market share for simufilam is currently zero as it is not yet approved for sale.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The neurodegenerative disease market, particularly Alzheimer's disease, is characterized by a significant unmet medical need and a large, aging global population. Despite numerous research efforts and a high failure rate, there is intense competition and substantial investment in developing effective treatments. The industry is heavily regulated by bodies like the FDA.
Positioning
Cassava Sciences is positioned as an innovator in the Alzheimer's disease space with a novel therapeutic approach that differs from current amyloid-targeting strategies. Its potential advantage lies in addressing neuroinflammation and neuronal health, which are critical components of the disease pathology. The company's positioning is dependent on the successful outcome of its ongoing Phase 3 trials and subsequent regulatory approval.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The Total Addressable Market for Alzheimer's disease treatments is in the tens of billions of dollars annually and is projected to grow significantly due to an aging population. Cassava Sciences, if successful with simufilam, aims to capture a substantial portion of this market by offering a potentially differentiated treatment option.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Novel therapeutic approach targeting neuroinflammation and neuronal health.
- Promising early-stage clinical data.
- Experienced leadership team.
- Focus on a large and unmet medical need market (Alzheimer's disease).
Weaknesses
- Drug candidate is still in clinical development (Phase 3), with regulatory approval not guaranteed.
- Limited financial resources compared to large pharmaceutical companies.
- Potential for trial failures or unexpected side effects.
- Past controversies and scrutiny regarding scientific data.
Opportunities
- Successful completion of Phase 3 trials and FDA approval.
- Partnership or acquisition opportunities with larger pharmaceutical companies.
- Expansion into other neurodegenerative diseases.
- Increasing global demand for Alzheimer's treatments.
Threats
- Failure of clinical trials or regulatory hurdles.
- Competition from other drugs in development or already on the market.
- Adverse events or safety concerns arising during trials.
- Challenges in manufacturing and commercialization if approved.
- Further scientific scrutiny or challenges to data integrity.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Biogen (BIIB)
- Eisai Co., Ltd. (ESAIY - OTC)
- Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)
- AbbVie Inc. (ABBV)
Competitive Landscape
Cassava Sciences competes in a highly dynamic and competitive landscape. Its potential advantage lies in its novel mechanism of action compared to the established amyloid-targeting therapies. However, it faces competition from large, well-funded pharmaceutical companies with extensive experience in drug development and commercialization. The success of Cassava Sciences hinges on demonstrating superior efficacy and safety profiles for simufilam.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Cassava Sciences' historical growth has been characterized by its progression through early-stage research and development to its current Phase 3 clinical trials. This has involved significant investment in its scientific platform and drug candidates.
Future Projections: Future projections are heavily contingent on the success of simufilam in Phase 3 trials and subsequent FDA approval. Analyst estimates, if available, would focus on potential market penetration and revenue generation post-approval. Significant growth is anticipated if simufilam is successful.
Recent Initiatives: Key recent initiatives include the ongoing Phase 3 clinical trials for simufilam in Alzheimer's disease, ongoing research into its underlying scientific mechanisms, and efforts to engage with regulatory authorities.
Summary
Cassava Sciences Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company with a novel therapeutic approach for Alzheimer's disease. Its primary asset, simufilam, is in Phase 3 trials, representing a significant opportunity if successful. However, the company faces substantial risks associated with clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approval, alongside intense competition and past data scrutiny. Strong execution in its trials and clear communication will be crucial for its future success.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial news websites (e.g., Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg)
- Pharmaceutical industry analysis reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Investing in clinical-stage biotechnology companies involves significant risks, and investors should conduct their own due diligence.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Cassava Sciences Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Austin, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2000-07-14 | CEO, President & Director Mr. Richard Jon Barry | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 30 | Website https://www.cassavasciences.com |
Full time employees 30 | Website https://www.cassavasciences.com | ||
Cassava Sciences, Inc., a clinical stage biotechnology company, develops drugs for neurodegenerative diseases. Its lead therapeutic product candidate is simufilam, a small molecule drug, which is completed Phase 2 clinical trial; and investigational diagnostic product candidate is SavaDx, a blood-based biomarker/diagnostic to detect Alzheimer's disease. Cassava Sciences, Inc. was formerly known as Pain Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Cassava Sciences, Inc. in March 2019. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Austin, Texas.

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