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Upturn AI Summary - About
Silicon Motion Technology(SIMO)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for SIMO
10/23/2026: SIMO (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Silicon Motion Technology is a specialized semiconductor company that designs high-performance NAND flash controllers for SSDs and mobile storage. The company has a leading position in the merchant controller market, benefiting from its low-power design expertise and strong relationships across the memory ecosystem. Its primary growth opportunity lies in the expanding demand for enterprise-grade storage driven by AI and data center development. However, the stock faces risks from cyclical industry downturns and the competitive threat of NAND manufacturers developing internal solutions. Silicon Motion is best suited for investors comfortable with semiconductor volatility, offering an income component through dividends as a potential offset to price fluctuations.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company offers growth tied to NAND flash adoption but is hampered by cyclicality. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | The stock can exhibit strong momentum during semiconductor cycles, though it is currently highly volatile. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | Often trades at reasonable valuations relative to historical earnings during industry downturns. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | Reliable dividend payments provide income despite industry-wide cyclical risks. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Semiconductor exposure and market volatility make this unsuitable for risk-averse investors. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock price is highly sensitive to memory cycle fluctuations and semiconductor sentiment. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Valuations can swing significantly based on near-term growth expectations for NAND storage. |
| Competition risk (NAND integration) | High | Major NAND manufacturers designing internal controllers threatens Silicon Motion's addressable merchant market. |
| Business quality | Medium | While technology is strong, the dependence on external NAND pricing limits ultimate pricing power. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Dividends are generally stable but could be adjusted if cash flow remains pressured by cyclical downturns. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Success depends on timely development of advanced controllers compatible with the latest NAND generations. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Extreme Price Shocks
The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 199.38% | Avg. Invested days 50 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  5.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/23/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.35B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 25.92 | 1Y Target Price 363.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio 25.92 | 1Y Target Price 363.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 762.7K shares | Beta 1.68 | 52 Weeks Range 79.13 - 354.28 | Updated Date 10/24/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 79.13 - 354.28 | Updated Date 10/24/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.23% | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.23 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Client SSD Controllers | Controllers for PCs, laptops, and consumer SSDs. | The main bread and butter; success depends on PC sales and SSD penetration. |
| Enterprise SSD Controllers | High-performance controllers for cloud/data centers. | The major growth driver tied to data center and AI storage demand. |
| Mobile & Embedded | eMMC and UFS chips for smartphones and IoT. | Exposes the company to global smartphone volume trends. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-10-28 | When After Market | Estimate 3.14 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 22.06% | Operating Margin (TTM) 22.42% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 10.15% | Return on Equity (TTM) 31.57% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 25.92 | Forward PE 20.12 | Enterprise Value 9.62B | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.84 |
Enterprise Value 9.62B | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.84 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 7.33 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 28.12 | Shares Outstanding 33.91M | Shares Floating 32.33M |
Shares Outstanding 33.91M | Shares Floating 32.33M | ||
Percent Insiders 3.45 | Percent Institutions 75.51 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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