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Upturn AI Summary - About
Semtech Corporation(SMTC)
Top performer 
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for SMTC
11/13/2026: SMTC (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Semtech Corporation is a developer of high-performance analog and mixed-signal semiconductors, notably known for its proprietary LoRa IoT platform. The company's strengths include a defensible position in long-range, low-power connectivity and data center infrastructure components. Its primary investment story centers on the long-term expansion of the Internet of Things and high-speed data demands. Key risks include heavy debt from recent acquisitions, cyclical demand in consumer markets, and intense competition from larger, well-funded chip manufacturers. Semtech may suit growth-oriented investors with a high risk tolerance, though it offers no dividend income; shareholders should monitor the success of post-acquisition cost synergies and debt reduction efforts.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company has strong long-term growth prospects in IoT, but faces near-term volatility and integration challenges. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | Momentum is inconsistent; requires a clear technical upturn signal to be a viable fit. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuation fluctuates significantly based on cycles, making it difficult to define as a traditional value play. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay a dividend, making it unsuitable for income-focused investors. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High volatility and debt-heavy balance sheet make this stock unsuitable for low-risk profiles. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock is subject to significant price swings driven by semiconductor cycle sensitivities. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Valuation is often tied to future growth projections that may be impacted by market sentiment. |
| Competition risk (AI/Infrastructure) | High | Larger competitors with greater R&D budgets threaten market share in high-growth segments. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company has a solid technical base but is currently undergoing structural adjustments. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | The absence of a dividend removes any income floor for shareholders. |
| Execution risk | High | Successful integration of large acquisitions is critical to future profitability. |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 10.69B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 75.89 | 1Y Target Price 214.4 |
Price to earnings Ratio 75.89 | 1Y Target Price 214.4 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3.5M shares | Beta 2.5 | 52 Weeks Range 60.28 - 201.99 | Updated Date 11/13/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 60.28 - 201.99 | Updated Date 11/13/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.51 |
Sector & Industry Intelligence
Sector
Technology
Caution- Sentiment
- Near Bearish
- Momentum
- Rapid Breadth Deterioration
- BUY participation
- 30.1%
- Active BUY / eligible
- 37 / 123
- 30-Day BUY Count Change
- -42
- Market state
- Weak Bullish / Near Bearish
BUY participation is falling rapidly, suggesting elevated market vulnerability.
Industry
Semiconductors
- BUY participation
- 19.0%
- Active BUY / eligible
- 4 / 21
- 30-Day BUY Count Change
- -11
Sector signal summarizes BUY breadth conditions for the sector. It does not override this stock’s BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory.
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Highly Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent, large price swings that make its near-term movement less predictable.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 251.24% | Avg. Invested days 45 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | Stock Returns Performance  5.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/13/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Signal Integrity | High-performance chips for data centers and high-end consumer devices. | Revenue driven by cloud and data center demand. |
| Advanced Sensing & Connectivity | LoRa chips, cellular IoT modules, and circuit protection. | Revenue driven by the expansion of connected IoT devices. |
| Geography | Global sales across North America, Asia-Pacific, and Europe. | Exposure to international industrial and consumer markets. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 75.89 | Forward PE 19.92 | Enterprise Value 11.44B | Price to Sales(TTM) 9.11 |
Enterprise Value 11.44B | Price to Sales(TTM) 9.11 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.74 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 109.7 | Shares Outstanding 93.33M | Shares Floating 92.77M |
Shares Outstanding 93.33M | Shares Floating 92.77M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.56 | Percent Institutions 105.57 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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