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Upturn AI Summary - About
Semtech Corporation(SMTC)
Top performer 
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for SMTC
10/13/2026: SMTC (5-star) is a REGULAR-BUY. BUY for 25 days. Simulated Profits (5.39%). Updated daily EoD!
Semtech Corporation is a specialized semiconductor company known for its high-performance analog, mixed-signal, and IoT connectivity solutions. The company has a leading position in wireless sensing through its proprietary LoRa technology, which serves as a significant growth catalyst. Its primary investment story revolves around enabling the infrastructure for the Internet of Things and high-speed AI data centers. However, the company faces substantial risks, including high integration challenges from recent acquisitions and cyclical demand in its semiconductor markets. It may best suit growth-oriented investors who can tolerate volatility and are monitoring the company's progress in improving operating margins and reducing debt levels.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | Semtech focuses on high-growth segments like IoT and data center infrastructure. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock can exhibit high price volatility in response to semiconductor market trends. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuation fluctuates significantly based on cycles and integration success. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay a regular dividend to shareholders. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Exposure to market cyclicality and integration risk leads to high volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Semiconductor industry cyclicality and company-specific news lead to significant price swings. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Future earnings potential depends heavily on the successful integration of recent acquisitions. |
| Competition risk (AI/IoT competition) | High | Larger peers have greater R&D budgets to challenge Semtech in niche markets. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company maintains proprietary technologies like LoRa, which creates a competitive moat. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | No cash flow is returned to investors via dividends. |
| Execution risk | High | Complexity in merging large acquisitions like Sierra Wireless poses ongoing operational challenges. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Highly Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent, large price swings that make its near-term movement less predictable.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 320.83% | Avg. Invested days 44 | Today’s Advisory Regular Buy |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  5.0 | Stock Returns Performance  5.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/13/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 16.12B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 114.42 | 1Y Target Price 220 |
Price to earnings Ratio 114.42 | 1Y Target Price 220 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3.3M shares | Beta 2.42 | 52 Weeks Range 60.28 - 201.99 | Updated Date 10/13/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 60.28 - 201.99 | Updated Date 10/13/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.51 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Wireless and Sensing | LoRa technology, IoT modules, and sensor interfaces. | This is the growth engine focusing on connecting 'things' to the internet. |
| Signal Integrity | Components for high-speed data transmission in data centers and optical networks. | This area benefits from the ongoing boom in AI and cloud computing demand. |
| Power and Protection | Voltage regulation and circuit protection chips for various industrial and consumer products. | A more stable, bread-and-butter business area for the company. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 114.42 | Forward PE 53.19 | Enterprise Value 16.56B | Price to Sales(TTM) 13.73 |
Enterprise Value 16.56B | Price to Sales(TTM) 13.73 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 14.1 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 158.8 | Shares Outstanding 93.33M | Shares Floating 92.77M |
Shares Outstanding 93.33M | Shares Floating 92.77M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.77 | Percent Institutions 101.95 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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