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Seagate Technology PLC(STX)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for STX
11/13/2026: STX (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Seagate Technology PLC is a major provider of data storage solutions, primarily known for its high-capacity hard disk drives used in cloud and enterprise data centers. The company has a leading position in the mass-capacity storage market, benefiting from the ongoing global demand for high-density, cost-effective data storage. Its main growth opportunity lies in supporting AI-driven cloud data infrastructure, though it faces risks from cyclical demand and the long-term price competition from SSDs. Seagate may suit investors looking for exposure to data infrastructure growth and dividend income, though its cyclical nature requires monitoring of capital expenditures and debt. Key developments include advances in HAMR technology and cloud spending trends.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Seagate offers exposure to AI and cloud growth, though cycles can periodically limit momentum. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock can exhibit strong price trends during up-cycles in the enterprise HDD market. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuation is often tied to cyclical earnings, making entry timing critical for value plays. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | The company has a history of prioritizing dividends, though coverage depends on cyclical profitability. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The stock is susceptible to industry cyclicality and high price volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock often reacts sharply to changes in cloud capital expenditure cycles. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Earnings multiples fluctuate significantly depending on where the firm is in its cyclical cycle. |
| Competition risk (SSD displacement) | Medium / high | Continued price reductions in SSDs pose a long-term threat to HDD market share. |
| Business quality | Medium | As a commodity-adjacent manufacturer, the firm operates with cyclical margin sensitivity. |
| Dividend income | Medium | While consistent, dividends are subject to board review based on free cash flow and debt levels. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Success depends on the reliable, high-volume production of increasingly dense HAMR drives. |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 125.14B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 28.59 | 1Y Target Price 1044.83 |
Price to earnings Ratio 28.59 | 1Y Target Price 1044.83 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 5.8M shares | Beta 2.2 | 52 Weeks Range 227.27 - 1143.27 | Updated Date 11/13/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 227.27 - 1143.27 | Updated Date 11/13/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.54% | Basic EPS (TTM) 19.07 |
Sector & Industry Intelligence
Sector
Technology
Caution- Sentiment
- Near Bearish
- Momentum
- Rapid Breadth Deterioration
- BUY participation
- 30.1%
- Active BUY / eligible
- 37 / 123
- 30-Day BUY Count Change
- -42
- Market state
- Weak Bullish / Near Bearish
BUY participation is falling rapidly, suggesting elevated market vulnerability.
Industry
Computer Hardware
- BUY participation
- 0.0%
- Active BUY / eligible
- 0 / 9
- 30-Day BUY Count Change
- -4
Sector signal summarizes BUY breadth conditions for the sector. It does not override this stock’s BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory.
Price Behavior

Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Highly Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent, large price swings that make its near-term movement less predictable.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 422.69% | Avg. Invested days 59 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals 
Financial Health Rating 
Growth Momentum Score 
Ownership 
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue) 
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile 
Style Classification
Quality Focused
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Mass Capacity Storage | Exos and IronWolf high-capacity hard drives for data centers and enterprise. | This is the core profit driver, benefiting from the global explosion in cloud data storage. |
| Client and Consumer | External drives, PC drives, and gaming storage. | Provides steady but slower-growth revenue streams for personal use cases. |
| Geographic Exposure | Sales across Asia Pacific, Americas, and EMEA. | The company relies heavily on global logistics and demand from large hyperscalers, often centered in the US and Asia. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-10-27 | When After Market | Estimate 7.17 | Actual 7.34 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 31.86% | Operating Margin (TTM) 40.49% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 37.21% | Return on Equity (TTM) 259.35% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 28.59 | Forward PE 14.64 | Enterprise Value 126.56B | Price to Sales(TTM) 9.07 |
Enterprise Value 126.56B | Price to Sales(TTM) 9.07 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.28 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 22.94 | Shares Outstanding 229.56M | Shares Floating 228.78M |
Shares Outstanding 229.56M | Shares Floating 228.78M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.27 | Percent Institutions 87.14 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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