Seagate Technology PLC logo

Seagate Technology PLC(STX)

Top Performer Top performer
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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
4-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$528.29
11/13/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for STX

11/13/2026: STX (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Seagate Technology PLC is a major provider of data storage solutions, primarily known for its high-capacity hard disk drives used in cloud and enterprise data centers. The company has a leading position in the mass-capacity storage market, benefiting from the ongoing global demand for high-density, cost-effective data storage. Its main growth opportunity lies in supporting AI-driven cloud data infrastructure, though it faces risks from cyclical demand and the long-term price competition from SSDs. Seagate may suit investors looking for exposure to data infrastructure growth and dividend income, though its cyclical nature requires monitoring of capital expenditures and debt. Key developments include advances in HAMR technology and cloud spending trends.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitSeagate offers exposure to AI and cloud growth, though cycles can periodically limit momentum.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock can exhibit strong price trends during up-cycles in the enterprise HDD market.
Value investorMixed fitValuation is often tied to cyclical earnings, making entry timing critical for value plays.
Dividend investorStrong fitThe company has a history of prioritizing dividends, though coverage depends on cyclical profitability.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe stock is susceptible to industry cyclicality and high price volatility.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock often reacts sharply to changes in cloud capital expenditure cycles.
Valuation riskMediumEarnings multiples fluctuate significantly depending on where the firm is in its cyclical cycle.
Competition risk (SSD displacement)Medium / highContinued price reductions in SSDs pose a long-term threat to HDD market share.
Business qualityMediumAs a commodity-adjacent manufacturer, the firm operates with cyclical margin sensitivity.
Dividend incomeMediumWhile consistent, dividends are subject to board review based on free cash flow and debt levels.
Execution riskMediumSuccess depends on the reliable, high-volume production of increasingly dense HAMR drives.

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 125.14B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 28.59
1Y Target Price 1044.83
Price to earnings Ratio 28.59
1Y Target Price 1044.83
Volume (30-day avg) 5.8M shares
Beta 2.2
52 Weeks Range 227.27 - 1143.27
Updated Date 11/13/2026
52 Weeks Range 227.27 - 1143.27
Updated Date 11/13/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 0.54%
Basic EPS (TTM) 19.07

Sector & Industry Intelligence

Sector

Technology

Caution
Sentiment
Near Bearish
Momentum
Rapid Breadth Deterioration
BUY participation
30.1%
Active BUY / eligible
37 / 123
30-Day BUY Count Change
-42
Market state
Weak Bullish / Near Bearish

BUY participation is falling rapidly, suggesting elevated market vulnerability.

Industry

Computer Hardware

BUY participation
0.0%
Active BUY / eligible
0 / 9
30-Day BUY Count Change
-4

Sector signal summarizes BUY breadth conditions for the sector. It does not override this stock’s BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Highly Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Highly Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent, large price swings that make its near-term movement less predictable.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 422.69%
Avg. Invested days 59
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/13/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
STX receives a 4-star rating, supported by strong unit economics, solid company fundamentals, and strong analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
STX has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, strong growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2026 versus FY2025, strong earnings growth (+116.7%) and strong cash generation (FCF margin 25.5%) are partially offset by very low insider ownership of 0.27%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
STX's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $3.1B (25.5% of revenue). Operating efficiency is solid (4 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is STX's strongest growth driver at +279.6% FY2026 versus FY2025 (strong, 5 stars). Revenue growth (+34.1%, solid) and earnings growth (+116.7%, strong) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 87.1% and approximately 99.7% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.27%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 6.61%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 6.37%
State Street Corp 4.32%
FMR Inc 3.55%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 3.48%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
STX generates approximately $456 of gross profit, $336 of operating income, and $255 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2026 results. Strong margins, cash conversion, and capital efficiency support the rating.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 13.71%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
STX has a high-quality, large-cap, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Quality TiltHigh VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Mass Capacity StorageExos and IronWolf high-capacity hard drives for data centers and enterprise.This is the core profit driver, benefiting from the global explosion in cloud data storage.
Client and ConsumerExternal drives, PC drives, and gaming storage.Provides steady but slower-growth revenue streams for personal use cases.
Geographic ExposureSales across Asia Pacific, Americas, and EMEA.The company relies heavily on global logistics and demand from large hyperscalers, often centered in the US and Asia.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-10-27
When After Market
Estimate 7.17
Actual 7.34

Profitability

Profit Margin 31.86%
Operating Margin (TTM) 40.49%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 37.21%
Return on Equity (TTM) 259.35%

Valuation

Trailing PE 28.59
Forward PE 14.64
Enterprise Value 126.56B
Price to Sales(TTM) 9.07
Enterprise Value 126.56B
Price to Sales(TTM) 9.07
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.28
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 22.94
Shares Outstanding 229.56M
Shares Floating 228.78M
Shares Outstanding 229.56M
Shares Floating 228.78M
Percent Insiders 0.27
Percent Institutions 87.14

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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