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Tamboran Resources Corporation(TBN)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
1-STAR RATING
WEAK BUY
BUY for 32 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
-3.46% ▼
LAST CLOSE
$35.11
09/25/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for TBN

09/25/2026: TBN (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Tamboran Resources Corporation is a US-listed natural gas exploration company focused on developing unconventional shale assets in Australia's Beetaloo Basin. The company's core strength lies in its extensive land position and its strategic transition to a US-based entity to access larger capital markets for project development. The primary investment story centers on the potential to commercialize gas reserves to meet regional energy demand. However, the company faces significant risks, including the lack of current cash flow, high execution requirements, and regulatory sensitivities related to shale development. This stock is best suited for growth-oriented investors who can tolerate high volatility and monitor progress on operational milestones.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitInvestors seeking exposure to early-stage energy exploration may find the high-risk, high-reward profile compelling.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe company's transition to a US listing and major project milestones can drive price momentum during positive news cycles.
Value investorWeak fitThe lack of earnings and assets that are not yet cash-flow generative makes this unsuitable for traditional value strategies.
Dividend investorWeak fitThere is no dividend income and the company requires capital investment for the foreseeable future.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe volatility associated with exploration, regulatory risk, and commodity prices is incompatible with low-risk objectives.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighCommodity price swings directly affect the economic viability of future gas projects.
Valuation riskHighValuations are highly speculative as they rely on contingent resource estimates rather than current cash flow.
Competition risk (Major Energy Producers)Medium / highEstablished players have more capital and infrastructure to dominate market supply.
Business qualityMediumThe company is at a nascent stage and has yet to build a track record of operational profitability.
Dividend incomeLow / noneThe company does not generate the surplus cash flow required to pay dividends.
Execution riskHighThe company must successfully navigate technical drilling challenges and regulatory approvals to reach production.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Extreme Price Shocks
PRICE STABILITY

Extreme Price Shocks

The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 27.99%
Avg. Invested days 33
Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/25/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
TBN receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
TBN has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, soft growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, growth and ownership metrics are mixed: negative earnings growth (-68.4%), soft cash generation (FCF margin 4.3%), slightly negative revenue growth (+0.0%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
TBN's financial health is supported by strong efficiency, including operating-expense and cost-of-revenue discipline (opex -1.2% of revenue). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
TBN's growth profile is soft, with the least-weak measure being revenue growth at +0.0% FY2025 versus FY2024. By comparison, while earnings growth (-68.4%, negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-86.1%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 39.2% and approximately 86.8% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 20.44% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

HITE Hedge Asset Management MLP 8.27%
Alberta Investment Management Corp 2.46%
Gilder Gagnon Howe & CO LLC 2.41%
Encompass Capital Advisors LLC 2.05%
Reaves W H & Co Inc 1.76%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
TBN generates approximately $-0 of gross profit, $-0 of operating income, and $-0 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong cash conversion and healthy margins support the rating, although capital efficiency remains below the highest tier.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 6.87%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
TBN has a liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Low VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 992.91M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 56.67
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 56.67
Volume (30-day avg) 139.6K shares
Beta 0.28
52 Weeks Range 21.04 - 52.21
Updated Date 09/26/2026
52 Weeks Range 21.04 - 52.21
Updated Date 09/26/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -1.85

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Natural Gas ExplorationAppraisal, development, and eventual extraction of gas from the Beetaloo Basin.The company currently makes no money and is investing heavily to hopefully sell gas in the future.
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Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 10000
Enterprise Value 1.23B
Price to Sales(TTM) -
Enterprise Value 1.23B
Price to Sales(TTM) -
Enterprise Value to Revenue -
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 28.28M
Shares Floating 24.53M
Shares Outstanding 28.28M
Shares Floating 24.53M
Percent Insiders 20.44
Percent Institutions 39.16

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Tamboran Resources Corporation

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters Sydney, NSW, Australia
IPO Launch date 2024-06-27
CEO -
Sector Energy
Industry Oil & Gas E&P
Full time employees 46
Full time employees 46

Tamboran Resources Corporation, a natural gas company, engages in developing unconventional gas resources in the northern territory of Australia. Its assets include a 25% non-operated working interest in EP 161; a 38.75% working interest in EPs 76, 98, and 117; and a 100% working interest in EPs 136 and 143, as well as EP (A) 197, located in the Betaloo Basin. Tamboran Resources Corporation was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.