Millicom International Cellular SA logo

Millicom International Cellular SA(TIGO)

Top Performer Top performer
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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
4-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$87.95
10/08/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for TIGO

10/08/2026: TIGO (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Millicom International Cellular SA is a major telecommunications provider operating primarily in Latin America under the Tigo brand. The company is known for its strong market positioning in mobile services and its ongoing transition toward a converged provider of fiber broadband and home solutions. While it benefits from essential service demand and a growing digital financial ecosystem, it faces significant risks from regional currency volatility, intense competition, and high capital intensity. The stock may suit investors seeking exposure to Latin American growth, provided they can manage the volatility associated with emerging market operations. Key developments to monitor include cash flow generation, debt management, and the success of fiber network expansion.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitGrowth is largely dependent on successful execution in emerging markets and macro stability.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum depends on clear signals of local currency strength and regional economic stability.
Value investorStrong fitValuation often reflects the risks associated with emerging market operations and heavy capital intensity.
Dividend investorMixed fitDividend policy is subject to variable capital expenditure needs and balance sheet priorities.
Low-risk investorWeak fitEmerging market operations and FX exposure create higher risk profiles unsuitable for conservative portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighFrequent exposure to emerging market economic shifts impacts stock price sensitivity.
Valuation riskMediumValuation is sensitive to discount rates applied to emerging market cash flows.
Competition risk (Telecommunications)HighAggressive pricing strategies from entrenched regional competitors threaten margins.
Business qualityMediumWhile the franchise is established, it faces structural challenges inherent to its operating regions.
Dividend incomeMediumPayouts are secondary to the substantial capital expenditures required for network maintenance.
Execution riskMediumManaging network rollouts and service integration across multiple countries requires complex operational coordination.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 274.39%
Avg. Invested days 84
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 5.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/08/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
TIGO receives a 4-star rating, supported by strong unit economics, solid company fundamentals, and solid quantitative characteristics. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
TIGO has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+420.2%) and strong cash generation (FCF margin 20.3%) are partially offset by moderate revenue growth (+0.3%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
TIGO's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $1.2B (20.3% of revenue). Liquidity is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is TIGO's strongest growth driver at +420.2% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, while revenue growth (+0.3%, moderate) and free-cash-flow growth (+4.8%, moderate) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 49.6% and approximately 53.7% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 46.07% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Dodge & Cox 4.90%
BlackRock Inc 4.85%
JPMorgan Chase & Co 4.02%
Capital World Investors 2.18%
State Street Corp 1.65%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
TIGO generates approximately $775 of gross profit, $282 of operating income, and $203 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong margins and solid cash conversion support the rating, although capital efficiency remains moderate.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 18.20%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
TIGO has a high-quality, large-cap, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 15.22B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 22.92
1Y Target Price 98.39
Price to earnings Ratio 22.92
1Y Target Price 98.39
Volume (30-day avg) 819.4K shares
Beta 0.9
52 Weeks Range 42.43 - 106.24
Updated Date 10/07/2026
52 Weeks Range 42.43 - 106.24
Updated Date 10/07/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 3.30%
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.96

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Mobile ServicesVoice, data, and mobile internet subscriptions in Latin American markets.The primary revenue engine driven by recurring monthly user fees.
Home ServicesBroadband, cable TV, and fixed telephony for households.High-growth area as households upgrade to faster internet speeds.
Financial Services (Tigo Money)Digital payments and mobile wallet services.A supplementary segment focused on long-term digital financial inclusion.
GeographyOperations across Latin American countries including Colombia, Guatemala, and Panama.Revenue is heavily tied to the economic prosperity and currency stability of specific Latin American nations.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 22.92
Forward PE 10.01
Enterprise Value 26.44B
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.1
Enterprise Value 26.44B
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.1
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.76
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.02
Shares Outstanding 167.71M
Shares Floating 90.05M
Shares Outstanding 167.71M
Shares Floating 90.05M
Percent Insiders 46.07
Percent Institutions 49.64

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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