TMQ
TMQ 3-star rating from Upturn Advisory

Trilogy Metals Inc (TMQ)

Trilogy Metals Inc (TMQ) 3-star rating from Upturn Advisory
$4.65
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Upturn Advisory Summary

12/19/2025: TMQ (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

Upturn 3 star rating for performance

Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Number of Analysts

2 star rating from financial analysts

6 Analysts rated it

Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.

1 Year Target Price $7.8

1 Year Target Price $7.8

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$7.8 Target price
52w Low $1.06
Current$4.65
52w High $11.29

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 199.54%
Avg. Invested days 42
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 12/19/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 795.43M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 7.8
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 7.8
Volume (30-day avg) 6
Beta 1.71
52 Weeks Range 1.06 - 11.29
Updated Date 12/20/2025
52 Weeks Range 1.06 - 11.29
Updated Date 12/20/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.06

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -
Operating Margin (TTM) -

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -3.56%
Return on Equity (TTM) -7%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 786141897
Price to Sales(TTM) -
Enterprise Value 786141897
Price to Sales(TTM) -
Enterprise Value to Revenue -
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -13.27
Shares Outstanding 171059888
Shares Floating 86772856
Shares Outstanding 171059888
Shares Floating 86772856
Percent Insiders 18.76
Percent Institutions 47.51

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI SWOT

Trilogy Metals Inc

Trilogy Metals Inc(TMQ) company logo displayed in Upturn AI summary

Company Overview

Company history and background logo History and Background

Trilogy Metals Inc. is a mineral exploration and development company. Founded in 2006 (as NovaGold Resources Inc. and later renamed Trilogy Metals Inc. through a business combination), the company has focused on advancing its copper and associated metal projects in Alaska, USA, and Yukon, Canada. A significant milestone was the acquisition of the remaining 50% interest in the Ambler Mining District Project (AMDP) in Alaska, giving Trilogy full ownership.

Company business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Exploration and Development of Polymetallic Deposits: Trilogy Metals Inc. is primarily engaged in the exploration, development, and potential future mining of its portfolio of copper and associated metal projects. The company's flagship assets are located in the Ambler Mining District in Alaska, which is prospective for significant copper, lead, zinc, gold, and silver mineralization. Trilogy also holds interests in other projects in Alaska and Yukon.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Trilogy Metals Inc. is led by a management team with extensive experience in mining exploration, development, and finance. The company is structured to manage its exploration and development activities through its subsidiaries. Key leadership roles include President and CEO, Chief Financial Officer, and VP of Exploration. The specific individuals and their bios are typically found in the company's investor relations materials.

Top Products and Market Share

Product Key Offerings logo Key Offerings

  • Ambler Mining District Project (AMDP): The AMDP is Trilogy's most significant asset and is considered a primary 'product' in terms of development potential. It comprises multiple deposits, including the Upper and Lower Kobuk Valley (UKV and LKV) and the Sunshine deposit. These deposits are rich in copper, zinc, lead, gold, and silver. Market share data for a development-stage project is not applicable in the traditional sense. Competitors in the broader copper and base metals mining sector include majors like BHP, Rio Tinto, and Freeport-McMoRan, as well as other junior miners focused on similar commodities.
  • Borr Mine Project: Another key asset in Alaska, the Borr Mine Project, is an exploration-stage asset with potential for precious metals. Like the AMDP, market share is not directly applicable. Competitors are other junior exploration companies targeting gold and silver deposits.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

Trilogy Metals Inc. operates within the global base and precious metals mining industry. This sector is cyclical, influenced by global commodity prices, geopolitical stability, exploration success, and regulatory environments. The demand for copper, in particular, is driven by its essential role in infrastructure, electric vehicles, and renewable energy technologies. The industry faces challenges related to environmental regulations, permitting, and the increasing difficulty of discovering and developing new, economic deposits.

Positioning

Trilogy Metals Inc. is positioned as a junior exploration and development company with a significant, high-potential copper-focused asset in a politically stable jurisdiction (Alaska). Its key competitive advantage lies in the scale and grade of its Ambler Mining District Project, which is considered one of the most significant undeveloped copper-gold-zinc-lead-silver districts globally. The company's strategic focus on advancing these projects towards a development decision differentiates it from pure exploration companies.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The Total Addressable Market for Trilogy Metals Inc. is the global market for copper and associated metals (zinc, lead, gold, silver). The global copper market alone is valued in the hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Trilogy is positioned to capture a portion of this market by successfully developing its projects. Its TAM is also influenced by the specific grades and quantities of metals within its projects, aiming to become a significant producer of these commodities.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Significant, high-grade copper-dominant polymetallic deposits at the Ambler Mining District Project.
  • Favorable mining jurisdiction in Alaska with a strong regulatory framework.
  • Experienced management team with a track record in mining.
  • Strategic partnerships and a clear development pathway for key projects.

Weaknesses

  • As a development-stage company, Trilogy has no current revenue from mining operations.
  • Significant capital requirements for project development and eventual production.
  • Reliance on external financing and commodity price fluctuations.
  • Potential for permitting and environmental challenges in developing large-scale projects.

Opportunities

  • Increasing global demand for copper driven by electrification and green energy transitions.
  • Potential for further exploration success to expand known resources.
  • Strategic partnerships with larger mining companies for development funding.
  • Positive macroeconomic trends supporting commodity prices.

Threats

  • Volatility in global commodity prices (copper, gold, zinc, lead).
  • Stringent and evolving environmental regulations and permitting processes.
  • Geopolitical risks affecting global mining and investment.
  • Competition for capital and talent in the mining sector.

Competitors and Market Share

Key competitor logo Key Competitors

  • Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX)
  • BHP Group Limited (BHP)
  • Rio Tinto plc (RIO)
  • Teck Resources Limited (TECK)

Competitive Landscape

Trilogy Metals Inc. is a junior explorer/developer, positioning it differently from the large, established mining majors listed above. Its advantage is its focused portfolio of high-potential assets in a stable jurisdiction, offering significant upside potential. However, it lacks the financial muscle, established infrastructure, and operational expertise of majors. Its disadvantages include higher capital needs for development, greater dependence on external financing, and the inherent risks associated with junior mining ventures.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Trilogy Metals Inc.'s historical growth has been characterized by the acquisition and advancement of its mineral projects, particularly the Ambler Mining District. This has involved significant exploration expenditures, resource definition, and the progression through feasibility studies and permitting. The company has grown its asset base and prospectivity through diligent exploration and strategic corporate actions.

Future Projections: Future projections for Trilogy Metals Inc. are contingent upon the successful advancement of its key projects towards production. Analyst estimates would focus on potential production volumes, operating costs, and the net present value (NPV) of its projects, often tied to projected commodity prices. Key milestones include the completion of feasibility studies, securing project financing, and obtaining all necessary permits.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have likely focused on advancing the Ambler Mining District Project through feasibility studies, environmental assessments, and community engagement. This might also include strategic discussions with potential partners or off-takers for project financing and development.

Summary

Trilogy Metals Inc. is a development-stage mining company with promising copper-focused assets in Alaska. Its strengths lie in the high-grade nature of its Ambler Mining District Project and its favorable operating jurisdiction. However, the company faces significant challenges related to the immense capital required for development, reliance on commodity prices, and the lengthy, complex permitting process. Its success hinges on attracting development partners and navigating these hurdles to unlock the substantial potential of its resource base.

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Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Trilogy Metals Inc. official website and investor relations materials.
  • SEC Filings (e.g., 10-K, 10-Q).
  • Industry analysis reports.
  • Financial data providers.

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Market share data for development-stage companies is an estimation and may not be precise.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization accuracy disclaimer AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization data freshness disclaimer Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Information icon warning about Upturn AI Fundamental Rating based on potentially old data Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

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About Trilogy Metals Inc

Exchange NYSE MKT
Headquaters Vancouver, BC, Canada
IPO Launch date 2012-04-25
President, CEO & Director Mr. Tony Serafino Giardini C.A., CPA, CBV
Sector Basic Materials
Industry Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Full time employees 5
Full time employees 5

Trilogy Metals Inc. engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in the United States. It primarily explores for copper, cobalt, lead, zinc, gold, and silver properties. The company principally holds interests in the Upper Kobuk mineral projects that include the Arctic, which contains polymetallic volcanogenic massive sulfide deposits; and Bornite that contains carbonate-hosted copper - cobalt deposits covering an area of approximately 448,217 acres located in the Ambler mining district in Northwest Alaska. The company was formerly known as NovaCopper Inc. and changed its name to Trilogy Metals Inc. in September 2016. Trilogy Metals Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.