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Trilogy Metals Inc (TMQ)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/19/2025: TMQ (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $7.8
1 Year Target Price $7.8
| 0 | Strong Buy |
| 3 | Buy |
| 3 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 199.54% | Avg. Invested days 42 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 795.43M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.8 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.8 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 6 | Beta 1.71 | 52 Weeks Range 1.06 - 11.29 | Updated Date 12/20/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.06 - 11.29 | Updated Date 12/20/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.06 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -3.56% | Return on Equity (TTM) -7% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 786141897 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value 786141897 | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -13.27 | Shares Outstanding 171059888 | Shares Floating 86772856 |
Shares Outstanding 171059888 | Shares Floating 86772856 | ||
Percent Insiders 18.76 | Percent Institutions 47.51 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Trilogy Metals Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Trilogy Metals Inc. is a mineral exploration and development company. Founded in 2006 (as NovaGold Resources Inc. and later renamed Trilogy Metals Inc. through a business combination), the company has focused on advancing its copper and associated metal projects in Alaska, USA, and Yukon, Canada. A significant milestone was the acquisition of the remaining 50% interest in the Ambler Mining District Project (AMDP) in Alaska, giving Trilogy full ownership.
Core Business Areas
- Exploration and Development of Polymetallic Deposits: Trilogy Metals Inc. is primarily engaged in the exploration, development, and potential future mining of its portfolio of copper and associated metal projects. The company's flagship assets are located in the Ambler Mining District in Alaska, which is prospective for significant copper, lead, zinc, gold, and silver mineralization. Trilogy also holds interests in other projects in Alaska and Yukon.
Leadership and Structure
Trilogy Metals Inc. is led by a management team with extensive experience in mining exploration, development, and finance. The company is structured to manage its exploration and development activities through its subsidiaries. Key leadership roles include President and CEO, Chief Financial Officer, and VP of Exploration. The specific individuals and their bios are typically found in the company's investor relations materials.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Ambler Mining District Project (AMDP): The AMDP is Trilogy's most significant asset and is considered a primary 'product' in terms of development potential. It comprises multiple deposits, including the Upper and Lower Kobuk Valley (UKV and LKV) and the Sunshine deposit. These deposits are rich in copper, zinc, lead, gold, and silver. Market share data for a development-stage project is not applicable in the traditional sense. Competitors in the broader copper and base metals mining sector include majors like BHP, Rio Tinto, and Freeport-McMoRan, as well as other junior miners focused on similar commodities.
- Borr Mine Project: Another key asset in Alaska, the Borr Mine Project, is an exploration-stage asset with potential for precious metals. Like the AMDP, market share is not directly applicable. Competitors are other junior exploration companies targeting gold and silver deposits.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
Trilogy Metals Inc. operates within the global base and precious metals mining industry. This sector is cyclical, influenced by global commodity prices, geopolitical stability, exploration success, and regulatory environments. The demand for copper, in particular, is driven by its essential role in infrastructure, electric vehicles, and renewable energy technologies. The industry faces challenges related to environmental regulations, permitting, and the increasing difficulty of discovering and developing new, economic deposits.
Positioning
Trilogy Metals Inc. is positioned as a junior exploration and development company with a significant, high-potential copper-focused asset in a politically stable jurisdiction (Alaska). Its key competitive advantage lies in the scale and grade of its Ambler Mining District Project, which is considered one of the most significant undeveloped copper-gold-zinc-lead-silver districts globally. The company's strategic focus on advancing these projects towards a development decision differentiates it from pure exploration companies.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The Total Addressable Market for Trilogy Metals Inc. is the global market for copper and associated metals (zinc, lead, gold, silver). The global copper market alone is valued in the hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Trilogy is positioned to capture a portion of this market by successfully developing its projects. Its TAM is also influenced by the specific grades and quantities of metals within its projects, aiming to become a significant producer of these commodities.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Significant, high-grade copper-dominant polymetallic deposits at the Ambler Mining District Project.
- Favorable mining jurisdiction in Alaska with a strong regulatory framework.
- Experienced management team with a track record in mining.
- Strategic partnerships and a clear development pathway for key projects.
Weaknesses
- As a development-stage company, Trilogy has no current revenue from mining operations.
- Significant capital requirements for project development and eventual production.
- Reliance on external financing and commodity price fluctuations.
- Potential for permitting and environmental challenges in developing large-scale projects.
Opportunities
- Increasing global demand for copper driven by electrification and green energy transitions.
- Potential for further exploration success to expand known resources.
- Strategic partnerships with larger mining companies for development funding.
- Positive macroeconomic trends supporting commodity prices.
Threats
- Volatility in global commodity prices (copper, gold, zinc, lead).
- Stringent and evolving environmental regulations and permitting processes.
- Geopolitical risks affecting global mining and investment.
- Competition for capital and talent in the mining sector.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX)
- BHP Group Limited (BHP)
- Rio Tinto plc (RIO)
- Teck Resources Limited (TECK)
Competitive Landscape
Trilogy Metals Inc. is a junior explorer/developer, positioning it differently from the large, established mining majors listed above. Its advantage is its focused portfolio of high-potential assets in a stable jurisdiction, offering significant upside potential. However, it lacks the financial muscle, established infrastructure, and operational expertise of majors. Its disadvantages include higher capital needs for development, greater dependence on external financing, and the inherent risks associated with junior mining ventures.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Trilogy Metals Inc.'s historical growth has been characterized by the acquisition and advancement of its mineral projects, particularly the Ambler Mining District. This has involved significant exploration expenditures, resource definition, and the progression through feasibility studies and permitting. The company has grown its asset base and prospectivity through diligent exploration and strategic corporate actions.
Future Projections: Future projections for Trilogy Metals Inc. are contingent upon the successful advancement of its key projects towards production. Analyst estimates would focus on potential production volumes, operating costs, and the net present value (NPV) of its projects, often tied to projected commodity prices. Key milestones include the completion of feasibility studies, securing project financing, and obtaining all necessary permits.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have likely focused on advancing the Ambler Mining District Project through feasibility studies, environmental assessments, and community engagement. This might also include strategic discussions with potential partners or off-takers for project financing and development.
Summary
Trilogy Metals Inc. is a development-stage mining company with promising copper-focused assets in Alaska. Its strengths lie in the high-grade nature of its Ambler Mining District Project and its favorable operating jurisdiction. However, the company faces significant challenges related to the immense capital required for development, reliance on commodity prices, and the lengthy, complex permitting process. Its success hinges on attracting development partners and navigating these hurdles to unlock the substantial potential of its resource base.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Trilogy Metals Inc. official website and investor relations materials.
- SEC Filings (e.g., 10-K, 10-Q).
- Industry analysis reports.
- Financial data providers.
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Market share data for development-stage companies is an estimation and may not be precise.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Trilogy Metals Inc
Exchange NYSE MKT | Headquaters Vancouver, BC, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 2012-04-25 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Tony Serafino Giardini C.A., CPA, CBV | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Full time employees 5 | Website https://www.trilogymetals.com |
Full time employees 5 | Website https://www.trilogymetals.com | ||
Trilogy Metals Inc. engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in the United States. It primarily explores for copper, cobalt, lead, zinc, gold, and silver properties. The company principally holds interests in the Upper Kobuk mineral projects that include the Arctic, which contains polymetallic volcanogenic massive sulfide deposits; and Bornite that contains carbonate-hosted copper - cobalt deposits covering an area of approximately 448,217 acres located in the Ambler mining district in Northwest Alaska. The company was formerly known as NovaCopper Inc. and changed its name to Trilogy Metals Inc. in September 2016. Trilogy Metals Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

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