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Trilogy Metals Inc (TMQ)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
07/29/2025: TMQ (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 14 days. Profits (7.78%). Updated daily EoD!
1 Year Target Price $2.68
1 Year Target Price $2.68
0 | Strong Buy |
3 | Buy |
3 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 37.19% | Avg. Invested days 32 | Today’s Advisory Regular Buy |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 305.61M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2.68 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2.68 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 6 | Beta 1.75 | 52 Weeks Range 0.47 - 2.09 | Updated Date 07/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 0.47 - 2.09 | Updated Date 07/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.06 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-07-08 | When Before Market | Estimate -0.0083 | Actual -0.0133 |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -3.52% | Return on Equity (TTM) -6.82% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 281121547 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value 281121547 | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -13.27 | Shares Outstanding 164240992 | Shares Floating 85195304 |
Shares Outstanding 164240992 | Shares Floating 85195304 | ||
Percent Insiders 18.45 | Percent Institutions 52.03 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Trilogy Metals Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Trilogy Metals Inc. is a mineral exploration company focused on exploring and developing polymetallic (copper, zinc, lead, gold, silver) projects in the Ambler Mining District of Alaska. The company was founded in 2011 through a Plan of Arrangement involving NovaCopper Inc. and a subsidiary of Teck Resources Limited. Its history is marked by exploration successes at the Upper Kobuk Mineral Projects (UKMP) in Alaska.
Core Business Areas
- Mineral Exploration and Development: Trilogy Metals focuses on the exploration, development, and advancement of mineral properties, primarily the Upper Kobuk Mineral Projects (UKMP) in Alaska. This includes activities such as drilling, resource estimation, feasibility studies, and permitting.
- Partnerships and Joint Ventures: The company operates through a joint venture (Ambler Metals LLC) with South32 Limited, which funds exploration and development activities at the UKMP.
Leadership and Structure
As of late 2023/early 2024, Tony Giardini serves as the President and CEO. The company has a board of directors responsible for overseeing the strategic direction and governance of the company. The operational structure involves teams dedicated to exploration, engineering, environmental permitting, and community relations.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Mineral Resources (Copper, Zinc, Lead, Gold, Silver): Trilogy Metals' primary offering is the mineral resources identified at the UKMP, particularly the Arctic and Bornite deposits. While not yet producing, these deposits represent a significant potential source of copper, zinc, lead, gold, and silver. As a development-stage company, Trilogy Metals does not have current market share in the traditional sense. Competitors would be other exploration and development stage companies and producing mines that provide copper and Zinc.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The mining industry is cyclical and subject to commodity price fluctuations, regulatory changes, and geopolitical risks. Demand for base metals like copper and zinc is driven by global economic growth, infrastructure development, and the transition to renewable energy technologies.
Positioning
Trilogy Metals is positioned as a junior mining company focused on developing high-grade polymetallic deposits in a politically stable jurisdiction (Alaska). Its partnership with South32 provides financial support and technical expertise, enhancing its competitive position. Its competitive advantage lies in the high-grade nature of its deposits and its strategic location. However, it faces competition from larger, established mining companies.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for copper and zinc, the primary metals in Trilogy Metals' deposits, is substantial, totaling hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Trilogy Metals is positioned to potentially capture a share of this market once production commences. The actual share depends on the scale of production, prevailing metal prices, and operating costs.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- High-grade mineral deposits (Arctic and Bornite)
- Strategic partnership with South32
- Located in a politically stable jurisdiction (Alaska)
- Significant exploration upside potential
- Focus on environmentally responsible development
Weaknesses
- Development-stage company (no current revenue)
- Reliance on South32 for funding
- Subject to permitting and regulatory risks
- Exposure to commodity price volatility
- Geographic remoteness of project location
Opportunities
- Increasing demand for copper and zinc due to electrification and infrastructure development
- Potential for further exploration discoveries within the Ambler Mining District
- Advancements in mining technology to improve efficiency and reduce costs
- Government support for critical mineral projects
- Strategic partnerships with local communities
Threats
- Fluctuations in commodity prices (copper, zinc, lead, gold, silver)
- Delays in permitting and regulatory approvals
- Environmental concerns and opposition from environmental groups
- Geopolitical risks and economic instability
- Increased operating costs due to inflation and supply chain disruptions
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- FCX
- SCCO
- BHP
Competitive Landscape
Trilogy Metals' advantages lie in its high-grade deposits and partnership with South32. Disadvantages include its development-stage status and reliance on external funding. Compared to larger mining companies, Trilogy Metals is more focused on a specific project but has less financial flexibility.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth is reflected in the increasing value of mineral resources and the advancement of project development. Exploration success has led to resource expansions and improved economic viability.
Future Projections: Future growth depends on securing permits for the Arctic project, completing feasibility studies, and ultimately commencing commercial production. Analyst estimates are contingent upon these milestones and prevailing metal prices.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include advancing the Arctic project through the permitting process, conducting exploration drilling at the Bornite deposit, and engaging with local communities and stakeholders.
Summary
Trilogy Metals is a development-stage company with promising high-grade polymetallic deposits in Alaska. Its partnership with South32 provides financial strength, but it is subject to permitting risks and commodity price volatility. Continued exploration success and project advancement are critical for future growth and investor returns. The company is currently dependent on South32's funding and needs to successfully navigate the permitting process.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Trilogy Metals Inc. corporate website
- Company filings (SEDAR, EDGAR)
- Press releases
- Analyst reports (where available)
- Industry news sources
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be made based on individual risk tolerance and after consulting with a qualified financial advisor.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Trilogy Metals Inc
Exchange NYSE MKT | Headquaters Vancouver, BC, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 2012-04-25 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Tony Serafino Giardini C.A., CPA, CBV | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Full time employees 5 | Website https://www.trilogymetals.com |
Full time employees 5 | Website https://www.trilogymetals.com |
Trilogy Metals Inc. engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in the United States. It primarily explores for copper, cobalt, lead, zinc, gold, and silver properties. The company principally holds interests in the Upper Kobuk mineral projects that include the Arctic, which contains polymetallic volcanogenic massive sulfide deposits; and Bornite that contains carbonate-hosted copper - cobalt deposits covering an area of approximately 448,217 acres located in the Ambler mining district in Northwest Alaska. The company was formerly known as NovaCopper Inc. and changed its name to Trilogy Metals Inc. in September 2016. Trilogy Metals Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

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