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Vertex (VERX)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/31/2025: VERX (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $36.79
1 Year Target Price $36.79
| 4 | Strong Buy | 
| 6 | Buy | 
| 5 | Hold | 
| 0 | Sell | 
| 0 | Strong Sell | 
Analysis of Past Performance
 Type  Stock  |  Historic Profit  3.88%  |  Avg. Invested days  43  |  Today’s Advisory  PASS   | 
 Upturn Star Rating  ![]()  |  Upturn Advisory Performance   |  Stock Returns Performance   | 
Key Highlights
 Company Size  Mid-Cap Stock   |  Market Capitalization  3.65B  USD   |  Price to earnings Ratio  -   |  1Y Target Price  36.79   | 
 Price to earnings Ratio  -   |  1Y Target Price  36.79   | ||
 Volume (30-day avg)  15   |  Beta  0.62   |  52 Weeks Range  22.43 - 60.71   |  Updated Date  11/3/2025   | 
 52 Weeks Range  22.43 - 60.71   |  Updated Date  11/3/2025   | ||
 Dividends yield (FY)  -   |  Basic EPS (TTM)  -0.33   | 
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
 Report Date  2025-11-05   |  When  -   |  Estimate  0.1525   |  Actual  -   | 
Profitability
 Profit Margin  -7.1%   |  Operating Margin (TTM)  1.05%   | 
Management Effectiveness
 Return on Assets (TTM)  0.45%   |  Return on Equity (TTM)  -20.95%   | 
Valuation
 Trailing PE  -   |  Forward PE  -   |  Enterprise Value  4014491746   |  Price to Sales(TTM)  5.14   | 
 Enterprise Value  4014491746   |  Price to Sales(TTM)  5.14   | ||
 Enterprise Value to Revenue  5.65   |  Enterprise Value to EBITDA  45.28   |  Shares Outstanding  77318571   |  Shares Floating  70114432   | 
 Shares Outstanding  77318571   |  Shares Floating  70114432   | ||
 Percent Insiders  7.68   |  Percent Institutions  115.7   | 
 Upturn AI SWOT 
Vertex

Company Overview
 History and Background 
Vertex Pharmaceuticals was founded in 1989 in Cambridge, MA, by Joshua Boger and Kevin J. Kinsella. It initially focused on rational drug design, aiming to create small-molecule drugs that target specific disease mechanisms. A significant milestone was the development and approval of Kalydeco in 2012, the first drug to treat the underlying cause of cystic fibrosis (CF) in people with specific genetic mutations. Vertex has since evolved into a leading biotechnology company focused on developing therapies for CF and other serious diseases.
 Core Business Areas 
- Cystic Fibrosis (CF): Vertex's primary focus is the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapies to treat cystic fibrosis. They have a portfolio of CF transmembrane conductance regulator (CFTR) modulators that address the underlying cause of the disease.
 - Other Diseases: Vertex is expanding its pipeline to include therapies for other serious diseases such as pain, alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency (AATD), sickle cell disease, beta-thalassemia, APOL1-mediated kidney diseases, and type 1 diabetes.
 
 Leadership and Structure 
Reshma Kewalramani is the Chief Executive Officer and President of Vertex Pharmaceuticals. The company operates with a functional organizational structure, with departments focusing on research and development, commercial operations, manufacturing, and corporate functions.
Top Products and Market Share
 Key Offerings 
- Trikafta/Kaftrio: A CFTR modulator therapy approved for use in patients with at least one F508del mutation. This is Vertex's blockbuster drug and has a significant market share. Competitors include generic treatments of CF symptoms and alternative therapies that are in research. Trikafta/Kaftrio generated $8.96 billion in revenue in 2023.
 - Kalydeco: The first approved CFTR modulator, targeting specific G551D mutations. Kalydeco has a smaller market share compared to Trikafta/Kaftrio due to the availability of more effective therapies. Competitors are same as above.
 - Orkambi: A CFTR modulator for patients with two copies of the F508del mutation. It also has a smaller market share now. Competitors are same as above.
 - Symdeko/Symkevi: Another CFTR modulator for patients with two copies of the F508del mutation or certain other mutations. It also has a smaller market share now. Competitors are same as above.
 
Market Dynamics
 Industry Overview 
The pharmaceutical industry is characterized by intense competition, high R&D costs, stringent regulatory requirements, and long development timelines. The market for CF therapies is dominated by Vertex, but companies are also developing gene therapies and other innovative approaches.
Positioning
Vertex is a dominant player in the CF market due to its effective CFTR modulator therapies. They have a strong patent portfolio and a growing pipeline of drugs targeting other diseases. Their competitive advantage lies in their scientific expertise in CF and other disease areas.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global cystic fibrosis market size was valued at $6.1 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $24.3 billion by 2032. Vertex is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this TAM with its existing therapies and pipeline.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Dominant position in the CF market
 - Strong patent protection for its CFTR modulators
 - Robust pipeline of drug candidates targeting other diseases
 - Experienced management team
 - Strong financial performance and cash flow
 
Weaknesses
- High dependence on the CF market
 - Potential for generic competition for its CFTR modulators
 - Risk of clinical trial failures for its pipeline candidates
 - Pricing pressure from payers
 
Opportunities
- Expanding its pipeline to address other serious diseases
 - Acquiring or partnering with other biotechnology companies
 - Expanding into new geographic markets
 - Developing new formulations and delivery methods for its CFTR modulators
 
Threats
- Emergence of competing therapies for CF, including gene therapies
 - Regulatory changes that could impact drug pricing or approval timelines
 - Economic downturn that could reduce demand for its products
 - Product liability claims
 
Competitors and Market Share
 Key Competitors 
- GILD
 - ABBV
 - REGN
 
Competitive Landscape
Vertex has a significant advantage in the CF market. GILD, ABBV, and REGN are competitors in other disease areas.
Major Acquisitions
Alpine Immune Sciences
- Year: 2024
 - Acquisition Price (USD millions): 4900
 - Strategic Rationale: Acquired to gain access to Alpineu2019s Phase 2 ready povetacicept, a dual BAFF/APRIL inhibitor with potential best-in-class efficacy in IgA nephropathy (IgAN).
 
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Vertex has experienced significant revenue growth over the past decade due to the success of its CFTR modulators.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued revenue growth for Vertex, driven by increased adoption of Trikafta/Kaftrio and the potential launch of new therapies. Expecting revenue growth to continue in double digits until 2030 at a CAGR of 12% and then moderate out to 5% by 2040.
Recent Initiatives: Vertex has been focused on expanding its pipeline through internal research and development and strategic acquisitions.
Summary
Vertex Pharmaceuticals is a strong biotechnology company with a dominant position in the cystic fibrosis market. Its key driver of success is its CFTR modulator therapies, particularly Trikafta/Kaftrio. The company's pipeline expansion into other diseases is a positive sign, but the company's reliance on CF and pricing pressures are potential risks. Vertex should focus on its non-CF pipeline to reduce dependency and continue its strong growth trajectory.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings
 - Analyst Reports
 - Market Research Reports
 - Company Website
 
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
 AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate. 
 Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current. 
 Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data. 
 AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action. 
About Vertex
 Exchange  NASDAQ   |  Headquaters  King of Prussia, PA, United States   | ||
 IPO Launch date  2020-07-29   |  CEO, President & Chairman of the Board  Mr. David  DeStefano   | ||
 Sector  Technology   |  Industry  Software - Application   |  Full time employees  1900   |  Website  https://www.vertexinc.com   | 
 Full time employees  1900   |  Website  https://www.vertexinc.com   | ||
Vertex, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides enterprise tax technology solutions for retail trade, wholesale trade, and manufacturing industries in the United States and internationally. The company offers tax determination; compliance and reporting, including workflow management tools; tax data management and document managementsolutions; analytics and insights; pre-built integration that includes mapping data fields, and business logic and configurations; industry-specific solutions support certain industries for indirect tax needs, such as retail, communications, and leasing; and technology specific solutions, such as chain flow accelerator and SAP-specific tools. It provides implementation services, such as configuration, data migration and implementation, and support and training; E-invoicing, an end-to-end e-invoicing process; and managed services, including indirect tax return preparation, filing and tax payment, and notice management. The company sells its software products through software licenses and software as a service subscription. Vertex, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in King of Prussia, Pennsylvania.

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