Venture Global, Inc.(VG)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
3-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$13.29
10/08/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for VG

10/08/2026: VG (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Venture Global, Inc. is a rapidly growing U.S.-based LNG producer known for its innovative, modular approach to building export infrastructure. By streamlining the construction process, the company has established a major competitive position as a low-cost, high-speed exporter. Its primary growth story is built on massive capacity expansion projects like Plaquemines and CP2, supported by long-term sales agreements. Investors should weigh this potential against significant risks, including high capital requirements, execution challenges in infrastructure development, and sensitivity to global energy price volatility. The stock is best suited for growth-oriented investors who can tolerate project-related volatility and who will monitor future project commissioning and debt-refinancing success.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitThe company is in a rapid scaling phase with significant production capacity coming online.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock has experienced strong price performance and continues to capture market attention through major contract wins.
Value investorMixed fitValuation is moderate, but capital-intensive debt levels make fundamental analysis complex for pure value seekers.
Dividend investorMixed fitThe company pays a dividend, but it is primarily focused on capital reinvestment for growth rather than high yield.
Low-risk investorWeak fitEnergy infrastructure development is inherently subject to execution risk and commodity price volatility.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighLNG prices are subject to global supply/demand shocks that impact revenue visibility.
Valuation riskMedium / highMarket expectations for project ramp-ups are high, leaving little room for execution disappointment.
Competition risk (LNG export competition)MediumGlobal competition from Qatar and other U.S. exporters could pressure long-term liquefaction fees.
Business qualityStrongThe company possesses a scalable, technologically efficient platform for energy export.
Dividend incomeLowDividends are secondary to the company’s capital-heavy growth strategy.
Execution riskHighLarge-scale infrastructure projects face significant engineering, permitting, and construction hurdles.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 17.99%
Avg. Invested days 38
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/08/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
VG receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, solid quantitative characteristics, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
VG has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, strong growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+74.8%) and strong revenue growth (+176.9%) are partially offset by weak cash generation (FCF margin -49.4%), modest insider ownership of 2.65%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
VG's financial health is supported by solid profitability, including gross margin of 49.3% and operating margin of 36.6%. Liquidity is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is VG's strongest growth driver at +176.9% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). Earnings growth (+74.8%, strong) and free-cash-flow growth (+41.2%, strong) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 90.6% and approximately 98.1% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 2.65% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Allianz Asset Management AG 6.89%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 0.65%
D. E. Shaw & Co LP 0.63%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 0.57%
Blackstone Inc 0.57%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
VG generates approximately $493 of gross profit, $366 of operating income, and $-494 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Weak margins and weak cash conversion support a 3-star rating, while capital efficiency is moderate.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 18.73%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
VG has a high-quality, large-cap, liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltLow VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 32.63B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 10.61
1Y Target Price 16.67
Price to earnings Ratio 10.61
1Y Target Price 16.67
Volume (30-day avg) 13.6M shares
Beta -
52 Weeks Range 5.69 - 17.55
Updated Date 10/08/2026
52 Weeks Range 5.69 - 17.55
Updated Date 10/08/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 0.52%
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.23

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
LNG SalesSale of liquefied natural gas under long-term contracts and spot market sales.The company generates revenue by selling natural gas that it has supercooled for transport.
Liquefaction FeesFixed fees charged for processing natural gas into LNG for customers.Steady cash flow generated by providing the 'service' of processing gas for clients.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 10.61
Forward PE 14.43
Enterprise Value 72.56B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.92
Enterprise Value 72.56B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.92
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.28
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.85
Shares Outstanding 531.49M
Shares Floating 521.64M
Shares Outstanding 531.49M
Shares Floating 521.64M
Percent Insiders 2.65
Percent Institutions 90.61

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI Summary

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Venture Global, Inc.

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters Arlington, VA, United States
IPO Launch date 2025-01-24
Founder, Executive Co-Chairman of the Board & CEO Mr. Michael A. Sabel
Sector Energy
Industry Oil & Gas Midstream
Full time employees 2000
Full time employees 2000

Venture Global, Inc., a liquefied natural gas (LNG) company, engages in the ownership, development, construction, and operation of LNG production facilities and associated infrastructure in the United States, Germany, France, Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and internationally.The company is involved in LNG production, natural gas transportation, and regasification operations, as well as LNG sales and shipping business through LNG tankers. Its LNG projects include Calcasieu, Plaquemines, and CP2 projects. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia. Venture Global, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Venture Global Partners II, LLC.

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