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Xinyuan Real Estate Co Ltd (XIN)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/30/2025: XIN (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $0
1 Year Target Price $0
0 | Strong Buy |
0 | Buy |
0 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -75.46% | Avg. Invested days 18 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 9.88M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.16 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.16 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta 0.57 | 52 Weeks Range 1.16 - 7.05 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.16 - 7.05 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -9 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -9.91% | Operating Margin (TTM) -6.14% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.47% | Return on Equity (TTM) -55.84% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 1717869337 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.02 |
Enterprise Value 1717869337 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.02 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.34 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.73 | Shares Outstanding 5613680 | Shares Floating 39967156 |
Shares Outstanding 5613680 | Shares Floating 39967156 | ||
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 0.52 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating - | Target Price - | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Buy - | Strong Buy - | ||
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Xinyuan Real Estate Co Ltd

Company Overview
History and Background
Xinyuan Real Estate Co., Ltd. was founded in 1997 and is primarily engaged in residential real estate development and property management in China and the United States. It was one of the first Chinese real estate developers to enter the U.S. market.
Core Business Areas
- Residential Real Estate Development: Xinyuan's core business involves developing and selling residential properties, including apartments, townhouses, and villas, primarily in China. It also includes development projects in the United States.
- Property Management: The company provides property management services for its developed properties, including security, maintenance, and other related services.
- Construction: Xinyuan Real Estate sometimes takes on constrcution initiatives relating to their construction efforts.
Leadership and Structure
Information on the specific leadership team is dynamically changing and difficult to pin down reliably. Generally, Xinyuan is led by a board of directors and a management team responsible for overseeing its operations and strategic direction. The organizational structure is typical for a real estate development company, with departments focused on land acquisition, development, sales, marketing, finance, and property management.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Residential Properties in China: Apartments and housing complexes in Tier 1 and Tier 2 cities within China. Market share data is difficult to obtain precisely, but Xinyuan is a smaller player in the massive Chinese real estate market competing with large, state-owned enterprises like China Vanke and Poly Real Estate, as well as Evergrande (prior to its debt crisis) and Country Garden.
- Residential Properties in the US: Luxury condos and apartments in New York City and other major metropolitan areas. Market share is relatively small, competing with established US developers such as Toll Brothers (TOL), Lennar (LEN), and PulteGroup (PHM).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The Chinese real estate market is vast and highly competitive, subject to government regulations and economic cycles. The US real estate market is more mature but also subject to economic fluctuations and interest rate changes. Both are currently dealing with slower growth, increased interest rates, and regulations.
Positioning
Xinyuan occupies a niche position, operating in both the Chinese and US markets. Its competitive advantages are limited by its size and financial resources compared to larger developers. Their current positioning involves finding specific niches in high-demand areas.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global real estate market is valued in the trillions of dollars. Xinyuan's TAM is limited by its geographic focus and resources but could be in the billions. Their position is relatively small, indicating significant room for growth with proper funding and strategy, or it could show that it has a poor market position relative to the TAM.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Experience in both Chinese and US markets
- Established brand in certain Chinese cities
- Diversified revenue streams from development and management
Weaknesses
- Relatively small size compared to major competitors
- High debt levels
- Limited financial resources
Opportunities
- Expanding into new geographic markets
- Developing innovative housing solutions
- Capitalizing on government support for urbanization
Threats
- Economic downturns in China and the US
- Increased competition from larger developers
- Changes in government regulations
- Geopolitical risks
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Vanke (Not Publicly Traded in US)
- China Overseas Land & Investment (Not Publicly Traded in US)
- Country Garden (Not Publicly Traded in US)
- Toll Brothers (TOL)
- Lennar (LEN)
Competitive Landscape
Xinyuan faces intense competition from larger, better-capitalized developers. Its advantages lie in its experience operating in both the Chinese and US markets, but these are offset by its financial constraints.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been inconsistent, with periods of rapid expansion followed by slowdowns.
Future Projections: Future growth prospects are uncertain due to the company's financial challenges. Analyst estimates, if available, are likely to be conservative.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives may include restructuring debt, selling assets, and focusing on core markets.
Summary
Xinyuan Real Estate is a small player in the highly competitive real estate market, operating in both China and the US. It has some experience in both markets, but its financial weaknesses and relatively small size compared to competitors limit its potential. The company faces significant threats from economic downturns and increased competition. It needs to address its debt burden and improve its financial performance to ensure long-term sustainability, and potentially, should focus on smaller market niches.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Industry Reports
- Market Analysis Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on available information and is not financial advice. The real estate market is subject to change, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Market share data is approximate and may vary.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Xinyuan Real Estate Co Ltd
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2007-12-12 | Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. Yong Zhang | ||
Sector Real Estate | Industry Real Estate - Development | Full time employees 985 | Website https://www.xyre.com |
Full time employees 985 | Website https://www.xyre.com |
Xinyuan Real Estate Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in residential real estate development and construction activities in the People's Republic of China, the United States, Malaysia, and the United Kingdom. It develops residential projects, such as multi-layer apartment buildings, sub-high-rise apartment buildings, and high-rise apartment buildings; and provides auxiliary services and amenities, such as retail outlets, leisure and health facilities, kindergartens, and schools, as well as office, mixed-use, and commercial properties. The company also acquires development sites through public auctions of government land and acquisitions of entities. In addition, it provides property management services and other real estate-related services for its developments; offers landscaping, engineering and management, real estate consulting, leasing management, management consulting, and technical services; and operates retail stores, as well as installs intercom systems. Further, the company engages in the purchase, sale, lease, and brokerage of real estate; sale of construction materials; development and sale of robots; operation of internet platform for real estate property financing; and provision of electronic commerce and catering services. Xinyuan Real Estate Co., Ltd. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
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