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Upturn AI Summary
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund(DBA)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for DBA
10/02/2026: DBA (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
The Invesco DB Agriculture Fund (DBA) offers broad, liquid exposure to the agricultural commodities market using an optimized basket of futures contracts. Its primary strength lies in its scale, deep liquidity, and systematic roll strategy, making it a reliable tool for tactical allocation and hedging against inflation. Investors should be aware of the risks inherent to commodities, including high volatility, the impacts of weather, and the complexities of futures-based tax reporting. It is best suited for sophisticated, short-to-medium-term investors monitoring global supply-demand trends rather than long-term passive equity holders.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
ETF holdings, costs, diversification, valuation, risks, and market conditions provide supporting context about the fund.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Weak fit | Commodities generally do not provide the capital appreciation characteristics typical of growth-oriented equities. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | This fund is well-suited for capturing price trends during periods of high commodity price inflation. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Commodity valuations are cyclical, making it useful for tactical allocation rather than traditional long-term value investing. |
| Dividend/Income investor | Weak fit | The fund does not pay dividends and is not structured for regular income generation. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The inherent volatility of agricultural commodity prices makes this a high-risk asset class unsuitable for conservative portfolios. |
Investor Profile
Ideal Investor Profile
Tactical investors or those seeking an inflation hedge who understand the dynamics of commodity futures.
Suitability
Best for tactical exposure or short-to-medium term hedging rather than long-term 'buy and hold' wealth accumulation.
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Volatility | High | Agricultural prices are prone to sharp, unpredictable swings due to supply shocks. |
| Market risk | High | The fund is directly exposed to global market shifts and price fluctuations in food and fiber. |
| Concentration | Medium | While diversified, the fund is concentrated exclusively in the agricultural sector. |
| Tracking/expense | Medium | Management fees and the costs of rolling futures can erode returns over long holding periods. |
| Liquidity | Low | The fund is highly liquid, posing minimal exit risk for investors. |
| Business/sector quality | Medium / high | Success depends on the efficiency of futures market execution and commodity price trends. |
Risk Analysis
Volatility
DBA exhibits significant volatility consistent with agricultural commodity markets.
Market Risk
The fund is susceptible to systematic risks, including geopolitical conflict, trade policy changes, and extreme weather.
What the ETF Owns
| Exposure Type | Exposure | Weight (%) | Retail Investor Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| Commodity | Diversified Agricultural Futures (Corn, Soybeans, Sugar, Coffee, etc.) | 85 | Provides broad exposure to global food and crop prices, which act as a hedge against inflation. |
| Cash/collateral | US Treasury Securities / Money Market Instruments | 15 | Acts as high-quality collateral for the futures positions and generates supplemental interest income. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Very Smooth
The stock has followed a highly orderly price path with minimal short-term disruption.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type ETF | Historic Profit 3.01% | Avg. Invested days 59 | Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | ETF Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/02/2026 |
ETF Fundamentals 
Source: EOD Historical Data • Updated Oct 2, 2026
Fund Basics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Fund Size (AUM) | $1.38B |
| Issuer | Invesco |
| Expense Ratio | 0.8500000000000001% |
| Distribution Yield | 3.11% |
| Inception | Jan 5, 2007 |
Performance
| Period | Total Return |
|---|---|
| YTD | +11.83% |
| 1 Year | +10.15% |
| 3 Year | +13.95% |
| 5 Year | +11.46% |
| 10 Year | +4.96% |
Risk Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| 1Y Volatility | 10.54% |
| 3Y Volatility | 12.28% |
| 3Y Sharpe Ratio | 0.83 |
Ratings
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Morningstar Rating | ★★★★★ |
| Benchmark | Morningstar Lng-Only Cmdty ... |
Market Cap Distribution
| Cap Size | Weight |
|---|---|
| Large Cap | 0.40% |
| Mega Cap | 0.28% |
| Mid Cap | 0.13% |
| Small Cap | 0.02% |
Top Sectors
| Sector | Weight |
|---|---|
| Basic Materials | 0.00% |
| Consumer Cyclicals | 0.00% |
| Financial Services | 0.00% |
| Real Estate | 0.00% |
Asset Allocation
Portfolio Characteristics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Holdings Turnover | 0.0% |
Top Holdings
| Holding | Weight |
|---|---|
| Invesco Short-Term Investments Trust Government & Agency Portfolio Institutional | 42.75% |
| Invesco Exchange-Traded Fund Trust II - Invesco Treasury Collateral ETF | 4.51% |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
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