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Upturn AI Summary
Teucrium Soybean(SOYB)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for SOYB
10/28/2026: SOYB (2-star) is a SELL. SELL for 5 days. Simulated Profits (5.17%). Updated daily EoD!
The Teucrium Soybean Fund (SOYB) provides targeted, daily-tracked exposure to the price of soybeans using a futures-based strategy designed to minimize contango. While it offers a precise tool for commodity speculation, it carries higher expense ratios and potential tax complexities compared to standard ETFs. Its primary use case is for tactical hedging or short-to-medium-term speculation on agricultural price cycles. Investors should be aware of the high volatility inherent in single-commodity exposure and the risks posed by global trade, weather, and yield conditions. It is best suited for experienced investors who understand commodity futures market mechanics.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
ETF holdings, costs, diversification, valuation, risks, and market conditions provide supporting context about the fund.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Soybean prices are driven by supply and demand rather than business growth, making it a peripheral holding for growth portfolios. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | This fund is often used by momentum traders to capture trends in agricultural commodity price cycles. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | Commodities do not possess fundamental value in the traditional sense, such as earnings or cash flow. |
| Dividend/Income investor | Weak fit | The fund does not pay dividends or generate income for investors. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High volatility associated with commodity futures makes this unsuitable for conservative investors. |
Investor Profile
Ideal Investor Profile
Sophisticated retail or institutional investors seeking tactical exposure to soybean prices to hedge against inflation or express a directional view.
Suitability
Primarily suitable for active traders rather than long-term, buy-and-hold investors due to the costs of futures-based investing.
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Volatility | High | Agricultural markets are prone to sudden, sharp price swings. |
| Market risk | High | The fund is entirely exposed to the fluctuations of the soybean market. |
| Concentration | High | Investing in a single commodity leaves no room for diversification benefits. |
| Tracking/expense | Medium | High management fees and the costs of rolling futures can erode returns over time. |
| Liquidity | Medium | Trading volume can be thin compared to broad equity indices, potentially impacting execution prices. |
| Business/sector quality | Medium | Reliance on specific global climate and trade factors makes this sector inherently unpredictable. |
Risk Analysis
Volatility
SOYB historically demonstrates significant volatility typical of single-commodity futures products.
Market Risk
The primary risk is a decline in global soybean prices caused by oversupply, geopolitical friction, or reduced demand.
What the ETF Owns
| Exposure Type | Exposure | Weight (%) | Retail Investor Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| Commodity | Soybean Futures Contracts | 85 | These futures contracts are the primary instruments used to track the price movement of soybeans. |
| Cash/collateral | Cash and Cash Equivalents | 15 | This portion of the portfolio serves as collateral for the futures positions and provides liquidity. |
Price Behavior
Hockey-Stick Growth
The stock demonstrates a Hockey-Stick Growth price path pattern.
Very Smooth
The stock has followed a highly orderly price path with minimal short-term disruption.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type ETF | Historic Profit -15.87% | Avg. Invested days 39 | Today’s Advisory SELL |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | ETF Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/28/2026 |
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