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GraniteShares 2x Long NBIS Daily ETF(NBIL)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for NBIL
11/13/2026: NBIL (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
NBIL is a specialized, leveraged ETF that aims to deliver 2x the daily percentage return of Nebius Group N.V. stock. By using swap agreements to magnify daily movements, it serves as a tactical tool for active traders who want to capitalize on short-term price swings in Nebius. Its primary strengths are its convenience for sophisticated traders and its highly specific, aggressive exposure, though these come at the cost of high volatility, structural risks like compounding decay, and the lack of any diversification. Investors must be aware that this fund is not meant for long-term holding, as its performance over extended periods will diverge from 2x the underlying stock. It is best suited for experienced individuals capable of monitoring market developments daily and managing the high risk of rapid principal loss.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
ETF holdings, costs, diversification, valuation, risks, and market conditions provide supporting context about the fund.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The fund's extreme volatility and daily reset nature make it unsuitable for traditional buy-and-hold growth investing. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | Momentum traders can use the 2x leverage to amplify gains during clear, short-term uptrends in Nebius Group stock. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | The fund's strategy is fundamentally detached from long-term business valuation or intrinsic value analysis. |
| Dividend/Income investor | Weak fit | NBIL does not provide reliable income and is designed for capital appreciation/trading, not yield. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The high leverage and single-stock concentration pose extreme risks that are inappropriate for low-risk portfolios. |
Investor Profile
Ideal Investor Profile
Sophisticated, active traders who monitor their accounts daily and have a short-term time horizon.
Suitability
Strictly for active traders; absolutely unsuitable for long-term investors or passive index followers.
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Volatility | High | The 2x leverage mechanism amplifies daily price swings, leading to massive portfolio fluctuations. |
| Market risk | High | Exposure to a single stock makes the fund highly sensitive to company-specific news and sector-wide sentiment. |
| Concentration | Strong | Having 100% of exposure to one company removes all diversification benefits, leaving the investor exposed to a single point of failure. |
| Tracking/expense | Medium / high | Daily rebalancing and compounding decay mean the fund's long-term return will likely deviate significantly from the 2x target. |
| Liquidity | Medium | Sudden drops in trading volume for Nebius Group could impact the fund's ability to execute efficient swaps. |
| Business/sector quality | Medium / high | As an AI-infrastructure company, the underlying business is subject to intense competition and rapid technological changes. |
Sector & Industry Intelligence
This fund is not assigned to one sector.
Risk Analysis
Volatility
The fund is extremely volatile due to the 200% daily leverage and high-beta nature of the underlying technology stock.
Market Risk
Risks are concentrated entirely on the performance of Nebius Group N.V., leaving no protection from idiosyncratic corporate risk.
What the ETF Owns
| Exposure Type | Exposure | Weight (%) | Retail Investor Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| Single stock | Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) — seeks 2x daily return | 90 | This represents the primary economic exposure to the daily price movements of Nebius Group N.V. |
| Cash/collateral | Cash and Short-Term U.S. Treasuries | 10 | These assets serve as the necessary collateral to support the fund's swap-based derivative exposure. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Extreme Price Shocks
The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type ETF | Historic Profit 35.7% | Avg. Invested days 12 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | ETF Returns Performance  5.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/13/2026 |
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