Space Exploration Technologies Corp. Class A Common Stock(SPCX)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
1-STAR RATING
SELL
SELL for 1 day
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
-2.25% ▼
LAST CLOSE
$147.49
10/23/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for SPCX

10/23/2026: SPCX (1-star) is a SELL. SELL for 1 day. Simulated Profits (-2.25%). Updated daily EoD!

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) is a multi-faceted aerospace and AI company known for its reusable launch technology and the Starlink connectivity network. The firm has a leading position in orbital launches, which drives a strong revenue base, while its rapid expansion into AI infrastructure offers high growth potential. Its primary opportunity lies in deep-space exploration and global connectivity dominance, countered by significant execution risks inherent in such complex technical projects. Investors should watch the evolution of Starship and AI revenue trends. The stock may suit growth-oriented investors, though it carries high valuation and volatility risks and currently offers no dividend income.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitThe company's triple-digit revenue growth and expansion into AI/Connectivity sectors appeal to aggressive growth strategies.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveHigh volatility and rapid expansion milestones often drive significant price momentum suitable for technical traders.
Value investorWeak fitThe company trades at a premium valuation typical of high-growth technology firms rather than traditional value metrics.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company currently focuses on aggressive reinvestment and does not offer dividend income.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe company's high beta, industry-specific risks, and speculative growth profile are unsuitable for conservative portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock experiences significant price swings common to high-growth, high-profile technology IPOs.
Valuation riskHighThe company is valued based on long-term growth expectations rather than traditional current earnings multiples.
Competition risk (Space and AI)Medium / highSuccess depends on maintaining a technological lead against well-funded rivals in both space and AI segments.
Business qualityStrongSpaceX possesses deep moats in reusable launch technology and global satellite network deployment.
Dividend incomeLow / noneInvestors should not expect income generation from this equity.
Execution riskMedium / highLong-term goals like deep-space colonization and mass-scale AI compute infrastructure involve extreme technical complexity.

Price Behavior

Insufficient Data
PRICE PATH

Insufficient Data

The stock demonstrates a Insufficient Data price path pattern.

Insufficient Data
PRICE STABILITY

Insufficient Data

The stock price exhibits a Insufficient Data stability pattern.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -2.25%
Avg. Invested days 27
Today’s Advisory SELL
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/23/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
SPCX receives a 3-star rating, supported by strong analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
SPCX has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, soft growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid revenue growth (+33.2%) is partially offset by negative earnings growth (-724.1%), weak cash generation (FCF margin -74.7%), weak profitability (net margin -26.4%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
SPCX's financial health is supported by moderate liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 10.4%). Overall financial-health metrics support a 3-star score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is SPCX's strongest growth driver at +33.2% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). By comparison, while earnings growth (-724.1%, negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-159.0%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 47.6% and approximately 31.1% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 12.49% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Alphabet Inc 4.18%
Valor Management LLC 3.82%
FMR Inc 2.30%
VY Capital Management Co. Ltd 2.06%
PUBLIC INVESTMENT FUND 1.17%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
SPCX generates approximately $494 of gross profit, $-139 of operating income, and $-747 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Operating losses and cash burn explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: -17.02% (Tax Credit)

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
SPCX has a high-quality, large-cap, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while soft valuation.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Quality TiltLow VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap Stability

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 2.00T USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 257.49
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 257.49
Volume (30-day avg) 101.0M shares
Beta -
52 Weeks Range 104.83 - 225.64
Updated Date 10/24/2026
52 Weeks Range 104.83 - 225.64
Updated Date 10/24/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -1

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Space (Launch)Reusable rocket launch services for commercial/government payloads (Falcon 9, Starship).The company gets paid for every successful rocket launch it performs for satellites or supply missions.
Connectivity (Starlink)Subscription-based broadband internet from satellite network.Steady recurring revenue from customers paying for internet access globally.
AI/ComputeAI solutions, LLM Grok, and enterprise computing infrastructure.High-growth potential from providing AI and computing power to businesses and individuals.
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Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-10-20
When After Market
Estimate 0.1
Actual 0.35

Profitability

Profit Margin -8.61%
Operating Margin (TTM) 19.17%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -
Return on Equity (TTM) -

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 200
Enterprise Value 1.44T
Price to Sales(TTM) 62.51
Enterprise Value 1.44T
Price to Sales(TTM) 62.51
Enterprise Value to Revenue 74.69
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 764
Shares Outstanding 8.25B
Shares Floating 2.56B
Shares Outstanding 8.25B
Shares Floating 2.56B
Percent Insiders 12.49
Percent Institutions 47.65

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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