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AAON Inc (AAON)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/05/2025: AAON (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $115.25
1 Year Target Price $115.25
| 2 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 3 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 11.53% | Avg. Invested days 56 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 7.15B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 72.34 | 1Y Target Price 115.25 |
Price to earnings Ratio 72.34 | 1Y Target Price 115.25 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 6 | Beta 1.06 | 52 Weeks Range 61.86 - 137.27 | Updated Date 12/7/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 61.86 - 137.27 | Updated Date 12/7/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.44% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.21 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 7.62% | Operating Margin (TTM) 3.99% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.49% | Return on Equity (TTM) 12.08% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 72.34 | Forward PE 51.02 | Enterprise Value 7522335096 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.43 |
Enterprise Value 7522335096 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.43 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.72 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 36.09 | Shares Outstanding 81634058 | Shares Floating 67538305 |
Shares Outstanding 81634058 | Shares Floating 67538305 | ||
Percent Insiders 17.33 | Percent Institutions 92.34 |
Upturn AI SWOT
AAON Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
AAON Inc. was founded in 1987 by Norm Asbjornson with a focus on designing and manufacturing advanced HVAC (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning) systems for commercial buildings. The company has grown through organic expansion and a commitment to innovation, becoming a recognized leader in the HVAC solutions market. Key milestones include the development of their proprietary climate control technologies and expansion of manufacturing facilities.
Core Business Areas
- Commercial HVAC Equipment: AAON designs, manufactures, and markets a wide range of rooftop units, split systems, and indoor air handler units for commercial buildings. These systems are designed for energy efficiency, indoor air quality, and ease of maintenance.
- Components and Accessories: The company also manufactures and sells components and accessories for its HVAC systems, including controls, coils, and other related parts.
Leadership and Structure
AAON Inc. is led by a seasoned management team with expertise in engineering, manufacturing, and sales. The organizational structure is designed to foster innovation and efficient production, with a focus on vertical integration to control quality and costs.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Rooftop HVAC Units: AAON's primary product line consists of integrated rooftop HVAC units designed for commercial applications. These units provide heating, cooling, and ventilation in a single package. Competitors include Carrier Commercial, Trane Commercial, Lennox Commercial, and Goodman Commercial. Specific market share data for individual product lines is not publicly disclosed but AAON holds a significant share in the specialty HVAC market.
- Indoor Air Handlers: These units are designed for indoor installation and are often used in conjunction with other cooling or heating sources. They are critical for managing air quality and temperature within buildings. Competitors are similar to those in the rooftop unit segment.
- Split Systems: AAON also offers split system HVAC units, which are composed of an outdoor and indoor unit, for commercial applications.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The commercial HVAC industry is influenced by factors such as new construction, building retrofits, energy efficiency regulations, and technological advancements in smart building controls and sustainable refrigerants. The market is competitive and driven by the need for reliable, energy-efficient, and cost-effective climate control solutions.
Positioning
AAON Inc. is positioned as a premium provider of highly engineered and energy-efficient HVAC solutions for commercial buildings. Its competitive advantages lie in its vertically integrated manufacturing, focus on custom solutions, and commitment to innovation, particularly in energy savings and indoor air quality.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global commercial HVAC market is substantial, with estimates often in the tens of billions of dollars annually and projected to grow. AAON Inc. operates within this large TAM, focusing on the North American market for commercial new construction and replacement segments. Its positioning as a provider of specialized and efficient systems allows it to capture value within this market.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Vertical integration of manufacturing processes.
- Strong reputation for product quality and reliability.
- Focus on energy-efficient and customizable HVAC solutions.
- Experienced management team and engineering expertise.
- Commitment to innovation and new product development.
Weaknesses
- Reliance on new construction markets, which can be cyclical.
- Potentially higher price point compared to some mass-market competitors.
- Geographic concentration of manufacturing facilities.
- Brand recognition may be lower than some larger, diversified competitors.
Opportunities
- Increasing demand for energy-efficient buildings and LEED certification.
- Growing focus on indoor air quality and advanced filtration systems.
- Expansion into new geographic markets.
- Leveraging technology for smart building integration and IoT capabilities.
- Retrofit market for upgrading older, less efficient HVAC systems.
Threats
- Economic downturns affecting commercial construction and spending.
- Increased competition from domestic and international manufacturers.
- Rising raw material costs (e.g., steel, copper, refrigerants).
- Changes in environmental regulations and refrigerant phase-outs.
- Supply chain disruptions impacting production and delivery.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Carrier Commercial (NYSE: CARR)
- Trane Commercial (NYSE: TT)
- Lennox International (NYSE: LII)
- Johnson Controls (NYSE: JCI)
Competitive Landscape
AAON differentiates itself through its engineering-centric approach, offering highly customized and energy-efficient solutions. While larger competitors like Carrier, Trane, and Johnson Controls benefit from broader product portfolios and global reach, AAON's focus on specialized commercial applications and vertical integration allows it to maintain strong margins and customer loyalty. Lennox International also competes in similar segments. AAON's advantage lies in its ability to cater to specific project needs with precision engineering.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: AAON has experienced consistent historical growth in revenue and earnings, driven by its expansion in the commercial HVAC market, product innovation, and increasing demand for energy-efficient solutions. The company has a proven ability to scale its operations.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for AAON typically indicate continued revenue and earnings growth, supported by the ongoing demand for its specialized HVAC systems, particularly in the replacement market and in new construction projects emphasizing sustainability. Growth is expected to be driven by market penetration, new product introductions, and potential international expansion.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in expanding manufacturing capacity to meet growing demand, development of new HVAC platforms with enhanced energy efficiency and smart controls, and continued focus on improving operational efficiency and vertical integration.
Summary
AAON Inc. is a financially strong company with a solid track record of revenue and profit growth in the commercial HVAC sector. Its strengths lie in its innovative, energy-efficient products and vertically integrated manufacturing. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for sustainable building solutions. However, it must navigate the cyclical nature of the construction industry and intense competition, while managing raw material costs. Continued investment in R&D and market expansion will be crucial for sustained success.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- AAON Inc. Investor Relations
- Annual Reports (10-K)
- Quarterly Reports (10-Q)
- Financial News and Data Providers (e.g., Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg)
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is generated for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The information provided is based on publicly available data and AI analysis, which may be subject to change. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Market share data and specific financial figures are estimates or based on historical reporting and may not reflect real-time conditions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About AAON Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Tulsa, OK, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1992-12-16 | President, CEO & Director Dr. Matthew J. Tobolski Ph.D., SE | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Building Products & Equipment | Full time employees 4812 | Website https://www.aaon.com |
Full time employees 4812 | Website https://www.aaon.com | ||
AAON, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in engineering, manufacturing, marketing, and selling air conditioning and heating equipment in the United States and Canada. The company operates through three segments: AAON Oklahoma, AAON Coil Products, and BASX. It offers rooftop units, data center cooling solutions, cleanroom systems, chillers, packaged outdoor mechanical rooms, air handling units, makeup air units, energy recovery units, condensing units, geothermal/water-source heat pumps, coils, and controls. The company markets and sells its products to retail, manufacturing, educational, lodging, supermarket, data centers, medical and pharmaceutical, and other commercial industries. It sells its products through a network of independent manufacturer representative organizations and internal sales force, as well as online. AAON, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

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