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AAON Inc (AAON)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/07/2026: AAON (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $115.25
1 Year Target Price $115.25
| 2 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 3 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 11.53% | Avg. Invested days 56 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.67B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 67.5 | 1Y Target Price 115.25 |
Price to earnings Ratio 67.5 | 1Y Target Price 115.25 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 6 | Beta 1.08 | 52 Weeks Range 61.86 - 137.27 | Updated Date 01/7/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 61.86 - 137.27 | Updated Date 01/7/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.47% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.21 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 7.62% | Operating Margin (TTM) 3.99% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.49% | Return on Equity (TTM) 12.08% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 67.5 | Forward PE 40 | Enterprise Value 7027632705 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.07 |
Enterprise Value 7027632705 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.07 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.34 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 33.72 | Shares Outstanding 81634058 | Shares Floating 67533407 |
Shares Outstanding 81634058 | Shares Floating 67533407 | ||
Percent Insiders 17.33 | Percent Institutions 92.24 |
Upturn AI SWOT
AAON Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
AAON Inc. was founded in 1987 by Normand "Norm" G. Asbjornson in Tulsa, Oklahoma. The company designs, manufactures, and markets a full line of "Energy Efficient" commercial "Packaged Rooftop" HVAC equipment and "Wholesale" HVAC products. A significant milestone was its initial public offering (IPO) in 1991. Over the years, AAON has focused on innovation in energy efficiency and has expanded its product offerings and manufacturing capabilities.
Core Business Areas
- Packaged Rooftop Units (RTUs): This is AAON's primary business segment, offering a comprehensive range of rooftop HVAC units for commercial applications. These units provide heating, ventilation, and air conditioning solutions for buildings like retail stores, restaurants, and office buildings.
- Wholesale HVAC Products: This segment includes a variety of HVAC components and systems sold through wholesale distributors, complementing the RTU offerings and serving a broader market.
- Indoor Air Quality (IAQ) Solutions: AAON has been increasingly focusing on products that improve indoor air quality, such as advanced filtration systems and energy recovery ventilators, especially relevant in post-pandemic environments.
Leadership and Structure
AAON Inc. is led by a management team responsible for its strategic direction and operational execution. The company has a functional organizational structure with departments for engineering, manufacturing, sales, and finance. Key leadership roles typically include a CEO, CFO, President, and various VPs overseeing specific business functions.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Packaged Rooftop Units (RTUs): AAON is best known for its extensive line of packaged rooftop units. These units are designed for energy efficiency, often featuring variable speed compressors, advanced economizers, and integrated controls. Competitors in this space include Carrier Commercial, Trane Commercial, Lennox Commercial, and Daikin. Specific market share data for individual product lines is not readily available, but RTUs represent a significant portion of AAON's revenue.
- Modular and Custom Air Handling Units: AAON also offers modular and custom-designed air handling units for larger and more complex commercial projects. These are tailored to specific building requirements. Competitors include custom AHU manufacturers and divisions of larger HVAC conglomerates.
- Indoor Air Quality (IAQ) Products: This includes energy recovery ventilators (ERVs), energy recovery ventilators (ERV), and other air purification systems. Demand for these products has grown, driven by health and efficiency concerns. Competitors range from specialized IAQ companies to broader HVAC manufacturers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The commercial HVAC market is influenced by factors such as new construction, building retrofits, energy efficiency regulations, technological advancements (e.g., smart controls, IoT integration), and occupant health concerns. The industry is mature but sees ongoing innovation and demand driven by sustainability initiatives and the need for comfortable and healthy indoor environments.
Positioning
AAON is positioned as a provider of high-efficiency, high-quality commercial HVAC equipment, particularly strong in the packaged rooftop unit segment. Its competitive advantages include a focus on energy efficiency, robust product design, and a vertically integrated manufacturing process, which allows for better quality control and customization. Its commitment to innovation in energy-saving technologies is a key differentiator.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global commercial HVAC market is substantial, estimated to be in the tens of billions of dollars annually and projected to grow. AAON primarily operates within the North American commercial HVAC market, which constitutes a significant portion of this global TAM. AAON is a well-established player in this market, particularly within its niche of packaged rooftop units, aiming to capture market share through product performance and customer service.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand reputation for energy efficiency and quality.
- Vertically integrated manufacturing processes.
- Focus on innovation in HVAC technology.
- Extensive product line for commercial applications.
- Experienced management team and dedicated workforce.
Weaknesses
- Reliance on construction cycles and commercial real estate markets.
- Potential for increased competition from larger conglomerates.
- Geographic concentration of manufacturing facilities.
Opportunities
- Growing demand for energy-efficient and sustainable HVAC solutions.
- Increased focus on indoor air quality (IAQ) post-pandemic.
- Expansion into new geographic markets or product segments.
- Leveraging smart technology and IoT for HVAC systems.
- Government incentives for energy-efficient building retrofits.
Threats
- Economic downturns impacting commercial construction.
- Rising material and labor costs.
- Intensified competition from both established players and new entrants.
- Changes in environmental regulations that may necessitate product redesigns.
- Supply chain disruptions.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Carrier Global Corporation (CARR)
- Trane Technologies plc (TT)
- Lennox International Inc. (LII)
- Daikin Industries, Ltd. (DNKPY) - Though not exclusively US-listed, it's a major global competitor with significant US presence.
Competitive Landscape
AAON competes in a fragmented but consolidating market. Its advantages lie in its specialization and focus on energy efficiency within the RTU segment. However, larger competitors like Carrier and Trane have broader product lines, greater global reach, and larger R&D budgets, which can present challenges. AAON's ability to offer customized solutions and its reputation for quality are key differentiators against larger, more standardized offerings.
Major Acquisitions
Enviro-Tec
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: Acquisition of Enviro-Tec, a manufacturer of custom air handlers and ventilation products, aimed to expand AAON's product offerings in the custom HVAC solutions market and enhance its ability to serve larger, more complex projects.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: AAON has experienced consistent historical growth, driven by its focus on energy-efficient products, expansion of its distribution network, and strategic acquisitions. The company has successfully navigated economic cycles by maintaining a strong product offering and customer base.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for AAON's future growth are generally positive, anticipating continued revenue increases driven by new construction, retrofitting projects, and the ongoing demand for advanced HVAC solutions. Growth is expected to be supported by market trends towards sustainability and improved indoor air quality. Specific EPS and revenue growth projections vary among analysts but generally indicate a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in the mid-to-high single digits.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives by AAON have likely focused on expanding manufacturing capacity, enhancing its product portfolio with smart controls and IAQ features, and potentially exploring new market segments or service offerings to further drive growth and market penetration.
Summary
AAON Inc. is a well-established and reputable manufacturer of commercial HVAC equipment, with a strong focus on energy efficiency. The company benefits from growing market demand for sustainable solutions and improved indoor air quality. Its vertically integrated operations and commitment to innovation are key strengths. However, AAON needs to remain vigilant against intense competition, economic cyclicality in the construction sector, and potential supply chain disruptions. Overall, AAON appears to be a solid company with a clear growth strategy.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- AAON Inc. Investor Relations (Annual Reports, SEC Filings)
- Financial news and analysis websites (e.g., Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg, Seeking Alpha)
- Industry research reports on the HVAC market
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Numerical data, especially market share and specific financial metrics, are estimates based on publicly available information and may vary. Users should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Market share figures are illustrative and not precise.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About AAON Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Tulsa, OK, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1992-12-16 | President, CEO & Director Dr. Matthew J. Tobolski Ph.D., SE | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Building Products & Equipment | Full time employees 4812 | Website https://www.aaon.com |
Full time employees 4812 | Website https://www.aaon.com | ||
AAON, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in engineering, manufacturing, marketing, and selling air conditioning and heating equipment in the United States and Canada. The company operates through three segments: AAON Oklahoma, AAON Coil Products, and BASX. It offers rooftop units, data center cooling solutions, cleanroom systems, chillers, packaged outdoor mechanical rooms, air handling units, makeup air units, energy recovery units, condensing units, geothermal/water-source heat pumps, coils, and controls. The company markets and sells its products to retail, manufacturing, educational, lodging, supermarket, data centers, medical and pharmaceutical, and other commercial industries. It sells its products through a network of independent manufacturer representative organizations and internal sales force, as well as online. AAON, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

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