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Watsco Inc (WSO)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/09/2026: WSO (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $401.64
1 Year Target Price $401.64
| 3 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 10 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 1.83% | Avg. Invested days 42 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 14.67B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 28.1 | 1Y Target Price 401.64 |
Price to earnings Ratio 28.1 | 1Y Target Price 401.64 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 15 | Beta 1.02 | 52 Weeks Range 323.05 - 524.49 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 323.05 - 524.49 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.26% | Basic EPS (TTM) 12.84 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 7.04% | Operating Margin (TTM) 10.92% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 10.02% | Return on Equity (TTM) 19.05% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 28.1 | Forward PE 23.58 | Enterprise Value 14041334327 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.98 |
Enterprise Value 14041334327 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.98 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.89 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 18.25 | Shares Outstanding 34923800 | Shares Floating 32911048 |
Shares Outstanding 34923800 | Shares Floating 32911048 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.4 | Percent Institutions 111.73 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Watsco Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Watsco Inc. was founded in 1930 and has evolved into the largest distributor of air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration (HVACR) products in North America. The company's strategy has historically focused on acquisitions to expand its geographical reach and product offerings, coupled with operational efficiencies.
Core Business Areas
- HVACR Distribution: Watsco distributes a broad range of HVACR equipment, replacement parts, and related supplies. This segment serves HVACR contractors who install and maintain these systems for residential and commercial customers.
- Refrigeration Products: While a significant portion of their business is HVACR, they also distribute refrigeration products catering to commercial and industrial refrigeration needs.
Leadership and Structure
Watsco operates as a holding company with a decentralized structure, allowing its acquired businesses to maintain operational autonomy. The leadership team is responsible for strategic direction, capital allocation, and overall oversight. Key individuals include Albert H. Nahmad (Chairman and CEO) and Barry G. Gordon (President and COO).
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- HVAC Equipment: Includes air conditioners, furnaces, heat pumps, and related components from various manufacturers. Competitors include other HVACR distributors and, indirectly, HVACR equipment manufacturers who sell directly.
- Replacement Parts and Supplies: A wide array of parts such as compressors, motors, filters, coils, and refrigerants. Competitors include other distributors and specialized parts suppliers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The HVACR distribution industry is mature and characterized by fragmentation, with a strong emphasis on customer relationships and logistics. Key drivers include new construction, replacement demand driven by aging equipment, and energy efficiency regulations. The industry is sensitive to economic cycles and weather patterns.
Positioning
Watsco Inc. holds a dominant position in the North American HVACR distribution market due to its extensive network of branches, strong supplier relationships, and successful acquisition strategy. Its scale provides significant purchasing power and operational efficiencies.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for HVACR products and services in North America is estimated to be in the tens of billions of dollars annually. Watsco, as a leading distributor, captures a significant portion of this market, particularly in the replacement and aftermarket segments.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Largest HVACR distributor in North America
- Extensive branch network
- Strong relationships with leading manufacturers
- Proven track record of successful acquisitions
- Experienced management team
Weaknesses
- Reliance on a few key manufacturers
- Sensitivity to economic downturns and housing market fluctuations
- Integration challenges with new acquisitions
Opportunities
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Increasing demand for energy-efficient HVACR systems
- Growth in the commercial and industrial refrigeration sector
- Leveraging technology for improved logistics and customer service
Threats
- Intensifying competition from other distributors and direct sales by manufacturers
- Rising raw material and transportation costs
- Changes in environmental regulations affecting refrigerants
- Potential for disruptions in the supply chain
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Ferguson plc (FERG)
- Winsupply Inc. (Private)
- AC Pro (Private)
Competitive Landscape
Watsco's competitive advantages lie in its sheer scale, extensive distribution network, and long-standing relationships with both suppliers and customers. Its decentralized model allows for agility in local markets. However, competitors like Ferguson are also large and diversified, and smaller regional players can offer specialized services.
Major Acquisitions
Local HVAC Distributors (numerous smaller acquisitions)
- Year: Ongoing (multiple per year)
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): Varies (typically undisclosed for smaller deals, but significant capital allocated annually)
- Strategic Rationale: To expand geographic reach, increase market share in specific regions, and add complementary product lines or customer bases.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Watsco has achieved significant growth over decades, primarily through strategic acquisitions that expanded its footprint and product lines. Organic growth has also contributed through increased sales at existing branches.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates generally project continued revenue and earnings growth for Watsco, supported by the ongoing need for HVACR system replacements and new installations, as well as potential for further strategic acquisitions. Specific forward-looking estimates depend on current market analyst consensus.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives likely focus on optimizing its distribution network, integrating acquired businesses, and enhancing its digital presence to serve contractors more effectively.
Summary
Watsco Inc. is a dominant player in the HVACR distribution market, benefiting from its scale, extensive network, and consistent acquisition strategy. Its financial performance has been robust, supported by steady demand and operational efficiencies. The company is well-positioned for continued growth, though it must remain vigilant against competitive pressures and supply chain disruptions.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Watsco Inc. Investor Relations
- Financial Data Providers (e.g., Bloomberg, Refinitiv)
- Industry Research Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Market share data and TAM are estimates and can vary based on the source and methodology. Financial data should be verified with the latest official filings.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Watsco Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Miami, FL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1984-06-07 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Albert H. Nahmad | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Industrial Distribution | Full time employees 7220 | Website https://www.watsco.com |
Full time employees 7220 | Website https://www.watsco.com | ||
Watsco, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution of air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration equipment, and related parts and supplies in the United States, Canada, Latin America, and the Caribbean. The company distributes equipment, including residential ducted and ductless air conditioners, such as gas, electric, and oil furnaces; commercial air conditioning and heating equipment systems; and other specialized equipment. It also offers parts comprising replacement compressors, evaporator coils, motors, and other component parts; and supplies, such as thermostats, insulation materials, refrigerants, ductworks, grills, registers, sheet metals, tools, copper tubing, concrete pads, tapes, adhesives, and other ancillary supplies, as well as plumbing and bathroom remodeling supplies. The company serves contractors and dealers that service the replacement and new construction markets for residential and light commercial central air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration systems. Watsco, Inc. was incorporated in 1956 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida.

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