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Upturn stock rating
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Watsco Inc (WSO)

Upturn stock rating
$358.36
Last Close (24-hour delay)
upturn advisory
PASS
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  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
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Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W

Upturn Advisory Summary

10/30/2025: WSO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

15 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $430.8

1 Year Target Price $430.8

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$430.8 Target price
52w Low $347.08
Current$358.36
52w High $556.7

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 1.83%
Avg. Invested days 48
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/30/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 14.57B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 30.21
1Y Target Price 430.8
Price to earnings Ratio 30.21
1Y Target Price 430.8
Volume (30-day avg) 15
Beta 0.94
52 Weeks Range 347.08 - 556.70
Updated Date 11/1/2025
52 Weeks Range 347.08 - 556.70
Updated Date 11/1/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 3.18%
Basic EPS (TTM) 12.18

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-10-21
When Before Market
Estimate 4.81
Actual 3.98

Profitability

Profit Margin 7.04%
Operating Margin (TTM) 11.36%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 9.96%
Return on Equity (TTM) 19.05%

Valuation

Trailing PE 30.21
Forward PE 26.88
Enterprise Value 16966127427
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.97
Enterprise Value 16966127427
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.97
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.26
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 21.68
Shares Outstanding 34902826
Shares Floating 32897239
Shares Outstanding 34902826
Shares Floating 32897239
Percent Insiders 0.4
Percent Institutions 103.77

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Watsco Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Watsco, Inc. was founded in 1947. It began as a supplier of air conditioning parts in South Florida. Over the years, it expanded through acquisitions to become the largest distributor of HVAC/R equipment and related parts and supplies in North America.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • HVAC/R Distribution: Distribution of heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration equipment (HVAC/R), as well as related parts and supplies. This is their primary revenue driver.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Albert H. Nahmad is the Chairman and CEO. The company has a traditional corporate structure with executive leadership overseeing various departments like sales, operations, finance, and marketing.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • HVAC/R Equipment: Distribution of complete HVAC/R systems manufactured by leading brands like Carrier, Rheem, and Trane. Watsco does not publicize a specific market share breakdown for HVAC/R equipment. Competitors include Ferguson Enterprises, Hajoca, and other regional distributors.
  • Parts and Supplies: Distribution of a wide range of parts and supplies necessary for HVAC/R systems installation, repair, and maintenance. This includes compressors, motors, refrigerants, and other components. Again, specific market share for this product segment is not released but Watsco is a leader in this field. Competitors include Johnstone Supply and other independent distributors.
  • Refrigerants: Distribution of refrigerants used in air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration systems. Watsco is a significant player in the refrigerants distribution. Competitors include Hudson Technologies and others. Market share not specified.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The HVAC/R industry is driven by new construction, replacement demand, and regulatory changes related to energy efficiency and refrigerants. The industry is also experiencing growth in the adoption of smart and connected HVAC systems.

Positioning

Watsco is the largest distributor in a fragmented market. Its competitive advantages include its extensive distribution network, strong relationships with leading manufacturers, and investments in technology.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The North American HVAC/R distribution market is estimated to be worth over $50 billion annually. Watsco, with its strong position, is capturing an increasing portion of this TAM through organic growth and acquisitions.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Largest distributor in North America
  • Extensive distribution network
  • Strong relationships with manufacturers
  • Investments in technology
  • Experienced management team

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on the housing market
  • Exposure to commodity price fluctuations (refrigerants)
  • Acquisition integration risks
  • Seasonality of demand (HVAC)
  • Debt Levels

Opportunities

  • Further market share consolidation through acquisitions
  • Expansion into new geographic markets
  • Growth in demand for energy-efficient HVAC systems
  • Increased adoption of smart and connected HVAC systems
  • Expansion in the commercial refrigeration segment

Threats

  • Economic downturns affecting construction and consumer spending
  • Increased competition from online retailers
  • Changes in regulations related to refrigerants
  • Supply chain disruptions
  • Rising interest rates impacting borrowing costs

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • Ferguson plc (FERG)
  • GPC (Genuine Parts Company) (GPC)
  • Rexel (RXE.PA)

Competitive Landscape

Watsco's advantages include its scale, distribution network, and technology investments. Competitors are focusing on regional presence and specialized services.

Major Acquisitions

NSI Holdings, Inc.

  • Year: 2021
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions):
  • Strategic Rationale: Further enhances capabilities in the air distribution segment

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Watsco has grown significantly through acquisitions and organic growth, driven by the increasing demand for HVAC/R products and services.

Future Projections: Analyst estimates project continued growth for Watsco, driven by market trends and the company's strategic initiatives.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include acquisitions, investments in technology, and expansion into new markets.

Summary

Watsco is a strong company that is the largest distributor of HVAC/R equipment in North America. Its growth is fueled by acquisitions, organic growth, and technology. However, it must manage debt levels, economic downturns, and regulatory changes to maintain its position. They are positioned well to capture market share from their TAM.

Similar Stocks

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Watsco Inc. Investor Relations
  • Company Filings (SEC)
  • Market Research Reports
  • Analyst Reports

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly. Financial data is based on available information and may be subject to change.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Watsco Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Miami, FL, United States
IPO Launch date 1984-06-07
Chairman & CEO Mr. Albert H. Nahmad
Sector Industrials
Industry Industrial Distribution
Full time employees 7220
Full time employees 7220

Watsco, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution of air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration equipment, and related parts and supplies in the United States, Canada, Latin America, and the Caribbean. The company distributes equipment, including residential ducted and ductless air conditioners, such as gas, electric, and oil furnaces; commercial air conditioning and heating equipment systems; and other specialized equipment. It also offers parts comprising replacement compressors, evaporator coils, motors, and other component parts; and supplies, such as thermostats, insulation materials, refrigerants, ductworks, grills, registers, sheet metals, tools, copper tubing, concrete pads, tapes, adhesives, and other ancillary supplies, as well as plumbing and bathroom remodeling supplies. The company serves contractors and dealers that service the replacement and new construction markets for residential and light commercial central air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration systems. Watsco, Inc. was incorporated in 1956 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida.