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Upturn AI Summary - About
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc(ACAD)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for ACAD
11/04/2026: ACAD (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing therapies for central nervous system and rare disease conditions. The company has a leading position in its niche through the successful commercialization of NUPLAZID and the first-in-class treatment DAYBUE, which are its primary revenue drivers. The main growth story revolves around the continued adoption of these assets and potential label expansions. However, risks include a concentrated product portfolio, intense competition in the neurology space, and the inherent execution risks of biopharma. It may best suit growth-oriented investors who can tolerate the volatility associated with drug development and commercial commercialization timelines.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | The company offers growth potential through the expansion of its commercial portfolio and pipeline. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum depends heavily on clinical trial data readouts and quarterly sales performance. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | The company's valuation is driven by future growth prospects rather than current earnings multiples. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | ACADIA does not pay dividends and prioritizes capital reinvestment. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The inherent volatility of biotech stocks makes it unsuitable for low-risk profiles. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Biotech stocks are highly sensitive to clinical news and regulatory updates. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | Equity pricing is tied to future growth expectations which may not materialize. |
| Competition risk (CNS therapies) | Medium | New drug entries and off-label treatments can impact market share. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company relies on a concentrated product portfolio. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | No dividends are paid to shareholders. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Success depends on ongoing commercial adoption and effective R&D management. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 43.23% | Avg. Invested days 52 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/04/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.54B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 9.18 | 1Y Target Price 30.53 |
Price to earnings Ratio 9.18 | 1Y Target Price 30.53 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2.2M shares | Beta 0.89 | 52 Weeks Range 18.39 - 30.96 | Updated Date 11/04/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 18.39 - 30.96 | Updated Date 11/04/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.24 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Product Sales | Revenue from the commercial sale of NUPLAZID and DAYBUE in the U.S. | The company's revenue is directly tied to the doctor-prescribed usage of its two primary drugs. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-04 | When After Market | Estimate 0.19 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 33.42% | Operating Margin (TTM) 12.29% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.64% | Return on Equity (TTM) 35.74% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 9.18 | Forward PE 20.28 | Enterprise Value 2.64B | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.09 |
Enterprise Value 2.64B | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.09 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.32 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 26.88 | Shares Outstanding 172.31M | Shares Floating 128.35M |
Shares Outstanding 172.31M | Shares Floating 128.35M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.33 | Percent Institutions 99.89 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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