American Eagle Outfitters Inc logo

American Eagle Outfitters Inc(AEO)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$15.92
09/22/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for AEO

09/22/2026: AEO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 28.3%
Avg. Invested days 35
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/22/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

AEO receives a 3-star rating, supported by available scored pillars. The rating is constrained by soft unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

AEO has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, soft growth momentum, and strong ownership. In FY2026 versus FY2025, growth and ownership metrics are mixed: negative earnings growth (-41.7%), soft cash generation (FCF margin 3.6%), moderate revenue growth (+3.2%).

Financial Health Rating

AEO's financial health is supported by solid cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation (3.6% of revenue). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

Revenue growth is AEO's strongest growth driver at +3.2% FY2026 versus FY2025 (moderate, 3 stars). By comparison, while earnings growth (-41.7%, negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-23.2%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

Institutional ownership is 103.5% and approximately 93.0% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 8.94% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 14.92%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 6.17%
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. 6.12%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 4.09%
State Street Corp 3.96%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

AEO generates approximately $330 of gross profit, $60 of operating income, and $36 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2026 results. Strong cash conversion and healthy margins support the rating, although capital efficiency remains below the highest tier.

Economic Dimensions

Effective Tax Rate: 25.61%

Quantitative Style Profile

AEO has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while elevated volatility.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedHigh VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 2.59B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 7.97
1Y Target Price 18.36
Price to earnings Ratio 7.97
1Y Target Price 18.36
Volume (30-day avg) 6.8M shares
Beta 1.31
52 Weeks Range 13.80 - 27.93
Updated Date 09/22/2026
52 Weeks Range 13.80 - 27.93
Updated Date 09/22/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 3.32%
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.94

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-09-09
When After Market
Estimate 0.21
Actual 0.79

Profitability

Profit Margin 5.86%
Operating Margin (TTM) 2.06%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 5.31%
Return on Equity (TTM) 20%

Valuation

Trailing PE 7.97
Forward PE 11.29
Enterprise Value 4.36B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.45
Enterprise Value 4.36B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.45
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.75
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.7
Shares Outstanding 167.57M
Shares Floating 155.81M
Shares Outstanding 167.57M
Shares Floating 155.81M
Percent Insiders 8.94
Percent Institutions 103.46

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About American Eagle Outfitters Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters Pittsburgh, PA, United States
IPO Launch date 1994-04-13
Executive Chairman of the Board & CEO Mr. Jay L. Schottenstein
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Apparel Retail
Full time employees 10000
Full time employees 10000

American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. operates as a multi-brand specialty retailer in the United States and internationally. It provides jeans, apparel and accessories, and personal care products for women and men under the American Eagle brand; and intimates, apparel, activewear, and swim collections under the Aerie and OFFLINE by Aerie brands. The company also offers menswear products under the Todd Snyder New York brand; and fashion clothing and accessories under the Unsubscribed brand. It sells its products through its own and licensed retail stores, concession-based shops-within-shops, wholesale markets, and online marketplaces; and digital channels, such as www.ae.com, www.aerie.com, www.toddsnyder.com, and www.unsubscribed.com. American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.