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AerCap Holdings NV(AER)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
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Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for AER
09/15/2026: AER (1-star) is a SELL. SELL for 2 days. Simulated Profits (-5.47%). Updated daily EoD!
AerCap Holdings NV is the world's largest independent aircraft lessor, managing a vast portfolio of commercial jets and engines. The company benefits from significant economies of scale, a modern fuel-efficient fleet, and a growing trend of airlines favoring leasing over ownership. Its main growth opportunity lies in capitalizing on rising global air travel demand while returning capital to shareholders via buybacks. However, AerCap faces risks from high debt levels, interest rate sensitivity, and supply chain delays at major manufacturers. The stock may best suit value-oriented investors who are comfortable with cyclical industry exposure and understand that the company prioritizes buybacks over dividends.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company offers moderate growth driven by market share but is limited by the cyclical nature of aviation. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | Strong market position often draws institutional momentum in healthy aviation cycles. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The stock often trades at a discount to book value, appealing to asset-focused value investors. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company prioritizes buybacks and debt reduction over traditional dividend distributions. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | While assets are tangible, the aviation industry remains sensitive to external shocks. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | The stock price is highly sensitive to macro-economic trends and airline industry health. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Valuation is often tied to the perceived cycle of aviation, which can be difficult to time. |
| Competition risk (Aviation Leasing) | Medium | Increased competition from well-funded rivals can pressure lease rates. |
| Business quality | Strong | AerCap possesses a high-quality portfolio of modern, efficient aircraft. |
| Dividend income | Low | Income investors will find limited support due to the lack of a dividend policy. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Managing the integration of massive fleets requires significant operational discipline. |
Price Behavior
Steady Uptrend
The stock demonstrates consistent and steady upward price momentum.
Smooth
The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 15.44% | Avg. Invested days 66 | Today’s Advisory SELL |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 09/15/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 21.91B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 6.85 | 1Y Target Price 179.3 |
Price to earnings Ratio 6.85 | 1Y Target Price 179.3 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.0M shares | Beta 0.93 | 52 Weeks Range 117.73 - 158.38 | Updated Date 09/14/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 117.73 - 158.38 | Updated Date 09/14/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.13% | Basic EPS (TTM) 20.35 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Leases | Rental income from airlines using AerCap's commercial jet fleet. | The primary way they make money is by renting planes to airlines. |
| Asset Sales | Gains from the trading and sale of used aircraft to other investors or airlines. | They occasionally sell planes to capitalize on market demand or fleet optimization. |
| Geography | Global operations spanning North America, Europe, Asia, and Latin America. | Their business is truly global, making them dependent on international air travel. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 6.85 | Forward PE 7.86 | Enterprise Value 63.37B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.45 |
Enterprise Value 63.37B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.45 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 7.07 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.9 | Shares Outstanding 157.18M | Shares Floating 146.68M |
Shares Outstanding 157.18M | Shares Floating 146.68M | ||
Percent Insiders 4.36 | Percent Institutions 94.79 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
About AerCap Holdings NV
Exchange NYSE | Headquarters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2006-11-21 | CEO & Executive Director Mr. Aengus Kelly A.C.A. | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Rental & Leasing Services | Full time employees 668 | Website https://www.aercap.com |
Full time employees 668 | Website https://www.aercap.com | ||
AerCap Holdings N.V. engages in the lease, financing, sale, and management of commercial flight equipment in the United States, China, and internationally. The company engages in aircraft and engine asset management services, such as remarketing aircraft and engines for lease or sale; collecting rental and supplemental maintenance rent payments, monitoring aircraft maintenance, monitoring and enforcing contract compliance, and accepting delivery and redelivery of aircraft and engines; conducting ongoing lessee financial performance reviews. Its aircraft and engine asset management services also include periodically inspecting the leased aircraft and engines; coordinating technical modifications to aircraft to meet new lessee requirements; conducting restructuring negotiations in connection with lease defaults; repossessing aircraft and engines; arranging and monitoring insurance coverage; registering and de-registering aircraft; arranging for aircraft and engine valuations; and providing market research services. In addition, the company provides corporate administrative services comprising accounting, and corporate secretarial services consisting of the preparation of budgets and financial statements; and cash management services, including treasury services, such as the financing, refinancing, hedging, and ongoing cash management of companies. Further, it offers airframe and engine parts and supply chain solutions to airlines; maintenance, repair, and overhaul service providers; and aircraft parts distributors. The company has a portfolio of owned, managed, or on order aircraft, consisting of 3,500 aircraft, engines, and helicopters. AerCap Holdings N.V. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.
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