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American Financial Group Inc (AFG)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/19/2026: AFG (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $140.5
1 Year Target Price $140.5
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 5 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 10.81B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 12.86 | 1Y Target Price 140.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio 12.86 | 1Y Target Price 140.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 6 | Beta 0.69 | 52 Weeks Range 108.99 - 144.31 | Updated Date 02/19/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 108.99 - 144.31 | Updated Date 02/19/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.56% | Basic EPS (TTM) 10.08 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-02-03 | When - | Estimate 3.25 | Actual 3.65 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 10.62% | Operating Margin (TTM) 19.99% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.1% | Return on Equity (TTM) 18.31% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 12.86 | Forward PE 11.53 | Enterprise Value 10850266900 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.36 |
Enterprise Value 10850266900 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.36 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.33 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 83422000 | Shares Floating 66537354 |
Shares Outstanding 83422000 | Shares Floating 66537354 | ||
Percent Insiders 20.91 | Percent Institutions 68.37 |
Upturn AI SWOT
American Financial Group Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
American Financial Group Inc. (AFG) was founded in 1970 as American Financial Corporation by Carl H. Lindner. The company initially focused on insurance and financial services. Over the years, it has grown through organic expansion and strategic acquisitions, evolving into a diversified holding company with significant interests in insurance and other businesses.
Core Business Areas
- Property and Casualty Insurance: This segment provides specialty insurance products for businesses and individuals. Products include commercial multi-peril, general liability, workers' compensation, auto insurance, homeowners insurance, and umbrella liability, among others. AFG's P&C operations are known for their conservative underwriting and focus on niche markets.
- Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance: This is a significant sub-segment of their P&C business, focusing on niche markets with specialized risks that larger insurers may avoid. This includes areas like umbrella liability, inland marine, surety, and excess and surplus lines insurance.
- Life and Health Insurance: This segment offers a range of life insurance and annuity products. Key products include fixed annuities, indexed annuities, and various life insurance policies designed to meet the needs of individuals and families for retirement planning and financial security.
- Other Businesses: This segment encompasses AFG's investments in businesses outside of insurance, such as agribusiness, trucking, and printing. These businesses are generally smaller in scale compared to the insurance segments.
Leadership and Structure
American Financial Group Inc. is a publicly traded holding company. Key leadership positions include the Chairman, President, and CEO, along with heads for its various business segments and corporate functions. The company operates through a decentralized structure, with its insurance subsidiaries maintaining significant operational autonomy.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Commercial Specialty Insurance: AFG offers a broad range of specialty commercial insurance products designed for businesses with unique risks. This includes coverage for industries like construction, trucking, and manufacturing, as well as specialized coverages like umbrella liability and inland marine. Competitors include The Hartford (HIG), Travelers (TRV), Chubb (CB), and various other specialty insurance providers depending on the specific niche.
- Fixed and Indexed Annuities: These are key products within the Life and Health Insurance segment, providing individuals with a way to save for retirement with guaranteed growth or growth linked to market indexes, while offering downside protection. Competitors include major life insurers and annuity providers such as Allianz (AZG), Lincoln National (LNC), and Prudential (PRU).
- Residential Property Insurance: AFG provides homeowners insurance, particularly in areas prone to specific risks like windstorms or hail. This segment competes with national insurers like State Farm, Allstate (ALL), and USAA, as well as regional carriers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The insurance industry is mature and highly competitive, characterized by regulatory oversight, capital intensity, and sensitivity to economic cycles, interest rates, and catastrophic events. The property and casualty sector faces ongoing challenges from rising claims costs, competition, and the need for technological adoption. The life and annuity sector is influenced by interest rate environments and evolving retirement needs.
Positioning
American Financial Group Inc. is positioned as a diversified financial services company with a strong emphasis on specialty insurance. Its competitive advantages include its disciplined underwriting approach, experienced management team, decentralized operating model that fosters entrepreneurialism within its subsidiaries, and a focus on niche markets where it can achieve superior returns. Its diversified portfolio also helps mitigate risks associated with any single line of business or market condition.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for insurance and financial services is vast, encompassing trillions of dollars globally. For American Financial Group Inc., the TAM is segmented across various lines of property and casualty insurance, as well as life insurance and annuities in the United States. AFG is positioned to capture a significant share within its chosen specialty niches and annuity markets, rather than competing broadly across all segments of the massive insurance TAM.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Diversified business model with strong P&C and Life/Health segments.
- Disciplined underwriting and conservative financial management.
- Experienced and stable management team.
- Strong track record of profitable growth and dividend payments.
- Focus on specialty niches with potentially higher margins.
- Decentralized operating structure fostering agility.
Weaknesses
- Reliance on insurance industry cycles.
- Potential for susceptibility to large catastrophic events in P&C.
- Some non-insurance businesses may be less profitable or integrated.
- Less brand recognition compared to some larger, more diversified financial conglomerates.
Opportunities
- Expansion into underserved specialty insurance markets.
- Leveraging technology and data analytics to improve underwriting and efficiency.
- Growth in retirement solutions driven by an aging population.
- Strategic acquisitions to expand product offerings or market reach.
- Potential for favorable interest rate environments to boost annuity sales.
Threats
- Increased competition from traditional insurers and InsurTech startups.
- Unpredictable and severe weather events impacting P&C claims.
- Adverse changes in interest rates affecting investment income and annuity profitability.
- Regulatory changes impacting insurance operations and profitability.
- Economic downturns affecting demand for financial products and services.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV)
- Chubb Limited (CB)
- The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. (HIG)
- Progressive Corporation (PGR)
- Allstate Corporation (ALL)
Competitive Landscape
AFG competes with larger, more diversified insurance giants as well as smaller, specialized players. Its advantage lies in its ability to focus on profitable niche markets where it can achieve superior underwriting results and customer service. However, it lacks the scale and brand recognition of some of its larger competitors, which can be a disadvantage in broader market penetration. Its decentralized structure allows for faster decision-making and adaptation within its specific markets.
Major Acquisitions
Great American Insurance Company
- Year: 1994
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: This was a pivotal acquisition that significantly expanded AFG's property and casualty insurance operations and formed the core of its specialty P&C business.
National Interstate Corporation
- Year: 2000
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 360
- Strategic Rationale: Acquired to enhance its specialty transportation insurance offerings, particularly for commercial vehicles.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: AFG has achieved steady historical growth, primarily driven by consistent performance in its core insurance operations and strategic, though infrequent, acquisitions. Its focus on specialty insurance markets has allowed it to carve out profitable niches and grow market share within those segments.
Future Projections: Analyst consensus generally projects continued modest to solid growth for AFG, driven by ongoing demand for its insurance and annuity products. Projections often consider the company's ability to maintain underwriting discipline and adapt to evolving market conditions. (This section would present average analyst estimates for revenue and EPS growth percentages.)
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives may include efforts to enhance digital customer experiences, expand into new specialty insurance lines, or optimize its investment portfolio. The company also continuously evaluates potential strategic acquisitions to complement its existing businesses.
Summary
American Financial Group Inc. is a well-established and financially sound diversified insurance holding company with a strong focus on specialty property and casualty insurance and annuities. Its disciplined underwriting, experienced management, and commitment to shareholder returns are significant strengths. While facing industry-wide challenges like competition and catastrophic risks, its niche market focus and diversified model provide resilience. Continued prudent management and strategic adaptations to market trends will be key to its ongoing success.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- American Financial Group Inc. Investor Relations
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Wall Street Journal)
- Financial Data Aggregators (e.g., Refinitiv, FactSet)
- Industry Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The information provided is based on publicly available data and general industry knowledge, and may not be exhaustive or perfectly up-to-date. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Market share data is an approximation and can vary based on methodology and the specific sub-segment being analyzed.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About American Financial Group Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Cincinnati, OH, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1983-04-06 | Co-CEO & Director Mr. Stephen Craig Lindner | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Insurance - Property & Casualty | Full time employees 8700 | Website https://www.afginc.com |
Full time employees 8700 | Website https://www.afginc.com | ||
American Financial Group, Inc., an insurance holding company, provides specialty property and casualty insurance products in the United States. The company offers property and transportation insurance products, such as physical damage and liability coverage for buses and trucks other specialty transportation niches, inland and ocean marine, agricultural-related products, and other commercial property coverages; specialty casualty insurance, including primarily excess and surplus, executive and professional liability, general liability, umbrella and excess liability, and specialty coverage in targeted markets, as well as customized programs for small to mid-sized businesses and workers' compensation insurance; and specialty financial insurance products comprising risk management insurance programs for lending and leasing institutions, fidelity and surety products, and trade credit insurance. It sells its property and casualty insurance products through independent insurance agents and brokers. The company was founded in 1872 and is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio.

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