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Upturn AI Summary - About
Forafric Global PLC Ordinary Shares(AFRI)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for AFRI
10/28/2026: AFRI (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Forafric Global PLC is a specialized agribusiness company focused on wheat milling and food production in Africa, particularly within the Moroccan market. Its core strengths include a well-established industrial infrastructure and vertical integration that supports staple food delivery. The company's primary growth story centers on capitalizing on increasing food demand across the African continent. However, investors must consider risks such as high exposure to commodity price volatility, regional currency fluctuations, and intense competitive pressures. This stock may suit investors looking for exposure to emerging market food sectors, though it requires monitoring of macroeconomic stability and management's ability to execute growth strategies in new territories.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is tied to regional demographic trends rather than high-velocity technology adoption. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock often lacks the high-volume trading and consistent upward momentum required for this style. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | The valuation may appear attractive, but the complexity of emerging market risks requires careful due diligence. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not currently provide a consistent dividend income stream. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Exposure to commodity prices and emerging market volatility makes this a higher-risk profile. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Wheat prices and input costs are subject to global supply shocks. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | The stock's valuation can fluctuate based on regional macro-economic stability. |
| Competition risk (Agribusiness) | Medium | Major global grain players maintain significant pricing and logistical power. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company operates in a capital-intensive, cyclical sector with thin margins. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Investors should not expect yield-based returns. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Scaling operations across complex African markets involves significant logistical hurdles. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Smooth
The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 33.85% | Avg. Invested days 58 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/28/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 337.32M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price - |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price - | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 27.2K shares | Beta 0.38 | 52 Weeks Range 8.63 - 13.48 | Updated Date 10/28/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 8.63 - 13.48 | Updated Date 10/28/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.45 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Grain Milling | Production of flour and semolina for regional distributors. | The company turns bulk wheat into essential food staples. |
| Food Products | Pasta and couscous manufacturing. | Value-added products provide higher margin potential. |
| Geography (Morocco/Africa) | Sales and logistics in domestic and regional markets. | Regional economic health is the primary driver of revenue. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 482.39M | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.91 |
Enterprise Value 482.39M | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.91 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.69 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 46.66 | Shares Outstanding 26.96M | Shares Floating 4.90M |
Shares Outstanding 26.96M | Shares Floating 4.90M | ||
Percent Insiders 81.59 | Percent Institutions 3.53 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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