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Adecoagro SA (AGRO)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/26/2025: AGRO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $10
1 Year Target Price $10
| 0 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 3 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -22.1% | Avg. Invested days 44 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.13B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 34.74 | 1Y Target Price 10 |
Price to earnings Ratio 34.74 | 1Y Target Price 10 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 6 | Beta 0.42 | 52 Weeks Range 6.89 - 11.31 | Updated Date 12/27/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 6.89 - 11.31 | Updated Date 12/27/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 4.38% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.23 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 1.69% | Operating Margin (TTM) 4.1% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.57% | Return on Equity (TTM) 1.69% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 34.74 | Forward PE 19.88 | Enterprise Value 2369895350 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.82 |
Enterprise Value 2369895350 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.82 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.71 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.48 | Shares Outstanding 141465751 | Shares Floating 19962240 |
Shares Outstanding 141465751 | Shares Floating 19962240 | ||
Percent Insiders 74.84 | Percent Institutions 12.67 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Adecoagro SA

Company Overview
History and Background
Adecoagro SA is a leading agricultural and land transformation company with operations in Argentina, Brazil, and Uruguay. Founded in 2000, it has grown significantly through strategic acquisitions and organic expansion, focusing on sustainable practices and value-added products. Key milestones include its IPO on the NYSE in 2011 and its continuous expansion into diversified agricultural operations.
Core Business Areas
- Farmland: Acquisition, development, and operation of large-scale farmland. Adecoagro manages extensive agricultural land for crop production and cattle ranching.
- Land Transformation: Development of undeveloped land for agricultural use, including irrigation, infrastructure, and soil improvement.
- Dairy: Integrated dairy operations, including farming, milk processing, and production of dairy products like cheese and butter. This segment focuses on high-quality milk production and value-added processing.
- Rice: Cultivation and processing of rice. Adecoagro is a significant producer and exporter of rice in its operating regions.
- Sugar and Ethanol: Production of sugar and ethanol from sugarcane. This segment contributes to renewable energy and food markets.
Leadership and Structure
Adecoagro SA is led by a management team with extensive experience in agriculture and finance. The company is structured around its core business segments, with dedicated management for each area to ensure operational efficiency and strategic focus. Key leadership roles include CEO, CFO, and heads of each business division.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Description: Adecoagro is a major producer of raw milk and processed dairy products such as cheese and butter in South America. The company has a significant share in regional dairy markets. Competitors include other large dairy cooperatives and private dairy companies in Brazil and Argentina.
- Product Name: Milk and Dairy Products
- Description: Adecoagro is one of the largest rice producers in Argentina, with a focus on high-quality varieties for both domestic consumption and export. Competitors include other large agricultural producers and rice milling companies in South America.
- Product Name: Rice
- Description: Production of sugar and ethanol from sugarcane. Adecoagro is a notable player in the Brazilian sugar and ethanol market, supplying both industrial and consumer markets. Competitors include major agro-industrial companies in Brazil's sugarcane belt.
- Product Name: Sugar and Ethanol
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
Adecoagro operates within the global agricultural and agribusiness sector, which is influenced by commodity prices, weather patterns, government policies, and global demand for food and biofuels. The sector is characterized by large-scale operations, increasing technological adoption, and a growing focus on sustainability.
Positioning
Adecoagro is positioned as an integrated agricultural producer with a diversified portfolio across key commodities. Its competitive advantages include its significant landholdings, integrated value chain, economies of scale, and a focus on operational efficiency and sustainable practices. The company leverages its geographical diversification within South America to mitigate regional risks.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for Adecoagro's core products (dairy, rice, sugar, ethanol, and other agricultural products) is substantial, encompassing global and regional food, feed, and biofuel markets. While precise figures for each segment's TAM are vast and complex, the company operates within multi-billion dollar markets for each of its key product categories. Adecoagro's positioning is as a significant regional player, aiming to capture a meaningful share of these large and growing markets through its scale and integrated operations.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Diversified business model across multiple agricultural segments.
- Significant land ownership and control.
- Integrated value chain from farming to processing.
- Economies of scale in operations.
- Focus on sustainable agricultural practices.
- Experienced management team.
Weaknesses
- Exposure to commodity price volatility.
- Dependence on weather conditions and climate change impacts.
- Geopolitical and regulatory risks in operating countries.
- High capital expenditure requirements for expansion and maintenance.
Opportunities
- Growing global demand for food and renewable energy.
- Expansion into higher-value-added products and downstream processing.
- Technological advancements in agriculture for increased efficiency and sustainability.
- Potential for further land acquisition and development.
- Growing markets for organic and sustainably produced goods.
Threats
- Increased competition from domestic and international players.
- Adverse changes in government policies and regulations.
- Fluctuations in foreign exchange rates.
- Rising input costs (fertilizers, fuel, labor).
- Socio-environmental challenges and public perception regarding large-scale agriculture.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Natura &Co (NTCO) - Primarily operates in cosmetics and personal care, not a direct competitor in core agricultural products, but represents a diversified South American business.
- Marfrig Global Foods (MRF)
- JBS S.A. (JBSAY)
- ArcelorMittal (MT)
- Vale S.A. (VALE)
Competitive Landscape
Adecoagro faces competition from large global agribusiness corporations, as well as significant regional players in South America. Its advantages lie in its integrated operations and diversified portfolio. However, it competes with companies that may have greater financial resources or established market dominance in specific product categories. Navigating fluctuating commodity prices and regulatory environments is a key challenge.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Adecoagro has demonstrated historical growth through organic expansion of its existing operations and strategic acquisitions of land and businesses. Its diversification into various agricultural segments has also contributed to its growth trajectory. Key growth drivers have been increased production volumes, operational efficiencies, and expansion into value-added processing.
Future Projections: Future growth projections for Adecoagro are likely to be driven by continued expansion in its core segments, particularly in dairy and sugar/ethanol, capitalizing on growing demand. Analyst estimates may focus on production volume increases, efficiency gains, and the impact of new projects or acquisitions. The company may also focus on increasing its portfolio of higher-margin products.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives by Adecoagro might include investments in enhancing dairy processing capabilities, optimizing sugarcane production for ethanol, expanding its rice cultivation footprint, and implementing new sustainable farming technologies. The company may also be exploring opportunities for further land acquisition or strategic partnerships to bolster its growth.
Summary
Adecoagro SA is a well-diversified agricultural producer with strong operational capabilities in key South American markets. Its integrated business model and significant landholdings provide a solid foundation for growth. The company's diversified portfolio acts as a buffer against commodity price volatility. However, it must remain vigilant against the inherent risks of agriculture, including weather, regulatory changes, and geopolitical instability, while continuing to leverage opportunities in growing food and energy demands.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Investor Relations Filings (SEC)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters)
- Industry Analysis Reports
- Financial Data Aggregators (e.g., Yahoo Finance, Google Finance)
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Market share data is illustrative and may not reflect precise, up-to-the-minute figures.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Adecoagro SA
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2011-01-28 | Co-Founder, CEO & Director Mr. Mariano Bosch | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Farm Products | Full time employees - | Website https://www.adecoagro.com |
Full time employees - | Website https://www.adecoagro.com | ||
Adecoagro S.A., engages in agricultural and agro-industrial activities in Argentina, Brazil, Chile, and Uruguay. The company operates through two segments, Farming; and Sugar, Ethanol, and Energy. The company is involved in the production of a range of agricultural commodities, including soybean, corn, wheat, peanut, sunflower, cotton, and others; planting, harvesting, processing, and marketing of white, brown, and rough rice; genetic development of seeds; and production of dairy products, such as raw milk, ultra-high temperature milk, UP milk, powdered milk, semi-hard cheese, cream, cream and cocoa flavored milk, chocolate and fluid milk, and other dairy products. It also generates electricity through burning biogas extracted from effluents produced by its dairy cattle; and provides grain warehousing and conditioning, and handling and drying services. In addition, the company cultivates and harvests sugarcane to produce sugar, ethanol, biomethane, and electricity; and sells carbon credits. Further, it engages in land transformation activities, such as the acquisition of farmlands or businesses with underdeveloped or underutilized agricultural land; and the implementation of production technology and agricultural practices. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. As of May 1, 2025, Adecoagro S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Tether Investments, S.A. De C.V.

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