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Adecoagro SA (AGRO)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/12/2025: AGRO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $11.06
1 Year Target Price $11.06
0 | Strong Buy |
1 | Buy |
3 | Hold |
1 | Sell |
1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -14.74% | Avg. Invested days 47 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 805.56M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 22.36 | 1Y Target Price 11.06 |
Price to earnings Ratio 22.36 | 1Y Target Price 11.06 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 6 | Beta 0.62 | 52 Weeks Range 7.90 - 11.67 | Updated Date 09/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 7.90 - 11.67 | Updated Date 09/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 4.34% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.36 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-08-18 | When - | Estimate 0.2585 | Actual -0.14 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.31% | Operating Margin (TTM) 0.99% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.55% | Return on Equity (TTM) 2.6% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 22.36 | Forward PE 20.04 | Enterprise Value 1868501992 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.52 |
Enterprise Value 1868501992 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.52 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.2 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.1 | Shares Outstanding 100069000 | Shares Floating 1964363 |
Shares Outstanding 100069000 | Shares Floating 1964363 | ||
Percent Insiders 74.7 | Percent Institutions 23.56 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Adecoagro SA

Company Overview
History and Background
Adecoagro SA, founded in 2002, is a leading agricultural company in South America. It focuses on producing food, energy, and fiber through sustainable agricultural practices. Initially focused on land acquisition, it expanded into processing and distribution.
Core Business Areas
- Farming: This segment involves the cultivation of crops like soybeans, corn, wheat, rice, sugarcane, and sunflowers, primarily for sale in the market. It also includes cattle ranching and milk production.
- Sugar, Ethanol & Energy: This segment focuses on the production and commercialization of sugar, ethanol, and electricity from sugarcane. It includes integrated sugarcane operations from planting to processing.
- Land Transformation: This involves purchasing undervalued farmland, implementing improvements to increase its productivity, and eventually selling it for a profit.
Leadership and Structure
The company is led by a board of directors and a management team. The organizational structure is designed to support the efficient operation of its diverse agricultural activities across South America.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Soybeans: Soybean production is a significant part of Adecoagro's farming segment. Soybean is primarily used for animal feed, soybean oil production and consumption. Competitors include Bunge (BG), Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), and Cargill (privately held).
- Sugarcane: Sugarcane processing produces sugar, ethanol, and electricity. The company is a major player in the South American sugar and ethanol markets. Competitors include Cosan (CSAN) and Raizen (RAIZ4.SA).
- Corn: Corn production also a significant part of Adecoagro's farming segment. Corn is primarily used for animal feed, corn oil production and consumption. Competitors include Bunge (BG), Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), and Cargill (privately held).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The agricultural industry is undergoing technological advancements to increase efficiency and yields. Global demand for food and biofuels is increasing, impacting the economics of agricultural production. Government regulations and environmental concerns also play a significant role.
Positioning
Adecoagro is positioned as a vertically integrated agricultural company with significant land holdings in South America. Its competitive advantages include efficient operations, scale, and access to key markets.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for agricultural products, including soybeans, sugar, ethanol, and corn, is estimated to be in the trillions of dollars globally. Adecoagro is positioned to capture a portion of this market through its operations in South America. The ethanol markets is forecast at $99 billion USD in 2024, with projections as high as $110 billion USD in 2027. Adecoagro captures about 0.1% of the ethanol market as of 2024.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large land holdings
- Vertically integrated operations
- Efficient agricultural practices
- Strong presence in South America
- Diversified product portfolio
Weaknesses
- Exposure to commodity price volatility
- Dependence on weather conditions
- Political and economic instability in South America
- Currency exchange rate risk
- High levels of debt
Opportunities
- Expanding into new markets
- Increasing production efficiency through technology
- Developing value-added products
- Capitalizing on growing global demand for food and biofuels
- Acquiring additional land and assets
Threats
- Fluctuations in commodity prices
- Climate change and extreme weather events
- Government regulations and trade policies
- Competition from other agricultural companies
- Disease and pest outbreaks
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- BG
- ADM
- CSAN
Competitive Landscape
Adecoagro competes with global agricultural companies based on factors like production costs, product quality, and market access. Its strengths include its large land holdings and efficient operations. Its weaknesses include its exposure to commodity price volatility and political risk.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Adecoagro's historical growth has been driven by expansion of its land holdings and improvements in agricultural productivity.
Future Projections: Future growth projections would be based on analyst estimates, considering factors like commodity prices, production volumes, and market demand.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives may include investments in new technologies, expansion into new markets, and acquisitions of other agricultural businesses.
Summary
Adecoagro is a vertically integrated agricultural company with significant land holdings in South America. It's strengths include efficient operations and diversified product offerings. However, it faces challenges related to commodity price volatility and political risks. Investing in new technologies can enhance its market position.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Estimates
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investment decisions should be based on thorough research and consultation with a qualified financial advisor.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Adecoagro SA
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2011-01-28 | Co-Founder, CEO & Director Mr. Mariano Bosch | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Farm Products | Full time employees - | Website https://www.adecoagro.com |
Full time employees - | Website https://www.adecoagro.com |
Adecoagro S.A., engages in agricultural and agro-industrial activities in Argentina, Brazil, Chile, and Uruguay. The company operates through two segments, Farming; and Sugar, Ethanol, and Energy. The company is involved in the production of a range of agricultural commodities, including soybean, corn, wheat, peanut, sunflower, cotton, and others; planting, harvesting, processing, and marketing of white, brown, and rough rice; genetic development of seeds; and production of dairy products, such as raw milk, ultra-high temperature milk, UP milk, powdered milk, semi-hard cheese, cream, cream and cocoa flavored milk, chocolate and fluid milk, and other dairy products. It also generates electricity through burning biogas extracted from effluents produced by its dairy cattle; and provides grain warehousing and conditioning, and handling and drying services. In addition, the company cultivates and harvests sugarcane to produce sugar, ethanol, biomethane, and electricity; and sells carbon credits. Further, it engages in land transformation activities, such as the acquisition of farmlands or businesses with underdeveloped or underutilized agricultural land; and the implementation of production technology and agricultural practices. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. As of May 1, 2025, Adecoagro S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Tether Investments, S.A. De C.V.

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