Home 
Today's Top Picks 
Top Performers 
Watchlist 
My Robo Portfolios 
ETF Zone 
How It Works 
News - Chart
- Upturn Summary
- Highlights
- Revenue
- Valuation
Upturn AI Summary - About
Adecoagro SA(AGRO)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for AGRO
10/12/2026: AGRO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Adecoagro SA is a diversified South American agricultural and renewable energy company that focuses on farming, sugar, and ethanol production. Its primary strength lies in its vertical integration and geographic footprint, which help the company manage agricultural risks. The company’s growth narrative centers on meeting increasing global demand for food and sustainable biofuels, while its profitability remains sensitive to commodity prices and regional macroeconomic volatility. Investors should monitor weather patterns, currency fluctuations, and input costs as key performance drivers. The stock may best suit value-oriented investors willing to accept volatility in exchange for exposure to the agricultural production cycle.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is largely driven by cyclical commodity markets rather than steady secular expansion. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock often tracks strongly with periods of rising global food and energy price trends. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The company often trades at valuations reflective of its asset-heavy nature and regional risk premiums. |
| Dividend investor | Mixed fit | Dividend payments are variable and subject to the cyclical nature of agricultural cash flows. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High exposure to weather, currency, and commodity volatility makes this a higher-risk investment. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Profitability is directly tied to the volatile global pricing of sugar, ethanol, and various crops. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | The stock can experience significant swings based on macro sentiment toward emerging markets. |
| Competition risk (commodity production) | Medium | Global scale players can exert pricing pressure on agricultural commodities. |
| Business quality | Medium | While operationally efficient, the business is inherently subject to uncontrollable environmental factors. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Distributions are not fixed and depend on annual financial results. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Managing complex agricultural operations across different countries requires significant operational expertise. |
Price Behavior
Steady Uptrend
The stock demonstrates consistent and steady upward price momentum.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -13.15% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  1.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/12/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.48B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 26.26 | 1Y Target Price 13.4 |
Price to earnings Ratio 26.26 | 1Y Target Price 13.4 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 705.5K shares | Beta -0.05 | 52 Weeks Range 6.83 - 15.75 | Updated Date 10/11/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 6.83 - 15.75 | Updated Date 10/11/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.39 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Sugar, Ethanol & Energy | Sugarcane production, sugar exports, ethanol fuel, and cogeneration of electricity. | This is a key industrial segment that benefits from renewable energy demand and sugar pricing. |
| Farming (Crops) | Production and sale of grains and oilseeds like soy, corn, and rice. | Revenue fluctuates based on global food commodity prices and harvest conditions. |
| Geography (South America) | Operations primarily in Argentina, Brazil, and Uruguay. | Investors are exposed to regional currency fluctuations and local economic policies. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 26.26 | Forward PE 19.3 | Enterprise Value 3.60B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.9 |
Enterprise Value 3.60B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.9 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.19 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.03 | Shares Outstanding 144.31M | Shares Floating 32.84M |
Shares Outstanding 144.31M | Shares Floating 32.84M | ||
Percent Insiders 73.38 | Percent Institutions 11.6 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
Note: This website is maintained by Upturn Corporation, which is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investing in securities has risks. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. No assurance is provided as to any particular investment return, and you may lose money using our services. You are strongly advised to consult appropriate counsel before making any investments in companies you learn about through our services. You should obtain appropriate legal, tax, investment, accounting, and other advice that takes into account your investment portfolio and overall financial situation. You are solely responsible for conducting due diligence on a potential investment. We do not affect trades for you. You will select your own broker through which to transact. Investments are not FDIC insured, they are not guaranteed, and they may lose value. Please see the Privacy Policy, Terms of Use, and Disclosure for more information.
All company names, trademarks, logos, and brands are the property of their respective owners and are used for identification and informational purposes only. Use of these names, trademarks, and logos does not imply endorsement by their respective owners.