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AGRO logo AGRO
Upturn stock rating
AGRO logo

Adecoagro SA (AGRO)

Upturn stock rating
$7.65
Last Close (24-hour delay)
upturn advisory
PASS
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  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

10/15/2025: AGRO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

6 Analysts rated it

Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.

1 Year Target Price $10.8

1 Year Target Price $10.8

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$10.8 Target price
52w Low $7.54
Current$7.65
52w High $11.56

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -14.74%
Avg. Invested days 47
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/15/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 768.53M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 21.71
1Y Target Price 10.8
Price to earnings Ratio 21.71
1Y Target Price 10.8
Volume (30-day avg) 6
Beta 0.58
52 Weeks Range 7.54 - 11.56
Updated Date 10/14/2025
52 Weeks Range 7.54 - 11.56
Updated Date 10/14/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 4.54%
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.35

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 2.31%
Operating Margin (TTM) 0.99%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 1.55%
Return on Equity (TTM) 2.6%

Valuation

Trailing PE 21.71
Forward PE 19.3
Enterprise Value 1839481854
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.49
Enterprise Value 1839481854
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.49
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.18
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.02
Shares Outstanding 100069440
Shares Floating 1964363
Shares Outstanding 100069440
Shares Floating 1964363
Percent Insiders 74.7
Percent Institutions 23.26

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Adecoagro SA

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Adecoagro S.A. was founded in 2002. It is a leading agricultural company in South America, focused on efficient agricultural production and land transformation.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Farming: Production of agricultural commodities, including grains, oilseeds, rice, sugar, ethanol and milk.
  • Sugar, Ethanol and Energy: Processing sugarcane into sugar, ethanol, and energy co-generation.
  • Land Transformation: Acquisition and development of agricultural land.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The company is led by a board of directors and a management team. Its organizational structure reflects its diverse business segments.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Product Name 1: Grains and Oilseeds: Production of soybeans, corn, wheat, and sunflower. Market share varies by region and crop. Competitors: Bunge, Cargill, ADM.
  • Product Name 2: Sugar and Ethanol: Sugar is a primary product, with ethanol production as a significant byproduct. Competitors: Cosan, Raizen.
  • Product Name 3: Rice: Production of high-quality rice. Competitors: local and regional rice producers.
  • Product Name 4: Milk: Production and distribution of fresh milk in Argentina. Competitors: Mastellone Hnos (La Serenisima)

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The agricultural industry is driven by global demand for food and biofuels. It is subject to commodity price volatility and weather patterns.

Positioning

Adecoagro is positioned as a low-cost, efficient producer of agricultural commodities in South America, leveraging its scale and technology. It benefits from the favorable climate and agricultural resources of the region.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global agricultural market is estimated to be in the trillions of dollars. Adecoagro is positioned to capture a portion of this TAM through its efficient production and strategic location.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Low-cost production
  • Large-scale operations
  • Geographic diversification within South America
  • Vertically integrated business model
  • Experienced management team

Weaknesses

  • Exposure to commodity price volatility
  • Dependence on weather conditions
  • Political and economic risks in South America
  • Currency fluctuations
  • High debt levels

Opportunities

  • Increasing global demand for food and biofuels
  • Expansion into new agricultural products
  • Acquisition of additional agricultural land
  • Adoption of new technologies to improve efficiency
  • Development of value-added products

Threats

  • Adverse weather conditions
  • Commodity price declines
  • Changes in government regulations
  • Increased competition
  • Geopolitical instability

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • BGAGF
  • LSX:COSB
  • ADM

Competitive Landscape

Adecoagro's competitive advantage lies in its low-cost production and large-scale operations. However, it faces competition from larger, more diversified companies.

Major Acquisitions

Empresa Azucarera Tucuman S.A.

  • Year: 2011
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 200
  • Strategic Rationale: Expanded sugar production capacity and access to new markets.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Adecoagro has grown through acquisitions and organic expansion, increasing its land holdings and production capacity.

Future Projections: Analyst estimates vary depending on commodity price forecasts and macroeconomic conditions. Generally, the company is expected to grow at a moderate pace.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in irrigation technology and expansion of sugar and ethanol production capacity.

Summary

Adecoagro is a significant player in South American agriculture, leveraging its low-cost production. Volatility in commodity prices and South American economic conditions pose risks. The company is focused on expanding its production capacity and adopting new technologies. Future growth hinges on managing risks and capitalizing on global demand.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Filings
  • Industry Reports
  • Analyst Estimates

Disclaimers:

The data and analysis provided are for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions are subject to change.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Adecoagro SA

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters -
IPO Launch date 2011-01-28
Co-Founder, CEO & Director Mr. Mariano Bosch
Sector Consumer Defensive
Industry Farm Products
Full time employees -
Full time employees -

Adecoagro S.A., engages in agricultural and agro-industrial activities in Argentina, Brazil, Chile, and Uruguay. The company operates through two segments, Farming; and Sugar, Ethanol, and Energy. The company is involved in the production of a range of agricultural commodities, including soybean, corn, wheat, peanut, sunflower, cotton, and others; planting, harvesting, processing, and marketing of white, brown, and rough rice; genetic development of seeds; and production of dairy products, such as raw milk, ultra-high temperature milk, UP milk, powdered milk, semi-hard cheese, cream, cream and cocoa flavored milk, chocolate and fluid milk, and other dairy products. It also generates electricity through burning biogas extracted from effluents produced by its dairy cattle; and provides grain warehousing and conditioning, and handling and drying services. In addition, the company cultivates and harvests sugarcane to produce sugar, ethanol, biomethane, and electricity; and sells carbon credits. Further, it engages in land transformation activities, such as the acquisition of farmlands or businesses with underdeveloped or underutilized agricultural land; and the implementation of production technology and agricultural practices. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. As of May 1, 2025, Adecoagro S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Tether Investments, S.A. De C.V.