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AGCO Corporation(AGCO)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for AGCO
10/23/2026: AGCO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
AGCO Corporation is a global manufacturer of agricultural equipment, recognized for its strong portfolio of brands including Fendt and Massey Ferguson. The company's primary strength lies in its diversified brand strategy and a robust parts business that provides steady revenue across market cycles. Its future growth story centers on the integration of precision agriculture and autonomous technology to increase farm productivity. Investors should monitor the cyclical nature of commodity prices and the persistent competitive challenge from larger players like John Deere. The stock may suit value-oriented and dividend-focused investors seeking exposure to the long-term global need for agricultural efficiency, provided they can tolerate cyclical earnings volatility.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is largely tied to cyclical commodity trends rather than steady secular expansion. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock tends to trade based on industry cyclicality rather than strong short-term momentum signals. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The stock often trades at reasonable valuation multiples during market downturns. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The company has a consistent history of dividends, including supplemental payouts. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | The agricultural sector's inherent cyclicality introduces significant earnings and price volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | Commodity price fluctuations directly impact farmer purchasing power and AGCO's stock. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Cyclical peaks can lead to overvaluation, while troughs can provide entry points. |
| Competition risk (John Deere) | High | John Deere's scale and R&D budget present a persistent competitive challenge. |
| Business quality | Medium | The business benefits from a large installed base, but is capital intensive. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Dividends are reliable but may fluctuate based on variable earnings. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successful integration of new technology into legacy equipment is essential for future competitiveness. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -34.93% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/23/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 7.43B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 14.68 | 1Y Target Price 125.07 |
Price to earnings Ratio 14.68 | 1Y Target Price 125.07 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 926.5K shares | Beta 1.07 | 52 Weeks Range 98.22 - 142.68 | Updated Date 10/25/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 98.22 - 142.68 | Updated Date 10/25/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.10% | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.23 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Tractors & Combines | Primary machinery revenue from Fendt, Massey Ferguson, and Valtra. | The bread and butter of the company; depends on farmers having a good year. |
| Grain & Protein | Infrastructure for storage and livestock production. | Provides stable, long-term infrastructure revenue that is less seasonal than tractors. |
| Geography (Global) | Sales across North America, EME, South America, and Asia-Pacific. | Global reach spreads risk, but exposes investors to varying currency and geopolitical headwinds. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-10-29 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.87 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 5.15% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5.73% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.47% | Return on Equity (TTM) 11.83% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 14.68 | Forward PE 15.77 | Enterprise Value 10.66B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.72 |
Enterprise Value 10.66B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.72 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.03 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.59 | Shares Outstanding 70.03M | Shares Floating 58.19M |
Shares Outstanding 70.03M | Shares Floating 58.19M | ||
Percent Insiders 17.98 | Percent Institutions 98.11 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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