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AGCO Corporation(AGCO)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for AGCO
10/09/2026: AGCO (1-star) is a SELL. SELL for 3 days. Simulated Profits (-13.25%). Updated daily EoD!
AGCO Corporation is a global manufacturer of agricultural machinery and precision technology solutions, operating a portfolio of well-known brands like Fendt and Massey Ferguson. The company's strengths lie in its deep distribution networks and a growing emphasis on high-margin precision agriculture. Its primary investment story centers on the digital transformation of farming and the transition to autonomous equipment. However, investors must consider the cyclical nature of agricultural markets and competition from industry leaders like Deere & Company. AGCO is generally well-suited for value and dividend-focused investors, though it carries exposure to commodity price volatility and requires close monitoring of technological adoption rates.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company offers moderate growth through tech integration, but is heavily tied to the cyclical nature of agricultural commodity markets. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum is highly dependent on agricultural commodity price cycles, making it suitable only during upturns in sector sentiment. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The company often trades at reasonable valuation multiples due to its cyclical nature, providing potential value for patient investors. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | AGCO has a track record of consistent dividend payments and capital returns, appealing to income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The stock's high sensitivity to global economic cycles and commodity prices introduces volatility that may not suit low-risk profiles. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | The share price is sensitive to cyclical farm income and global commodity price swings. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Valuations are often depressed during market cyclical lows, though recovery phases can cause sharp re-ratings. |
| Competition risk (Heavy Equipment) | High | Market dominance by Deere & Company creates constant pressure on pricing and R&D requirements. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company has a solid, long-standing franchise but remains challenged by the inherent volatility of the agricultural sector. |
| Dividend income | Low | Dividends are reliable, but the company focuses heavily on capital reinvestment and cyclical cash flow management. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successfully integrating precision technology (PTx) and maintaining brand autonomy is critical to long-term success. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -34.93% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory SELL |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/09/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 7.23B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 14.28 | 1Y Target Price 125.87 |
Price to earnings Ratio 14.28 | 1Y Target Price 125.87 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.2M shares | Beta 1.07 | 52 Weeks Range 98.22 - 142.68 | Updated Date 10/11/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 98.22 - 142.68 | Updated Date 10/11/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.08% | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.23 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Equipment Sales | Manufacturing and sale of tractors, combines, and planters under brands like Fendt and Massey Ferguson. | This is the core revenue engine, driven by farmer purchasing power and global crop demand. |
| Parts and Services | Distribution of replacement parts and maintenance services globally. | This segment provides steady, high-margin recurring revenue that buffers against new equipment sales volatility. |
| Precision Ag / Tech | Digital guidance systems, software, and autonomous farming solutions. | This is the future growth area aimed at increasing efficiency for farmers and software-driven revenue for AGCO. |
| Geography | Operations across North America, South America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific. | Geographic diversification helps the company hedge against localized crop failures or regional economic downturns. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 14.28 | Forward PE 16 | Enterprise Value 10.79B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.7 |
Enterprise Value 10.79B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.7 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.04 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.7 | Shares Outstanding 70.03M | Shares Floating 58.19M |
Shares Outstanding 70.03M | Shares Floating 58.19M | ||
Percent Insiders 17.98 | Percent Institutions 97.65 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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