Alamos Gold Inc logo

Alamos Gold Inc(AGI)

upturn advisory logo
EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$32.22
10/08/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for AGI

10/08/2026: AGI (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Alamos Gold is a mid-tier precious metals producer focused on high-quality, long-life assets in North America. Its strengths include a solid balance sheet, low-cost operations, and a focus on politically stable jurisdictions. The primary investment story revolves around organic growth through expansion projects and resource development. However, the company faces risks related to gold price volatility, operational execution at its mining sites, and capital intensity. It may best suit growth-oriented investors looking for exposure to gold mining. Investors should monitor progress on the integration of new assets and the successful ramp-up of mine expansion projects as primary indicators of long-term success.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitThe company offers potential for production growth through exploration and mine expansion.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum depends heavily on the prevailing gold price trend and favorable market sentiment toward precious metals.
Value investorMixed fitValuation fluctuates significantly based on the current cycle of gold prices and capital expenditure requirements.
Dividend investorMixed fitThe company provides a dividend, but it is primarily geared toward growth rather than income-focused stability.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe mining industry is inherently volatile due to commodity price exposure and operational risks.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighRevenue and profitability are directly tied to the highly volatile global spot price of gold.
Valuation riskMediumEquity valuations in mining often trade at premiums or discounts based on gold price expectations.
Competition risk (commodity production)MediumThe company competes with larger peers who may achieve greater economies of scale.
Business qualityMediumAlamos maintains solid, low-cost assets, but remains a mid-tier operator in a capital-intensive sector.
Dividend incomeLowDividends can be reduced or suspended if gold prices drop or capital needs increase.
Execution riskMedium / highOperational success depends on the effective management of complex mining projects and permitting timelines.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 40.96%
Avg. Invested days 51
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/08/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
AGI receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid unit economics, solid company fundamentals, solid quantitative characteristics, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
AGI has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, strong growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+212.8%) and solid cash generation (FCF margin 15.0%) are partially offset by very low insider ownership of 0.28%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
AGI's financial health is supported by strong profitability, including gross margin of 54.3% and operating margin of 44.5%. Liquidity is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is AGI's strongest growth driver at +212.8% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). Revenue growth (+34.6%, solid) and free-cash-flow growth (+15.0%, solid) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 69.6% and approximately 99.6% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.28%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Van Eck Associates Corporation 8.48%
Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, LLC 2.95%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 2.79%
Franklin Templeton Inc 1.77%
Mackenzie Investments 1.51%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
AGI generates approximately $543 of gross profit, $445 of operating income, and $150 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Solid margins and soft cash conversion support the rating, although capital efficiency remains solid.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 18.66%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
AGI has a high-quality, large-cap, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while elevated volatility.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltHigh VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 13.20B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 11.76
1Y Target Price 46.25
Price to earnings Ratio 11.76
1Y Target Price 46.25
Volume (30-day avg) 3.5M shares
Beta 1.4
52 Weeks Range 27.02 - 55.24
Updated Date 10/08/2026
52 Weeks Range 27.02 - 55.24
Updated Date 10/08/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 0.40%
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.68

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Gold Mining OperationsExtraction and sale of gold from mines like Young-Davidson and Island Gold.The company makes money by selling the gold it mines; its profit depends on the gold price minus production costs.
GeographyOperations primarily located in Canada and Mexico.Profitability is influenced by regional political stability and local operating costs in these countries.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Advertisement

Valuation

Trailing PE 11.76
Forward PE 13.19
Enterprise Value 13.99B
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.92
Enterprise Value 13.99B
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.92
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.51
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.99
Shares Outstanding 418.60M
Shares Floating 417.14M
Shares Outstanding 418.60M
Shares Floating 417.14M
Percent Insiders 0.28
Percent Institutions 69.57

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI Summary

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization accuracy disclaimer AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization data freshness disclaimer Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Information icon warning about Upturn AI Fundamental Rating based on potentially old data Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Information icon warning about potential inaccuracies or hallucinations in Upturn AI-generated summaries AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Alamos Gold Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters Toronto, ON, Canada
IPO Launch date 1999-09-02
President, CEO & Director Mr. John A. McCluskey
Sector Basic Materials
Industry Gold
Full time employees 2400
Full time employees 2400

Alamos Gold Inc. operates as a gold producer in Canada and Mexico. It primarily explores for gold deposits. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Toronto, Canada.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.