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Aldeyra The (ALDX)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/19/2025: ALDX (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $9.67
1 Year Target Price $9.67
| 5 | Strong Buy |
| 2 | Buy |
| 0 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -27.33% | Avg. Invested days 31 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 298.41M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 9.67 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 9.67 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 7 | Beta 0.82 | 52 Weeks Range 1.14 - 7.20 | Updated Date 12/22/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.14 - 7.20 | Updated Date 12/22/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.73 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -28.94% | Return on Equity (TTM) -64.31% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 238653764 | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value 238653764 | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -3.5 | Shares Outstanding 60162773 | Shares Floating 47577924 |
Shares Outstanding 60162773 | Shares Floating 47577924 | ||
Percent Insiders 3.09 | Percent Institutions 66.25 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Aldeyra The

Company Overview
History and Background
Aldeyra Therapeutics, Inc. was founded in 2011 with the mission to develop and commercialize innovative therapies for ocular and systemic inflammatory diseases. A significant milestone was the initiation of Phase 3 trials for its lead drug candidate, ADX-100 (later reprofiled as ADX-100), for dry eye disease. The company has focused on its proprietary platform to develop novel small molecules targeting reactive aldehyde species implicated in inflammation.
Core Business Areas
- Ocular Diseases: Development of novel therapeutics for inflammatory eye conditions, with a primary focus on dry eye disease and allergic conjunctivitis. Their approach centers on modulating inflammatory pathways triggered by reactive aldehydes.
- Systemic Inflammatory Diseases: Exploration of their drug candidates for the treatment of various systemic inflammatory conditions, though this area is less advanced than their ocular programs.
Leadership and Structure
Aldeyra Therapeutics is led by a management team with experience in drug development and the biopharmaceutical industry. The organizational structure is typical for a clinical-stage biotechnology company, with departments focused on research and development, clinical operations, regulatory affairs, and business development.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Competitors: Allergan (AbbVie) - Restasis, Cequa,Takeda Pharmaceutical Company - Xiidra,Santen Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. - Ikervis,Numerous OTC artificial tear brands
- Market Share Data:
- Number of Users:
- Product Name 1: Reproxalap (ADX-100/ADX-486): This is Aldeyra's lead drug candidate, a small molecule inhibitor of reactive aldehyde species. It has undergone Phase 3 trials for dry eye disease and allergic conjunctivitis. Market share data is not applicable as it is still in development and seeking regulatory approval. Competitors include established treatments for dry eye such as artificial tears, cyclosporine (Restasis, Cequa), lifitegrast (Xiidra), and newer entrants. For allergic conjunctivitis, competitors include antihistamine eye drops and mast cell stabilizers.
- Revenue:
- Competitors: Alcon - Pataday, Zaditor,Bausch Health Companies - Lotemax,Novartis - Lastacaft
- Market Share Data:
- Number of Users:
- Product Name 2: ADX-210: A topical formulation for allergic conjunctivitis, also targeting reactive aldehyde species. Similar to Reproxalap, market share data is not yet available. Competitors include over-the-counter and prescription antihistamine eye drops and mast cell stabilizers.
- Revenue:
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The ophthalmic drug market, particularly for dry eye and allergic conjunctivitis, is a significant and growing sector driven by an aging population, increasing prevalence of digital device use, and greater awareness of ocular surface disease. The market is characterized by a mix of established treatments and ongoing innovation for more effective and convenient therapies.
Positioning
Aldeyra Therapeutics positions itself as an innovator in addressing the underlying inflammatory mechanisms of ocular diseases, particularly those driven by reactive aldehyde species. Their proprietary platform offers a novel approach to treating conditions with significant unmet needs, aiming to differentiate from existing symptomatic treatments.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for dry eye disease is estimated to be in the billions of dollars globally. For allergic conjunctivitis, the TAM is also substantial. Aldeyra Therapeutics aims to capture a significant portion of this market with its differentiated therapies. Their current positioning is that of an emerging player seeking to disrupt existing treatment paradigms.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Proprietary technology platform targeting reactive aldehyde species.
- Lead drug candidate (Reproxalap) has progressed through multiple clinical trial phases.
- Experienced management team in drug development.
- Potential for broad application in various inflammatory conditions.
Weaknesses
- Currently no approved products on the market, relying solely on pipeline development.
- Significant reliance on the success of its clinical trials and regulatory approvals.
- Limited financial resources compared to larger pharmaceutical companies.
- Early-stage commercialization phase.
Opportunities
- Significant unmet need in the treatment of dry eye disease and allergic conjunctivitis.
- Potential for label expansion into other inflammatory conditions.
- Partnership or acquisition opportunities with larger biopharmaceutical companies.
- Advancements in understanding the role of reactive aldehydes in disease.
Threats
- Failure to achieve regulatory approval for key drug candidates.
- Intense competition from established and emerging therapies.
- Adverse clinical trial results or safety concerns.
- Changes in healthcare policies and reimbursement landscapes.
- Inability to secure sufficient funding for continued development and commercialization.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- AbbVie Inc. (ABBV)
- Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (TAK)
- Santen Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SNPTF)
- Novartis AG (NVS)
- Bausch Health Companies Inc. (BHC)
- Alcon Inc. (ALC)
Competitive Landscape
Aldeyra's competitive advantage lies in its novel mechanism of action targeting reactive aldehydes, which may offer superior efficacy or a better safety profile compared to existing treatments. However, it faces challenges in competing with established players with extensive marketing infrastructure, large patient bases, and diversified product portfolios.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been characterized by increasing investment in R&D, expansion of its pipeline, and progression of its lead drug candidates through clinical stages. Revenue has been minimal or non-existent.
Future Projections: Future growth projections are highly dependent on the successful regulatory approval and commercialization of Reproxalap for dry eye disease and allergic conjunctivitis. Analyst estimates would typically focus on potential peak sales and market penetration post-approval.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives likely include advancing clinical trials for Reproxalap, engaging with regulatory authorities, and preparing for potential commercial launch. This may also involve strategic partnerships or licensing agreements.
Summary
Aldeyra Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company with a promising pipeline focused on novel therapies for inflammatory diseases. Its lead drug candidate, Reproxalap, has shown potential in clinical trials for dry eye and allergic conjunctivitis. The company's success hinges on securing regulatory approvals and effectively competing in a crowded market. Key challenges include funding, clinical trial outcomes, and navigating the competitive landscape.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Company Investor Relations
- Reputable Financial News Outlets
- Industry Analysis Reports
- ClinicalTrials.gov
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is generated for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. The data presented is based on publicly available information and may not be exhaustive or entirely accurate. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Aldeyra The
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Lexington, MA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2014-05-02 | CEO, President & Director Dr. Todd C. Brady M.D., Ph.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 8 | Website https://www.aldeyra.com |
Full time employees 8 | Website https://www.aldeyra.com | ||
Aldeyra Therapeutics, Inc., a biotechnology company, discovers and develops therapies designed to treat immune-mediated and metabolic diseases. Its lead product candidate is reproxalap, a reactive aldehyde species (RASP) modulator, which is in Phase III clinical trial for the treatment of dry eye disease and allergic conjunctivitis; and ADX-2191, a dihydrofolate reductase inhibitor for the treatment retinitis pigmentosa. The company also develops ADX-629, an orally administered RASP modulator that is in Phase 2 clinical trials for the treatment of COVID-19, atopic asthma, psoriasis, and alcohol intoxication. In addition, it develops preclinical RASP platform, including ADX 248, ADX 743, ADX 631, ADX 246, and other product candidates in development for inflammatory and metabolic diseases. The company was formerly known as Aldexa Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Aldeyra Therapeutics, Inc. in March 2014. Aldeyra Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Lexington, Massachusetts.

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