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Aldeyra The(ALDX)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for ALDX
11/03/2026: ALDX (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Aldeyra Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing novel RASP modulators to treat inflammatory and ophthalmic diseases. Its primary value is centered on its lead candidate, Reproxalap, which targets large markets like dry eye disease. The company's strengths include a proprietary platform and recent strategic partnerships, though it faces substantial execution risk as it lacks commercial products and requires continuous funding. Investors should note that the stock is highly speculative, sensitive to clinical trial outcomes, and not suitable for conservative or income-seeking portfolios. Monitoring regulatory interactions and potential late-stage clinical progress is essential for tracking long-term development viability.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The growth potential is tied to binary clinical trial outcomes, making it a speculative growth play. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | Momentum is highly conditional on clinical data releases and is not a reliable long-term indicator here. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | Traditional value metrics like P/E ratios are not applicable to this pre-revenue biotechnology company. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay dividends and prioritizes cash preservation for R&D. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The volatility and clinical-stage nature of the company present high risk for conservative investors. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Clinical trial results often cause extreme price swings in biotechnology stocks. |
| Valuation risk | High | Valuations are speculative and sensitive to clinical success or failure. |
| Competition risk (Biotech/Pharma) | High | Established competitors have greater resources to develop and commercialize competing therapies. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company is reliant on clinical trial success for its business model viability. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | This is a growth-oriented biotech company that does not generate income. |
| Execution risk | High | Failure to achieve regulatory approval would significantly undermine the company's value. |
Price Behavior
Steep Decline
The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.
Extreme Price Shocks
The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -23.99% | Avg. Invested days 32 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/03/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 35.18M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 6.6 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 6.6 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.7M shares | Beta 1.29 | 52 Weeks Range 0.53 - 5.93 | Updated Date 11/03/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 0.53 - 5.93 | Updated Date 11/03/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.38 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Drug Development | Clinical-stage RASP modulators like Reproxalap. | The company does not currently sell products; revenue depends on future potential drug approvals. |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value -11.16M | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value -11.16M | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.96 | Shares Outstanding 60.33M | Shares Floating 48.95M |
Shares Outstanding 60.33M | Shares Floating 48.95M | ||
Percent Insiders 3.6 | Percent Institutions 61.39 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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