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Upturn AI Summary - About
ICL Israel Chemicals Ltd(ICL)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for ICL
10/16/2026: ICL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
ICL Israel Chemicals Ltd is a global mineral and specialty chemical company with unique, low-cost access to Dead Sea resources. The company benefits from a diversified portfolio spanning agriculture, food additives, and industrial flame retardants, which helps stabilize its cyclical operations. Its primary growth story revolves around shifting toward specialty plant nutrition and entering the energy storage market. However, investors must manage risks related to volatile commodity prices, geopolitical exposure in the Middle East, and evolving royalty regulations. The stock is particularly suitable for value and dividend-focused investors, provided they can tolerate the cyclical nature of the industry and monitor developments in agricultural commodity markets.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is largely tied to cyclical commodity trends rather than pure secular expansion. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum is highly dependent on cyclical upturns in potash and bromine pricing. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The company's asset-heavy model and low-cost production often provide value opportunities during commodity troughs. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | ICL provides a consistent dividend that appeals to income-focused investors. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Commodity price volatility and geopolitical exposure introduce significant risk factors. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Revenues are heavily dependent on global market prices for potash and bromine. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Valuations fluctuate significantly based on commodity price expectations. |
| Competition risk (commodity suppliers) | Medium | The company faces stiff competition from large global producers in fertilizer and chemical markets. |
| Business quality | Medium | The business has unique, high-quality mineral assets but is inherently cyclical. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Dividends can vary alongside the cyclical nature of the company's profitability. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Operational success depends on managing complex, large-scale mining and chemical operations. |
Price Behavior
Flat / Range-Bound
The stock price has been trading within a narrow range with minimal directional movement.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -13.92% | Avg. Invested days 38 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/16/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.41B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 20.71 | 1Y Target Price 5.74 |
Price to earnings Ratio 20.71 | 1Y Target Price 5.74 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.2M shares | Beta 1.05 | 52 Weeks Range 4.63 - 6.84 | Updated Date 10/16/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 4.63 - 6.84 | Updated Date 10/16/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 4.13% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.24 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Products | Flame retardants, bromine-based energy storage, and industrial chemicals. | ICL supplies critical materials for consumer electronics and industrial safety. |
| Potash & Phosphate | Fertilizer minerals extracted from the Dead Sea and phosphate-based products. | This is the core business supporting global food production and fertilizer demand. |
| Geography: Global | Sales across Europe, North America, South America, and Asia. | ICL is a global business, meaning investors must watch international agricultural trends. |
Valuation
Trailing PE 20.71 | Forward PE 55.56 | Enterprise Value 9.55B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.89 |
Enterprise Value 9.55B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.89 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.24 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7 | Shares Outstanding 1.29B | Shares Floating 723.39M |
Shares Outstanding 1.29B | Shares Floating 723.39M | ||
Percent Insiders 43.95 | Percent Institutions 43.72 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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