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Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
AMBC logo

Ambac Financial Group Inc (AMBC)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$7.1
Last Close (24-hour delay)
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

06/30/2025: AMBC (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

2 Analysts rated it

Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.

1 Year Target Price $17

1 Year Target Price $17

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$17Target price
Low$5.99
Current$7.1
high$13.64

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -21.89%
Avg. Invested days 47
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 06/30/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 326.85M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 17
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 17
Volume (30-day avg) 2
Beta 0.89
52 Weeks Range 5.99 - 13.64
Updated Date 06/30/2025
52 Weeks Range 5.99 - 13.64
Updated Date 06/30/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.62

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -245.33%
Operating Margin (TTM) -11.35%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -0.16%
Return on Equity (TTM) -5.29%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 12.42
Enterprise Value 425189043
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.29
Enterprise Value 425189043
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.29
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.71
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 46427400
Shares Floating 44340044
Shares Outstanding 46427400
Shares Floating 44340044
Percent Insiders 6.44
Percent Institutions 82.31

Analyst Ratings

Rating 2
Target Price 17
Buy 1
Strong Buy 1
Buy 1
Strong Buy 1
Hold -
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Ambac Financial Group Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (founded in 1971) is a financial services holding company. It initially focused on insuring municipal bonds. It faced significant challenges during the 2008 financial crisis but has since restructured and diversified its operations.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Financial Guarantee: Ambac's core business involves providing financial guarantees to municipal bonds and other debt obligations. This protects investors against defaults.
  • Specialty Insurance: Ambac offers specialty insurance products, including those related to renewable energy and infrastructure projects.
  • Legacy Business: Management of legacy financial guarantees and structured finance policies issued prior to 2008. This is a runoff business.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The company is led by a board of directors and an executive management team. Claude LeBlanc is the Chief Executive Officer. The organizational structure includes various departments such as finance, risk management, operations, and legal.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Competitors: Assured Guaranty (AGO), Build America Mutual
  • Financial Guarantees: Ambac guarantees the payment of principal and interest on debt obligations, primarily municipal bonds. Market share data is dynamic; Ambac competes with other monoline insurers such as Assured Guaranty (AGO). No definitive data on total market share available.
  • Competitors: Various specialty insurance providers depending on the specific niche.
  • Specialty Insurance: Ambac offers specialty insurance for areas like renewable energy, project finance and infrastructure. Market share data for this segment is fragmented and depends on the specific niche within specialty insurance. No definitive data on total market share available.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The financial guarantee industry is cyclical and influenced by factors such as interest rates, economic growth, and municipal finance trends. Specialty insurance depends on growth of the specific vertical.

Positioning

Ambac is a smaller player compared to some of its larger competitors. Its competitive advantages include its experience in financial guarantees and its diversification into specialty insurance.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

TAM for financial guarantees is tied to the volume of municipal bond issuance, which can be billions of dollars annually. TAM for Specialty insurance can be the same. Ambac is well positioned to grow in these market.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Experience in financial guarantees
  • Diversification into specialty insurance
  • Improved financial position post-restructuring
  • Legacy business runoff provides capital

Weaknesses

  • Smaller market capitalization compared to competitors
  • Legacy liabilities
  • Sensitivity to economic downturns
  • Potential for adverse legal judgments

Opportunities

  • Growth in municipal bond issuance
  • Expansion of specialty insurance offerings
  • Strategic acquisitions
  • Increased demand for infrastructure insurance

Threats

  • Increased competition
  • Economic recession
  • Changes in regulations
  • Interest rate fluctuations

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • Assured Guaranty (AGO)
  • Build America Mutual

Competitive Landscape

Ambac faces strong competition from larger, more established players. It aims to differentiate itself through specialized products and a focus on disciplined underwriting.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Historical growth has been impacted by the financial crisis and subsequent restructuring. Recent growth is tied to specialty insurance and legacy business management.

Future Projections: Future growth projections are based on analyst estimates, which vary depending on economic conditions and company-specific factors. No definitive future growth data available.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expansion of specialty insurance offerings, debt management, and cost optimization efforts.

Summary

Ambac Financial Group has recovered from financial turmoil, diversifying into specialty insurance. Challenges remain in legacy liabilities and competition. Its ability to expand its specialty offerings and manage its legacy business will be crucial. Ambac needs to carefully monitor industry competition and economic conditions. The company's restructuring provides a foundation for future growth, but risks persist.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Analyst Reports
  • Industry Publications

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on publicly available information and is not financial advice. Market share data may vary depending on the source and methodology. Financial data is subject to change.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Ambac Financial Group Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters New York, NY, United States
IPO Launch date 1991-07-11
President, CEO & Director Mr. Claude L. LeBlanc CPA
Sector Financial Services
Industry Insurance - Specialty
Full time employees 380
Full time employees 380

Ambac Financial Group, Inc. operates as a financial services holding company. It operates in two segments, Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance; and Insurance Distribution. The Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance segment provides specialty property and casualty program insurance with a focus on commercial and personal liability risks. The Insurance Distribution segment offers specialty property and casualty insurance distribution services, which include managing general agents, underwriters, insurance broker, and other distribution and underwriting businesses. The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in New York, New York.