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Upturn AI SWOT - About
AMBC 
Ambac Financial Group Inc (AMBC)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/10/2025: AMBC (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 1 days. Simulated Profits (-7.66%). Updated daily EoD!
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
2 Analysts rated it
Very few follow this stock; limited insights, higher-risk early investing.
1 Year Target Price $14.67
1 Year Target Price $14.67
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 0 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -27.87% | Avg. Invested days 50 | Today’s Advisory SELL |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/10/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 374.93M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 14.67 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 14.67 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2 | Beta 0.96 | 52 Weeks Range 5.99 - 13.64 | Updated Date 10/12/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 5.99 - 13.64 | Updated Date 10/12/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.54 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -269.45% | Operating Margin (TTM) -24.89% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -0.26% | Return on Equity (TTM) -5.74% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 12.42 | Enterprise Value 511952276 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.45 |
Enterprise Value 511952276 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.45 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.02 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 46401736 | Shares Floating 43180527 |
Shares Outstanding 46401736 | Shares Floating 43180527 | ||
Percent Insiders 9.53 | Percent Institutions 80.42 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Ambac Financial Group Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Ambac Financial Group Inc. was founded in 1971. Initially focused on municipal bond insurance, it expanded into structured finance. The 2008 financial crisis significantly impacted Ambac, leading to restructuring. It has since refocused on specialty insurance and legacy financial services.
Core Business Areas
- Specialty Insurance: Provides financial guarantee insurance for a range of public and private sector clients, including infrastructure and project finance.
- Legacy Financial Services: Manages legacy financial guarantee exposures and seeks to optimize their runoff.
Leadership and Structure
Claude LeBlanc serves as the President and CEO. The company operates with a board of directors overseeing its strategic direction. The organizational structure is designed to support both its insurance and legacy runoff operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Financial Guarantees: Provides guarantees for municipal bonds, infrastructure projects, and other financial obligations. Market share is difficult to pinpoint precisely due to the fluctuating nature of the market, but Ambac is a significant player. Competitors include Assured Guaranty (AGO) and Build America Mutual.
- Legacy Portfolio Management: Manages and resolves claims related to pre-crisis financial guarantees. Revenue varies based on claim resolutions and portfolio runoff. Competitors are other firms involved in legacy portfolio management, often operating in a less visible market.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The financial guarantee insurance industry is highly cyclical, dependent on interest rates, and subject to regulatory changes. Demand is driven by the need for credit enhancement in various sectors.
Positioning
Ambac has repositioned itself after its near collapse in 2008. It is focusing on select specialty insurance markets and managing its legacy liabilities. Its competitive advantage lies in its expertise in complex financial structures.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for financial guarantees is dependent on municipal bond issuance and infrastructure spending, which can vary. Ambac's current strategy aims to capture a portion of this market through specialty insurance, positioning it for growth within targeted sectors.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Experienced management team
- Specialized expertise in financial guarantees
- Improved financial position post-restructuring
- Focus on niche insurance markets
Weaknesses
- Legacy liabilities from pre-crisis era
- Relatively small size compared to larger competitors
- Sensitivity to economic downturns
- Dependence on regulatory environment
Opportunities
- Infrastructure spending initiatives
- Expansion into new specialty insurance lines
- Resolution of legacy liabilities
- Increased demand for credit enhancement
Threats
- Economic recession
- Increased competition
- Adverse legal or regulatory changes
- Unexpected claims on legacy portfolio
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- AGO
- BAM
Competitive Landscape
Ambac is smaller than AGO. However, AMBC has a unique set of competencies. AMBC's expertise in financial services provides it with an edge.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been volatile due to the 2008 financial crisis and subsequent restructuring. Analyzing revenue and net income trends will illuminate growth.
Future Projections: Future projections are available through analyst estimates from credible sources.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include focusing on specialty insurance and managing legacy exposures effectively.
Summary
Ambac Financial Group Inc. has undergone a significant transformation after the 2008 financial crisis, focusing on specialty insurance and managing legacy liabilities. Its restructuring has improved its financial position and refocused strategy. Legacy risks and economic sensitivity remain concerns. Recent initiatives and focus provide new opportunities for growth, however, they must navigate economic fluctuations.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Ambac Financial Group Inc. Investor Relations
- SEC Filings
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Estimates
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market share estimates are approximate and may vary based on different sources. Financial data is based on available public information and may be subject to change. Investing in financial markets involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Ambac Financial Group Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters New York, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1991-07-11 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Claude L. LeBlanc CPA | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Insurance - Specialty | Full time employees 380 | Website https://www.ambac.com |
Full time employees 380 | Website https://www.ambac.com | ||
Ambac Financial Group, Inc. operates as a financial services holding company. It operates in two segments, Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance; and Insurance Distribution. The Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance segment provides specialty property and casualty program insurance with a focus on commercial and personal liability risks. The Insurance Distribution segment offers specialty property and casualty insurance distribution services, which include managing general agents, underwriters, insurance broker, and other distribution and underwriting businesses. The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
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