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Upturn AI Summary - About
Ameresco Inc(AMRC)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for AMRC
11/11/2026: AMRC (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Ameresco is a clean energy and infrastructure company that specializes in energy efficiency and renewable power solutions for government, institutional, and commercial clients. The company maintains a strong competitive position in federal energy contracts and is known for its vendor-neutral approach. Its primary growth opportunity lies in the expanding demand for energy resilience, particularly from data centers. However, investors must monitor risks related to its capital-intensive business model, sensitivity to interest rates, and reliance on federal policy. Overall, Ameresco best suits investors seeking exposure to the energy transition, though it lacks the stability of dividend-paying assets and carries significant project-execution risks.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | Ameresco is positioned at the intersection of energy transition and infrastructure, offering significant scaling potential. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Performance is highly conditional on positive sentiment toward clean energy stocks and favorable interest rate signals. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuation is often tied to growth projections rather than current cash flow multiples, making entry points crucial. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay a dividend and reallocates all capital into project expansion. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High project concentration, policy sensitivity, and leverage contribute to above-average stock price volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock is sensitive to interest rate fluctuations and clean energy sector sentiment. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | Investors often pay a premium for future growth which may be impacted by economic cycles. |
| Competition risk (large industrials) | Medium | Large incumbents like JCI and HON have vast resources that can pressure pricing in energy retrofits. |
| Business quality | Medium | The business has recurring contract revenue but faces high capital intensity and execution risks. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | This is a growth-oriented stock that does not provide cash income to investors. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Large-scale project delays or cost overruns can materially impact quarterly profitability. |
Price Behavior
Steep Decline
The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.
Highly Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent, large price swings that make its near-term movement less predictable.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 45.1% | Avg. Invested days 32 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/11/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Sector & Industry Intelligence
Sector snapshot as of 2026-11-10
Sector
Industrials
- Signal
- Constructive
- Sentiment
- Weak Bullish
- Market state
- Weak Bullish
- Momentum
- BUY Breadth Improving
- BUY participation
- 33.3%
- Active BUY / eligible
- 26 / 78
- 22-session BUY-count change
- +7
More qualifying stocks are receiving or maintaining BUY advisories, indicating improving market participation.
Industry
Engineering & Construction
- BUY participation
- 11.1%
- Active BUY / eligible
- 1 / 9
- 22-session BUY-count change
- -1
The sector signal does not change this stock’s BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory.
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.47B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 40.03 | 1Y Target Price 39.3 |
Price to earnings Ratio 40.03 | 1Y Target Price 39.3 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 616.2K shares | Beta 2.51 | 52 Weeks Range 18.09 - 37.14 | Updated Date 11/11/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 18.09 - 37.14 | Updated Date 11/11/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.69 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Energy Efficiency Services | Performance contracts and infrastructure upgrades for government and institutional clients. | Ameresco saves clients money on energy and keeps a portion of those savings as their fee. |
| Renewable Assets | Solar, RNG, and storage facilities owned and operated by the company. | The company acts as a utility-like provider, selling clean energy to the grid under long-term contracts. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-09 | When After Market | Estimate 0.59 | Actual 0.88 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -1.42% | Operating Margin (TTM) 10.51% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.05% | Return on Equity (TTM) 0.44% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 40.03 | Forward PE 13.77 | Enterprise Value 3.41B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.71 |
Enterprise Value 3.41B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.71 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.52 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.81 | Shares Outstanding 35.07M | Shares Floating 32.07M |
Shares Outstanding 35.07M | Shares Floating 32.07M | ||
Percent Insiders 8.98 | Percent Institutions 102.61 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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