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NRG Energy Inc. (NRG)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/27/2026: NRG (4-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 9 days. Simulated Profits (3.18%). Updated daily EoD!
1 Year Target Price $205.14
1 Year Target Price $205.14
| 5 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 4 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 1 | Strong Sell |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 38.64B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 44.63 | 1Y Target Price 205.14 |
Price to earnings Ratio 44.63 | 1Y Target Price 205.14 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 10 | Beta 1.28 | 52 Weeks Range 78.59 - 189.96 | Updated Date 02/27/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 78.59 - 189.96 | Updated Date 02/27/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.99% | Basic EPS (TTM) 4.01 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-03-04 | When - | Estimate 1.02 | Actual 1.04 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.81% | Operating Margin (TTM) 4.26% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.57% | Return on Equity (TTM) 41.55% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 44.63 | Forward PE 20.41 | Enterprise Value 50982693095 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.26 |
Enterprise Value 50982693095 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.26 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.68 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.69 | Shares Outstanding 215889408 | Shares Floating 193643437 |
Shares Outstanding 215889408 | Shares Floating 193643437 | ||
Percent Insiders 12.29 | Percent Institutions 85.35 |
Upturn AI SWOT
NRG Energy Inc.

Company Overview
History and Background
NRG Energy Inc. was founded in 1989 as Northern States Power Company, a subsidiary of Xcel Energy. It was later spun off as an independent company in 1997. NRG has undergone significant transformation, evolving from a traditional power generator to a more integrated retail energy provider, focusing on customer choice and diverse energy solutions. Key milestones include major acquisitions that expanded its retail customer base and generation portfolio, and a strategic shift towards more sustainable energy sources.
Core Business Areas
- Retail: NRG's retail segment serves millions of residential, commercial, and industrial customers across the U.S. and parts of Canada. They offer a variety of electricity and natural gas plans, including fixed-rate, variable-rate, and renewable energy options. This segment also includes home services like HVAC maintenance and smart home technology.
- Wholesale: This segment focuses on the generation and wholesale sale of electricity and related products. NRG operates a diverse portfolio of power plants, including natural gas, coal, and increasingly, renewable sources like solar and wind. They also engage in energy trading and risk management.
- Business Solutions: NRG provides customized energy solutions for businesses, including energy procurement, demand response programs, and on-site generation and storage. This segment aims to help businesses manage energy costs, reduce their carbon footprint, and improve energy reliability.
Leadership and Structure
NRG Energy Inc. is led by a Board of Directors and a senior executive management team. The CEO, who also serves as President, oversees the company's overall strategy and operations. The company is structured into various business units corresponding to its core segments, with dedicated leadership for each.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Electricity and Natural Gas Retail Plans: NRG offers a wide range of electricity and natural gas plans to residential and commercial customers. This includes fixed-rate plans for budget certainty, variable-rate plans that fluctuate with market prices, and green energy plans sourced from renewable resources. Competitors include established utility companies, other large independent power producers with retail arms (e.g., Constellation Energy), and smaller energy marketers. Specific market share data for individual retail plans is not publicly disclosed, but NRG is a significant player in deregulated energy markets, serving millions of customers.
- Home Services: This includes protection plans for HVAC systems, plumbing, electrical, and smart home devices. These services aim to provide customers with peace of mind and predictable costs for home maintenance. Competitors include local HVAC and plumbing companies, national home warranty providers, and other energy companies expanding into home services. Market share is highly fragmented.
- Renewable Energy Solutions: NRG offers electricity plans backed by renewable energy sources and develops renewable energy projects. They are increasingly investing in solar and wind power. Competitors include other independent power producers focusing on renewables, utility-scale solar and wind developers, and companies specializing in green energy sourcing. Market share in this segment is growing rapidly as demand for clean energy increases.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The U.S. energy industry is undergoing a significant transformation driven by the transition to cleaner energy sources, evolving regulatory landscapes, and technological advancements. Deregulation in many states has created a competitive retail energy market. Increasing demand for renewable energy, grid modernization, and energy efficiency solutions are key trends.
Positioning
NRG Energy Inc. is positioned as a diversified energy company with a strong presence in both wholesale power generation and retail energy services. Its competitive advantages include its large customer base, diverse generation portfolio (though increasingly shifting towards cleaner sources), and its ability to offer integrated energy solutions. The company aims to leverage its scale and customer relationships to navigate the evolving energy market.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for electricity and natural gas is vast, encompassing all U.S. households and businesses. Additionally, the market for energy services, including home protection plans, smart home technology, and business energy solutions, adds further substantial value. NRG Energy Inc. is a significant participant in the retail energy market, which is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars annually. They are well-positioned to capture a portion of this market through their established brand, broad service offerings, and strategic acquisitions.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large and diverse customer base in retail energy
- Diversified generation portfolio with a growing renewable component
- Integrated business model offering both wholesale and retail services
- Strong brand recognition and established market presence
- Ability to provide bundled energy solutions and home services
Weaknesses
- Exposure to commodity price volatility in wholesale markets
- Reliance on legacy generation assets with environmental considerations
- Complex regulatory environment across multiple states
- Integration challenges from past acquisitions
- Potential for margin pressure in a competitive retail market
Opportunities
- Growth in renewable energy adoption and development
- Expansion of smart home technology and energy efficiency services
- Increased demand for electric vehicle charging infrastructure
- Further consolidation within the energy retail market
- Leveraging data analytics to enhance customer offerings and operational efficiency
Threats
- Increasing regulatory scrutiny and environmental policies
- Competition from new entrants and disruptive technologies
- Extreme weather events impacting generation and demand
- Interest rate hikes impacting financing costs
- Cybersecurity risks to energy infrastructure and customer data
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG)
- Vistra Corp. (VST)
- NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE)
Competitive Landscape
NRG's competitive advantages lie in its extensive retail customer base and integrated business model. However, competitors like NextEra Energy are leading in renewable energy development, and Vistra Corp. has a significant presence in wholesale power markets. Constellation Energy is also a strong competitor with a focus on nuclear and clean energy. NRG needs to continually innovate its retail offerings and accelerate its transition to cleaner energy to maintain and grow its market position.
Major Acquisitions
Direct Energy
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 3250
- Strategic Rationale: The acquisition of Direct Energy significantly expanded NRG's retail customer base, making it one of the largest retail energy providers in North America. It diversified NRG's geographic presence and added complementary services, enhancing its ability to offer integrated energy solutions.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: NRG has historically grown through a combination of organic expansion and strategic acquisitions, particularly in the retail energy space. The company has worked to diversify its energy sources and expand its customer reach.
Future Projections: Future growth is expected to be driven by continued expansion in its retail segment, investments in renewable energy generation, and the development of new energy services. Analyst projections generally indicate continued revenue growth, with a focus on improving profitability and cash flow generation. The company's strategy emphasizes customer acquisition and retention, alongside a balanced approach to capital allocation.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have focused on optimizing its generation portfolio by retiring or repowering older assets and investing in cleaner energy solutions. The company has also been active in expanding its retail footprint and offering innovative energy products and services, including smart home solutions and demand response programs. Acquisitions and divestitures to streamline operations and enhance strategic focus are also ongoing.
Summary
NRG Energy Inc. is a diversified energy company with a substantial retail customer base and a significant presence in wholesale power generation. The company has benefited from strategic acquisitions, notably Direct Energy, which bolstered its retail operations. Its transition towards cleaner energy sources and expansion of home services are key growth drivers. However, NRG faces ongoing challenges from commodity price volatility, regulatory shifts, and intense competition, requiring continuous adaptation and strategic investment to maintain its strong market position and profitability.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- NRG Energy Inc. Investor Relations
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Wall Street Journal)
- Industry Research Reports
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market share data and financial metrics are estimates and subject to change. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About NRG Energy Inc.
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Houston, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2000-05-25 | CEO & Chairman of the Board Dr. Lawrence Stephen Coben Ph.D. | ||
Sector Utilities | Industry Utilities - Independent Power Producers | Full time employees 15637 | Website https://www.nrg.com |
Full time employees 15637 | Website https://www.nrg.com | ||
NRG Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy and home services company in the United States and Canada. It operates through Texas; East; West/Services/Other; Vivint Smart Home; and Corporate Activities segments. The company produces and sells electricity generated using coal, oil, solar, and battery storage; natural gas; and a cloud-based home platform, including hardware, software, sales, installation, customer service, technical support, and professional monitoring solutions. It offers retail electricity and energy management, line and surge protection products, HVAC installation, repair and maintenance, home protection products, repair and maintenance, and carbon offsets; retail services comprising demand response, commodity sales, energy efficiency, and energy management solutions; and system power, distributed generation, renewable and low-carbon products, carbon management and specialty services, backup generation, storage and distributed solar, and energy advisory services. In addition, the company trades in power, natural gas, and related commodities; environmental products; weather products; and financial products, including forwards, futures, options, and swaps. It offers its products and services under the NRG, Reliant, Direct Energy, Green Mountain Energy, and Vivint. It serves residential, commercial, government, industrial, and wholesale customers. NRG Energy, Inc. was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

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