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NRG Energy Inc. (NRG)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/29/2025: NRG (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $201.58
1 Year Target Price $201.58
| 5 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 4 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 148.79% | Avg. Invested days 72 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 31.13B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 24.02 | 1Y Target Price 201.58 |
Price to earnings Ratio 24.02 | 1Y Target Price 201.58 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 10 | Beta 1.25 | 52 Weeks Range 78.84 - 180.08 | Updated Date 12/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 78.84 - 180.08 | Updated Date 12/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.09% | Basic EPS (TTM) 6.7 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.84% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5.53% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.81% | Return on Equity (TTM) 64.19% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 24.02 | Forward PE 18.18 | Enterprise Value 42859947959 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.05 |
Enterprise Value 42859947959 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.05 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.44 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.3 | Shares Outstanding 191639408 | Shares Floating 190654381 |
Shares Outstanding 191639408 | Shares Floating 190654381 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.82 | Percent Institutions 94.6 |
Upturn AI SWOT
NRG Energy Inc.

Company Overview
History and Background
NRG Energy Inc. was founded in 1989 as New York State Electric & Gas (NYSEG). It underwent significant changes, including its acquisition by Constellation Energy in 2000 and subsequent spin-off as an independent, publicly traded company in 2003. NRG has since evolved into a diversified energy company with a focus on retail energy services, integrated power generation, and distributed energy solutions. Key milestones include strategic acquisitions and divestitures aimed at reshaping its portfolio and expanding its customer base.
Core Business Areas
- Retail Energy: NRG's retail segment serves millions of residential, commercial, and industrial customers across various deregulated markets. They offer a range of electricity and natural gas plans, smart home solutions, and carbon offset programs, aiming to provide energy choice and value.
- Integrated Power: This segment focuses on the generation, sale, and trading of power and related products. NRG operates a diverse portfolio of power generation facilities, including natural gas, coal, nuclear, oil, and renewable sources, serving wholesale markets.
- Distributed Energy: NRG is investing in distributed energy resources, including solar, battery storage, and electric vehicle charging solutions. This segment aims to provide clean, reliable, and resilient energy for homes and businesses.
Leadership and Structure
NRG Energy is led by a Board of Directors and a seasoned executive management team. The company is structured around its core business segments (Retail, Integrated Power, Distributed Energy) with dedicated leadership for each to drive strategy and operations. Key figures include the Chief Executive Officer, Chief Financial Officer, and heads of various operational divisions.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Electricity and Natural Gas Plans (Retail): NRG's retail arm offers a wide array of electricity and natural gas plans to over 7 million customers. This includes fixed-rate, variable-rate, and renewable energy plans. Competitors include other retail energy providers like Constellation Energy (CEG), Champion Energy Services, and directly utility providers in certain markets. Market share data for specific retail plans is not publicly disclosed in detail, but NRG is a significant player in major deregulated markets.
- Power Generation: NRG operates a diverse portfolio of power plants, supplying electricity to wholesale markets. This includes natural gas, coal, nuclear, and renewable (solar, wind) generation. Competitors in the wholesale power market are numerous, including large utilities and independent power producers like Vistra Corp. (VST) and Entergy Corporation (ETR). Specific market share for individual generation assets is highly dependent on regional grids and capacity.
- Smart Home and Energy Solutions: NRG offers integrated smart home devices, energy management tools, and EV charging solutions. This segment competes with technology companies and other energy service providers. Data on market share for these specific ancillary services is generally not as readily available as core energy provision.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The energy industry is undergoing a significant transformation driven by the transition to cleaner energy sources, increasing electrification, and evolving regulatory landscapes. Deregulation in many states has created competitive retail energy markets. The wholesale power market is influenced by fuel prices, generation capacity, demand, and environmental regulations. The distributed energy sector is growing rapidly due to declining costs of renewables and storage, and increasing consumer interest in energy independence and resilience.
Positioning
NRG is positioned as a diversified energy company with a strong presence in both retail energy services and power generation. Its competitive advantages include its large customer base, diverse generation portfolio, and growing investments in distributed energy solutions. The company's ability to offer integrated solutions, from generation to customer delivery and value-added services, is a key differentiator.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for the US energy market is vast, encompassing electricity generation, transmission, distribution, and retail sales, as well as natural gas. This market is valued in the hundreds of billions of dollars annually. NRG is positioned to capture a significant portion of this TAM through its multi-faceted business model, particularly in the deregulated retail markets where it actively competes for customer share.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large and diverse customer base in retail energy.
- Diverse portfolio of power generation assets.
- Growing investment and presence in distributed energy solutions (solar, storage, EV charging).
- Significant operational scale and market reach.
- Experience in navigating deregulated energy markets.
Weaknesses
- Exposure to volatile commodity prices (natural gas, coal).
- Legacy fossil fuel generation assets facing increasing environmental scrutiny.
- High debt levels from past acquisitions.
- Complexity of managing diverse business segments.
Opportunities
- Expansion of renewable energy generation and storage solutions.
- Growth in the electric vehicle charging infrastructure market.
- Increased demand for home energy efficiency and smart home solutions.
- Further penetration into new deregulated retail energy markets.
- Potential for strategic partnerships and acquisitions in the clean energy space.
Threats
- Increasing competition in retail and distributed energy markets.
- Stringent environmental regulations and carbon pricing mechanisms.
- Adverse changes in energy policies and government incentives.
- Cybersecurity threats to energy infrastructure and customer data.
- Extreme weather events impacting generation and demand.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Constellation Energy (CEG)
- Vistra Corp. (VST)
- Eversource Energy (ES)
- Duke Energy (DUK)
- NextEra Energy (NEE)
Competitive Landscape
NRG competes in a highly fragmented and dynamic energy market. Its advantages lie in its significant retail customer base and diversified generation. However, it faces intense competition from integrated utilities, specialized retail providers, and renewable energy developers. Its ability to innovate in distributed energy and maintain cost efficiencies in its generation segment are crucial for staying competitive.
Major Acquisitions
Direct Energy
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 1000
- Strategic Rationale: The acquisition of Direct Energy significantly expanded NRG's retail customer base and diversified its geographic footprint, particularly in Canada, enhancing its position as a leading North American retail energy provider.
Vivint Smart Home
- Year: 2023
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 2500
- Strategic Rationale: The acquisition of Vivint Smart Home integrates smart home technology with NRG's energy services, aiming to create a comprehensive home ecosystem that enhances customer engagement, energy management, and provides new revenue streams.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: NRG has experienced growth through a combination of organic expansion in its retail segment and strategic acquisitions of power generation assets and other energy businesses. Its historical trajectory reflects a series of strategic pivots aimed at adapting to market changes and optimizing its business model.
Future Projections: Future growth projections for NRG are likely influenced by analyst expectations for its retail customer growth, the performance of its power generation fleet, and its success in expanding its distributed energy and renewable energy businesses. Projections often focus on revenue growth, EPS accretion, and the successful integration of new initiatives.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives by NRG have included strategic acquisitions to bolster its retail customer base, investments in renewable energy projects, expansion of its smart home and EV charging offerings, and efforts to optimize its generation portfolio through divestitures or upgrades of older assets.
Summary
NRG Energy Inc. is a diversified energy company with a strong presence in retail energy services and integrated power generation. Its recent acquisition of Vivint Smart Home signals a strategic shift towards integrated home solutions, potentially driving future growth and customer stickiness. While facing competition and regulatory pressures, NRG's scale and ongoing investments in renewables and distributed energy position it to adapt to the evolving energy landscape.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- NRG Energy Inc. Investor Relations
- Company Annual Reports (10-K filings)
- Quarterly Earnings Reports (10-Q filings)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg)
- Industry Analysis Reports
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market share data is estimated and subject to various definitions and reporting methodologies. Financial performance metrics and projections are based on publicly available data and are subject to change. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About NRG Energy Inc.
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Houston, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2000-05-25 | President, CEO & Chairman of the Board Dr. Lawrence Stephen Coben Ph.D. | ||
Sector Utilities | Industry Utilities - Independent Power Producers | Full time employees 15637 | Website https://www.nrg.com |
Full time employees 15637 | Website https://www.nrg.com | ||
NRG Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy and home services company in the United States and Canada. It operates through Texas; East; West/Services/Other; Vivint Smart Home; and Corporate Activities segments. The company produces and sells electricity generated using coal, oil, solar, and battery storage; natural gas; and a cloud-based home platform, including hardware, software, sales, installation, customer service, technical support, and professional monitoring solutions. It offers retail electricity and energy management, line and surge protection products, HVAC installation, repair and maintenance, home protection products, repair and maintenance, and carbon offsets; retail services comprising demand response, commodity sales, energy efficiency, and energy management solutions; and system power, distributed generation, renewable and low-carbon products, carbon management and specialty services, backup generation, storage and distributed solar, and energy advisory services. In addition, the company trades in power, natural gas, and related commodities; environmental products; weather products; and financial products, including forwards, futures, options, and swaps. It offers its products and services under the NRG, Reliant, Direct Energy, Green Mountain Energy, and Vivint. It serves residential, commercial, government, industrial, and wholesale customers. NRG Energy, Inc. was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

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