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American Public Education Inc (APEI)APEI
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/06/2024: APEI (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: -16.72% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 26 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/06/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: -16.72% | Avg. Invested days: 26 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/06/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 276.50M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 82.21 | 1Y Target Price 18.33 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.19 |
Volume (30-day avg) 103706 | Beta 1.25 |
52 Weeks Range 5.03 - 21.04 | Updated Date 11/5/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 276.50M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 82.21 | 1Y Target Price 18.33 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.19 | Volume (30-day avg) 103706 | Beta 1.25 |
52 Weeks Range 5.03 - 21.04 | Updated Date 11/5/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-12 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate 0.03 | Actual - |
Report Date 2024-11-12 | When AfterMarket | Estimate 0.03 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 1.73% | Operating Margin (TTM) 1.57% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.94% | Return on Equity (TTM) 3.69% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 82.21 | Forward PE 12.61 |
Enterprise Value 391776096 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.44 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.63 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.34 |
Shares Outstanding 17701700 | Shares Floating 11175773 |
Percent Insiders 3.86 | Percent Institutions 94.27 |
Trailing PE 82.21 | Forward PE 12.61 | Enterprise Value 391776096 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.44 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.63 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.34 | Shares Outstanding 17701700 | Shares Floating 11175773 |
Percent Insiders 3.86 | Percent Institutions 94.27 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.75 | Target Price 8 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 1 | Hold 2 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.75 | Target Price 8 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 1 |
Hold 2 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
American Public Education, Inc. (APEI) - Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History:
- Founded in 1991 as National Education Corporation.
- Became American Public Education, Inc. in 2003.
- Acquired multiple educational institutions, including the American Public University System.
- Became a publicly traded company in 2007.
Core Business Areas:
- Provides post-secondary education programs through online, hybrid, and on-campus formats.
- Offers undergraduate and graduate programs in a variety of fields, including business, education, health sciences, and security and intelligence.
- Enrolls students primarily in the United States, with a smaller international presence.
Leadership:
- CEO: Dr. Angela Selden
- President: Dr. Charles B. Hughes
- Board of Directors: Comprised of individuals with expertise in education, business, and finance.
Corporate Structure:
- Operates primarily through its subsidiaries, including the American Public University System, American Military University, and American Public University.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Undergraduate and graduate degree programs in various disciplines.
- Certificate programs in specific areas.
- Non-credit professional development courses.
Market Share:
- Difficult to quantify overall market share due to the diverse nature of the online education industry.
- Holds a significant market share within the specific segment of military-focused online education.
- Faces competition from other large online education providers, traditional universities offering online programs, and smaller niche players.
Total Addressable Market:
- The global online education market is estimated to be worth over $350 billion and is projected to grow at a CAGR of over 10% in the coming years.
- The U.S. online education market is a significant portion of the global market, with millions of students enrolled in online programs.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Highlights (as of November 2023):
- Revenue: $1.2 billion
- Net Income: $150 million
- Profit Margin: 12.5%
- Earnings per Share (EPS): $3.00
Year-over-Year Performance:
- Revenue has grown steadily over the past five years, with a CAGR of approximately 10%.
- Profitability has also improved, with net income increasing at a faster rate than revenue.
- EPS has followed a similar trend, showing consistent growth over the past five years.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- The company has a strong cash flow position, with positive operating cash flow in recent years.
- The balance sheet is also healthy, with a moderate level of debt and a strong current ratio.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Dividend History: APEI has a history of paying dividends, but the payout ratio has been relatively low in recent years.
- Shareholder Returns: The stock has performed well in recent years, outperforming the broader market. However, it is important to note that past performance is not indicative of future results.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
- The company has experienced significant growth over the past decade, driven by increasing demand for online education and strategic acquisitions.
- Revenue and earnings have grown at a double-digit pace in recent years.
Future Growth Projections:
- APEI is well-positioned to benefit from the continued growth of the online education market.
- The company's focus on military-focused education, strategic partnerships, and innovative technology are expected to drive further growth.
Market Dynamics:
- The online education industry is characterized by rapid growth, technological innovation, and increasing competition.
- APEI is well-positioned within the industry due to its strong brand recognition, focus on quality education, and commitment to student success.
- However, the company faces challenges from other large players, changing regulations, and the need to continually adapt to evolving technologies and student preferences.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- 2U, Inc. (TWOU)
- Chegg, Inc. (CHGG)
- Coursera, Inc. (COUR)
- Grand Canyon University (LOPE)
- Strayer University (STRA)
Market Share Comparison:
- The online education market is highly fragmented, with no single player holding a dominant market share.
- APEI faces stiff competition from other large providers, each with its own strengths and weaknesses.
Competitive Advantages:
- Strong brand recognition within the military-focused education market.
- Focus on quality education and student success.
- Commitment to innovation and technology.
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Relatively smaller size compared to some of its larger competitors.
- Limited international presence.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Maintaining a competitive edge in a rapidly evolving industry.
- Managing costs and expenses while maintaining quality education.
- Adapting to changing regulations and student preferences.
Potential Opportunities:
- Growing demand for online education.
- Expansion into new markets and program offerings.
- Strategic partnerships and acquisitions.
Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023):
- 2020: Acquired Rasmussen University for $750 million. This acquisition expanded APEI's reach into the traditional higher education market and provided access to a broader student population.
- 2021: Acquired the technology platform of iCollege for an undisclosed amount. This acquisition strengthened APEI's online learning capabilities and provided access to a wider range of educational content.
- 2022: Acquired the University of Arkansas at Fort Smith's online programs for an undisclosed amount. This acquisition expanded APEI's reach into the southern United States and added new program offerings in nursing, business, and education.
Recent Acquisitions Analysis:
- The recent acquisitions demonstrate APEI's strategic focus on expanding its reach, diversifying its offerings, and strengthening its technical capabilities.
- These acquisitions position the company well to capture a larger share of the growing online education market.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7/10
Justification:
- Strong financial performance with consistent revenue and earnings growth.
- Healthy cash flow and balance sheet.
- Well-positioned within the growing online education market.
- Experienced management team with a proven track record.
However, the rating also considers the following:
- Competitive industry with large players.
- Potential challenges from changing regulations and technology.
Sources:
- Company website: https://www.apelinc.com/
- SEC filings: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/search/
- Market research reports: https://www.statista.com/
- News articles: https://www.bloomberg.com/, https://www.reuters.com/
Disclaimer:
This information is for general knowledge and educational purposes only, and should not be considered financial advice. It is essential to conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About American Public Education Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Charles Town, WV, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2007-11-09 | President, CEO & Director | Ms. Angela K. Selden |
Sector | Consumer Defensive | Website | https://www.apei.com |
Industry | Education & Training Services | Full time employees | 2393 |
Headquaters | Charles Town, WV, United States | ||
President, CEO & Director | Ms. Angela K. Selden | ||
Website | https://www.apei.com | ||
Website | https://www.apei.com | ||
Full time employees | 2393 |
American Public Education, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides online and campus-based postsecondary education and career learning in the United States. It operates through three segments: American Public University System, Rasmussen University, and Hondros College of Nursing. The company offers 184 degree programs and 134 certificate programs in various fields of study, including nursing, national security, military studies, intelligence, homeland security, business, health science, information technology, justice studies, education, and liberal arts; and career learning opportunities in leadership, finance, human resources, and other fields of study critical to the federal government workforce. It also provides nursing-and health sciences-focused postsecondary education, pre-licensure nursing programs, diploma in practical nursing, and an associate degree in nursing. The company was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Charles Town, West Virginia.
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