American Public Education Inc logo

American Public Education Inc(APEI)

upturn advisory logo
ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL
4-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$44.32
09/17/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for APEI

09/17/2026: APEI (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

American Public Education, Inc. (APEI) is a holding company operating in the post-secondary education sector, known for its niche focus on military-affiliated students through APUS and its expanding portfolio of healthcare and nursing programs. The company's primary investment story centers on its strategic pivot to capture demand in the nursing workforce. While it benefits from a defensible military education foundation, it faces execution risks in scaling nursing operations and intense competition from non-profit institutions. The stock is best suited for investors comfortable with sector-specific regulatory and competitive volatility. Key developments to monitor include enrollment trends in nursing and nursing campus capacity growth.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe potential growth in nursing education is offset by the slower, more mature nature of the company's core online military education business.
Momentum investorWeak fitThe stock has experienced extended periods of sideways consolidation, lacking the consistent strong uptrend signal typically sought by momentum players.
Value investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe company is often priced based on its underlying assets and steady cash flows, which may appeal to value investors looking for a turnaround or intrinsic value.
Dividend investorWeak fitAPEI does not pay a dividend, making it unsuitable for investors seeking regular income.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe regulatory and execution risks inherent in the for-profit education sector create a high-volatility environment.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMedium / highThe stock is susceptible to fluctuations based on enrollment news and sector-wide regulatory sentiment.
Valuation riskMediumValuation is sensitive to future earnings projections tied to the success of nursing program expansion.
Competition risk (online education)HighIncreased competition from well-funded public universities continues to pressure enrollment and marketing costs.
Business qualityMediumWhile the company has strong niche positions, the overall business faces ongoing headwinds in a challenging higher-ed landscape.
Dividend incomeLow / noneThe company does not provide income returns to shareholders.
Execution riskMedium / highSuccessful scaling of nursing campuses requires complex execution and regulatory compliance.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 179.62%
Avg. Invested days 41
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/17/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

APEI receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

APEI has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+95.8%) and solid cash generation (FCF margin 7.1%) are partially offset by moderate revenue growth (+3.9%), soft profitability (net margin 4.9%), modest insider ownership of 4.95%.

Financial Health Rating

APEI's financial health is supported by solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 34.0%). Profitability is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

Earnings growth is APEI's strongest growth driver at +95.8% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, free-cash-flow growth (+65.9%, strong) is also strong, while revenue growth (+3.9%, moderate) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

Institutional ownership is 109.6% and approximately 81.7% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 4.95% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 7.92%
325 Capital LLC 6.47%
Divisadero Street Capital Management, LP 5.75%
Renaissance Technologies Corp 5.03%
FMR Inc 4.31%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

APEI generates approximately $517 of gross profit, $83 of operating income, and $71 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong cash conversion and healthy margins support the rating, although capital efficiency remains below the highest tier.

Economic Dimensions

Effective Tax Rate: 27.80%

Quantitative Style Profile

APEI has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while elevated volatility.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedHigh VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 813.23M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 18.14
1Y Target Price 62.83
Price to earnings Ratio 18.14
1Y Target Price 62.83
Volume (30-day avg) 278.9K shares
Beta 1.39
52 Weeks Range 30.20 - 61.59
Updated Date 09/17/2026
52 Weeks Range 30.20 - 61.59
Updated Date 09/17/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.45

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Military-Affiliated Online EducationTuition and fees from the American Public University System.This is the stable, core segment that serves military and veteran students.
Nursing & Healthcare EducationTuition from Rasmussen University and Hondros College of Nursing.This is the primary growth engine, focused on high-demand vocational healthcare training.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Advertisement

Valuation

Trailing PE 18.14
Forward PE 14.58
Enterprise Value 751.04M
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.22
Enterprise Value 751.04M
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.22
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.12
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.58
Shares Outstanding 18.30M
Shares Floating 14.94M
Shares Outstanding 18.30M
Shares Floating 14.94M
Percent Insiders 4.95
Percent Institutions 109.64

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI Summary

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization accuracy disclaimer AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization data freshness disclaimer Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Information icon warning about Upturn AI Fundamental Rating based on potentially old data Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Information icon warning about potential inaccuracies or hallucinations in Upturn AI-generated summaries AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About American Public Education Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquarters Charles Town, WV, United States
IPO Launch date 2007-11-09
President, CEO & Director Ms. Angela K. Selden
Sector Consumer Defensive
Industry Education & Training Services
Full time employees 2360
Full time employees 2360

American Public Education, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides online and campus-based postsecondary education services in the United States. It operates through three segments: American Public University System, Rasmussen University, and Hondros College of Nursing. The company offers 181 degree programs, 110 certificate programs, and four diploma programs in various fields of study, including public service-focused fields, such as nursing, national security, military studies, intelligence, and homeland security, as well as traditional academic fields comprising business, health science, information technology, justice studies, education, and liberal arts; and career learning and leadership training in-person and online to the federal workforce. It also provides nursing-and health sciences-focused postsecondary education; and pre-licensure nursing education services focusing on a diploma in practical nursing and associate degree in nursing, as well as a bachelor of science in nursing. The company was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Charles Town, West Virginia.