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Upturn AI Summary - About
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp(AQN)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for AQN
11/05/2026: AQN (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp is a hybrid company balancing a stable, regulated utility business with a broader renewable energy portfolio. Its primary strengths lie in its regulated utility assets, which provide reliable cash flows. The current investment story revolves around a strategic pivot toward deleveraging and operational focus following a period of aggressive, debt-funded expansion. Key risks include high debt levels, potential regulatory hurdles, and execution challenges regarding portfolio divestitures. The stock may suit investors seeking a turn-around play in the utility sector, provided they can tolerate higher volatility and monitor the company's progress on its debt reduction and strategic restructuring goals.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Weak fit | The company is currently in a restructuring and deleveraging phase, which limits immediate growth prospects. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock has experienced downward momentum; a positive signal is required before considering a momentum entry. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | The stock trades at a lower valuation, but this reflects underlying balance sheet and operational risks. |
| Dividend investor | Mixed fit | While dividends exist, the company has recently adjusted its payout policy, impacting income reliability for conservative investors. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High debt levels and regulatory volatility make this a higher-risk play within the utility sector. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock has shown significant price swings due to strategic changes and debt concerns. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Market pricing reflects ongoing uncertainty regarding the company's future earnings power. |
| Competition risk (utility and energy markets) | Medium / high | The company competes with much larger utilities and specialized energy developers. |
| Business quality | Medium | The business model is solid in theory but has been challenged by execution and leverage issues. |
| Dividend income | Medium / high | Recent dividend cuts make the income stream less predictable than traditional utility peers. |
| Execution risk | High | Management must successfully navigate a complex balance sheet restructuring and operational refocusing. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Smooth
The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 5.89% | Avg. Invested days 49 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/05/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.34B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 23.5 | 1Y Target Price 6.55 |
Price to earnings Ratio 23.5 | 1Y Target Price 6.55 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3.9M shares | Beta 0.94 | 52 Weeks Range 4.90 - 6.87 | Updated Date 11/05/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 4.90 - 6.87 | Updated Date 11/05/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 4.71% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.24 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Regulated Services | Electricity, water, and natural gas distribution in authorized territories. | This is the 'steady' part of the business that provides predictable, regulated income. |
| Renewable Energy | Wind, solar, and hydro generation assets with long-term contracts. | This segment provides growth exposure but is subject to project development risks and market pricing. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-06 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.1 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 5.87% | Operating Margin (TTM) 15.87% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.37% | Return on Equity (TTM) 2.49% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 23.5 | Forward PE 13.35 | Enterprise Value 11.09B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.7 |
Enterprise Value 11.09B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.7 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.32 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.82 | Shares Outstanding 769.90M | Shares Floating 712.16M |
Shares Outstanding 769.90M | Shares Floating 712.16M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.03 | Percent Institutions 65.76 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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