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Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc (ARCO)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/09/2026: ARCO (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $9.52
1 Year Target Price $9.52
| 2 | Strong Buy |
| 5 | Buy |
| 1 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -5.58% | Avg. Invested days 30 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.67B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 6.76 | 1Y Target Price 9.52 |
Price to earnings Ratio 6.76 | 1Y Target Price 9.52 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 8 | Beta 0.47 | 52 Weeks Range 6.40 - 8.25 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 6.40 - 8.25 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.11% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.17 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 5.39% | Operating Margin (TTM) 12.34% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.87% | Return on Equity (TTM) 39.03% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 6.76 | Forward PE 14.51 | Enterprise Value 3430147800 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.37 |
Enterprise Value 3430147800 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.37 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.75 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.28 | Shares Outstanding 130663057 | Shares Floating 121074379 |
Shares Outstanding 130663057 | Shares Floating 121074379 | ||
Percent Insiders 4.58 | Percent Institutions 48.43 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. was founded in 1984 and operates as the world's largest franchisee of McDonald's restaurants. It was established as the entity that would operate McDonald's restaurants across Latin America. Significant milestones include the acquisition of McDonald's operations in several Latin American countries and its subsequent IPO in 2011. The company has evolved by adapting its menu, store formats, and operational strategies to cater to diverse consumer preferences and economic conditions across its operating regions.
Core Business Areas
- Restaurant Operations: Arcos Dorados operates McDonald's restaurants, focusing on serving its core menu of burgers, fries, and beverages, along with localized offerings. This segment includes managing all aspects of restaurant operations, from supply chain and food preparation to customer service and marketing.
- Franchising and Development: While primarily operating its own restaurants, Arcos Dorados also engages in developing and managing its restaurant portfolio, including potential sub-franchising in certain markets.
- Supply Chain and Distribution: The company manages a complex supply chain to ensure the consistent quality and availability of ingredients for its restaurants across its vast geographical footprint.
Leadership and Structure
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. is led by a Board of Directors and a management team responsible for strategic direction and operational oversight. The organizational structure is typically regionalized to manage the diverse markets in which it operates, with country-level management teams reporting to corporate leadership.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Description: The iconic flagship burger, a staple of the McDonald's menu worldwide. Market share is integral to McDonald's overall QSR dominance, but specific market share for individual products like the Big Mac is not publicly disclosed by Arcos Dorados. Competitors include Burger King (Whopper), Wendy's (Baconator), and local fast-food chains.
- Product Name 1: Big Mac
- Description: A universally popular side item. Similar to the Big Mac, specific market share data is not available. Competitors include all fast-food restaurants and snack food providers.
- Product Name 2: French Fries
- Description: Another popular chicken sandwich option. Specific market share data is not available. Competitors include KFC, Popeyes, and other chicken-focused fast-food chains.
- Product Name 3: McChicken Sandwich
- Description: A value-oriented meal targeting families and children, often featuring toys. Specific market share data is not available. Competitors include Burger King Kids Meal, Wendy's Kids' Meals, and family restaurants offering children's menus.
- Product Name 4: Happy Meal
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
Arcos Dorados operates within the fast-food and quick-service restaurant (QSR) industry in Latin America. This industry is characterized by intense competition, evolving consumer preferences towards healthier options and digital ordering, and sensitivity to economic fluctuations and disposable income.
Positioning
Arcos Dorados holds a dominant position as the largest McDonald's franchisee in Latin America, benefiting from the strong global brand recognition of McDonald's. Its competitive advantages include established brand loyalty, extensive real estate footprint, efficient supply chain, and ability to localize its menu. However, it faces challenges from local competitors and changing consumer tastes.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for the fast-food industry in Latin America is substantial and growing, driven by urbanization, a growing middle class, and changing lifestyles. Arcos Dorados is significantly positioned within this TAM, as the largest operator of a global QSR brand in the region. However, it operates within a fragmented market with many local and international players.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition of McDonald's
- Extensive geographical presence across Latin America
- Established supply chain and operational efficiency
- Loyal customer base
- Ability to adapt menu to local tastes
Weaknesses
- Dependence on a single brand (McDonald's)
- Sensitivity to economic downturns in Latin American markets
- Challenges in adapting to evolving health and wellness trends
- Intense competition from local and international players
- Potential for higher operating costs due to diverse regulations
Opportunities
- Growth in digital ordering and delivery services
- Expansion into underserved markets within Latin America
- Introduction of healthier menu options
- Leveraging technology for enhanced customer experience
- Capitalizing on emerging market growth trends
Threats
- Increasing competition from local and regional fast-food chains
- Changing consumer preferences towards healthier or alternative dining options
- Economic instability and currency fluctuations in operating countries
- Regulatory changes related to food safety and labor
- Negative publicity or health concerns associated with fast food
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Burger King (Restaurant Brands International - RBI)
- McDonald's (though Arcos Dorados is the franchisee, direct competition from other McDonald's operators is not applicable in its territories)
- Local fast-food chains and emerging regional players
Competitive Landscape
Arcos Dorados' primary advantage lies in its exclusive operating rights for McDonald's in its territories and its vast network. However, it faces intense competition from global players like Burger King and a multitude of agile local chains that can sometimes adapt more quickly to local tastes and pricing sensitivities. Its disadvantage can be its scale, which might lead to slower decision-making compared to smaller, more nimble competitors.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Arcos Dorados has historically shown growth driven by expansion in its core markets, menu innovation, and operational improvements. Growth has been influenced by economic conditions in Latin America, but the company has demonstrated resilience.
Future Projections: Future growth projections are typically based on analyst estimates and the company's strategic plans. These projections often consider factors like market penetration, digital adoption, and expansion into new regions or store formats. Analysts might project a moderate single-digit growth rate in revenue and earnings.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have likely focused on digital transformation (delivery and mobile ordering), menu modernization, operational efficiency, and sustainability efforts to align with evolving consumer expectations and improve profitability.
Summary
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. is a dominant player in the Latin American QSR market, leveraging the strong McDonald's brand. Its extensive network and operational scale are significant strengths. However, the company faces challenges from evolving consumer preferences, economic volatility in its operating regions, and intense competition. Continued focus on digital innovation, menu diversification, and operational efficiency will be crucial for sustained growth and navigating future threats.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings (e.g., SEC filings)
- Financial news and analysis websites
- Market research reports (general QSR industry data)
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is generated based on publicly available information and general industry knowledge. It is not intended as financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2011-04-14 | CEO - | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Restaurants | Full time employees - | Website https://www.arcosdorados.com |
Full time employees - | Website https://www.arcosdorados.com | ||
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. operates as a franchisee of McDonald's restaurants. The company has the exclusive right to own, operate, and grant franchises of McDonald's restaurants in 20 countries and territories in Latin America and the Caribbean, including Argentina, Aruba, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Curacao, Ecuador, French Guiana, Guadeloupe, Martinique, Mexico, Panama, Peru, Puerto Rico, Trinidad and Tobago, Uruguay, the U.S. Virgin Islands of St. Croix and St. Thomas, and Venezuela. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Montevideo, Uruguay.

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