Astec Industries Inc logo

Astec Industries Inc(ASTE)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$38.46
10/27/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
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Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for ASTE

10/27/2026: ASTE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Astec Industries is a specialized manufacturer focused on equipment for the road building and aggregate processing industries. Its main strength lies in its deep technical expertise and a broad, diversified product portfolio. The primary growth story is tied to long-term government infrastructure funding and potential margin gains from operational streamlining. Investors face risks regarding the cyclicality of construction demand, intense competition from global industrial leaders, and potential supply chain pressures. The stock may best suit value-oriented investors who can tolerate industrial cyclicality, and stakeholders should monitor infrastructure policy updates as a key development indicator.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitGrowth is tied heavily to the cyclical nature of public infrastructure spending.
Momentum investorMixed fitStrong fit only if favorable infrastructure legislation acts as a tailwind.
Value investorStrong fitStock often trades at valuations that may interest value-oriented market participants.
Dividend investorMixed fitCompany pays a dividend but investors must weigh stability against cyclical earnings.
Low-risk investorWeak fitIndustrial cyclicality leads to price volatility unsuitable for conservative investors.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMedium / highConstruction cycles lead to frequent share price fluctuations.
Valuation riskMediumMarket pricing can swing based on infrastructure project outlooks.
Competition risk (Heavy Equipment)HighLarge incumbents like Caterpillar hold significant market dominance.
Business qualityMediumIntegration of diverse business units is essential for long-term health.
Dividend incomeMediumPayouts are generally stable but tied to cyclical profit performance.
Execution riskMedium / highOperational success depends on effective management of complex supply chains.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -54.74%
Avg. Invested days 31
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/27/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
ASTE receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
ASTE has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+802.3%) is partially offset by soft cash generation (FCF margin 1.5%), moderate revenue growth (+8.1%), soft profitability (net margin 2.8%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
ASTE's financial health is supported by solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 35.7%). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is ASTE's strongest growth driver at +802.3% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, free-cash-flow growth (+760.0%, strong) is also strong, while revenue growth (+8.1%, moderate) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 99.8% and approximately 98.6% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 1.19% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 15.10%
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. 6.29%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 5.96%
Gamco Investors, Inc. Et Al 4.68%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 4.42%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
ASTE generates approximately $265 of gross profit, $46 of operating income, and $15 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Weak margins explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and soft capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 26.93%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
ASTE has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

High VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 872.80M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 44.66
1Y Target Price 67.25
Price to earnings Ratio 44.66
1Y Target Price 67.25
Volume (30-day avg) 219.9K shares
Beta 1.33
52 Weeks Range 37.49 - 65.33
Updated Date 10/27/2026
52 Weeks Range 37.49 - 65.33
Updated Date 10/27/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 1.35%
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.85

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Infrastructure SolutionsRoad building equipment, asphalt pavers, and milling machinery.This is the primary revenue driver tied to road construction and paving projects.
Material SolutionsCrushing, screening, and material handling systems for mining and aggregate.This segment benefits from mineral extraction and large-scale material processing demand.
GeographyPrimary operations in North America with export reach.Domestic infrastructure legislation in the US is a key driver for regional sales.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 44.66
Forward PE 9.22
Enterprise Value 1.20B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.56
Enterprise Value 1.20B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.56
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.77
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.92
Shares Outstanding 22.99M
Shares Floating 22.66M
Shares Outstanding 22.99M
Shares Floating 22.66M
Percent Insiders 1.19
Percent Institutions 99.76

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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