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Caterpillar Inc(CAT)
Top performer 
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CAT
11/13/2026: CAT (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Caterpillar Inc is a global leader in the manufacturing of construction and mining equipment, diesel engines, and industrial turbines. The stock is a core industrial holding known for its durability, expansive dealer network, and long history of reliable dividend payments. While the company benefits from strong operating margins and market presence, its performance is highly sensitive to economic and commodity cycles. Key risks include intense competition and high exposure to global infrastructure and mining capital expenditures. Caterpillar is well-suited for value and dividend-oriented investors who can tolerate cyclicality and are monitoring infrastructure growth and energy transition progress as major long-term catalysts.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is largely cyclical rather than secular, limiting long-term high-growth appeal. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum follows broader industrial market cycles rather than consistent upward trends. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The company often trades at reasonable valuations relative to its long-term cash flow and brand strength. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | A long-standing history of increasing dividends makes it a reliable income play. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | While established, the stock remains sensitive to economic cycles and commodity volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | The stock price is sensitive to macroeconomic cycles and commodity price swings. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Cyclical peaks can lead to premium valuations that may compress during downturns. |
| Competition risk (Heavy Equipment) | Medium | Competition from Komatsu and Deere requires ongoing R&D and service investment. |
| Business quality | Strong | Caterpillar is a dominant, high-quality franchise with significant competitive moats. |
| Dividend income | Strong | Reliable payout history provides income safety for long-term holders. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Managing a vast global supply chain and dealer network involves constant operational complexity. |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 276.97B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 23.76 | 1Y Target Price 823.41 |
Price to earnings Ratio 23.76 | 1Y Target Price 823.41 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3.5M shares | Beta 1.64 | 52 Weeks Range 532.55 - 1068.93 | Updated Date 11/13/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 532.55 - 1068.93 | Updated Date 11/13/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.04% | Basic EPS (TTM) 25.48 |
Sector & Industry Intelligence
Sector
Industrials
Constructive- Sentiment
- Bullish
- Momentum
- BUY Breadth Improving
- BUY participation
- 39.5%
- Active BUY / eligible
- 30 / 76
- 30-Day BUY Count Change
- +12
- Market state
- Bullish
More qualifying stocks are receiving or maintaining BUY advisories, indicating improving market participation.
Industry
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
- BUY participation
- 50.0%
- Active BUY / eligible
- 1 / 2
- 30-Day BUY Count Change
- +1
Eligible universe: 2 stocks.
Sector signal summarizes BUY breadth conditions for the sector. It does not override this stock’s BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory.
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 147.16% | Avg. Invested days 65 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | Stock Returns Performance  5.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/13/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Construction Industries | Machinery for infrastructure and building; key revenue driver. | The backbone of the company's revenue; tracks global construction trends. |
| Resource Industries | Mining equipment and heavy machinery. | Highly profitable but volatile, tied to commodity demand. |
| Energy & Transportation | Engines, turbines, and rail equipment. | Provides stable revenue through long-term service contracts. |
| Geography | Global sales across North America, Latin America, EAME, and Asia Pacific. | Well-diversified, though regional economic health impacts short-term performance. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-10-29 | When Before Market | Estimate 6.95 | Actual 7.2 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 15.21% | Operating Margin (TTM) 18.76% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 9.09% | Return on Equity (TTM) 56.14% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 23.76 | Forward PE 18.8 | Enterprise Value 312.57B | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.56 |
Enterprise Value 312.57B | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.56 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.02 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.4 | Shares Outstanding 457.59M | Shares Floating 456.13M |
Shares Outstanding 457.59M | Shares Floating 456.13M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.22 | Percent Institutions 74.23 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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