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Algoma Steel Group Inc (ASTL)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/30/2025: ASTL (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $20
1 Year Target Price $20
0 | Strong Buy |
3 | Buy |
1 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 22.11% | Avg. Invested days 31 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 702.13M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 20 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 20 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4 | Beta 1.56 | 52 Weeks Range 4.14 - 11.89 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 4.14 - 11.89 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.00% | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.06 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -11.7% | Operating Margin (TTM) -24.85% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -3.52% | Return on Equity (TTM) -10.4% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 11.43 | Enterprise Value 1015805003 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.3 |
Enterprise Value 1015805003 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.3 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.56 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 100.44 | Shares Outstanding 104934000 | Shares Floating 76893391 |
Shares Outstanding 104934000 | Shares Floating 76893391 | ||
Percent Insiders 12.71 | Percent Institutions 75.5 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 2 | Target Price 20 | Buy 3 | Strong Buy - |
Buy 3 | Strong Buy - | ||
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Algoma Steel Group Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Algoma Steel Group Inc. has a history dating back to 1901 in Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario, Canada. It has undergone several ownership changes and restructurings, evolving into a modern integrated steel producer.
Core Business Areas
- Steel Production: Algoma Steel produces various steel products, including hot and cold rolled steel, plate, and steel tube and pipe.
- Cokemaking: The company operates coke ovens, essential for steelmaking.
- Ironmaking: Algoma Steel produces iron from raw materials.
- Steel Finishing: Processes include slitting, pickling, and cut-to-length lines for finishing steel products.
Leadership and Structure
Gregg J. Ruhl is the Chief Executive Officer. The organizational structure involves various departments overseeing production, sales, finance, and other key functions. Ownership has shifted through multiple private equity firms.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Hot Rolled Steel: Hot rolled steel is a key product. Market share information is not publicly and readily available. Competitors: U.S. Steel (X), Nucor (NUE), ArcelorMittal (MT).
- Cold Rolled Steel: Cold rolled steel offers a smoother surface and tighter tolerances. Market share information is not publicly and readily available. Competitors: U.S. Steel (X), Nucor (NUE), ArcelorMittal (MT).
- Plate Steel: Plate steel is used in infrastructure and manufacturing projects. Market share information is not publicly and readily available. Competitors: U.S. Steel (X), Nucor (NUE), ArcelorMittal (MT).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The steel industry is cyclical and influenced by economic growth, infrastructure spending, and global trade. It faces increasing pressure to reduce carbon emissions.
Positioning
Algoma Steel focuses on flat-rolled steel production and aims to be a low-cost producer in its regional market. Its electric arc furnace (EAF) transformation is a key competitive advantage.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global steel market is estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Algoma Steel's TAM is primarily in North America, with a focus on Canada and the US, and is positioned to capture more market share with its EAF transformation.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strategic location in North America
- Integrated steel production process
- EAF transformation initiative
- Experienced management team
Weaknesses
- Cyclical nature of the steel industry
- High capital expenditure requirements
- Dependence on raw material prices
- Exposure to trade policies
Opportunities
- Increased infrastructure spending in North America
- Growing demand for high-strength steel
- Expansion into new markets
- Government support for green steel initiatives
Threats
- Global economic slowdown
- Increased competition from imports
- Fluctuations in raw material prices
- Stringent environmental regulations
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- X
- NUE
- MT
Competitive Landscape
Algoma Steel's EAF transformation gives it a cost advantage. However, the larger competitors like U.S. Steel and Nucor have a broader product range and greater geographic diversification.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Algoma Steel's growth has been tied to the overall performance of the North American steel market. Recent efforts to improve cost structure and efficiency are important.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates suggest moderate growth as the company completes its EAF transition and benefits from infrastructure spending.
Recent Initiatives: The most significant initiative is the company's investment in an electric arc furnace, which is expected to lower costs and reduce emissions.
Summary
Algoma Steel is undertaking a major transition to EAF technology, positioning it for improved profitability and sustainability. Its strategic location in North America is a key asset, but the cyclical nature of the steel industry and competition from larger players remain challenges. Success will depend on the successful execution of its EAF project and navigating the evolving market dynamics. Investors should closely watch raw material prices and infrastructure spending trends.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Industry Reports
- Financial News Sources
- Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and represents a general overview. It is not financial advice, and investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Market share estimates are approximate and may vary.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Algoma Steel Group Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Sault Ste. Marie, ON, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-10-20 | CEO & Director Mr. Michael Dennis Garcia | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Steel | Full time employees 2818 | Website https://algoma.com |
Full time employees 2818 | Website https://algoma.com |
Algoma Steel Group Inc. produces and sells steel products in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company offers flat/sheet steel products, including temper rolling, cold rolled, hot-rolled pickled and oiled products, floor plate, and cut-to-length products for the automotive industry, hollow structural product manufacturers, and the light manufacturing and transportation industries; and plate steel products consisting of rolled, hot-rolled, and heat-treated for use in the construction or manufacture of railcars, buildings, bridges, off-highway equipment, storage tanks, ships, armored products for military applications, diameter pipelines, and wind energy generation equipment. It also provides by-products, such as furnace and buckwheat coke, braize coke, and flue dust; high sulpur beach and kish iron, BOF pit grissly and scrap, BOF and pellet fines, and mill roll scale; light oil and coal tar; granulated and air cooled slag; and machine shop turnings, used mill rolls, recycled oil, non-ferrous metal, and lime fines. The company was founded in 1901 and is headquartered in Sault Ste. Marie, Canada.
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