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Upturn AI SWOT - About
ASTL 
Algoma Steel Group Inc (ASTL)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/16/2025: ASTL (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Below Average Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.
Number of Analysts
4 Analysts rated it
Very few follow this stock; limited insights, higher-risk early investing.
1 Year Target Price $20
1 Year Target Price $20
| 0 | Strong Buy |
| 3 | Buy |
| 1 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 10.41% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 09/16/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 479.55M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 20 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 20 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4 | Beta 1.61 | 52 Weeks Range 4.14 - 11.89 | Updated Date 09/16/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 4.14 - 11.89 | Updated Date 09/16/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 9.32% | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.05 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -17.11% | Operating Margin (TTM) -15.96% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -3.52% | Return on Equity (TTM) -10.4% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 7.89 | Enterprise Value 887259238 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.21 |
Enterprise Value 887259238 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.21 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.49 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 88.96 | Shares Outstanding 104934000 | Shares Floating 77370840 |
Shares Outstanding 104934000 | Shares Floating 77370840 | ||
Percent Insiders 9 | Percent Institutions 79.89 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Algoma Steel Group Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Algoma Steel Group Inc. traces its roots back to 1901 with the establishment of Algoma Steel Works. It has undergone several ownership changes and restructurings, evolving into a major integrated steel producer in North America.
Core Business Areas
- Steel Production: Produces hot-rolled steel products, including sheet and plate, for various industries. The company operates an electric arc furnace (EAF).
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team consists of the CEO, CFO, and other key executives. Algoma Steel operates with a functional organizational structure, with departments such as operations, finance, and sales.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Hot-Rolled Steel Sheet: Hot-rolled steel sheet used in automotive, construction, and manufacturing. Algoma Steel competes with other integrated steel producers like US Steel (X) and Nucor (NUE) in this market segment. Specific market share data is difficult to ascertain precisely due to the dynamic nature of the steel industry and the lack of publicly available granular data.
- Hot-Rolled Steel Plate: Hot-rolled steel plate used in infrastructure, shipbuilding, and energy. Algoma Steel faces competition from Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) and other plate producers. Market share data is unavailable.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The steel industry is cyclical and influenced by factors such as economic growth, infrastructure spending, and international trade policies. There is a move to electric arc furnace steel production over traditional methods. Demand for steel is tied to the automotive, construction and energy sectors. It has a fluctuating demand and is price sensitive.
Positioning
Algoma Steel is positioned as a regional integrated steel producer with a focus on hot-rolled products. Its competitive advantages include its EAF technology and its location. Recent strategic initiatives around EAF conversion are aimed at boosting competitive advantage.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The North American steel market is estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Algoma Steel targets a portion of this market. Its TAM is primarily defined by its hot-rolled product offerings in this North American steel market.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- EAF Technology
- Strategic Location in North America
- Established Customer Base
- Production Capacity
Weaknesses
- Reliance on Hot-Rolled Products
- Exposure to Cyclical Demand
- Smaller Scale Compared to Global Giants
- Dependence on raw materials
Opportunities
- Infrastructure Spending in North America
- Expansion of EAF Capacity
- Increased Demand for High-Strength Steel
- Growing Automotive Sector
Threats
- Global Steel Overcapacity
- Fluctuations in Raw Material Prices
- Trade Restrictions and Tariffs
- Economic Downturns
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- United States Steel Corporation (X)
- Nucor Corporation (NUE)
- Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF)
Competitive Landscape
Algoma Steel faces competition from larger, more diversified steel producers. Its EAF conversion provides a competitive advantage in terms of cost and environmental impact. Algoma must be able to effectively manage costs to maintain competitiveness.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been affected by the cyclical nature of the steel industry and economic conditions. Algoma's EAF conversion provides a significant opportunity for improvement of production and costs.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates depend on market conditions, which are difficult to predict with accuracy. Growth is tied to demand, commodity pricing and conversion efficiencies.
Recent Initiatives: Algoma Steel's recent initiatives include the EAF conversion project, aimed at lowering production costs and reducing its environmental footprint. These projects aim to enhance production and reduce costs.
Summary
Algoma Steel is a regional North American steel producer undergoing a strategic EAF conversion. The company's success hinges on managing cyclical demand, raw material costs, and successfully executing its operational strategy. External threats include global overcapacity, trade restrictions, and economic downturns, making careful monitoring and planning essential. Its key strength lies in its EAF conversion and position within the regional market.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings
- Industry reports
- Analyst estimates
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions are constantly evolving. It is recommended to do your own research prior to making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Algoma Steel Group Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Sault Ste. Marie, ON, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-10-20 | CEO & Director Mr. Michael Dennis Garcia | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Steel | Full time employees 2818 | Website https://algoma.com |
Full time employees 2818 | Website https://algoma.com | ||
Algoma Steel Group Inc. produces and sells steel products in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company offers flat/sheet steel products, including temper rolling, cold rolled, hot-rolled pickled and oiled products, floor plate, and cut-to-length products for the automotive industry, hollow structural product manufacturers, and the light manufacturing and transportation industries; and plate steel products consisting of rolled, hot-rolled, and heat-treated for use in the construction or manufacture of railcars, buildings, bridges, off-highway equipment, storage tanks, ships, armored products for military applications, diameter pipelines, and wind energy generation equipment. It also provides by-products, such as furnace and buckwheat coke, braize coke, and flue dust; high sulpur beach and kish iron, BOF pit grissly and scrap, BOF and pellet fines, and mill roll scale; light oil and coal tar; granulated and air cooled slag; and machine shop turnings, used mill rolls, recycled oil, non-ferrous metal, and lime fines. The company was founded in 1901 and is headquartered in Sault Ste. Marie, Canada.
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