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ASTL
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating

Algoma Steel Group Inc (ASTL)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$6.89
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY10.77%
upturn advisory
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 12 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
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Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
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Time period over
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Upturn Advisory Summary

06/30/2025: ASTL (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

4 Analysts rated it

Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.

1 Year Target Price $20

1 Year Target Price $20

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$20Target price
Low$4.14
Current$6.89
high$11.89

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 22.11%
Avg. Invested days 31
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 06/30/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 702.13M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 20
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 20
Volume (30-day avg) 4
Beta 1.56
52 Weeks Range 4.14 - 11.89
Updated Date 06/29/2025
52 Weeks Range 4.14 - 11.89
Updated Date 06/29/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 3.00%
Basic EPS (TTM) -1.06

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -11.7%
Operating Margin (TTM) -24.85%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -3.52%
Return on Equity (TTM) -10.4%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 11.43
Enterprise Value 1015805003
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.3
Enterprise Value 1015805003
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.3
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.56
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 100.44
Shares Outstanding 104934000
Shares Floating 76893391
Shares Outstanding 104934000
Shares Floating 76893391
Percent Insiders 12.71
Percent Institutions 75.5

Analyst Ratings

Rating 2
Target Price 20
Buy 3
Strong Buy -
Buy 3
Strong Buy -
Hold 1
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Algoma Steel Group Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Algoma Steel Group Inc. has a history dating back to 1901 in Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario, Canada. It has undergone several ownership changes and restructurings, evolving into a modern integrated steel producer.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Steel Production: Algoma Steel produces various steel products, including hot and cold rolled steel, plate, and steel tube and pipe.
  • Cokemaking: The company operates coke ovens, essential for steelmaking.
  • Ironmaking: Algoma Steel produces iron from raw materials.
  • Steel Finishing: Processes include slitting, pickling, and cut-to-length lines for finishing steel products.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Gregg J. Ruhl is the Chief Executive Officer. The organizational structure involves various departments overseeing production, sales, finance, and other key functions. Ownership has shifted through multiple private equity firms.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Hot Rolled Steel: Hot rolled steel is a key product. Market share information is not publicly and readily available. Competitors: U.S. Steel (X), Nucor (NUE), ArcelorMittal (MT).
  • Cold Rolled Steel: Cold rolled steel offers a smoother surface and tighter tolerances. Market share information is not publicly and readily available. Competitors: U.S. Steel (X), Nucor (NUE), ArcelorMittal (MT).
  • Plate Steel: Plate steel is used in infrastructure and manufacturing projects. Market share information is not publicly and readily available. Competitors: U.S. Steel (X), Nucor (NUE), ArcelorMittal (MT).

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The steel industry is cyclical and influenced by economic growth, infrastructure spending, and global trade. It faces increasing pressure to reduce carbon emissions.

Positioning

Algoma Steel focuses on flat-rolled steel production and aims to be a low-cost producer in its regional market. Its electric arc furnace (EAF) transformation is a key competitive advantage.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global steel market is estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Algoma Steel's TAM is primarily in North America, with a focus on Canada and the US, and is positioned to capture more market share with its EAF transformation.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strategic location in North America
  • Integrated steel production process
  • EAF transformation initiative
  • Experienced management team

Weaknesses

  • Cyclical nature of the steel industry
  • High capital expenditure requirements
  • Dependence on raw material prices
  • Exposure to trade policies

Opportunities

  • Increased infrastructure spending in North America
  • Growing demand for high-strength steel
  • Expansion into new markets
  • Government support for green steel initiatives

Threats

  • Global economic slowdown
  • Increased competition from imports
  • Fluctuations in raw material prices
  • Stringent environmental regulations

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • X
  • NUE
  • MT

Competitive Landscape

Algoma Steel's EAF transformation gives it a cost advantage. However, the larger competitors like U.S. Steel and Nucor have a broader product range and greater geographic diversification.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Algoma Steel's growth has been tied to the overall performance of the North American steel market. Recent efforts to improve cost structure and efficiency are important.

Future Projections: Analyst estimates suggest moderate growth as the company completes its EAF transition and benefits from infrastructure spending.

Recent Initiatives: The most significant initiative is the company's investment in an electric arc furnace, which is expected to lower costs and reduce emissions.

Summary

Algoma Steel is undertaking a major transition to EAF technology, positioning it for improved profitability and sustainability. Its strategic location in North America is a key asset, but the cyclical nature of the steel industry and competition from larger players remain challenges. Success will depend on the successful execution of its EAF project and navigating the evolving market dynamics. Investors should closely watch raw material prices and infrastructure spending trends.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Filings
  • Industry Reports
  • Financial News Sources
  • Analyst Reports

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on publicly available information and represents a general overview. It is not financial advice, and investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Market share estimates are approximate and may vary.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Algoma Steel Group Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Sault Ste. Marie, ON, Canada
IPO Launch date 2021-10-20
CEO & Director Mr. Michael Dennis Garcia
Sector Basic Materials
Industry Steel
Full time employees 2818
Full time employees 2818

Algoma Steel Group Inc. produces and sells steel products in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company offers flat/sheet steel products, including temper rolling, cold rolled, hot-rolled pickled and oiled products, floor plate, and cut-to-length products for the automotive industry, hollow structural product manufacturers, and the light manufacturing and transportation industries; and plate steel products consisting of rolled, hot-rolled, and heat-treated for use in the construction or manufacture of railcars, buildings, bridges, off-highway equipment, storage tanks, ships, armored products for military applications, diameter pipelines, and wind energy generation equipment. It also provides by-products, such as furnace and buckwheat coke, braize coke, and flue dust; high sulpur beach and kish iron, BOF pit grissly and scrap, BOF and pellet fines, and mill roll scale; light oil and coal tar; granulated and air cooled slag; and machine shop turnings, used mill rolls, recycled oil, non-ferrous metal, and lime fines. The company was founded in 1901 and is headquartered in Sault Ste. Marie, Canada.