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ASTL logo ASTL
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
ASTL logo

Algoma Steel Group Inc (ASTL)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$5.08
Last Close (24-hour delay)
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

08/28/2025: ASTL (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

4 Analysts rated it

Very few follow this stock; limited insights, higher-risk early investing.

1 Year Target Price $20

1 Year Target Price $20

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$20 Target price
52w Low $4.14
Current$5.08
52w High $11.89

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 10.41%
Avg. Invested days 34
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 08/28/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 533.06M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 20
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 20
Volume (30-day avg) 4
Beta 1.62
52 Weeks Range 4.14 - 11.89
Updated Date 08/29/2025
52 Weeks Range 4.14 - 11.89
Updated Date 08/29/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 8.60%
Basic EPS (TTM) -1.05

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -17.11%
Operating Margin (TTM) -15.96%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -3.52%
Return on Equity (TTM) -10.4%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 8.79
Enterprise Value 942480055
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.23
Enterprise Value 942480055
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.23
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.52
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 94.13
Shares Outstanding 104934000
Shares Floating 77370840
Shares Outstanding 104934000
Shares Floating 77370840
Percent Insiders 9
Percent Institutions 80.26

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Algoma Steel Group Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Algoma Steel was founded in 1901 in Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario, Canada. Initially focused on railway production, it expanded into various steel products. It has undergone several ownership changes and restructuring throughout its history.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Steel Production: Manufactures and sells steel products, including hot-rolled steel sheets and plates.
  • Coke Production: Produces coke, a key input in the steelmaking process.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Gregg J. Ruhl serves as President and Chief Executive Officer. The company has a standard corporate structure with various departments reporting to executive leadership.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Hot-Rolled Steel: Algoma's primary product, used in automotive, construction, and energy sectors. Competitors include U.S. Steel, Nucor, and ArcelorMittal. Market share information is challenging to obtain with precision, but Algoma holds a significant regional market share in Canada.
  • Steel Plate: Used in shipbuilding, construction, and infrastructure projects. Competitors are the same as Hot-Rolled Steel. Market share information is challenging to obtain with precision, but Algoma holds a significant regional market share in Canada.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The steel industry is cyclical and heavily influenced by global economic conditions, infrastructure spending, and automotive production. Demand is currently moderate, with some inflationary pressures.

Positioning

Algoma is a regional steel producer focused on serving the Canadian market. Its competitive advantage lies in its integrated production process and strategic location.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for steel in North America is substantial, estimated to be hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Algoma captures a percentage of the Canadian steel market, positioning them as a smaller but significant player.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Integrated steelmaking operations
  • Strategic location in Canada
  • Strong regional market presence
  • Experienced workforce

Weaknesses

  • Limited geographic diversification
  • Exposure to cyclical steel prices
  • Higher carbon emissions compared to electric arc furnace steelmakers

Opportunities

  • Increased infrastructure spending in Canada
  • Growing demand for high-strength steel
  • Adoption of green steel technologies

Threats

  • Global economic downturn
  • Increased competition from low-cost producers
  • Rising raw material costs
  • Trade barriers and tariffs

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • NUE
  • X
  • MT

Competitive Landscape

Algoma Steel is competing with larger US-based steel producers and global players. They're modernizing and improving their cost structure while focusing on the Canadian market.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Data is not accessible at this time.

Future Projections: Future Projections are not available.

Recent Initiatives: Transition to electric arc furnace (EAF) steelmaking to reduce carbon emissions.

Summary

Algoma Steel is a regional player modernizing their operations. Their focus on Canadian infrastructure projects and green steel initiatives positions them for growth. They face challenges related to cyclical steel prices and competition from larger producers and must navigate these hurdles carefully. Transition to EAF and expansion into new sectors are keys to sustain their success

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Website
  • Analyst Reports
  • Industry Publications
  • Google Finance

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on limited publicly available information and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Algoma Steel Group Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Sault Ste. Marie, ON, Canada
IPO Launch date 2021-10-20
CEO & Director Mr. Michael Dennis Garcia
Sector Basic Materials
Industry Steel
Full time employees 2818
Full time employees 2818

Algoma Steel Group Inc. produces and sells steel products in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company offers flat/sheet steel products, including temper rolling, cold rolled, hot-rolled pickled and oiled products, floor plate, and cut-to-length products for the automotive industry, hollow structural product manufacturers, and the light manufacturing and transportation industries; and plate steel products consisting of rolled, hot-rolled, and heat-treated for use in the construction or manufacture of railcars, buildings, bridges, off-highway equipment, storage tanks, ships, armored products for military applications, diameter pipelines, and wind energy generation equipment. It also provides by-products, such as furnace and buckwheat coke, braize coke, and flue dust; high sulpur beach and kish iron, BOF pit grissly and scrap, BOF and pellet fines, and mill roll scale; light oil and coal tar; granulated and air cooled slag; and machine shop turnings, used mill rolls, recycled oil, non-ferrous metal, and lime fines. The company was founded in 1901 and is headquartered in Sault Ste. Marie, Canada.