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Algoma Steel Group Inc (ASTL)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/28/2025: ASTL (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $20
1 Year Target Price $20
0 | Strong Buy |
3 | Buy |
1 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 10.41% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 533.06M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 20 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 20 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4 | Beta 1.62 | 52 Weeks Range 4.14 - 11.89 | Updated Date 08/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 4.14 - 11.89 | Updated Date 08/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 8.60% | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.05 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -17.11% | Operating Margin (TTM) -15.96% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -3.52% | Return on Equity (TTM) -10.4% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 8.79 | Enterprise Value 942480055 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.23 |
Enterprise Value 942480055 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.23 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.52 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 94.13 | Shares Outstanding 104934000 | Shares Floating 77370840 |
Shares Outstanding 104934000 | Shares Floating 77370840 | ||
Percent Insiders 9 | Percent Institutions 80.26 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Algoma Steel Group Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Algoma Steel was founded in 1901 in Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario, Canada. Initially focused on railway production, it expanded into various steel products. It has undergone several ownership changes and restructuring throughout its history.
Core Business Areas
- Steel Production: Manufactures and sells steel products, including hot-rolled steel sheets and plates.
- Coke Production: Produces coke, a key input in the steelmaking process.
Leadership and Structure
Gregg J. Ruhl serves as President and Chief Executive Officer. The company has a standard corporate structure with various departments reporting to executive leadership.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Hot-Rolled Steel: Algoma's primary product, used in automotive, construction, and energy sectors. Competitors include U.S. Steel, Nucor, and ArcelorMittal. Market share information is challenging to obtain with precision, but Algoma holds a significant regional market share in Canada.
- Steel Plate: Used in shipbuilding, construction, and infrastructure projects. Competitors are the same as Hot-Rolled Steel. Market share information is challenging to obtain with precision, but Algoma holds a significant regional market share in Canada.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The steel industry is cyclical and heavily influenced by global economic conditions, infrastructure spending, and automotive production. Demand is currently moderate, with some inflationary pressures.
Positioning
Algoma is a regional steel producer focused on serving the Canadian market. Its competitive advantage lies in its integrated production process and strategic location.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for steel in North America is substantial, estimated to be hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Algoma captures a percentage of the Canadian steel market, positioning them as a smaller but significant player.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Integrated steelmaking operations
- Strategic location in Canada
- Strong regional market presence
- Experienced workforce
Weaknesses
- Limited geographic diversification
- Exposure to cyclical steel prices
- Higher carbon emissions compared to electric arc furnace steelmakers
Opportunities
- Increased infrastructure spending in Canada
- Growing demand for high-strength steel
- Adoption of green steel technologies
Threats
- Global economic downturn
- Increased competition from low-cost producers
- Rising raw material costs
- Trade barriers and tariffs
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- NUE
- X
- MT
Competitive Landscape
Algoma Steel is competing with larger US-based steel producers and global players. They're modernizing and improving their cost structure while focusing on the Canadian market.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Data is not accessible at this time.
Future Projections: Future Projections are not available.
Recent Initiatives: Transition to electric arc furnace (EAF) steelmaking to reduce carbon emissions.
Summary
Algoma Steel is a regional player modernizing their operations. Their focus on Canadian infrastructure projects and green steel initiatives positions them for growth. They face challenges related to cyclical steel prices and competition from larger producers and must navigate these hurdles carefully. Transition to EAF and expansion into new sectors are keys to sustain their success
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Website
- Analyst Reports
- Industry Publications
- Google Finance
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on limited publicly available information and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Algoma Steel Group Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Sault Ste. Marie, ON, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-10-20 | CEO & Director Mr. Michael Dennis Garcia | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Steel | Full time employees 2818 | Website https://algoma.com |
Full time employees 2818 | Website https://algoma.com |
Algoma Steel Group Inc. produces and sells steel products in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company offers flat/sheet steel products, including temper rolling, cold rolled, hot-rolled pickled and oiled products, floor plate, and cut-to-length products for the automotive industry, hollow structural product manufacturers, and the light manufacturing and transportation industries; and plate steel products consisting of rolled, hot-rolled, and heat-treated for use in the construction or manufacture of railcars, buildings, bridges, off-highway equipment, storage tanks, ships, armored products for military applications, diameter pipelines, and wind energy generation equipment. It also provides by-products, such as furnace and buckwheat coke, braize coke, and flue dust; high sulpur beach and kish iron, BOF pit grissly and scrap, BOF and pellet fines, and mill roll scale; light oil and coal tar; granulated and air cooled slag; and machine shop turnings, used mill rolls, recycled oil, non-ferrous metal, and lime fines. The company was founded in 1901 and is headquartered in Sault Ste. Marie, Canada.

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