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ASTL 
Algoma Steel Group Inc (ASTL)
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Stock price based on last close (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/04/2025: ASTL (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Below Average Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.
Number of Analysts
4 Analysts rated it
Very few follow this stock; limited insights, higher-risk early investing.
1 Year Target Price $20
1 Year Target Price $20
| 0 | Strong Buy |
| 3 | Buy |
| 1 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 10.41% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/04/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 442.44M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 20 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 20 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4 | Beta 1.56 | 52 Weeks Range 3.02 - 11.89 | Updated Date 11/4/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 3.02 - 11.89 | Updated Date 11/4/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 10.24% | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.03 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-10-28 | When After Market | Estimate -0.91 | Actual -1.139 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -34.79% | Operating Margin (TTM) -26.86% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -3.52% | Return on Equity (TTM) -10.4% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 9.12 | Enterprise Value 742106319 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.2 |
Enterprise Value 742106319 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.2 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.42 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 74.97 | Shares Outstanding 104933802 | Shares Floating 79370878 |
Shares Outstanding 104933802 | Shares Floating 79370878 | ||
Percent Insiders 7.09 | Percent Institutions 77.37 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Algoma Steel Group Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Algoma Steel Group Inc. traces its roots back to 1901 with the establishment of Algoma Steel Works. Over the years, it has evolved through various ownership structures and expansions, becoming a key integrated steel producer in North America.
Core Business Areas
- Steel Production: Produces hot and cold rolled steel sheet and plate products.
- Coke Production: Produces coke, a key input for the steelmaking process.
- Iron Ore: Purchases Iron Ore for use in steel production
Leadership and Structure
The company is led by a CEO and a senior management team. Its organizational structure includes departments for operations, finance, sales, and marketing.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Cold Rolled Steel: Used in automotive, construction, and appliance sectors. Algoma Steel competes with US Steel (X), Nucor (NUE), and Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF).
- Hot Rolled Steel: Used in automotive, construction, and energy sectors. Algoma Steel competes with US Steel (X), Nucor (NUE), and Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF).
- Steel Plate: Steel Plate is used in the energy, mining and construction sectors. Algoma Steel competes with US Steel (X), Nucor (NUE), and Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The steel industry is cyclical and influenced by factors such as global economic growth, infrastructure spending, and trade policies.
Positioning
Algoma Steel is a key integrated steel producer in North America. It can leverage its location, cost position, and established customer relationships. The company is making improvements in technology to improve efficiency and production volumes.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for steel in North America is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Algoma Steel captures a segment of this market through its product offerings and regional presence.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Integrated production facility
- Established customer base
- Strategic location
- Improving use of Technology
- Cost-competitive operations
Weaknesses
- Dependence on raw material prices
- Cyclical industry fluctuations
- Legacy pension and benefit obligations
- Geographic concentration
Opportunities
- Infrastructure spending increases
- Growing demand in automotive and energy sectors
- Technological upgrades to improve efficiency
- Expansion into new markets
Threats
- Global economic slowdown
- Increased competition from imports
- Rising raw material costs
- Environmental regulations
- Trade barriers
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- X
- NUE
- CLF
Competitive Landscape
Algoma Steel competes with larger steel producers and faces competition from imports. Its competitive advantage lies in its integrated operations and cost structure, but it also faces challenges related to cyclical industry fluctuations and raw material prices.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth would require real-time data which cannot be reliably provided here.
Future Projections: Future projections would require real-time data which cannot be reliably provided here.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investment in electric arc furnace (EAF) technology and operational improvements.
Summary
Algoma Steel is a key integrated steel producer in North America, making investments to improve their use of technology. It benefits from an established customer base and strategically located facilities. The company faces challenges related to cyclical industry dynamics and reliance on raw material prices, and increased global competition. Recent initiatives focused on technology upgrades and market expansion may improve its competitive positioning.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings
- Industry reports
- Analyst estimates
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Algoma Steel Group Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Sault Ste. Marie, ON, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-10-20 | CEO & Director Mr. Michael Dennis Garcia | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Steel | Full time employees 2818 | Website https://algoma.com |
Full time employees 2818 | Website https://algoma.com | ||
Algoma Steel Group Inc. produces and sells steel products in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company offers flat/sheet steel products, including temper rolling, cold rolled, hot-rolled pickled and oiled products, floor plate, and cut-to-length products for the automotive industry, hollow structural product manufacturers, and the light manufacturing and transportation industries; and plate steel products consisting of rolled, hot-rolled, and heat-treated for use in the construction or manufacture of railcars, buildings, bridges, off-highway equipment, storage tanks, ships, armored products for military applications, diameter pipelines, and wind energy generation equipment. It also provides by-products, such as furnace and buckwheat coke, braize coke, and flue dust; high sulpur beach and kish iron, BOF pit grissly and scrap, BOF and pellet fines, and mill roll scale; light oil and coal tar; granulated and air cooled slag; and machine shop turnings, used mill rolls, recycled oil, non-ferrous metal, and lime fines. The company was founded in 1901 and is headquartered in Sault Ste. Marie, Canada.
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