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ASTL 
Algoma Steel Group Inc (ASTL)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/04/2025: ASTL (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Below Average Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.
Number of Analysts
4 Analysts rated it
Very few follow this stock; limited insights, higher-risk early investing.
1 Year Target Price $20
1 Year Target Price $20
| 0 | Strong Buy |
| 3 | Buy |
| 1 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 10.41% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 12/04/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 412.09M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 20 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 20 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4 | Beta 1.56 | 52 Weeks Range 3.02 - 10.55 | Updated Date 11/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 3.02 - 10.55 | Updated Date 11/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 10.89% | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.03 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -34.79% | Operating Margin (TTM) -26.86% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -3.52% | Return on Equity (TTM) -10.4% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 6.77 | Enterprise Value 953746218 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.2 |
Enterprise Value 953746218 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.2 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.54 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 96.56 | Shares Outstanding 104933802 | Shares Floating 74947919 |
Shares Outstanding 104933802 | Shares Floating 74947919 | ||
Percent Insiders 7.09 | Percent Institutions 79.98 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Algoma Steel Group Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Algoma Steel Group Inc. has a long history dating back to the early 20th century. Founded in 1901 in Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario, Canada, it initially focused on rail production. Over the years, it has evolved into a major integrated steel producer, undergoing several ownership changes and modernizations.
Core Business Areas
- Steel Production: Produces hot and cold rolled steel sheet and plate products.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team consists of a CEO, CFO, and other key executives. The organizational structure typically includes departments for operations, finance, sales, and marketing, reflecting a standard corporate hierarchy.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Hot Rolled Steel: Used in automotive, construction, and manufacturing. Competitors include U.S. Steel (X) and Nucor (NUE). Revenue details not publicly broken down by product.
- Cold Rolled Steel: Used in appliances, furniture and other consumer products. Competitors include Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) and ArcelorMittal (MT).
- Steel Plate: Used in various heavy machinery and fabrication applications. Market share data is not readily available.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The steel industry is cyclical and influenced by economic conditions, infrastructure spending, and automotive production. It is also increasingly impacted by environmental regulations and the push for sustainable steelmaking.
Positioning
Algoma Steel is a major integrated steel producer in Canada. Their competitive advantage comes from its location and its access to raw materials and transportation infrastructure. They are currently converting to electric arc furnace steelmaking.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global steel market is valued in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Algoma's TAM is primarily within North America, competing with many of the same steel suppliers in the US.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Integrated Steel Producer
- Strategic Location
- Established Customer Base
- Modernization Efforts (EAF)
- Skilled Workforce
Weaknesses
- Cyclical Industry
- High Capital Costs
- Exposure to Commodity Price Fluctuations
- Legacy Pension Liabilities
Opportunities
- Infrastructure Spending
- Automotive Demand
- Sustainable Steel Production
- Potential for Expansion
Threats
- Economic Downturns
- Import Competition
- Environmental Regulations
- Rising Raw Material Costs
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- U.S. Steel (X)
- Nucor (NUE)
- Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF)
Competitive Landscape
Algoma competes primarily within the North American market. While the total market share of ASTL is much smaller than other North American steel companies, they have their advantages and are looking to implement improvements to increase their TAM.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been influenced by market cycles and strategic initiatives.
Future Projections: Analysts project moderate growth driven by infrastructure projects and automotive demand.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include the electric arc furnace project and operational improvements.
Summary
Algoma Steel is a Canadian integrated steel producer undergoing a significant transition to electric arc furnace technology. This investment aims to improve efficiency and reduce its environmental footprint. However, the company remains vulnerable to the cyclical nature of the steel industry and fluctuating raw material prices. The success of their modernization efforts will be crucial for their future growth and competitiveness.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Industry Reports
- Financial News Outlets
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions are very volatile and subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Algoma Steel Group Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Sault Ste. Marie, ON, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-10-20 | CEO & Director Mr. Michael Dennis Garcia | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Steel | Full time employees 2818 | Website https://algoma.com |
Full time employees 2818 | Website https://algoma.com | ||
Algoma Steel Group Inc. produces and sells steel products in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company offers flat/sheet steel products, including temper rolling, cold rolled, hot-rolled pickled and oiled products, floor plate, and cut-to-length products for the automotive industry, hollow structural product manufacturers, and the light manufacturing and transportation industries; and plate steel products consisting of rolled, hot-rolled, and heat-treated for use in the construction or manufacture of railcars, buildings, bridges, off-highway equipment, storage tanks, ships, armored products for military applications, diameter pipelines, and wind energy generation equipment. It also provides by-products, such as furnace and buckwheat coke, braize coke, and flue dust; high sulpur beach and kish iron, BOF pit grissly and scrap, BOF and pellet fines, and mill roll scale; light oil and coal tar; granulated and air cooled slag; and machine shop turnings, used mill rolls, recycled oil, non-ferrous metal, and lime fines. The company was founded in 1901 and is headquartered in Sault Ste. Marie, Canada.
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