Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc logo

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc(AUPH)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
3-STAR RATING
STRONG BUY
BUY for 5 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
+0.17% ▲
LAST CLOSE
$17.36
10/28/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for AUPH

10/28/2026: AUPH (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY for 5 days. Simulated Profits (0.17%). Updated daily EoD!

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals is a commercial-stage biotechnology company primarily recognized for its flagship product, LUPKYNIS, which is used to treat lupus nephritis. The company's main strength lies in having successfully achieved FDA approval and launched this targeted therapy, which has established a presence in the autoimmune market. Its growth trajectory depends on expanding market adoption and potential new indications for its core asset. However, the company faces significant risks from its single-product reliance, intense competition from large-cap pharmaceutical firms, and the ongoing need to scale commercial operations efficiently. This stock may suit growth-oriented investors, though it carries high risk and no dividend.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company offers growth potential through LUPKYNIS but is subject to the inherent risks of a single-product reliance.
Momentum investorWeak fitMomentum is conditional on positive clinical data or commercial milestones which are not guaranteed.
Value investorWeak fitBiotech valuations are driven by pipeline potential and commercial execution rather than traditional value metrics.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not pay a dividend and focuses on reinvesting cash.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe stock carries high volatility typical of clinical-stage and emerging commercial-stage biotech companies.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock price is highly sensitive to regulatory news, clinical data, and commercial sales updates.
Valuation riskMedium / highFuture growth expectations are already factored into market pricing, creating downside risk if milestones are missed.
Competition riskHighLarge competitors with established market positions for autoimmune treatments pose a constant threat to LUPKYNIS.
Business qualityMediumWhile the commercial approval of LUPKYNIS is a strong point, the company lacks the operational diversity of large-cap peers.
Dividend incomeLow / noneThere is no dividend income for investors.
Execution riskMedium / highScaling commercial operations and managing market adoption require consistent, high-level execution.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 17.73%
Avg. Invested days 36
Today’s Advisory Strong Buy
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/28/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
AUPH receives a 4-star rating, supported by strong unit economics, strong company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum, and limited analyst upside.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
AUPH has strong overall fundamentals (5 stars), with solid financial health, strong growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+4893.1%) supports the fundamentals score.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
AUPH's financial health is supported by strong liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 53.0%). Operating efficiency is solid (4 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is AUPH's strongest growth driver at +4893.1% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). Revenue growth (+20.4%, solid) and free-cash-flow growth (+207.0%, strong) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 60.7% and approximately 97.1% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 6.79% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

TANG CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 9.80%
BlackRock Inc 6.16%
The Goldman Sachs Group Inc 4.22%
NEA Management Company, LLC 2.98%
Two Sigma Investments LLC 2.61%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
AUPH generates approximately $885 of gross profit, $371 of operating income, and $478 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong margins, cash conversion, and capital efficiency support the rating.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: -151.59% (Tax Credit)

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
AUPH has a high-quality, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while elevated volatility.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltHigh VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 2.30B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 7.57
1Y Target Price 18
Price to earnings Ratio 7.57
1Y Target Price 18
Volume (30-day avg) 796.1K shares
Beta 1.61
52 Weeks Range 11.96 - 19.25
Updated Date 10/28/2026
52 Weeks Range 11.96 - 19.25
Updated Date 10/28/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.28

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Product SalesRevenue generated from the commercial sale of LUPKYNIS.The company's money comes primarily from selling its main drug for lupus nephritis.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-11-03
When -
Estimate 0.2
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 100.84%
Operating Margin (TTM) 55.69%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 15.49%
Return on Equity (TTM) 66.12%

Valuation

Trailing PE 7.57
Forward PE 11.85
Enterprise Value 1.92B
Price to Sales(TTM) 7.37
Enterprise Value 1.92B
Price to Sales(TTM) 7.37
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.06
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.26
Shares Outstanding 133.05M
Shares Floating 129.22M
Shares Outstanding 133.05M
Shares Floating 129.22M
Percent Insiders 6.79
Percent Institutions 60.69

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.