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Upturn AI Summary - About
AeroVironment Inc(AVAV)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for AVAV
09/28/2026: AVAV (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
AeroVironment is a focused aerospace and defense company recognized for its leadership in small unmanned aircraft systems and loitering munitions. The company's strengths lie in its long-standing relationship with defense agencies and its ability to provide battle-proven, mission-critical hardware. Its primary growth story revolves around the global shift toward autonomous warfare and the expansion of its high-tech product portfolio. Investors must navigate risks such as dependence on defense budget cycles, regulatory export hurdles, and increasing competition from larger, well-resourced defense primes. This stock may suit growth-oriented investors seeking exposure to the modern defense sector, though volatility is high and income-seeking investors will find little appeal.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | AeroVironment operates in a high-growth sector with consistent demand for its autonomous defense systems. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock often reacts strongly to major contract awards and changes in geopolitical defense spending. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuations are often high due to growth expectations, which may not align with traditional value metrics. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay a dividend, focusing its capital on growth. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High volatility associated with defense procurement and geopolitical outcomes makes it unsuitable for low-risk portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock can swing significantly based on geopolitical developments and contract announcements. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | Growth expectations are priced in, meaning any missed earnings could result in price corrections. |
| Competition risk (Defense Prime competition) | Medium | Large defense contractors can pivot resources to compete in the small UAS space. |
| Business quality | Strong | The company has a long track record of providing critical, battle-tested mission hardware. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Investors should not expect income generation from this stock. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Scaling production to meet large defense orders requires complex supply chain management. |
Price Behavior
Steep Decline
The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.
Highly Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent, large price swings that make its near-term movement less predictable.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 42.57% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 09/28/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 7.73B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 219.35 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 219.35 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.9M shares | Beta 1.41 | 52 Weeks Range 135.20 - 417.86 | Updated Date 09/27/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 135.20 - 417.86 | Updated Date 09/27/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -4.06 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Unmanned Aircraft Systems | Small tactical drones (Puma, Raven) used for ISR missions. | The company sells hardware that acts as the 'eyes in the sky' for modern military units. |
| Loitering Munitions | Switchblade systems designed for precision strikes. | This is a high-growth segment involving specialized strike assets for modern battlefield effectiveness. |
| Geography | Majority of revenue is derived from U.S. government agencies and allied foreign militaries. | Revenue is heavily tied to global defense budgets and geopolitical security needs. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-09-09 | When After Market | Estimate 0.22 | Actual 0.59 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -10.13% | Operating Margin (TTM) -2.27% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -0.13% | Return on Equity (TTM) -4.6% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 55.25 | Enterprise Value 8.20B | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.86 |
Enterprise Value 8.20B | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.86 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.09 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 69.62 | Shares Outstanding 50.82M | Shares Floating 38.07M |
Shares Outstanding 50.82M | Shares Floating 38.07M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.91 | Percent Institutions 88 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
About AeroVironment Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquarters Arlington, VA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2007-01-23 | Chairman of the Board, President & CEO Mr. Wahid Nawabi | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Aerospace & Defense | Full time employees 3991 | Website https://www.avinc.com |
Full time employees 3991 | Website https://www.avinc.com | ||
AeroVironment, Inc., a defense technology provider, designs, develops, produces, delivers, and supports a portfolio of robotic systems and related services for government agencies and businesses in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Autonomous Systems; and Space, Cyber and Directed Energy. The company provides uncrewed aircraft systems (UAS), which include small and medium UAS, and kinesis command and control software; and counter-UAS and precision strike, a loitering munitions solution that deliver actionable intelligence and precision firepower modern warfighters, including precision strike, radio frequency and kinetic C-UAS, and electronic warfare systems. It also offers autonomy, AI, and platform technologies; unmanned maritime; and uncrewed ground systems. The company provides digital beamforming technology, a multi-band/beam software defined antenna tile that allows simultaneous communication with multiple satellites; laser communications, a data transmission systems for space operations; space-qualified hardware for line of sight stabilization and control electronics in low, medium, and geostationary earth orbit, as well as cislunar orbits; phased array antenna technology to supports hypersonic telemetry and tracking, and other missile testing; and directed energy solution. It also offers cyber solutions for national security and defense operations. AeroVironment, Inc. was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia.
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