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AeroVironment Inc(AVAV)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for AVAV
09/15/2026: AVAV (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
AeroVironment Inc is a defense-focused manufacturer specialized in tactical unmanned aircraft and loitering munitions. The company holds a leading position in the man-portable drone market, with battle-tested products that are increasingly critical to modern military operations. Its primary growth story involves capitalizing on global defense modernization and the shift toward autonomous, precision warfare. Risks include heavy reliance on government contract cycles and the potential for increased competition from low-cost drone manufacturers. The stock may best suit growth-oriented investors who monitor global geopolitical developments and U.S. defense procurement trends closely. It currently does not pay a dividend, focusing its capital on expanding its technical and manufacturing capacity.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | AeroVironment benefits from strong structural demand in the defense sector for autonomous and unmanned systems. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock often exhibits strong price trends following significant government contract announcements or heightened geopolitical tension. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | The stock often trades at a high valuation premium reflecting its growth prospects rather than traditional value metrics. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | AeroVironment does not pay dividends and prioritizes capital reinvestment. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Defense-sector volatility and contract dependency make this a high-beta, growth-oriented stock. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock is highly sensitive to defense spending news, geopolitical headlines, and contract announcements. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | High P/E ratios require the company to deliver consistent growth to justify its current market valuation. |
| Competition risk (drone manufacturing) | Medium | New entrants and larger defense primes are increasingly targeting the tactical UAS space. |
| Business quality | Medium | The business relies heavily on specific government contracts rather than recurring consumer or diversified commercial revenue. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | The company does not provide income through dividends for shareholders. |
| Execution risk | Medium | The company must maintain a complex supply chain and hit delivery timelines for critical defense projects. |
Price Behavior
Steep Decline
The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.
Highly Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent, large price swings that make its near-term movement less predictable.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 42.57% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 09/15/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 7.80B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 224.4 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 224.4 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.9M shares | Beta 1.41 | 52 Weeks Range 135.20 - 417.86 | Updated Date 09/14/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 135.20 - 417.86 | Updated Date 09/14/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -4.06 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| UAS Segment | Includes the sale of Raven, Puma, and Wasp drone systems along with related training and maintenance services. | The company makes money by providing portable, eye-in-the-sky technology that is essential for modern military reconnaissance. |
| Loitering Munition Systems | Includes the sale of the Switchblade series and associated munitions for precision strike operations. | Revenue is driven by government demand for 'smart' munitions that minimize collateral damage in combat. |
| Geography (International) | Export sales of various UAS platforms to allied nations and global defense partners. | International expansion provides a critical growth lever beyond the U.S. domestic defense budget. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-09-09 | When After Market | Estimate 0.22 | Actual 0.59 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -10.13% | Operating Margin (TTM) -2.27% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -0.13% | Return on Equity (TTM) -4.6% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 51.81 | Enterprise Value 7.73B | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.89 |
Enterprise Value 7.73B | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.89 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.86 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 69.62 | Shares Outstanding 50.82M | Shares Floating 38.07M |
Shares Outstanding 50.82M | Shares Floating 38.07M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.9 | Percent Institutions 88.01 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
About AeroVironment Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquarters Arlington, VA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2007-01-23 | Chairman of the Board, President & CEO Mr. Wahid Nawabi | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Aerospace & Defense | Full time employees 3991 | Website https://www.avinc.com |
Full time employees 3991 | Website https://www.avinc.com | ||
AeroVironment, Inc., a defense technology provider, designs, develops, produces, delivers, and supports a portfolio of robotic systems and related services for government agencies and businesses in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Autonomous Systems; and Space, Cyber and Directed Energy. The company provides uncrewed aircraft systems (UAS), which include small and medium UAS, and kinesis command and control software; and counter-UAS and precision strike, a loitering munitions solution that deliver actionable intelligence and precision firepower modern warfighters, including precision strike, radio frequency and kinetic C-UAS, and electronic warfare systems. It also offers autonomy, AI, and platform technologies; unmanned maritime; and uncrewed ground systems. The company provides digital beamforming technology, a multi-band/beam software defined antenna tile that allows simultaneous communication with multiple satellites; laser communications, a data transmission systems for space operations; space-qualified hardware for line of sight stabilization and control electronics in low, medium, and geostationary earth orbit, as well as cislunar orbits; phased array antenna technology to supports hypersonic telemetry and tracking, and other missile testing; and directed energy solution. It also offers cyber solutions for national security and defense operations. AeroVironment, Inc. was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia.
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