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Axsome Therapeutics Inc (AXSM)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/08/2026: AXSM (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $196.49
1 Year Target Price $196.49
| 14 | Strong Buy |
| 5 | Buy |
| 0 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -4.34% | Avg. Invested days 31 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 8.60B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 196.49 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 196.49 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 19 | Beta 0.43 | 52 Weeks Range 79.19 - 184.40 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 79.19 - 184.40 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -4.68 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -40.9% | Operating Margin (TTM) -19.25% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -19.79% | Return on Equity (TTM) -275.5% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 294.12 | Enterprise Value 8498257521 | Price to Sales(TTM) 15.33 |
Enterprise Value 8498257521 | Price to Sales(TTM) 15.33 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 15.14 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -14.81 | Shares Outstanding 50412640 | Shares Floating 42498360 |
Shares Outstanding 50412640 | Shares Floating 42498360 | ||
Percent Insiders 15.7 | Percent Institutions 76.64 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Axsome Therapeutics Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Axsome Therapeutics Inc. was founded in 2012 with the mission to develop and deliver novel therapeutics for central nervous system (CNS) disorders. The company has advanced through clinical development stages, achieving significant regulatory milestones. Key milestones include the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approval of its first product, Auvelity (dextromethorphan HBr-bupropion HBr) extended-release tablets, in August 2022 for the treatment of major depressive disorder (MDD). The company's evolution has been marked by strategic clinical trial designs and a focus on unmet needs in neurological and psychiatric conditions.
Core Business Areas
- CNS Therapeutics Development: Axsome Therapeutics is focused on developing novel pharmaceutical products for the management of CNS disorders. This includes the identification, clinical development, and eventual commercialization of these therapies.
Leadership and Structure
Axsome Therapeutics is led by a management team with extensive experience in the pharmaceutical industry, particularly in CNS drug development and commercialization. Key leadership roles include Chief Executive Officer, Chief Medical Officer, Chief Financial Officer, and various heads of research and development, commercial operations, and regulatory affairs. The company operates with a relatively lean structure, common for emerging biopharmaceutical companies, focusing on efficient execution of its development and commercialization strategies.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Auvelity (dextromethorphan HBr-bupropion HBr) extended-release tablets: Approved by the FDA in August 2022 for the treatment of major depressive disorder (MDD). Auvelity is a novel oral medication that works through a dual mechanism of action. It is Axsome's first commercialized product. The market for MDD treatments is substantial and competitive, with numerous antidepressants available. Competitors include companies offering SSRIs, SNRIs, and other novel mechanisms of action, such as newer antidepressants and augmentation therapies. Specific market share data for Auvelity is emerging as it gains commercial traction, but it aims to capture a significant portion of the MDD market, particularly for treatment-resistant depression.
- AXS-07 (esketamine): A novel oral molecule for the acute treatment of migraine. Axsome has reported positive Phase 3 trial results and is advancing this product. The migraine market is large and competitive, with treatments including triptans, CGRP inhibitors (oral and injectable), and other acute therapies. Key competitors include companies like AbbVie (Ubrelvy, Qulipta), Biohaven Pharmaceuticals (Nurtec ODT), and Eli Lilly (Emgality). Axsome aims to offer a differentiated oral option with rapid onset of action.
- AXS-05 (dextromethorphan HBr-bupropion HBr) for agitation associated with Alzheimer's disease: Axsome has advanced AXS-05 into late-stage clinical development for this indication. The market for Alzheimer's disease treatments is significant, with substantial unmet needs, particularly for managing behavioral symptoms like agitation. Competitors include companies developing disease-modifying therapies and symptomatic treatments. This indication represents a substantial expansion opportunity for Axsome's lead asset.
- AXS-12 (lenufolinix): A novel oral molecule for the treatment of narcolepsy. Axsome acquired this asset and is progressing its development. The narcolepsy market is relatively niche but underserved, with existing treatments that may have limitations. Competitors include companies developing stimulants, wakefulness-promoting agents, and treatments for specific narcolepsy symptoms. Axsome aims to provide a new therapeutic option for this condition.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
Axsome Therapeutics operates within the biopharmaceutical industry, specifically focusing on the development and commercialization of therapies for central nervous system (CNS) disorders. This sector is characterized by high R&D costs, lengthy development cycles, rigorous regulatory hurdles, and significant market potential due to the prevalence of neurological and psychiatric conditions. The industry is driven by innovation, unmet medical needs, and the ability to secure intellectual property and regulatory approvals. There's a growing emphasis on novel mechanisms of action and personalized medicine approaches.
Positioning
Axsome Therapeutics is positioned as an emerging biopharmaceutical company with a focused strategy on CNS disorders, particularly in areas with significant unmet medical needs. Its competitive advantage lies in its differentiated pipeline, built through both internal development and strategic acquisitions, and its success in navigating the regulatory pathway for novel therapies. The company's ability to bring novel, orally administered treatments to market for complex CNS conditions is a key differentiator.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for Axsome's current and pipeline products is substantial, encompassing major depressive disorder (MDD), migraine, agitation associated with Alzheimer's disease, and narcolepsy. The global market for CNS therapeutics is valued in the tens of billions of dollars and is projected to grow significantly. For MDD alone, the TAM is estimated to be over $10 billion annually. Axsome Therapeutics is positioned to capture a meaningful share of these markets by offering innovative treatments for underserved patient populations and conditions.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Successful FDA approval of Auvelity, demonstrating commercialization capability.
- Strong pipeline of novel CNS therapeutics with multiple late-stage assets.
- Experienced management team with a track record in drug development and commercialization.
- Strategic acquisitions to bolster the product pipeline.
- Focus on areas with significant unmet medical needs.
Weaknesses
- Reliance on a few key product candidates, making the company vulnerable to clinical trial failures or regulatory setbacks for these specific assets.
- As a relatively young company, it may have less established commercial infrastructure compared to larger pharmaceutical companies.
- High cash burn rate associated with late-stage clinical development and commercial launch activities.
- Competition from established pharmaceutical companies with larger resources.
Opportunities
- Expansion of Auvelity into new indications or patient populations.
- Successful development and commercialization of AXS-07 for migraine.
- Advancement of AXS-05 for Alzheimer's disease agitation, a large and underserved market.
- Potential for strategic partnerships or collaborations to accelerate development or expand market reach.
- Emerging research and understanding of CNS disorders creating new therapeutic avenues.
Threats
- Failure of key pipeline candidates in late-stage clinical trials.
- Regulatory challenges or delays in obtaining FDA approval for pipeline assets.
- Intense competition in the CNS therapeutic space.
- Pricing pressures and reimbursement challenges for new therapies.
- Changes in healthcare policy or regulations.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Jazz Pharmaceuticals (JAZZ)
- AbbVie Inc. (ABBV)
- Biohaven Pharmaceuticals (BHVN) (now part of Pfizer)
- Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)
- Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY)
- Alkermes plc (ALKS)
- Sumitomo Pharma Co., Ltd. (SMNHY)
Competitive Landscape
Axsome Therapeutics faces a competitive landscape with both large, established pharmaceutical companies and other emerging biotechs. Its advantages lie in its focused pipeline of novel CNS therapies, particularly those with differentiated mechanisms of action or delivery methods. However, it competes against companies with significantly larger R&D budgets, established sales forces, and broader product portfolios. The ability to secure favorable reimbursement and demonstrate clear clinical superiority will be critical for market share gains.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historically, Axsome's growth has been driven by the successful progression of its pipeline through clinical development and regulatory milestones. This includes pivotal trial successes and the eventual FDA approval of Auvelity. The company has also experienced growth through strategic acquisitions to expand its therapeutic offerings.
Future Projections: Future growth projections for Axsome Therapeutics are based on the anticipated success and market penetration of its key pipeline assets, including Auvelity, AXS-07, AXS-05, and AXS-12. Analyst estimates typically project significant revenue growth as these products are launched and gain market share, leading to improved profitability in the long term.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have included the successful commercial launch of Auvelity, ongoing clinical trials for its other pipeline candidates, strategic partnerships, and efforts to build out its commercial infrastructure to support product launches.
Summary
Axsome Therapeutics is a promising biopharmaceutical company with a strong focus on developing novel treatments for CNS disorders. The successful launch of Auvelity marks a significant turning point, indicating its potential for commercial success. While its pipeline is robust, the company faces intense competition and the inherent risks of drug development. Continued execution on its commercial strategy and successful progression of its pipeline assets are crucial for its long-term growth and sustainability.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Investor Relations websites
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Industry research reports
- Reputable financial news outlets
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Financial data and market share figures are estimates and subject to change. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Axsome Therapeutics Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters New York, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2015-11-19 | Founder, Chairman, CEO & President Dr. Herriot Tabuteau M.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 816 | Website https://www.axsome.com |
Full time employees 816 | Website https://www.axsome.com | ||
Axsome Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, develops and delivers novel therapies for the management of central nervous system (CNS) disorders in the United States. The company's commercial product portfolio includes Auvelity (dextromethorphan-bupropion), a N-methyl-D-aspartate receptor antagonist, sigma-1 receptor agonist, aminoketone, and CYP2D6 inhibitor indicated for the treatment of major depressive disorder in adults; Sunosi (solriamfetol), a dopamine and norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor, trace amine-associated receptor 1 agonist, and 5-HT1A agonist indicated for the treatment of excessive daytime sleepiness in patients with narcolepsy or obstructive sleep apnea; and Symbravo (MoSEIC meloxicam rizatriptan), or AXS-07, a rapidly absorbed, multi-mechanistic, selective COX-2 inhibitor, and 5-HT1B/1D agonist indicated for the acute treatment of migraine with or without aura. It also develops AXS-05 (dextromethorphan-bupropion), an investigational N-methyl-D-aspartate receptor antagonist, which has completed Phase III clinical trial to treat Alzheimer's disease agitation, as well as that has completed phase II clinical trial for the treatment of smoking cessation; AXS-12 (reboxetine), a highly selective and potent norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor and cortical dopamine modulator, which has completed Phase III trial to treat narcolepsy; AXS-14 (esreboxetine), a selective and potent norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor that has completed Phase III trial for the treatment of fibromyalgia and other conditions; and Solriamfetol, a dopamine and norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor, which is in Phase III trial for treating attention deficit hyperactivity, major depressive, binge eating, and excessive sleepiness associated with shift work disorder. It has a research collaboration agreement with Duke University for evaluating AXS-05 in a Phase 2 clinical trial in smoking cessation. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in New York, New York.

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