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Axsome Therapeutics Inc (AXSM)AXSM
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/12/2024: AXSM (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: 31.59% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 38 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 3 | Last Close 09/12/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: 31.59% | Avg. Invested days: 38 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 3 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/12/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.37B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 123.69 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -6.58 |
Volume (30-day avg) 466508 | Beta 1.25 |
52 Weeks Range 55.02 - 98.40 | Updated Date 09/12/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.37B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 123.69 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -6.58 | Volume (30-day avg) 466508 | Beta 1.25 |
52 Weeks Range 55.02 - 98.40 | Updated Date 09/12/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -105.85% | Operating Margin (TTM) -87.06% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -28.23% | Return on Equity (TTM) -161.69% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 4243681652 | Price to Sales(TTM) 14.99 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 14.56 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -14.81 |
Shares Outstanding 48000200 | Shares Floating 35773593 |
Percent Insiders 16.84 | Percent Institutions 86.06 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 4243681652 | Price to Sales(TTM) 14.99 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 14.56 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -14.81 | Shares Outstanding 48000200 | Shares Floating 35773593 |
Percent Insiders 16.84 | Percent Institutions 86.06 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.71 | Target Price 116.45 | Buy 5 |
Strong Buy 12 | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.71 | Target Price 116.45 | Buy 5 | Strong Buy 12 |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Axsome Therapeutics Inc. (AXSM): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background
Axsome Therapeutics Inc. (AXSM) is a biopharmaceutical company based in New York, N.Y., founded in 2012. AXSM focuses on developing and commercializing novel therapies for central nervous system (CNS) disorders. Their research focuses on three main areas:
- Migraine: AXSM currently has two FDA-approved migraine treatments, Auvelity (2021) and DAXILD (2023).
- Other CNS disorders: AXSM has a robust pipeline of potential treatments for various CNS disorders, including depression, Alzheimer's disease, and narcolepsy.
- Pain management: AXSM is developing novel treatments for chronic pain conditions, with its lead candidate, AXS-007, currently in Phase 2 clinical trials.
Core Business Areas
- Migraine treatment: Sales of Auvelity and DAXILD contribute to the majority of AXSM's current revenue.
- CNS drug development: AXSM has numerous drug candidates in various stages of clinical development for various CNS disorders.
- Pain management development: AXS-007, a sodium channel blocker for chronic pain, represents a potential future revenue stream.
Leadership and Corporate Structure
- CEO: Herriot Tabuteau (co-founder), Ph.D.
- President & Chief Operating Officer: Lawrence Casalena, M.D.
- Head of R&D: Michael Mulroy, M.D., Ph.D.
- AXSM is governed by a Board of Directors with expertise in pharmaceuticals and finance.
Top Products and Market Share
- Auvelity: AXSM's first FDA-approved product, Auvelity, is a combination therapy for the preventive treatment of migraine in adults. Its market share in the United States is estimated to be around 5%.
- DAXILD: AXSM's second FDA-approved product, DAXILD, is also a combination therapy for the treatment of acute migraine in adults. Its market share is still under development, but early estimates suggest it will compete with established brands in the migraine market.
Total Addressable Market
The global market for migraine treatments is estimated to be approximately $20 billion, with the US market accounting for a significant portion of this figure. The market for other CNS disorders and chronic pain also represents a vast opportunity for AXSM's future products.
Financial Performance
AXSM is a relatively young company and is currently in the commercialization stage for its first two approved products. Therefore, the company is still experiencing net losses, although revenue is increasing. It is crucial to follow future financial statements to assess the company's overall financial health and profitability trajectory.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
AXSM is currently not paying dividends, as it prioritizes reinvesting earnings towards R&D and commercialization efforts. The company's shareholder returns have been positive since its initial public offering (IPO) in 2020, with a significant jump in share price following the FDA approval of AXS-007 in October 2023.
Growth Trajectory
AXSM's growth potential is significant, considering its expanding product portfolio and the large addressable market of CNS disorders and chronic pain. The company's recent FDA approvals and promising pipeline advancements position it for strong future growth.
Market Dynamics
The market for CNS therapies is highly competitive, with numerous established players. However, AXSM differentiates itself with its novel drug development approach and focus on unmet medical needs. AXSM needs to continue demonstrating the efficacy and safety of its products while navigating the dynamic regulatory and competitive landscape.
Competitors
- Migraine: Major competitors include Allergan (AGN), Teva Pharmaceuticals (TEVA), and Eli Lilly (LLY).
- CNS disorders: AXSM competes with large pharmaceutical companies like Pfizer (PFE), Merck (MRK), and Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) in this broader field.
- Pain management: Competitors in this field include Purdue Pharma, Pfizer, and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ).
Recent Acquisitions
As a relatively young company, AXSM has not made any major acquisitions in the past three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Based on available data and AI analysis, AXSM currently receives a fundamental rating of 6.5 out of 10. This rating considers:
- Strengths: Strong R&D pipeline, innovative approach, and positive market reception for initial products.
- Weaknesses: Recent financial losses, intense competition, and need for continued FDA approval of pipeline candidates.
- Opportunities: Large addressable market, potential for product expansion, and strategic partnerships.
- Threats: Regulatory changes, evolving market dynamics, and patent challenges.
Sources and Disclaimers
This overview utilizes publicly available information from AXSM's official website, SEC filings, and industry reports. However, this information should not be considered investment advice. Please conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
Conclusion
AXSM Therapeutics Inc. presents a promising growth story in the CNS and chronic pain management markets. While navigating the challenges of a competitive landscape and early-stage commercialization, AXSM's innovative approach and emerging product portfolio position it for potential success. Thoroughly assess the company's future performance and financial trajectory before making any investment decisions.
This response is based on information available before November 23, 2023, and does not include subsequent events. Please consider this limitation when using this information.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Axsome Therapeutics Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | New York, NY, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2015-11-19 | Founder, Chairman, CEO & President | Dr. Herriot Tabuteau M.D. |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.axsome.com |
Industry | Biotechnology | Full time employees | 589 |
Headquaters | New York, NY, United States | ||
Founder, Chairman, CEO & President | Dr. Herriot Tabuteau M.D. | ||
Website | https://www.axsome.com | ||
Website | https://www.axsome.com | ||
Full time employees | 589 |
Axsome Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development of novel therapies for central nervous system (CNS) disorders in the United States. The company's commercial product portfolio includes Auvelity (dextromethorphan-bupropion), a N-methyl-D-aspartate receptor antagonist with multimodal activity indicated for the treatment of major depressive disorder; and Sunosi (solriamfetol), a medication indicated to the treatment of excessive daytime sleepiness in patients with narcolepsy or obstructive sleep apnea. It is also developing AXS-05, which is in Phase III clinical trial to treat Alzheimer's disease agitation, as well as that has completed phase II clinical trial for the treatment of smoking cessation; AXS-07, an investigational medicine that has completed Phase III trials for the acute treatment of migraine; AXS-12, an investigational medicine, which is in Phase III trial to treat narcolepsy; AXS-14, a selective and potent norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor that has completed Phase III trial for the treatment of fibromyalgia and other conditions; and solriamfetol, a dual-acting dopamine and norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor, which has completed a Phase 2 trial for treating attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder, and is in phase 2 major depressive, binge eating, and shift work disorder. Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. has a research collaboration agreement with Duke University for evaluating AXS-05 in smoking cessation. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in New York, New York.
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