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AXT Inc (AXTI)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/09/2026: AXTI (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $11.5
1 Year Target Price $11.5
| 4 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 0 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 368.4% | Avg. Invested days 35 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.40B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 11.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 11.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 5 | Beta 1.94 | 52 Weeks Range 1.13 - 26.30 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 1.13 - 26.30 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.53 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -25.22% | Operating Margin (TTM) -4.02% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -4.41% | Return on Equity (TTM) -9.88% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 24.21 | Enterprise Value 1351106296 | Price to Sales(TTM) 15.49 |
Enterprise Value 1351106296 | Price to Sales(TTM) 15.49 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 14.95 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 75.63 | Shares Outstanding 54209386 | Shares Floating 39450855 |
Shares Outstanding 54209386 | Shares Floating 39450855 | ||
Percent Insiders 5.91 | Percent Institutions 29.2 |
Upturn AI SWOT
AXT Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
AXT Inc. was founded in 1986 and is a global supplier of advanced substrate materials for the compound semiconductor industry. The company has evolved from its early focus on gallium arsenide (GaAs) substrates to become a key player in indium phosphide (InP) and germanium (Ge) substrates, crucial for high-performance applications like 5G wireless, artificial intelligence, and advanced sensing. AXT has expanded its manufacturing capabilities and global reach through strategic investments and partnerships.
Core Business Areas
- Substrate Materials: AXT Inc. designs, manufactures, and distributes advanced semiconductor substrate wafers, primarily indium phosphide (InP), gallium arsenide (GaAs), and germanium (Ge). These substrates are critical building blocks for high-performance electronic and photonic devices.
- Epitaxial Services: The company also offers epitaxial services, which involve growing thin crystalline layers of semiconductor materials on a substrate to create specific electronic or optical properties for advanced applications.
Leadership and Structure
AXT Inc. is led by a management team with extensive experience in the semiconductor industry. The company operates through a functional organizational structure, with dedicated teams for research and development, manufacturing, sales, and marketing, organized across its global facilities.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Indium Phosphide (InP) Substrates: AXT is a leading supplier of InP substrates, which are essential for high-speed optical communication, 5G infrastructure, and advanced sensing applications. Competitors include Sumitomo Electric Industries, GlobalWafers Corporation, and Freiberger Compound Materials. Market share data is proprietary but AXT is considered a significant player in this niche market, driven by the demand for higher bandwidth and faster data transmission.
- Gallium Arsenide (GaAs) Substrates: These substrates are used in a variety of applications, including wireless communication devices (e.g., smartphones), power amplifiers, and LEDs. Competitors include IQE plc, Freiberger Compound Materials, and Wafer Works Corporation. AXT maintains a competitive position in this market due to its established manufacturing processes and customer relationships.
- Germanium (Ge) Substrates: Ge substrates are crucial for high-efficiency solar cells (especially in space applications), infrared optics, and certain types of sensors. Competitors include Freiberger Compound Materials and various Chinese manufacturers. AXT's involvement in Ge substrates supports its expansion into emerging markets.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The compound semiconductor substrate market is characterized by high growth driven by the increasing demand for advanced technologies such as 5G, AI, data centers, autonomous driving, and advanced display technologies. The industry requires significant R&D investment and sophisticated manufacturing processes. Geopolitical factors, supply chain disruptions, and the need for specialized materials can influence market dynamics.
Positioning
AXT Inc. is strategically positioned as a key supplier of high-performance compound semiconductor substrates. Its competitive advantages lie in its specialized material expertise, established manufacturing capabilities, long-term customer relationships, and its focus on high-growth end markets like optical communications and 5G. The company's ability to produce high-quality InP and Ge substrates sets it apart.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for compound semiconductor substrates is substantial and growing, driven by the expanding applications in telecommunications, computing, automotive, and defense. While specific TAM figures vary by segment, the overall market is estimated to be in the billions of dollars. AXT Inc. is well-positioned to capture a significant share of this market, particularly within the high-growth segments of InP and Ge substrates, by leveraging its advanced technology and production capacity.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Leading supplier of InP and Ge substrates for high-growth markets.
- Strong R&D capabilities and technological expertise.
- Established long-term relationships with key customers.
- Global manufacturing and sales footprint.
- Focus on high-margin, specialized applications.
Weaknesses
- Reliance on a few key customers can pose concentration risk.
- Capital-intensive nature of substrate manufacturing.
- Susceptibility to fluctuations in demand from end markets.
- Competition from larger, more diversified players in some segments.
Opportunities
- Continued growth in 5G infrastructure and adoption.
- Expansion of AI and machine learning applications requiring high-performance computing.
- Increased demand for advanced sensors in automotive and industrial sectors.
- Emergence of new applications for compound semiconductors.
- Strategic partnerships and collaborations to expand market reach.
Threats
- Global supply chain disruptions.
- Increased competition, particularly from Asian manufacturers.
- Economic downturns impacting capital expenditures in key industries.
- Rapid technological advancements potentially making existing products obsolete.
- Geopolitical risks and trade policies affecting global semiconductor markets.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Sumitomo Electric Industries, Ltd. (TYO: 5802)
- GlobalWafers Corporation (TPE: 6488)
- IQE plc (AIM: IQE)
- Freiberger Compound Materials GmbH
Competitive Landscape
AXT faces strong competition from established global players and emerging manufacturers. Its competitive advantage lies in its specialization in InP and Ge substrates and its strong relationships with key customers in critical high-growth sectors. However, competitors may have greater financial resources, broader product portfolios, and larger economies of scale, posing a challenge to AXT's profitability and market share expansion.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: AXT has demonstrated revenue growth over the past few years, driven by increasing demand from its target markets. However, this growth has not yet translated into consistent profitability.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for AXT's future growth are generally positive, with expectations of continued revenue expansion driven by the secular trends in 5G, AI, and advanced sensing. The key challenge and focus for analysts and investors is the company's ability to achieve profitability and positive EPS in the coming years.
Recent Initiatives: AXT has focused on expanding its manufacturing capacity, particularly for InP substrates, and strengthening its position in high-growth application areas. The company has also emphasized strategic customer relationships and product innovation to maintain its competitive edge.
Summary
AXT Inc. is a specialized supplier in the growing compound semiconductor substrate market, with strengths in InP and Ge materials vital for 5G and AI. While it has shown revenue growth and possesses strong technical capabilities, persistent net losses and negative EPS are significant weaknesses. The company must navigate intense competition and capital intensity while capitalizing on market opportunities to achieve sustainable profitability and stronger shareholder returns.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- AXT Inc. Investor Relations Filings (SEC)
- Industry Analyst Reports
- Financial Data Providers (e.g., Refinitiv, Bloomberg)
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Financial data, market share, and competitor information are estimates and may be subject to change. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About AXT Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Fremont, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1998-05-21 | Co-Founder, CEO & Chairman Dr. Morris S. Young Ph.D. | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Semiconductor Equipment & Materials | Full time employees 1527 | Website https://www.axt.com |
Full time employees 1527 | Website https://www.axt.com | ||
AXT, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes compound and single element semiconductor substrates. The company offers indium phosphide for use in data center connectivity using light/lasers, high-speed data transfer in data centers, 5G communications, fiber optic lasers and detectors, consumer devices, passive optical networks, silicon photonics, photonic integrated circuits, thermo-photovoltaics, RF amplifier and switching, infrared light-emitting diode (LEDS) motion control, lidar for robotics and autonomous vehicles, and infrared thermal imaging. It also provides semi-insulating gallium arsenide (GaAs) substrates for use in Wi-Fi and IoT devices, transistors, direct broadcast television, power amplifiers, satellite communications, and solar cells; and semi-conducting GaAs substrates that are used in LEDs, screen displays using micro-LEDs, printer head lasers and LEDs, 3-D sensing using VCSELs, data center communication using VCSELs, sensors for industrial robotics/near-infrared sensors, laser machining, cutting and drilling, optical couplers, solar cells, night vision goggles, lidar for robotics and autonomous vehicles, and other lasers. In addition, the company offers germanium substrates for use in multi-junction solar cells for satellites, optical sensors and detectors, terrestrial concentrated photo voltaic cells, infrared detectors, and carrier wafer for LED. Further, it provides 6N+ and 7N+ purified gallium, boron trioxide, gallium-magnesium alloy, pyrolytic boron nitride (pBN) crucibles, and pBN insulating parts. It sells its products through direct salesforce in the United States, China, and Europe, as well as through independent sales representatives and distributors in Japan, Taiwan, Korea, and internationally. The company was formerly known as American Xtal Technology, Inc. and changed its name to AXT, Inc. in July 2000. AXT, Inc. was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Fremont, California.

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