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Upturn AI SWOT - About
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (BAER)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/13/2025: BAER (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
1 Analysts rated it
Very few follow this stock; limited insights, higher-risk early investing.
1 Year Target Price $5.25
1 Year Target Price $5.25
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 0 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -38.29% | Avg. Invested days 32 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/13/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 89.95M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.25 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.25 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1 | Beta 0.16 | 52 Weeks Range 1.02 - 4.43 | Updated Date 10/12/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.02 - 4.43 | Updated Date 10/12/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.45 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -0.58% | Operating Margin (TTM) 9.53% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.15% | Return on Equity (TTM) -1.79% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 10.96 | Enterprise Value 691708156 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.71 |
Enterprise Value 691708156 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.71 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.47 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.09 | Shares Outstanding 55527652 | Shares Floating 36804838 |
Shares Outstanding 55527652 | Shares Floating 36804838 | ||
Percent Insiders 24.65 | Percent Institutions 37.55 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
Company Overview
History and Background
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. was founded to provide aerial firefighting and related services. It became publicly traded through a SPAC merger. Details on specific founding year and early milestones beyond this are limited in publicly available resources.
Core Business Areas
- Aerial Firefighting: Provides aerial firefighting services, including retardant and water drops, using its fleet of aircraft. This also includes wildfire detection and suppression services.
- Wildfire Reconnaissance: Offers aerial imagery and intelligence gathering to support ground-based firefighting efforts, using advanced sensor technology. This includes providing real time footage of the fires to firefighters and fire management teams.
- Data and Intelligence: Delivers actionable intelligence derived from aerial data to aid in wildfire management and prevention.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team consists of experienced professionals in aviation, firefighting, and business management. Organizational structure follows a functional model, with departments for operations, maintenance, sales, and finance. Thom Bogar is the current CEO.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Aerial Firefighting Services: Bridger's primary service involves dropping fire retardant from the air. Market share data is difficult to ascertain precisely, as it varies geographically and by specific contract. Revenue from the aerial firefighting service is the majority of the company's top line revenue. Competitors include Neptune Aviation Services and Coulson Aviation.
- Wildfire Intelligence Services: Bridger provides real-time intelligence on fire behavior and spread, helping firefighters make better decisions. The market share in this segment is also difficult to quantify due to the specialized nature of services and regional differences in adoption. Competitors include Airspace Intelligence and drone-based solutions by companies like DroneBase.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The aerial firefighting industry is experiencing growth due to increasing wildfire frequency and intensity, driven by climate change and land management practices. There is an increasing reliance on sophisticated technology and data-driven decision-making.
Positioning
Bridger Aerospace is positioned as a technology-driven provider of aerial firefighting services, emphasizing rapid response and data integration. Their competitive advantage lies in their modern fleet and advanced sensor capabilities.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for aerial firefighting is estimated to be in the billions of dollars globally and growing. Bridger is well-positioned to capture a significant share due to their focus on technologically advanced solutions.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Modern aircraft fleet
- Advanced sensor technology
- Experienced personnel
- Strong relationships with government agencies
- Rapid response capability
Weaknesses
- Reliance on government contracts
- Susceptibility to weather conditions
- High operating costs
- Dependence on pilot availability
- Small market capitalization
Opportunities
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Development of new data products and services
- Increased government funding for wildfire management
- Strategic partnerships with technology providers
- Growing demand for proactive wildfire solutions
Threats
- Competition from larger, more established players
- Changes in government regulations
- Potential for accidents and equipment failures
- Economic downturn affecting government budgets
- Technological obsolescence
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Neptune Aviation Services
- Coulson Aviation
- Air Tractor
- Viking Air Limited
Competitive Landscape
Bridger faces competition from established players with larger fleets. However, Bridger differentiates itself through technology, allowing for real time data analysis.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been driven by increased demand for aerial firefighting services.
Future Projections: Future growth is projected to continue, driven by climate change. Analyst estimates vary but generally anticipate revenue growth.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding their fleet, investing in advanced sensor technology, and pursuing strategic partnerships.
Summary
Bridger Aerospace is a player in the growing aerial firefighting market, leveraging technology to provide critical services. Their strengths include modern equipment and government relationships, but they face risks such as government dependence and weather volatility. Future growth relies on strategic expansion and innovation to capitalize on the increasing demand for wildfire management solutions. Financially, the company needs to demonstrate sustainable growth and profitability.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings
- Market research reports
- Industry news sources
- Analyst reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on available information and is subject to change. It is not financial advice. Market share data are estimates.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Belgrade, MT, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-03-17 | President & CEO Mr. Sam Davis | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Security & Protection Services | Full time employees 191 | Website https://www.bridgeraerospace.com |
Full time employees 191 | Website https://www.bridgeraerospace.com | ||
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. provides aerial wildfire surveillance, relief and suppression, and aerial firefighting services in the United States. The company offers fire suppression services, such as aerial firefighting support for ground crews by operating the Viking CL-415EAF (Super Scooper) aircraft to drop water quickly and directly on wildfires. It also provides aerial surveillance services via manned (Air Attack) aircraft for fire suppression over an incident and providing tactical coordination with the incident commander, and decision-makers rapid, current intelligence from useful aerial vantage points, giving access to information to support ground firefighters and safety for the public. In addition, the company offers maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) that provides maintenance and repair services for return-to-service upgrades of the Spanish scoopers, as well as airframe modification and integration solutions for governmental and commercial customers. Further, it operates an aircraft fleet of sixteen planes. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Belgrade, Montana.
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