BAER
BAER 1-star rating from Upturn Advisory

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (BAER)

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (BAER) 1-star rating from Upturn Advisory
$1.89
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Upturn Advisory Summary

01/06/2026: BAER (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

Upturn 1 star rating for performance

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

1 star rating from financial analysts

1 Analysts rated it

Very few follow this stock; limited insights, higher-risk early investing.

1 Year Target Price $5.25

1 Year Target Price $5.25

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$5.25 Target price
52w Low $1.02
Current$1.89
52w High $4.43

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -38.29%
Avg. Invested days 32
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 01/06/2026

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 102.75M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 5.25
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 5.25
Volume (30-day avg) 1
Beta 0.14
52 Weeks Range 1.02 - 4.43
Updated Date 01/6/2026
52 Weeks Range 1.02 - 4.43
Updated Date 01/6/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.4

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 4.96%
Operating Margin (TTM) 57.44%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 4.95%
Return on Equity (TTM) 8.75%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 10.96
Enterprise Value 657733449
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.79
Enterprise Value 657733449
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.79
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.06
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.33
Shares Outstanding 55543104
Shares Floating 36833965
Shares Outstanding 55543104
Shares Floating 36833965
Percent Insiders 26.18
Percent Institutions 36.05

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI SWOT

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock(BAER) company logo displayed in Upturn AI summary

Company Overview

Company history and background logo History and Background

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: BAER) was founded in 2010. It is a leading provider of aerial firefighting services in North America, specializing in the operation and maintenance of large air tankers. A significant milestone was its successful Initial Public Offering (IPO) on the Nasdaq Capital Market in January 2023, raising approximately $76 million. The company has grown its fleet and operational capabilities to address the increasing demand for wildfire suppression.

Company business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Aerial Firefighting Operations: Operating and maintaining a fleet of large air tankers to provide aerial support for wildfire suppression efforts. This includes mission planning, deployment, and execution of aerial firefighting missions.
  • Aircraft Maintenance and Overhaul: Providing specialized maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services for its own fleet of aircraft, as well as potentially for third-party clients. This ensures fleet readiness and operational efficiency.
  • Aircraft Acquisition and Leasing: Strategically acquiring and leasing aircraft to expand its operational capacity and meet the evolving needs of its customer base, which primarily consists of government agencies.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Bridger Aerospace is led by a management team with extensive experience in aviation and wildfire management. Key leadership positions typically include a Chief Executive Officer (CEO), Chief Financial Officer (CFO), Chief Operating Officer (COO), and other senior executives responsible for operations, safety, and business development. The company operates as a holding company with subsidiaries managing its various operational segments.

Top Products and Market Share

Product Key Offerings logo Key Offerings

  • Large Air Tanker Services: Bridger Aerospace provides critical aerial firefighting services using a fleet of large, fixed-wing aircraft equipped to deliver fire retardant or water. Market share data for specific aerial firefighting services is often proprietary or aggregated by government contracts. Competitors include companies like Aero-Spray, Dauntless Air, and DynCorp International (though their focus may be broader). The demand is driven by the frequency and severity of wildfires.
  • Aircraft Maintenance and Repair: Specialized MRO services tailored to large air tankers and similar aircraft. This is a crucial supporting service for their core operations and can be a revenue stream if offered externally. Competitors would include general aviation MRO providers and specialized fleet maintenance operations.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The aerial firefighting industry is driven by global climate change, leading to more frequent and intense wildfires. This creates a growing demand for specialized aircraft and services. The industry is characterized by government contracts, stringent safety regulations, and the need for specialized operational expertise. Technological advancements in firefighting techniques and aircraft capabilities are also shaping the market.

Positioning

Bridger Aerospace is positioned as a leading provider of large air tanker services, a critical component of aerial firefighting. Its competitive advantages include a modern and expanding fleet, experienced operational teams, and a strong focus on safety and efficiency. The company benefits from its specialization in a high-demand niche.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total addressable market for aerial firefighting services is significant and growing, influenced by global wildfire trends and government spending on land management and emergency response. While precise TAM figures are dynamic, the market is measured in billions of dollars annually, encompassing aircraft acquisition, operation, and maintenance. Bridger Aerospace is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this market, particularly within North America, by expanding its fleet and securing long-term contracts.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Modern and expanding fleet of large air tankers
  • Experienced operational and maintenance teams
  • Strong focus on safety and regulatory compliance
  • Established relationships with government agencies
  • Specialized niche in a growing market

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on government contracts, subject to budget fluctuations
  • High capital expenditure for aircraft acquisition and maintenance
  • Seasonality of wildfire activity can impact revenue predictability
  • Potential dependence on a limited number of key customers

Opportunities

  • Increasing frequency and severity of wildfires globally
  • Expansion into new geographical markets
  • Development of new aerial firefighting technologies or services
  • Strategic partnerships or acquisitions to broaden capabilities
  • Increased government investment in wildfire suppression

Threats

  • Competition from existing and new players
  • Changes in government procurement policies or funding
  • Adverse weather conditions impacting operations
  • Economic downturns affecting government budgets
  • Potential for accidents or safety incidents

Competitors and Market Share

Key competitor logo Key Competitors

  • Aero-Spray (ASPY)
  • Dauntless Air (Private)
  • DynCorp International (Private, part of Amentum)

Competitive Landscape

Bridger Aerospace's advantages lie in its modern fleet and specialized focus. Competitors may have longer operating histories or broader service offerings. The market is competitive, with government contracts often being awarded through competitive bidding processes.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Bridger Aerospace has demonstrated growth through the expansion of its fleet and the securing of new contracts. Its transition to a public company signifies a phase of planned expansion and increased visibility in the market.

Future Projections: Future growth is anticipated to be driven by the increasing demand for aerial firefighting services, strategic fleet expansion, and securing long-term contracts with government agencies. Analyst estimates, if available, would provide quantitative projections for revenue and earnings growth.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives likely include the acquisition of new aircraft, investments in maintenance infrastructure, and efforts to secure larger, multi-year contracts. The company's IPO itself was a significant initiative to fuel further growth.

Summary

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. is a strong player in the essential aerial firefighting market, benefiting from increasing wildfire activity. Its modern fleet and experienced team are key assets. However, it faces risks from contract dependency and high capital costs. Continued growth hinges on securing new contracts and strategic fleet expansion, while managing operational seasonality and competition remains crucial.

Similar Stocks

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) Investor Relations
  • SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Industry Analysis Reports (e.g., aviation, defense, environmental services)
  • Financial News and Market Data Providers

Disclaimers:

This JSON output is generated for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Financial data and market share estimations are based on publicly available information and may not be exhaustive or perfectly accurate. Users should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization accuracy disclaimer AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization data freshness disclaimer Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Information icon warning about Upturn AI Fundamental Rating based on potentially old data Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Information icon warning about potential inaccuracies or hallucinations in Upturn AI-generated summaries AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Belgrade, MT, United States
IPO Launch date 2021-03-17
President & CEO Mr. Sam Davis
Sector Industrials
Industry Security & Protection Services
Full time employees 191
Full time employees 191

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. provides aerial wildfire surveillance, relief and suppression, and aerial firefighting services in the United States. The company offers fire suppression services, such as aerial firefighting support for ground crews by operating the Viking CL-415EAF (Super Scooper) aircraft to drop water quickly and directly on wildfires. It also provides aerial surveillance services via manned (Air Attack) aircraft for fire suppression over an incident and providing tactical coordination with the incident commander, and decision-makers rapid, current intelligence from useful aerial vantage points, giving access to information to support ground firefighters and safety for the public. In addition, the company offers maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) that provides maintenance and repair services for return-to-service upgrades of the Spanish scoopers, as well as airframe modification and integration solutions for governmental and commercial customers. Further, it operates an aircraft fleet of sixteen planes. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Belgrade, Montana.