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BGC Group Inc. (BGC)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
2-STAR RATING
SELL
SELL for 3 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
-7.34% ▼
LAST CLOSE
$11.61
10/12/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for BGC

10/12/2026: BGC (2-star) is a SELL. SELL for 3 days. Simulated Profits (-7.34%). Updated daily EoD!

BGC Group Inc. is a global financial services firm that provides essential brokerage, trading technology, and market data to institutional clients. The company has a leading position in hybrid brokerage and is actively shifting its focus toward the high-margin FENICS electronic platform. While its primary growth opportunity lies in the continued automation of trading volumes, the company faces risks related to market cyclicality, intense competition from established exchanges, and ongoing execution challenges in its technology roadmap. BGC may suit income-focused investors who appreciate the dividend history, though the cyclical nature of the business requires a tolerance for market-driven volatility. Monitor FENICS adoption as a key development.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe potential for electronic growth is balanced by the slow-growth nature of legacy brokerage businesses.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveMomentum investors may find opportunity during periods of high market volatility and increased trading volumes.
Value investorStrong fitThe company often trades at valuations that reflect the cyclical nature of its business rather than its long-term technology growth.
Dividend investorStrong fitBGC has a history of providing steady dividends, making it attractive for income-focused portfolios.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh exposure to financial market volatility makes this stock unsuitable for conservative or low-risk profiles.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMedium / highThe stock is sensitive to interest rate changes and global trading volume fluctuations.
Valuation riskMediumThe complexity of the corporate structure can lead to periodic market mispricing.
Competition risk (Fintech and Exchanges)HighEstablished exchanges and new fintech platforms constantly challenge BGC's brokerage and data fees.
Business qualityMediumThe company has a solid core, but profitability is highly leveraged to external market conditions.
Dividend incomeMediumDividends are dependent on sustained cash flow and regulatory capital requirements.
Execution riskMediumSuccessfully scaling the FENICS electronic platform remains critical for future margin expansion.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 10.91%
Avg. Invested days 43
Today’s Advisory SELL
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/12/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
BGC receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
BGC has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid earnings growth (+22.0%) and solid cash generation (FCF margin 8.9%) are partially offset by soft profitability (net margin 5.2%), very low insider ownership of 0.76%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
BGC's financial health is supported by solid cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation (8.9% of revenue). Profitability is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is BGC's strongest growth driver at +36.3% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). Earnings growth (+22.0%, solid) and free-cash-flow growth (+10.1%, solid) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 87.3% and approximately 95.2% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.76%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 12.33%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 5.52%
Rubric Capital Management LP 5.11%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 3.57%
State Street Corp 3.29%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
BGC generates approximately $895 of gross profit, $105 of operating income, and $89 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Moderate margins and solid cash conversion support a 3-star rating, while capital efficiency is moderate.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 31.44%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
BGC has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedSmall / Mid Cap RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 5.35B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 28.7
1Y Target Price 16
Price to earnings Ratio 28.7
1Y Target Price 16
Volume (30-day avg) 3.7M shares
Beta 0.99
52 Weeks Range 8.20 - 12.87
Updated Date 10/11/2026
52 Weeks Range 8.20 - 12.87
Updated Date 10/11/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 0.71%
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.4

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Financial BrokerageCommissions and fees from facilitating trades in interest rates, credit, and equities.The company acts as a middleman in complex financial markets, earning fees on trading activity.
FENICS TechnologyElectronic trading platform fees, software licensing, and market data subscriptions.This is a higher-margin, tech-focused business that helps the company scale without linearly increasing headcount.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 28.7
Forward PE 5.94
Enterprise Value 6.76B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.69
Enterprise Value 6.76B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.69
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.09
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.2
Shares Outstanding 356.72M
Shares Floating 339.73M
Shares Outstanding 356.72M
Shares Floating 339.73M
Percent Insiders 0.76
Percent Institutions 87.33

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.