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BHP Group Limited (BHP)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$48.09
Last Close (24-hour delay)
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PASS
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  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
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Upturn Advisory Summary

06/30/2025: BHP (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

6 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $51.14

1 Year Target Price $51.14

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$51.14Target price
Low$39.73
Current$48.09
high$61.96

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -38.67%
Avg. Invested days 23
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 06/30/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 124.67B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 10.85
1Y Target Price 51.14
Price to earnings Ratio 10.85
1Y Target Price 51.14
Volume (30-day avg) 6
Beta 0.73
52 Weeks Range 39.73 - 61.96
Updated Date 06/30/2025
52 Weeks Range 39.73 - 61.96
Updated Date 06/30/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 5.10%
Basic EPS (TTM) 4.48

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 21.1%
Operating Margin (TTM) 34.9%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 13.22%
Return on Equity (TTM) 27.69%

Valuation

Trailing PE 10.85
Forward PE 11.36
Enterprise Value 135008742921
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.31
Enterprise Value 135008742921
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.31
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.52
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.81
Shares Outstanding 2537370112
Shares Floating 4783859680
Shares Outstanding 2537370112
Shares Floating 4783859680
Percent Insiders 0.01
Percent Institutions 3.81

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3
Target Price 51.14
Buy -
Strong Buy 3
Buy -
Strong Buy 3
Hold 3
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

BHP Group Limited

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

BHP Group Limited was founded in 1885 as Broken Hill Proprietary Company in Broken Hill, Australia. Initially focused on silver, lead, and zinc mining, it has evolved into a global resources company through expansions, mergers (notably with Billiton in 2001), and strategic diversification.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Copper: BHP mines and smelts copper, a metal essential for electrification and renewable energy technologies. They are one of the world's largest copper producers.
  • Iron Ore: BHP is a leading producer of iron ore, a key ingredient in steelmaking, with operations in Western Australia and Brazil.
  • Coal: BHP produces both metallurgical coal (used in steelmaking) and energy coal. While they are transitioning away from energy coal, metallurgical coal remains a significant business segment.
  • Nickel: BHP mines and processes nickel, used in stainless steel and batteries for electric vehicles.
  • Potash: BHP is developing the Jansen potash project in Canada to produce potash, a crucial fertilizer for agriculture.
  • Petroleum: BHP recently divested its Petroleum business to Woodside Petroleum, reducing the importance to BHP's portfolio but still part of the historical profile.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Mike Henry is the CEO of BHP Group. The company operates with a dual-listed company structure, with listings on both the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX: BHP) and the London Stock Exchange (LSE: BHP) and an American Depository Receipt (ADR) on the NYSE (BHP). The organizational structure includes executive leadership teams for various business units and functional areas.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Iron Ore: BHP is a top iron ore producer. Market share fluctuates but is estimated to be around 15-20% globally. Competitors include Rio Tinto (RIO), Vale (VALE), and Fortescue Metals Group (FMG).
  • Copper: BHP is also a major copper producer with a market share estimated around 5-7%. Key competitors include Freeport-McMoRan (FCX), Glencore (GLNCY), and Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO).
  • Metallurgical Coal: BHP is a significant exporter of metallurgical coal. Market share varies by region but typically is one of the leading exporters from Australia. Competitors include Teck Resources (TECK), Anglo American (NGLOY) and Peabody Energy (BTU)

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The mining industry is cyclical and influenced by global economic growth, commodity prices, and geopolitical factors. Demand for metals like copper and nickel is increasing due to the energy transition. Supply chain disruptions and environmental regulations also play significant roles.

Positioning

BHP is a leading diversified miner with a focus on Tier 1 assets (large, long-life, low-cost). They have a strong reputation for operational efficiency and a commitment to sustainability, providing a competitive advantage.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for the commodities BHP produces exceeds trillions of dollars annually. BHP's diversified portfolio allows it to capture a significant share, particularly in iron ore and copper.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Diversified portfolio of commodities
  • Tier 1 assets with low production costs
  • Strong operational efficiency
  • Solid balance sheet
  • Global presence and established customer relationships

Weaknesses

  • Exposure to commodity price volatility
  • Geopolitical and regulatory risks
  • Environmental liabilities associated with mining operations
  • High capital expenditure requirements
  • Dependence on key markets like China

Opportunities

  • Growing demand for copper and nickel in the energy transition
  • Expansion into new commodities like potash
  • Technological advancements in mining and processing
  • Increasing focus on sustainability and responsible mining practices
  • Acquisitions of strategic assets

Threats

  • Economic slowdown in key markets
  • Increased competition from other mining companies
  • Environmental regulations and climate change policies
  • Labor disputes and supply chain disruptions
  • Geopolitical instability and resource nationalism

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • RIO
  • VALE
  • FCX
  • GLNCY

Competitive Landscape

BHP competes with other major mining companies on a global scale. They have a competitive advantage due to their Tier 1 assets, operational efficiency, and strong balance sheet. However, they face challenges from increasing competition and regulatory pressures.

Major Acquisitions

OZ Minerals

  • Year: 2023
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 6400
  • Strategic Rationale: Acquisition of OZ Minerals expands BHP's copper and nickel portfolio, aligning with its focus on future-facing commodities.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: BHP's historical growth has been driven by acquisitions, organic expansions, and increasing production volumes. Commodity prices have also played a significant role.

Future Projections: Future growth is expected to be driven by increasing demand for copper and nickel, as well as the development of the Jansen potash project. Analyst estimates vary but generally project moderate growth in revenue and earnings.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in copper and nickel projects, the development of the Jansen potash project, and a focus on sustainability and decarbonization. Divestment of the Petroleum business to Woodside.

Summary

BHP Group is a strong diversified miner with world-class assets and solid operational efficiency. The company benefits from increasing demand for commodities like copper and nickel, driven by the energy transition. However, BHP is exposed to commodity price volatility and geopolitical risks. The OZ Minerals acquisition strategically enhances its portfolio, while a focus on sustainability helps address long-term challenges.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company reports, Financial news outlets, Analyst estimates

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market share data are estimates and may vary. Financial data requires live updates for accuracy.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About BHP Group Limited

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Melbourne, VIC, Australia
IPO Launch date 1987-05-28
CEO & Executive Director Mr. Mike P. Henry B.Sc., BSc (Chem)
Sector Basic Materials
Industry Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Full time employees 38962
Full time employees 38962

BHP Group Limited operates as a resources company in Australia, Europe, China, Japan, India, South Korea, the rest of Asia, North America, South America, and internationally. The company operates through Copper, Iron Ore, and Coal segments. It engages in the mining of copper, uranium, gold, zinc, lead, molybdenum, silver, iron ore, cobalt, and metallurgical and energy coal. The company is also involved in the mining, smelting, and refining of nickel, as well as potash development activities. In addition, it provides towing, freight, marketing and trading, marketing support, finance, administrative, and other services. The company was founded in 1851 and is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.