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BHP Group Limited (BHP)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/30/2025: BHP (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $51.14
1 Year Target Price $51.14
3 | Strong Buy |
0 | Buy |
3 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -38.67% | Avg. Invested days 23 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 124.67B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 10.85 | 1Y Target Price 51.14 |
Price to earnings Ratio 10.85 | 1Y Target Price 51.14 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 6 | Beta 0.73 | 52 Weeks Range 39.73 - 61.96 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 39.73 - 61.96 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 5.10% | Basic EPS (TTM) 4.48 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 21.1% | Operating Margin (TTM) 34.9% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 13.22% | Return on Equity (TTM) 27.69% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 10.85 | Forward PE 11.36 | Enterprise Value 135008742921 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.31 |
Enterprise Value 135008742921 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.31 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.52 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.81 | Shares Outstanding 2537370112 | Shares Floating 4783859680 |
Shares Outstanding 2537370112 | Shares Floating 4783859680 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.01 | Percent Institutions 3.81 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3 | Target Price 51.14 | Buy - | Strong Buy 3 |
Buy - | Strong Buy 3 | ||
Hold 3 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
BHP Group Limited

Company Overview
History and Background
BHP Group Limited was founded in 1885 as Broken Hill Proprietary Company in Broken Hill, Australia. Initially focused on silver, lead, and zinc mining, it has evolved into a global resources company through expansions, mergers (notably with Billiton in 2001), and strategic diversification.
Core Business Areas
- Copper: BHP mines and smelts copper, a metal essential for electrification and renewable energy technologies. They are one of the world's largest copper producers.
- Iron Ore: BHP is a leading producer of iron ore, a key ingredient in steelmaking, with operations in Western Australia and Brazil.
- Coal: BHP produces both metallurgical coal (used in steelmaking) and energy coal. While they are transitioning away from energy coal, metallurgical coal remains a significant business segment.
- Nickel: BHP mines and processes nickel, used in stainless steel and batteries for electric vehicles.
- Potash: BHP is developing the Jansen potash project in Canada to produce potash, a crucial fertilizer for agriculture.
- Petroleum: BHP recently divested its Petroleum business to Woodside Petroleum, reducing the importance to BHP's portfolio but still part of the historical profile.
Leadership and Structure
Mike Henry is the CEO of BHP Group. The company operates with a dual-listed company structure, with listings on both the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX: BHP) and the London Stock Exchange (LSE: BHP) and an American Depository Receipt (ADR) on the NYSE (BHP). The organizational structure includes executive leadership teams for various business units and functional areas.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Iron Ore: BHP is a top iron ore producer. Market share fluctuates but is estimated to be around 15-20% globally. Competitors include Rio Tinto (RIO), Vale (VALE), and Fortescue Metals Group (FMG).
- Copper: BHP is also a major copper producer with a market share estimated around 5-7%. Key competitors include Freeport-McMoRan (FCX), Glencore (GLNCY), and Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO).
- Metallurgical Coal: BHP is a significant exporter of metallurgical coal. Market share varies by region but typically is one of the leading exporters from Australia. Competitors include Teck Resources (TECK), Anglo American (NGLOY) and Peabody Energy (BTU)
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The mining industry is cyclical and influenced by global economic growth, commodity prices, and geopolitical factors. Demand for metals like copper and nickel is increasing due to the energy transition. Supply chain disruptions and environmental regulations also play significant roles.
Positioning
BHP is a leading diversified miner with a focus on Tier 1 assets (large, long-life, low-cost). They have a strong reputation for operational efficiency and a commitment to sustainability, providing a competitive advantage.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for the commodities BHP produces exceeds trillions of dollars annually. BHP's diversified portfolio allows it to capture a significant share, particularly in iron ore and copper.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Diversified portfolio of commodities
- Tier 1 assets with low production costs
- Strong operational efficiency
- Solid balance sheet
- Global presence and established customer relationships
Weaknesses
- Exposure to commodity price volatility
- Geopolitical and regulatory risks
- Environmental liabilities associated with mining operations
- High capital expenditure requirements
- Dependence on key markets like China
Opportunities
- Growing demand for copper and nickel in the energy transition
- Expansion into new commodities like potash
- Technological advancements in mining and processing
- Increasing focus on sustainability and responsible mining practices
- Acquisitions of strategic assets
Threats
- Economic slowdown in key markets
- Increased competition from other mining companies
- Environmental regulations and climate change policies
- Labor disputes and supply chain disruptions
- Geopolitical instability and resource nationalism
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- RIO
- VALE
- FCX
- GLNCY
Competitive Landscape
BHP competes with other major mining companies on a global scale. They have a competitive advantage due to their Tier 1 assets, operational efficiency, and strong balance sheet. However, they face challenges from increasing competition and regulatory pressures.
Major Acquisitions
OZ Minerals
- Year: 2023
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 6400
- Strategic Rationale: Acquisition of OZ Minerals expands BHP's copper and nickel portfolio, aligning with its focus on future-facing commodities.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: BHP's historical growth has been driven by acquisitions, organic expansions, and increasing production volumes. Commodity prices have also played a significant role.
Future Projections: Future growth is expected to be driven by increasing demand for copper and nickel, as well as the development of the Jansen potash project. Analyst estimates vary but generally project moderate growth in revenue and earnings.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in copper and nickel projects, the development of the Jansen potash project, and a focus on sustainability and decarbonization. Divestment of the Petroleum business to Woodside.
Summary
BHP Group is a strong diversified miner with world-class assets and solid operational efficiency. The company benefits from increasing demand for commodities like copper and nickel, driven by the energy transition. However, BHP is exposed to commodity price volatility and geopolitical risks. The OZ Minerals acquisition strategically enhances its portfolio, while a focus on sustainability helps address long-term challenges.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company reports, Financial news outlets, Analyst estimates
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market share data are estimates and may vary. Financial data requires live updates for accuracy.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About BHP Group Limited
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Melbourne, VIC, Australia | ||
IPO Launch date 1987-05-28 | CEO & Executive Director Mr. Mike P. Henry B.Sc., BSc (Chem) | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Full time employees 38962 | Website https://www.bhp.com |
Full time employees 38962 | Website https://www.bhp.com |
BHP Group Limited operates as a resources company in Australia, Europe, China, Japan, India, South Korea, the rest of Asia, North America, South America, and internationally. The company operates through Copper, Iron Ore, and Coal segments. It engages in the mining of copper, uranium, gold, zinc, lead, molybdenum, silver, iron ore, cobalt, and metallurgical and energy coal. The company is also involved in the mining, smelting, and refining of nickel, as well as potash development activities. In addition, it provides towing, freight, marketing and trading, marketing support, finance, administrative, and other services. The company was founded in 1851 and is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.
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