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Upturn AI Summary - About
Rio Tinto ADR(RIO)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for RIO
10/28/2026: RIO (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Rio Tinto ADR is a globally significant mining and metals company known for its large-scale, low-cost assets in iron ore, copper, and aluminum. The company has historically strong margins and serves as a major supplier to global infrastructure and electrification industries. A primary growth story centers on its expansion into critical minerals essential for the energy transition, though this is tempered by sensitivity to volatile commodity prices and Chinese industrial demand. Investors should monitor capital allocation, operational execution in key projects like Oyu Tolgoi, and changing environmental regulations. It may suit income-focused investors due to its regular dividend payments, though volatility risk remains a factor.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is tied to long-term commodity cycles rather than rapid, consistent capital appreciation. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | Momentum is highly dependent on cyclical commodity price upturns, making it volatile. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The company often trades at reasonable valuations relative to its long-term asset value. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | Rio Tinto has a history of prioritizing significant cash returns to shareholders through dividends. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | While established, the stock is subject to high volatility from global commodity price swings. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Earnings are directly tied to fluctuating global commodity prices. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Cyclical peaks can lead to overvaluation, while troughs may obscure asset value. |
| Competition risk (Commodity producers) | Medium | Low-cost production by global peers can pressure margins. |
| Business quality | Strong | The company owns world-class, long-life assets that define its market position. |
| Dividend income | Medium / high | Dividends are generous but variable based on cash flow and market conditions. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Large-scale infrastructure and mining projects carry significant technical and timing risks. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Smooth
The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 18.21% | Avg. Invested days 51 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/28/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 139.45B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 11.62 | 1Y Target Price 102.71 |
Price to earnings Ratio 11.62 | 1Y Target Price 102.71 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2.2M shares | Beta 0.66 | 52 Weeks Range 64.48 - 110.16 | Updated Date 10/28/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 64.48 - 110.16 | Updated Date 10/28/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 5.55% | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.38 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Iron Ore | Extraction and sale of iron ore from Pilbara operations. | This is the primary engine of profit for the company. |
| Aluminum | Bauxite mining, alumina, and aluminum metal products. | Provides secondary income with different cycle sensitivities. |
| Copper | Copper mining and concentrate processing. | A growing segment focused on green-energy demand. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 11.62 | Forward PE 10.35 | Enterprise Value 152.24B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.26 |
Enterprise Value 152.24B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.26 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.41 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.7 | Shares Outstanding 1.25B | Shares Floating 1.43B |
Shares Outstanding 1.25B | Shares Floating 1.43B | ||
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 10.47 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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