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BXMT 
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc (BXMT)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/12/2025: BXMT (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
8 Analysts rated it
Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.
1 Year Target Price $20.43
1 Year Target Price $20.43
| 3 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 5 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -17.89% | Avg. Invested days 28 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  1.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/12/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.09B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 29.25 | 1Y Target Price 20.43 |
Price to earnings Ratio 29.25 | 1Y Target Price 20.43 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 8 | Beta 1.11 | 52 Weeks Range 15.54 - 19.74 | Updated Date 11/12/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 15.54 - 19.74 | Updated Date 11/12/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 10.38% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.63 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-10-22 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.25 | Actual 0.24 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 27.25% | Operating Margin (TTM) 45.6% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.52% | Return on Equity (TTM) 2.88% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 29.25 | Forward PE 57.14 | Enterprise Value 18194946048 | Price to Sales(TTM) 7.86 |
Enterprise Value 18194946048 | Price to Sales(TTM) 7.86 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 37.08 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 167723732 | Shares Floating 158599450 |
Shares Outstanding 167723732 | Shares Floating 158599450 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.16 | Percent Institutions 67.05 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (BXMT) was formed in 2012 and is managed by Blackstone. It is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that originates and purchases senior mortgage loans collateralized by commercial real estate in North America and Europe.
Core Business Areas
- Commercial Real Estate Lending: BXMT focuses on originating and purchasing senior mortgage loans secured by high-quality, income-producing commercial real estate. Loans are primarily floating-rate and senior in the capital structure.
Leadership and Structure
BXMT is led by a team of experienced real estate and finance professionals within Blackstone. The structure involves a board of directors overseeing management, which is responsible for investment decisions and operations. Katie Keenan serves as the CEO.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Senior Mortgage Loans: BXMT's primary product is senior secured commercial mortgage loans. Information on current market share is not available. Competitors include other commercial mortgage REITs like Starwood Property Trust (STWD) and Arbor Realty Trust (ABR).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The commercial real estate lending market is influenced by interest rates, economic growth, and property values. Rising interest rates and economic uncertainty can impact loan origination volumes and credit quality.
Positioning
BXMT is positioned as a large, well-capitalized lender with access to Blackstone's extensive real estate platform, providing a competitive advantage in sourcing and managing loans. Its access to the Blackstone platform gives it advantages over its competitors
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM is the commercial real estate debt market, estimated in the trillions of dollars. BXMT, with its market capitalization, captures a small fraction of this TAM. Positioning depends on deployment strategy and market cycles.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong sponsorship from Blackstone
- Experienced management team
- Large-scale lending platform
- Focus on senior secured loans
- Floating-rate loan portfolio provides inflation hedge
Weaknesses
- Sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations
- Concentration in certain property types and geographies
- Dependence on commercial real estate market conditions
- Reliance on continued access to capital markets
- Potential for credit losses during economic downturns
Opportunities
- Expansion into new property types and geographies
- Increased demand for commercial real estate financing
- Strategic acquisitions of smaller lenders
- Growth in alternative lending channels
- Capitalize on distressed debt opportunities
Threats
- Rising interest rates
- Economic recession
- Increased competition from other lenders
- Regulatory changes
- Decline in commercial property values
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Starwood Property Trust (STWD)
- Arbor Realty Trust (ABR)
- Ladder Capital Corp (LADR)
Competitive Landscape
BXMT has the benefit of the Blackstone platform. Competitors may specialize in different types of commercial real estate or have different risk appetites.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: BXMT's historical growth is tied to the expansion of its loan portfolio and overall commercial real estate market conditions.
Future Projections: Future growth projections depend on analyst estimates, which are influenced by interest rate expectations, economic forecasts, and BXMT's ability to deploy capital effectively.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives could include strategic loan originations, portfolio management activities, and capital raising efforts.
Summary
Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT) leverages the robust Blackstone platform. Its floating-rate portfolio is well-positioned in rising interest rate environments. However, it is vulnerable to economic downturns and increased competition. Continued portfolio diversification is key.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Website
- SEC Filings
- Financial News Outlets
- Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
The data provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market share data is estimated and may not be precise. Actual results may vary.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters New York, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1987-11-05 | CEO - | ||
Sector Real Estate | Industry REIT - Mortgage | Full time employees - | |
Full time employees - | |||
Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc., a real estate finance company, originates senior loans collateralized by commercial properties in North America, Europe, and Australia. The company originates and acquires senior, floating rate mortgage loans that are secured by a first-priority mortgage on commercial real estate assets. It operates as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. The company was formerly known as Capital Trust, Inc. and changed its name to Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. in May 2013. Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
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