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BXMT 
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc (BXMT)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/03/2025: BXMT (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
8 Analysts rated it
Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.
1 Year Target Price $20.57
1 Year Target Price $20.57
| 3 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 5 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -16.11% | Avg. Invested days 26 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 12/03/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.35B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 31.02 | 1Y Target Price 20.57 |
Price to earnings Ratio 31.02 | 1Y Target Price 20.57 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 8 | Beta 1.11 | 52 Weeks Range 15.54 - 19.78 | Updated Date 12/3/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 15.54 - 19.78 | Updated Date 12/3/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 9.66% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.63 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 27.25% | Operating Margin (TTM) 45.6% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.52% | Return on Equity (TTM) 2.88% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 31.02 | Forward PE 57.14 | Enterprise Value 18382876672 | Price to Sales(TTM) 8.52 |
Enterprise Value 18382876672 | Price to Sales(TTM) 8.52 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 37.53 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 167723732 | Shares Floating 158555430 |
Shares Outstanding 167723732 | Shares Floating 158555430 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.19 | Percent Institutions 65.61 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (BXMT) was founded in 2012 as a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on originating and purchasing senior mortgage loans collateralized by commercial real estate. It is managed by Blackstone Real Estate, a business unit of Blackstone.
Core Business Areas
- Commercial Real Estate Lending: Originates and purchases senior mortgage loans secured by commercial real estate assets located primarily in the U.S. and Europe. These loans are typically floating-rate and have short-term durations.
Leadership and Structure
BXMT is externally managed by Blackstone Real Estate Advisors L.L.C., a subsidiary of Blackstone. Katie Keenan is the CEO. The company operates as a REIT, governed by a board of directors.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Senior Mortgage Loans: BXMT's primary product is originating and investing in senior mortgage loans secured by high-quality, institutional commercial real estate. The market share data specifically for BXMT's senior mortgage loans is difficult to obtain, but they are a significant player in the CRE lending space. Competitors include Ares Commercial Real Estate, Starwood Property Trust, and Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The commercial real estate lending industry is influenced by macroeconomic factors, interest rates, and property valuations. Currently, higher interest rates and economic uncertainty are creating headwinds for the industry.
Positioning
BXMT is a leading commercial mortgage REIT with access to Blackstone's extensive real estate platform and origination network. This gives them a competitive advantage in sourcing and underwriting loans.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The Commercial Real Estate lending market is estimated to be in the trillions of dollars. BXMT's positioning benefits from Blackstone's large footprint, allowing them to participate in significant transactions. However, given the highly competitive environment, their TAM is still just a small percentage of the total market.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong relationship with Blackstone
- Experienced management team
- Focus on senior secured loans
- Access to capital
Weaknesses
- External management structure
- Sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations
- Concentration risk in certain markets and property types
- Dependence on Blackstone's expertise
Opportunities
- Growth in commercial real estate lending market
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Increased demand for alternative financing
- Distressed debt opportunities
Threats
- Rising interest rates
- Economic recession
- Increased competition
- Regulatory changes
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- STWD
- ARE
- LADR
- CLI
Competitive Landscape
BXMT benefits from its affiliation with Blackstone, providing access to deal flow and capital. However, external management creates potential conflicts of interest. Its ability to manage credit risk effectively and maintain a competitive cost of capital are critical for success.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth is dependent on loan origination volume and portfolio performance. This is affected by market conditions and credit spreads.
Future Projections: Future projections are based on analyst estimates, considering macroeconomic forecasts and BXMT's lending strategies.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives might include strategic investments, portfolio diversification efforts, and capital allocation strategies.
Summary
Blackstone Mortgage Trust benefits from its association with Blackstone's real estate platform, providing a steady deal flow. However, its external management structure and sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations are potential drawbacks. BXMT needs to carefully manage its credit risk and adapt to changing market conditions to maintain its competitiveness and deliver shareholder value.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings (SEC), Analyst reports, Industry publications, Press releases
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters New York, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1987-11-05 | CEO, Global Head of BREDS & Chairman of the Board Mr. Timothy Johnson | ||
Sector Real Estate | Industry REIT - Mortgage | Full time employees - | |
Full time employees - | |||
Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc., a real estate finance company, originates senior loans collateralized by commercial properties in North America, Europe, and Australia. The company originates and acquires senior, floating rate mortgage loans that are secured by a first-priority mortgage on commercial real estate assets. It operates as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. The company was formerly known as Capital Trust, Inc. and changed its name to Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. in May 2013. Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
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