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CAKE logo CAKE
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
CAKE logo

The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$65.7
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY22.78%
upturn advisory
Strong Buy
BUY since 36 days
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  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
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Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
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Upturn Advisory Summary

07/03/2025: CAKE (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 36 days. Profits (22.78%). Updated daily EoD!

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Number of Analysts

rating

19 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $57

1 Year Target Price $57

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$57 Target price
52w Low $32.72
Current$65.7
52w High $65.99

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 34.61%
Avg. Invested days 46
Today’s Advisory Strong Buy
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 07/03/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 3.25B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 20.6
1Y Target Price 57
Price to earnings Ratio 20.6
1Y Target Price 57
Volume (30-day avg) 19
Beta 1.14
52 Weeks Range 32.72 - 65.99
Updated Date 07/5/2025
52 Weeks Range 32.72 - 65.99
Updated Date 07/5/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 1.72%
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.19

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 4.33%
Operating Margin (TTM) 5.75%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 4.31%
Return on Equity (TTM) 46.6%

Valuation

Trailing PE 20.6
Forward PE 18.42
Enterprise Value 5220571716
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.9
Enterprise Value 5220571716
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.9
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.44
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 18.62
Shares Outstanding 49528000
Shares Floating 40345465
Shares Outstanding 49528000
Shares Floating 40345465
Percent Insiders 8.11
Percent Institutions 112.38

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

The Cheesecake Factory

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated was founded in 1978 by David Overton in Beverly Hills, California. Initially a bakery, it expanded into a full-service restaurant with a diverse menu. Key milestones include its IPO in 1992 and subsequent expansion across the United States and internationally.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Restaurant Operations: The primary business segment, encompassing the operation of full-service restaurants under The Cheesecake Factory, Grand Lux Cafe, and RockSugar Southeast Asian Kitchen brands. These restaurants offer an extensive menu featuring a wide variety of dishes, including appetizers, entrees, desserts, and beverages.
  • Bakery Operations: Production and distribution of cheesecakes and other baked goods to its own restaurants and to third-party distributors, primarily in the retail and foodservice channels. The company's cheesecakes are a significant revenue driver.
  • Licensing: The Cheesecake Factory also generates revenue through licensing agreements, allowing other entities to operate restaurants under its brand in certain international locations.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The CEO is David Overton (Chairman and CEO). The organizational structure includes executive leadership responsible for operations, finance, marketing, and development, reporting to the CEO and the Board of Directors.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Cheesecakes: The Cheesecake Factory's signature product, offered in a wide variety of flavors. This constitutes a large share of their bakery revenue. Competitors include bakeries, grocery store chains, and other restaurants with dessert offerings. Accurate market share data specific to Cheesecake Factory cheesecakes is challenging to obtain as it's a niche segment within the broader dessert market. The Company's Cheesecake Sales were $148.6 million in 2023.
  • Entrees: A diverse menu of appetizers, salads, pastas, steaks, seafood, and sandwiches. These items contribute significantly to restaurant revenue. Competitors are other full-service casual dining restaurants. The Cheesecake Factory competes with other casual dining brands and upscale restaurants.
  • Beverages: A full range of alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages. Competitors include all other restaurants and bar chains.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The restaurant industry is highly competitive and subject to economic fluctuations, changing consumer preferences, and regulatory changes. Growth drivers include population growth, disposable income, and tourism. However, the industry is also facing challenges such as rising labor costs, commodity price inflation, and increasing competition from fast-casual chains and delivery services.

Positioning

The Cheesecake Factory is positioned as an upscale casual dining restaurant with a focus on high-quality food, large portions, and an extensive menu. Its competitive advantages include brand recognition, a loyal customer base, and a wide range of menu options.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total addressable market for the casual dining sector in the US is estimated to be hundreds of billions of dollars. The Cheesecake Factory is positioned to capture a substantial share of this TAM through its strong brand, extensive menu, and strategic locations.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand recognition
  • Loyal customer base
  • Extensive menu offering
  • High-quality food
  • Large portion sizes
  • Strategic locations

Weaknesses

  • High menu prices
  • Long wait times during peak hours
  • Complex menu increases operational costs
  • Susceptibility to commodity price fluctuations

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new markets (international and domestic)
  • Development of new menu items and innovative concepts
  • Enhancement of online ordering and delivery capabilities
  • Leveraging digital marketing and social media
  • Expansion of licensing agreements

Threats

  • Increased competition from other restaurant chains
  • Economic downturns affecting consumer spending
  • Rising labor costs and commodity prices
  • Changing consumer preferences for healthier options
  • Food safety concerns and outbreaks

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • DRI
  • TXRH
  • CAKE

Competitive Landscape

The Cheesecake Factory competes with a wide range of casual dining chains. Its advantages include its extensive menu and brand recognition. Disadvantages include higher prices and longer wait times compared to some competitors.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: The Cheesecake Factory has experienced moderate growth over the past decade, driven by new store openings and same-store sales increases.

Future Projections: Analyst estimates project continued moderate growth in revenue and earnings, driven by ongoing expansion and operational improvements. The expected sales growth rate is expected to increase by 5% to 6% annually.

Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include enhancing online ordering and delivery capabilities, investing in technology to improve operational efficiency, and expanding into new international markets.

Summary

The Cheesecake Factory is a well-established brand with a loyal customer base. While the company has strong brand recognition and an extensive menu, it must navigate competitive pressures, rising costs, and changing consumer preferences. Its strategic initiatives focused on technology, online ordering, and international expansion are crucial for sustained growth. The recent return to paying dividends should be a positive indicator for shareholders.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Analyst reports
  • Industry reports
  • Company Website and Investor Relations

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market share data is approximate and may vary by source. Financial data is based on publicly available information and is subject to change.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About The Cheesecake Factory

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Calabasas, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 1992-09-17
Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. David M. Overton
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Restaurants
Full time employees 47900
Full time employees 47900

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates and licenses restaurants in the United States and Canada. The company operates bakeries that produce cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors. It operates restaurants under the brands comprising The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, Flower Child, and Fox Restaurant Concepts. The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Calabasas, California.