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The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/26/2026: CAKE (4-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 45 days. Simulated Profits (24.60%). Updated daily EoD!
1 Year Target Price $64.67
1 Year Target Price $64.67
| 7 | Strong Buy |
| 2 | Buy |
| 6 | Hold |
| 2 | Sell |
| 2 | Strong Sell |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.29B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 20.04 | 1Y Target Price 64.67 |
Price to earnings Ratio 20.04 | 1Y Target Price 64.67 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 19 | Beta 0.98 | 52 Weeks Range 42.05 - 69.00 | Updated Date 02/26/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 42.05 - 69.00 | Updated Date 02/26/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.68% | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.29 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-02-25 | When - | Estimate 0.9961 | Actual 1 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 3.96% | Operating Margin (TTM) 7% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.46% | Return on Equity (TTM) 33.74% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 20.04 | Forward PE 15.53 | Enterprise Value 5235782721 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.88 |
Enterprise Value 5235782721 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.88 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.41 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.81 | Shares Outstanding 49841690 | Shares Floating 40314332 |
Shares Outstanding 49841690 | Shares Floating 40314332 | ||
Percent Insiders 8.56 | Percent Institutions 115.63 |
Upturn AI SWOT
The Cheesecake Factory

Company Overview
History and Background
The Cheesecake Factory was founded by Evelyn Overton in 1972 in Detroit, Michigan, with the opening of a small bakery. Her signature cheesecake gained popularity, leading to the opening of the first full-service restaurant in Beverly Hills, California, in 1978. The company has since grown into a well-known casual dining chain with a diverse menu and a strong emphasis on its extensive cheesecake offerings. Key milestones include its expansion into multiple states and international markets, and its initial public offering (IPO) in 1992. The company also operates other restaurant concepts and licensing agreements.
Core Business Areas
- The Cheesecake Factory Restaurants: This is the flagship brand, featuring a broad menu with over 250 food items and 30+ cheesecakes and desserts. The restaurants are known for their large portion sizes and casual, energetic atmosphere.
- Grand Lux Cafe: A more upscale casual dining concept, offering a diverse menu inspired by the cuisines of Europe, Asia, and the Americas, with a focus on global flavors.
- Other Restaurant Concepts: Includes brands like True Food Kitchen (focusing on health-conscious, seasonal ingredients) and Flower Child (fast-casual healthy eating), acquired or developed to diversify the portfolio.
- Foodservice and Licensing: Involves the sale of cheesecakes and other baked goods to other foodservice providers and retailers, as well as international licensing agreements for The Cheesecake Factory brand.
Leadership and Structure
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ: CAKE) is led by a management team including its President and CEO, David Overton. The company operates under a corporate structure with various departments overseeing restaurant operations, culinary development, marketing, finance, and human resources.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Cheesecakes: The iconic product, with a wide variety of flavors like Original, Godiva Chocolate Cheesecake, and Strawberry Cheesecake. While specific market share data for individual cheesecake flavors is proprietary, The Cheesecake Factory is a dominant player in the premium dessert/cheesecake segment of the restaurant industry. Competitors include other casual dining restaurants with dessert menus and specialty dessert shops.
- Extensive Menu: The broad menu includes appetizers, salads, sandwiches, pastas, seafood, steaks, and more. The variety is a key differentiator. Competitors are virtually all casual dining restaurants.
- Beverages: A full range of alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages, including specialty cocktails and coffees.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The casual dining restaurant industry is highly competitive and subject to changing consumer preferences, economic conditions, and labor market dynamics. Key trends include the growing demand for healthy options, plant-based foods, off-premise dining (delivery and takeout), and digital ordering technologies.
Positioning
The Cheesecake Factory is positioned as a mid-to-upper casual dining restaurant known for its extensive menu, generous portions, and signature cheesecakes. Its competitive advantages lie in its strong brand recognition, diversified menu that appeals to a wide range of tastes, and efficient operational model. However, it faces intense competition from other casual dining chains, fast-casual concepts, and meal delivery services.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for the US casual dining market is substantial, estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars annually. The Cheesecake Factory operates within this large market, competing for consumer dining dollars. Its positioning is that of a well-established player with broad appeal, aiming to capture a significant portion of this market through its unique dining experience and menu.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition and customer loyalty.
- Extensive and diverse menu catering to various palates.
- Iconic and highly popular cheesecake offerings.
- Established operational efficiency and supply chain management.
- Diversified restaurant portfolio (e.g., Grand Lux Cafe, True Food Kitchen).
Weaknesses
- Perceived as less healthy by some consumers compared to fast-casual alternatives.
- High fixed costs associated with large restaurant footprints.
- Reliance on dine-in traffic, making it vulnerable to disruptions.
- Menu complexity can lead to longer ticket times.
Opportunities
- Expansion of off-premise dining services (delivery and takeout).
- Leveraging technology for enhanced customer experience and operational efficiency.
- Further diversification into fast-casual or health-focused concepts.
- International market expansion.
- Menu innovation to incorporate trending dietary preferences (e.g., plant-based).
Threats
- Intense competition from other restaurant chains and emerging food concepts.
- Rising labor and food costs.
- Economic downturns impacting consumer discretionary spending.
- Changing consumer health trends and dietary preferences.
- Potential for negative publicity or health scares.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Darden Restaurants (DRI)
- Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG)
- Starbucks Corporation (SBUX)
- Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN)
Competitive Landscape
The Cheesecake Factory competes in a crowded market. While it has a strong niche with its unique menu and dessert focus, it faces competition from large diversified restaurant groups (like Darden) with multiple brands, fast-casual giants (like Chipotle) offering speed and perceived health benefits, and coffee-centric brands (like Starbucks) that are expanding their food offerings. The Cheesecake Factory's advantage lies in its distinctive brand experience and extensive menu, but it must continually adapt to evolving consumer preferences for speed, health, and convenience.
Major Acquisitions
True Food Kitchen
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: Acquisition to diversify into the fast-growing healthy, anti-inflammatory food segment and leverage its existing operational expertise.
Flower Child
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: Acquisition to expand its presence in the fast-casual healthy eating market, complementing True Food Kitchen.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: The Cheesecake Factory has demonstrated consistent growth over decades, driven by new restaurant openings, same-store sales growth, and expansion of its brand portfolio. Growth has been supported by a strong brand and effective operational execution.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for The Cheesecake Factory's future growth often focus on continued same-store sales increases, disciplined new unit development, and the performance of its acquired and developing brands. Projections typically anticipate modest revenue growth, with efforts to enhance profitability through operational efficiencies and menu optimization.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include enhancing the off-premise dining experience, investing in technology for improved customer engagement and operational flow, expanding the footprint of its other restaurant concepts like True Food Kitchen, and focusing on menu innovation to adapt to evolving consumer tastes.
Summary
The Cheesecake Factory is a well-established casual dining chain with strong brand recognition and a popular, diverse menu. Its core strength lies in its iconic desserts and broad appeal. However, the company faces intense competition and evolving consumer preferences towards health and convenience. Future success will depend on its ability to adapt through digital innovation, menu diversification into healthier options, and strategic expansion of its portfolio of restaurant concepts.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Investor Relations (SEC Filings - 10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg)
- Industry Research Reports
- Financial Data Providers (e.g., Refinitiv, FactSet)
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Numerical data provided is illustrative and may not reflect the most current figures. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Market share data is an estimation and actual figures may vary.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About The Cheesecake Factory
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Calabasas, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1992-09-17 | Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. David M. Overton | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Restaurants | Full time employees 48000 | |
Full time employees 48000 | |||
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates and licenses restaurants in the United States and Canada. It operates bakeries that produce cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors. The company operates restaurants under the brands comprising The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, Flower Child, and Fox Restaurant Concepts. The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Calabasas, California.

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