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The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
07/03/2025: CAKE (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 36 days. Profits (22.78%). Updated daily EoD!
1 Year Target Price $57
1 Year Target Price $57
7 | Strong Buy |
2 | Buy |
6 | Hold |
2 | Sell |
2 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 34.61% | Avg. Invested days 46 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.25B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 20.6 | 1Y Target Price 57 |
Price to earnings Ratio 20.6 | 1Y Target Price 57 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 19 | Beta 1.14 | 52 Weeks Range 32.72 - 65.99 | Updated Date 07/5/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 32.72 - 65.99 | Updated Date 07/5/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.72% | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.19 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.33% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5.75% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.31% | Return on Equity (TTM) 46.6% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 20.6 | Forward PE 18.42 | Enterprise Value 5220571716 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.9 |
Enterprise Value 5220571716 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.9 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.44 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 18.62 | Shares Outstanding 49528000 | Shares Floating 40345465 |
Shares Outstanding 49528000 | Shares Floating 40345465 | ||
Percent Insiders 8.11 | Percent Institutions 112.38 |
Upturn AI SWOT
The Cheesecake Factory

Company Overview
History and Background
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated was founded in 1978 by David Overton in Beverly Hills, California. Initially a bakery, it expanded into a full-service restaurant with a diverse menu. Key milestones include its IPO in 1992 and subsequent expansion across the United States and internationally.
Core Business Areas
- Restaurant Operations: The primary business segment, encompassing the operation of full-service restaurants under The Cheesecake Factory, Grand Lux Cafe, and RockSugar Southeast Asian Kitchen brands. These restaurants offer an extensive menu featuring a wide variety of dishes, including appetizers, entrees, desserts, and beverages.
- Bakery Operations: Production and distribution of cheesecakes and other baked goods to its own restaurants and to third-party distributors, primarily in the retail and foodservice channels. The company's cheesecakes are a significant revenue driver.
- Licensing: The Cheesecake Factory also generates revenue through licensing agreements, allowing other entities to operate restaurants under its brand in certain international locations.
Leadership and Structure
The CEO is David Overton (Chairman and CEO). The organizational structure includes executive leadership responsible for operations, finance, marketing, and development, reporting to the CEO and the Board of Directors.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Cheesecakes: The Cheesecake Factory's signature product, offered in a wide variety of flavors. This constitutes a large share of their bakery revenue. Competitors include bakeries, grocery store chains, and other restaurants with dessert offerings. Accurate market share data specific to Cheesecake Factory cheesecakes is challenging to obtain as it's a niche segment within the broader dessert market. The Company's Cheesecake Sales were $148.6 million in 2023.
- Entrees: A diverse menu of appetizers, salads, pastas, steaks, seafood, and sandwiches. These items contribute significantly to restaurant revenue. Competitors are other full-service casual dining restaurants. The Cheesecake Factory competes with other casual dining brands and upscale restaurants.
- Beverages: A full range of alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages. Competitors include all other restaurants and bar chains.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The restaurant industry is highly competitive and subject to economic fluctuations, changing consumer preferences, and regulatory changes. Growth drivers include population growth, disposable income, and tourism. However, the industry is also facing challenges such as rising labor costs, commodity price inflation, and increasing competition from fast-casual chains and delivery services.
Positioning
The Cheesecake Factory is positioned as an upscale casual dining restaurant with a focus on high-quality food, large portions, and an extensive menu. Its competitive advantages include brand recognition, a loyal customer base, and a wide range of menu options.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for the casual dining sector in the US is estimated to be hundreds of billions of dollars. The Cheesecake Factory is positioned to capture a substantial share of this TAM through its strong brand, extensive menu, and strategic locations.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition
- Loyal customer base
- Extensive menu offering
- High-quality food
- Large portion sizes
- Strategic locations
Weaknesses
- High menu prices
- Long wait times during peak hours
- Complex menu increases operational costs
- Susceptibility to commodity price fluctuations
Opportunities
- Expansion into new markets (international and domestic)
- Development of new menu items and innovative concepts
- Enhancement of online ordering and delivery capabilities
- Leveraging digital marketing and social media
- Expansion of licensing agreements
Threats
- Increased competition from other restaurant chains
- Economic downturns affecting consumer spending
- Rising labor costs and commodity prices
- Changing consumer preferences for healthier options
- Food safety concerns and outbreaks
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- DRI
- TXRH
- CAKE
Competitive Landscape
The Cheesecake Factory competes with a wide range of casual dining chains. Its advantages include its extensive menu and brand recognition. Disadvantages include higher prices and longer wait times compared to some competitors.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: The Cheesecake Factory has experienced moderate growth over the past decade, driven by new store openings and same-store sales increases.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates project continued moderate growth in revenue and earnings, driven by ongoing expansion and operational improvements. The expected sales growth rate is expected to increase by 5% to 6% annually.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include enhancing online ordering and delivery capabilities, investing in technology to improve operational efficiency, and expanding into new international markets.
Summary
The Cheesecake Factory is a well-established brand with a loyal customer base. While the company has strong brand recognition and an extensive menu, it must navigate competitive pressures, rising costs, and changing consumer preferences. Its strategic initiatives focused on technology, online ordering, and international expansion are crucial for sustained growth. The recent return to paying dividends should be a positive indicator for shareholders.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Analyst reports
- Industry reports
- Company Website and Investor Relations
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market share data is approximate and may vary by source. Financial data is based on publicly available information and is subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About The Cheesecake Factory
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Calabasas, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1992-09-17 | Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. David M. Overton | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Restaurants | Full time employees 47900 | |
Full time employees 47900 |
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates and licenses restaurants in the United States and Canada. The company operates bakeries that produce cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors. It operates restaurants under the brands comprising The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, Flower Child, and Fox Restaurant Concepts. The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Calabasas, California.
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