CAKE official logo CAKE
CAKE 3-star rating from Upturn Advisory
The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) company logo

The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)

The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) 3-star rating from Upturn Advisory
$52.55
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY0.61%
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Strong Buy
BUY since 4 days
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Upturn Advisory Summary

12/26/2025: CAKE (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 4 days. Simulated Profits (0.61%). Updated daily EoD!

Upturn Star Rating

Upturn 3 star rating for performance

Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Number of Analysts

3 star rating from financial analysts

19 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $59.05

1 Year Target Price $59.05

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$59.05 Target price
52w Low $42.05
Current$52.55
52w High $69

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 34.15%
Avg. Invested days 44
Today’s Advisory Strong Buy
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 12/26/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 2.62B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 15.97
1Y Target Price 59.05
Price to earnings Ratio 15.97
1Y Target Price 59.05
Volume (30-day avg) 19
Beta 0.96
52 Weeks Range 42.05 - 69.00
Updated Date 12/28/2025
52 Weeks Range 42.05 - 69.00
Updated Date 12/28/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 2.09%
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.29

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 4.33%
Operating Margin (TTM) 4.2%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 4.42%
Return on Equity (TTM) 39.14%

Valuation

Trailing PE 15.97
Forward PE 13.14
Enterprise Value 4568302809
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.71
Enterprise Value 4568302809
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.71
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.23
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.54
Shares Outstanding 49841690
Shares Floating 40401592
Shares Outstanding 49841690
Shares Floating 40401592
Percent Insiders 8.01
Percent Institutions 115.22

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI SWOT

The Cheesecake Factory

The Cheesecake Factory(CAKE) company logo displayed in Upturn AI summary

Company Overview

Company history and background logo History and Background

The Cheesecake Factory was founded by Oscar and Evelyn Overton in 1978, opening its first restaurant in Los Angeles, California. It started as a small bakery and gradually expanded into a full-service restaurant concept known for its extensive menu and signature cheesecakes. Significant milestones include its expansion into a multi-unit operation and its IPO in 1992. Over time, the company has evolved to include multiple restaurant brands and a consumer packaged goods line.

Company business area logo Core Business Areas

  • The Cheesecake Factory Restaurants: This is the flagship segment, operating full-service casual dining restaurants known for their large menus, including a wide variety of cheesecakes. They offer a diverse range of appetizers, salads, sandwiches, main courses, and desserts.
  • Grand Lux Cafe: This segment operates upscale casual dining restaurants with an international menu, inspired by the 'grand cafes' of Europe. The ambiance is more sophisticated, and the menu offers a broad selection of American, Asian, and European-inspired dishes.
  • North Italia: This segment focuses on authentic, handcrafted Italian cuisine, with a strong emphasis on fresh ingredients, house-made pasta, and wood-fired pizzas in a vibrant atmosphere.
  • Catalina Island Company: This segment owns and operates hospitality properties and attractions on Catalina Island, California, offering a different business model focused on tourism and leisure.
  • Foodservice: This segment involves the sale of cheesecakes and other baked goods to other foodservice operators and retailers, primarily through its own bakery production facilities.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ: CAKE) is led by a seasoned management team. Key positions typically include a Chief Executive Officer, President, Chief Financial Officer, and various executive vice presidents overseeing operations, marketing, human resources, and culinary development. The company operates under a corporate structure with distinct management teams for its various restaurant brands.

Top Products and Market Share

Product Key Offerings logo Key Offerings

  • Cheesecakes: The company's namesake product, offering a wide variety of flavors and styles. While specific market share for just cheesecakes is hard to isolate, they are a primary driver of brand recognition and sales for The Cheesecake Factory restaurants. Competitors include other dessert specialty shops and bakery sections of supermarkets.
  • Extensive Menu: The Cheesecake Factory restaurants are renowned for their incredibly broad and diverse menu, encompassing appetizers, salads, sandwiches, burgers, main courses (Italian, American, Asian-inspired), and of course, desserts. This broad appeal is a key differentiator. Competitors include a vast array of casual dining chains and independent restaurants.
  • North Italia Offerings: Handcrafted pasta, pizzas, antipasti, and desserts. This segment competes in the growing upscale casual Italian dining market. Key competitors include Eataly, Olive Garden (though a different segment), and numerous independent Italian eateries.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The casual dining and restaurant industry in the U.S. is highly competitive and sensitive to economic conditions, consumer spending habits, and evolving dining trends. Key trends include a growing demand for authentic and diverse cuisines, a focus on health and wellness, the continued rise of off-premise dining (takeout and delivery), and the influence of social media on dining choices.

Positioning

The Cheesecake Factory is positioned as a full-service, casual dining restaurant known for its expansive menu, generous portions, and signature cheesecakes. Its competitive advantages include brand recognition, a unique dining experience, and a diverse menu that appeals to a broad demographic. The company also benefits from its multi-brand strategy, allowing it to tap into different market segments with Grand Lux Cafe and North Italia.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The Total Addressable Market for casual dining in the U.S. is in the hundreds of billions of dollars annually. The Cheesecake Factory, with its various brands, targets a significant portion of this market. Its position is strong within its established casual dining niche, and its expansion into more focused concepts like North Italia allows it to capture further market share. However, the industry is fragmented, with many players vying for consumer dollars.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand recognition and customer loyalty.
  • Diverse and extensive menu appealing to a wide range of tastes.
  • Successful multi-brand portfolio (The Cheesecake Factory, Grand Lux Cafe, North Italia).
  • Efficient bakery production capabilities for cheesecakes and other desserts.
  • Experienced management team.

Weaknesses

  • High operating costs associated with large menus and extensive ingredient sourcing.
  • Perceived as a 'special occasion' restaurant for some, potentially limiting frequency of visits.
  • Vulnerability to economic downturns impacting discretionary spending.
  • Intense competition in the casual dining sector.

Opportunities

  • Expansion of the North Italia brand.
  • Growth in off-premise dining and delivery services.
  • Leveraging its bakery expertise for further product innovation and distribution.
  • Targeting new demographic segments with updated menu offerings or branding.
  • International expansion opportunities.

Threats

  • Increasing labor costs and labor shortages.
  • Rising food costs and supply chain disruptions.
  • Shifting consumer preferences towards healthier options or different dining experiences.
  • Aggressive pricing and promotional activities by competitors.
  • Potential for negative publicity or food safety incidents.

Competitors and Market Share

Key competitor logo Key Competitors

  • Darden Restaurants (DRI)
  • Brinker International (EAT)
  • Bloomin' Brands (BLMN)
  • Chuy's Holdings (CHUY)
  • Texas Roadhouse (TXRH)

Competitive Landscape

The Cheesecake Factory operates in a highly competitive casual dining market. Its strengths lie in its brand recognition and diverse menu, while it faces challenges from larger, more diversified restaurant groups like Darden Restaurants, which have a wider portfolio of brands and economies of scale. Competitors like Texas Roadhouse offer a more focused, value-driven experience, appealing to a different segment. North Italia competes in the upscale casual Italian segment against brands like Eataly and other independent Italian restaurants. The company's success depends on its ability to differentiate its offerings, manage costs effectively, and adapt to evolving consumer preferences.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Historically, The Cheesecake Factory has grown through a combination of same-store sales growth and new restaurant openings. The expansion of its multiple brands has also contributed to its growth trajectory. Growth can be cyclical, influenced by economic cycles and the restaurant industry's performance.

Future Projections: Analyst projections for The Cheesecake Factory typically focus on continued moderate revenue growth, driven by same-store sales and strategic brand expansion (particularly North Italia). Earnings per share projections will be influenced by the company's ability to manage costs, especially food and labor inflation. Growth may also come from optimizing off-premise dining channels.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives often include menu innovation, enhancements to the digital ordering and delivery experience, remodels of existing locations to improve ambiance and efficiency, and strategic real estate development for new brand locations. The company also focuses on operational efficiency and cost management.

Summary

The Cheesecake Factory is a well-established casual dining operator with strong brand recognition and a diverse menu. Its multi-brand strategy, including the growth of North Italia, provides avenues for expansion and diversification. However, the company faces significant competition and is susceptible to rising operational costs. Success hinges on continued menu innovation, efficient cost management, and capitalizing on the evolving dining landscape, particularly in off-premise dining.

Similar Stocks

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Investor Relations (SEC Filings - 10-K, 10-Q)
  • Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Wall Street Journal)
  • Market Research Reports
  • Analyst Reports

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Financial data, market share, and projections are subject to change and may vary based on the source and time of reporting. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization accuracy disclaimer AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization data freshness disclaimer Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Information icon warning about Upturn AI Fundamental Rating based on potentially old data Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

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About The Cheesecake Factory

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Calabasas, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 1992-09-17
Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. David M. Overton
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Restaurants
Full time employees 47900
Full time employees 47900

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates and licenses restaurants in the United States and Canada. The company operates bakeries that produce cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors. It operates restaurants under the brands comprising The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, Flower Child, and Fox Restaurant Concepts. The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Calabasas, California.