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The Cheesecake Factory(CAKE)
Top performer 
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CAKE
10/23/2026: CAKE (5-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY for 9 days. Simulated Profits (-3.56%). Updated daily EoD!
The Cheesecake Factory is a prominent player in the upscale casual dining segment, recognized for its extensive menu and proprietary desserts. The company has successfully evolved from a single brand into a diversified portfolio, with emerging concepts like North Italia serving as key growth drivers. While the company maintains a leading position and has historically delivered solid operational results, it faces ongoing challenges from inflationary pressures, labor costs, and intense industry competition. The stock may suit investors seeking long-term growth through brand diversification and a history of dividend payments, though it carries exposure to economic cycles. Key factors to monitor include unit expansion progress, margin management, and off-premise sales trends.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is largely dependent on successful unit expansion of newer concepts rather than rapid core-brand scaling. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | This style is conditional on the stock displaying sustained price uptrends in line with market sector sentiment. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuation fluctuates based on cyclical dining trends and margin performance, requiring careful entry points. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | The company has a history of providing consistent dividend payments to shareholders. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The restaurant industry is inherently sensitive to consumer spending and economic cycles, leading to moderate to high volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | Restaurant stocks are highly sensitive to macro news and consumer sentiment. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | The stock's P/E ratio can fluctuate significantly based on future growth expectations. |
| Competition risk (Casual Dining) | High | High competition in the dining sector can pressure pricing power and market share. |
| Business quality | Medium | The brand has strong market presence, but operational complexity remains a factor. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Dividends can be impacted by cyclical profitability and capital expenditure needs. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successfully scaling diverse concepts requires disciplined management and capital deployment. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 117.08% | Avg. Invested days 47 | Today’s Advisory Regular Buy |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  5.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/23/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.39B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 29.37 | 1Y Target Price 105.73 |
Price to earnings Ratio 29.37 | 1Y Target Price 105.73 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.3M shares | Beta 1.04 | 52 Weeks Range 42.54 - 118.63 | Updated Date 10/25/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 42.54 - 118.63 | Updated Date 10/25/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.01% | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.69 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| The Cheesecake Factory Restaurants | Revenue from food and beverage sales at full-service dining locations. | This is the core engine generating the majority of the company's revenue. |
| Emerging Brands (North Italia/Flower Child) | Revenue from specialized, high-growth restaurant concepts. | These represent the primary growth engine outside the flagship brand. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-10-27 | When After Market | Estimate 0.95 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.61% | Operating Margin (TTM) 7.77% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.7% | Return on Equity (TTM) 38.83% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 29.37 | Forward PE 22.42 | Enterprise Value 7.04B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.39 |
Enterprise Value 7.04B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.39 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.82 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 22.07 | Shares Outstanding 49.76M | Shares Floating 45.86M |
Shares Outstanding 49.76M | Shares Floating 45.86M | ||
Percent Insiders 7.46 | Percent Institutions 104.58 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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