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The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/26/2025: CAKE (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 4 days. Simulated Profits (0.61%). Updated daily EoD!
1 Year Target Price $59.05
1 Year Target Price $59.05
| 7 | Strong Buy |
| 2 | Buy |
| 6 | Hold |
| 2 | Sell |
| 2 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 34.15% | Avg. Invested days 44 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.62B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 15.97 | 1Y Target Price 59.05 |
Price to earnings Ratio 15.97 | 1Y Target Price 59.05 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 19 | Beta 0.96 | 52 Weeks Range 42.05 - 69.00 | Updated Date 12/28/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 42.05 - 69.00 | Updated Date 12/28/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.09% | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.29 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.33% | Operating Margin (TTM) 4.2% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.42% | Return on Equity (TTM) 39.14% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 15.97 | Forward PE 13.14 | Enterprise Value 4568302809 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.71 |
Enterprise Value 4568302809 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.71 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.23 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.54 | Shares Outstanding 49841690 | Shares Floating 40401592 |
Shares Outstanding 49841690 | Shares Floating 40401592 | ||
Percent Insiders 8.01 | Percent Institutions 115.22 |
Upturn AI SWOT
The Cheesecake Factory

Company Overview
History and Background
The Cheesecake Factory was founded by Oscar and Evelyn Overton in 1978, opening its first restaurant in Los Angeles, California. It started as a small bakery and gradually expanded into a full-service restaurant concept known for its extensive menu and signature cheesecakes. Significant milestones include its expansion into a multi-unit operation and its IPO in 1992. Over time, the company has evolved to include multiple restaurant brands and a consumer packaged goods line.
Core Business Areas
- The Cheesecake Factory Restaurants: This is the flagship segment, operating full-service casual dining restaurants known for their large menus, including a wide variety of cheesecakes. They offer a diverse range of appetizers, salads, sandwiches, main courses, and desserts.
- Grand Lux Cafe: This segment operates upscale casual dining restaurants with an international menu, inspired by the 'grand cafes' of Europe. The ambiance is more sophisticated, and the menu offers a broad selection of American, Asian, and European-inspired dishes.
- North Italia: This segment focuses on authentic, handcrafted Italian cuisine, with a strong emphasis on fresh ingredients, house-made pasta, and wood-fired pizzas in a vibrant atmosphere.
- Catalina Island Company: This segment owns and operates hospitality properties and attractions on Catalina Island, California, offering a different business model focused on tourism and leisure.
- Foodservice: This segment involves the sale of cheesecakes and other baked goods to other foodservice operators and retailers, primarily through its own bakery production facilities.
Leadership and Structure
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ: CAKE) is led by a seasoned management team. Key positions typically include a Chief Executive Officer, President, Chief Financial Officer, and various executive vice presidents overseeing operations, marketing, human resources, and culinary development. The company operates under a corporate structure with distinct management teams for its various restaurant brands.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Cheesecakes: The company's namesake product, offering a wide variety of flavors and styles. While specific market share for just cheesecakes is hard to isolate, they are a primary driver of brand recognition and sales for The Cheesecake Factory restaurants. Competitors include other dessert specialty shops and bakery sections of supermarkets.
- Extensive Menu: The Cheesecake Factory restaurants are renowned for their incredibly broad and diverse menu, encompassing appetizers, salads, sandwiches, burgers, main courses (Italian, American, Asian-inspired), and of course, desserts. This broad appeal is a key differentiator. Competitors include a vast array of casual dining chains and independent restaurants.
- North Italia Offerings: Handcrafted pasta, pizzas, antipasti, and desserts. This segment competes in the growing upscale casual Italian dining market. Key competitors include Eataly, Olive Garden (though a different segment), and numerous independent Italian eateries.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The casual dining and restaurant industry in the U.S. is highly competitive and sensitive to economic conditions, consumer spending habits, and evolving dining trends. Key trends include a growing demand for authentic and diverse cuisines, a focus on health and wellness, the continued rise of off-premise dining (takeout and delivery), and the influence of social media on dining choices.
Positioning
The Cheesecake Factory is positioned as a full-service, casual dining restaurant known for its expansive menu, generous portions, and signature cheesecakes. Its competitive advantages include brand recognition, a unique dining experience, and a diverse menu that appeals to a broad demographic. The company also benefits from its multi-brand strategy, allowing it to tap into different market segments with Grand Lux Cafe and North Italia.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The Total Addressable Market for casual dining in the U.S. is in the hundreds of billions of dollars annually. The Cheesecake Factory, with its various brands, targets a significant portion of this market. Its position is strong within its established casual dining niche, and its expansion into more focused concepts like North Italia allows it to capture further market share. However, the industry is fragmented, with many players vying for consumer dollars.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition and customer loyalty.
- Diverse and extensive menu appealing to a wide range of tastes.
- Successful multi-brand portfolio (The Cheesecake Factory, Grand Lux Cafe, North Italia).
- Efficient bakery production capabilities for cheesecakes and other desserts.
- Experienced management team.
Weaknesses
- High operating costs associated with large menus and extensive ingredient sourcing.
- Perceived as a 'special occasion' restaurant for some, potentially limiting frequency of visits.
- Vulnerability to economic downturns impacting discretionary spending.
- Intense competition in the casual dining sector.
Opportunities
- Expansion of the North Italia brand.
- Growth in off-premise dining and delivery services.
- Leveraging its bakery expertise for further product innovation and distribution.
- Targeting new demographic segments with updated menu offerings or branding.
- International expansion opportunities.
Threats
- Increasing labor costs and labor shortages.
- Rising food costs and supply chain disruptions.
- Shifting consumer preferences towards healthier options or different dining experiences.
- Aggressive pricing and promotional activities by competitors.
- Potential for negative publicity or food safety incidents.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Darden Restaurants (DRI)
- Brinker International (EAT)
- Bloomin' Brands (BLMN)
- Chuy's Holdings (CHUY)
- Texas Roadhouse (TXRH)
Competitive Landscape
The Cheesecake Factory operates in a highly competitive casual dining market. Its strengths lie in its brand recognition and diverse menu, while it faces challenges from larger, more diversified restaurant groups like Darden Restaurants, which have a wider portfolio of brands and economies of scale. Competitors like Texas Roadhouse offer a more focused, value-driven experience, appealing to a different segment. North Italia competes in the upscale casual Italian segment against brands like Eataly and other independent Italian restaurants. The company's success depends on its ability to differentiate its offerings, manage costs effectively, and adapt to evolving consumer preferences.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historically, The Cheesecake Factory has grown through a combination of same-store sales growth and new restaurant openings. The expansion of its multiple brands has also contributed to its growth trajectory. Growth can be cyclical, influenced by economic cycles and the restaurant industry's performance.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for The Cheesecake Factory typically focus on continued moderate revenue growth, driven by same-store sales and strategic brand expansion (particularly North Italia). Earnings per share projections will be influenced by the company's ability to manage costs, especially food and labor inflation. Growth may also come from optimizing off-premise dining channels.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives often include menu innovation, enhancements to the digital ordering and delivery experience, remodels of existing locations to improve ambiance and efficiency, and strategic real estate development for new brand locations. The company also focuses on operational efficiency and cost management.
Summary
The Cheesecake Factory is a well-established casual dining operator with strong brand recognition and a diverse menu. Its multi-brand strategy, including the growth of North Italia, provides avenues for expansion and diversification. However, the company faces significant competition and is susceptible to rising operational costs. Success hinges on continued menu innovation, efficient cost management, and capitalizing on the evolving dining landscape, particularly in off-premise dining.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Investor Relations (SEC Filings - 10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Wall Street Journal)
- Market Research Reports
- Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Financial data, market share, and projections are subject to change and may vary based on the source and time of reporting. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About The Cheesecake Factory
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Calabasas, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1992-09-17 | Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. David M. Overton | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Restaurants | Full time employees 47900 | |
Full time employees 47900 | |||
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates and licenses restaurants in the United States and Canada. The company operates bakeries that produce cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors. It operates restaurants under the brands comprising The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, Flower Child, and Fox Restaurant Concepts. The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Calabasas, California.

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