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CAKE logo CAKE
Upturn stock rating
CAKE logo

The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)

Upturn stock rating
$56.67
Last Close (24-hour delay)
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

10/22/2025: CAKE (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Number of Analysts

rating

19 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $64.82

1 Year Target Price $64.82

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$64.82 Target price
52w Low $39.89
Current$56.67
52w High $69.39

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 33.28%
Avg. Invested days 50
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/22/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 2.76B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 17.1
1Y Target Price 64.82
Price to earnings Ratio 17.1
1Y Target Price 64.82
Volume (30-day avg) 19
Beta 1.05
52 Weeks Range 39.89 - 69.39
Updated Date 10/22/2025
52 Weeks Range 39.89 - 69.39
Updated Date 10/22/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 1.99%
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.24

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-10-29
When -
Estimate 0.603
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 4.33%
Operating Margin (TTM) 6.91%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 4.39%
Return on Equity (TTM) 41.01%

Valuation

Trailing PE 17.1
Forward PE 13.3
Enterprise Value 4699448257
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.75
Enterprise Value 4699448257
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.75
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.28
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.3
Shares Outstanding 49810427
Shares Floating 40390629
Shares Outstanding 49810427
Shares Floating 40390629
Percent Insiders 8.02
Percent Institutions 112.18

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

The Cheesecake Factory

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

The Cheesecake Factory was founded in 1978 by David Overton in Beverly Hills, California. It started as a wholesale bakery distributing cheesecakes to local restaurants and evolved into a full-service restaurant chain known for its extensive menu and signature cheesecakes.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Restaurant Operations: The Cheesecake Factory's core business involves operating full-service restaurants under The Cheesecake Factory banner. These restaurants offer a wide variety of dishes, including appetizers, entrees, desserts, and beverages.
  • Grand Lux Cafe: Grand Lux Cafe is a separate restaurant concept owned and operated by The Cheesecake Factory, featuring a more upscale dining experience with a diverse menu inspired by international cuisine.
  • RockSugar Southeast Asian Kitchen: RockSugar Southeast Asian Kitchen offers a modern take on Southeast Asian cuisine, providing a unique dining experience with bold flavors and vibrant ambiance. The company now has zero (0) restaurants of this brand. The last one was closed in 2022.
  • North Italia: Acquired by The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia is a modern Italian restaurant chain known for its handcrafted pasta, pizzas, and other Italian specialties.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The Cheesecake Factory is led by a board of directors and an executive management team. The CEO is David Overton. The organizational structure includes departments such as operations, finance, marketing, and human resources.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Cheesecakes: The Cheesecake Factory's signature cheesecakes are a key product, available in a wide variety of flavors. These are sold in restaurants and also sold as wholesale products. Market share data specifically for cheesecakes is not publicly available. Competitors include Eli's Cheesecake, Junior's Cheesecake, and Sara Lee.
  • Entrees: The Cheesecake Factory offers a diverse menu of entrees, including pasta dishes, steaks, seafood, and salads. Market share data for specific entrees is not publicly available. Competitors include other casual dining chains such as Applebee's and TGI Fridays.
  • North Italia Menu: Italian cuisine, specialty pizzas and drinks. The competitors are Maggianos, Olive Garden, Brio Italian.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The restaurant industry is highly competitive, with trends including increasing demand for healthier options, growing popularity of online ordering and delivery, and rising labor costs.

Positioning

The Cheesecake Factory positions itself as a high-end casual dining restaurant, offering a large menu, generous portions, and a focus on desserts. Its competitive advantages include its brand recognition, extensive menu, and unique cheesecake offerings.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total addressable market for full-service restaurants in the US is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars annually. The Cheesecake Factory is positioned to capture a portion of this market through its brand recognition and diverse menu.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand recognition
  • Extensive menu
  • High-quality food
  • Loyal customer base
  • Experienced management team

Weaknesses

  • Large menu can lead to inconsistencies
  • Long wait times
  • High prices compared to some competitors
  • Susceptible to economic downturns
  • Inconsistent service

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new markets
  • Increased focus on online ordering and delivery
  • Development of new menu items
  • Partnerships with third-party delivery services
  • Leveraging data analytics for personalized marketing

Threats

  • Increased competition
  • Rising labor costs
  • Fluctuations in food prices
  • Changing consumer preferences
  • Economic downturns
  • Health epidemics impacting restaurant traffic

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • Texas Roadhouse (TXRH)
  • Darden Restaurants (DRI)
  • Bloomin' Brands (BLMN)

Competitive Landscape

The Cheesecake Factory competes with a wide range of casual dining restaurants. Its advantages include its strong brand, diverse menu, and focus on desserts. Disadvantages include high prices, long wait times, and inconsistency.

Major Acquisitions

North Italia

  • Year: 2019
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 332
  • Strategic Rationale: Diversified the company's portfolio and expanded its presence in the Italian dining segment.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: The Cheesecake Factory has experienced growth in the past through restaurant expansion and menu innovation. However, growth has been impacted by economic factors and the COVID-19 pandemic.

Future Projections: Future growth projections depend on analyst estimates, which I do not have access to. However, potential growth drivers include new restaurant openings, increased online ordering and delivery, and expansion into new markets.

Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include focusing on digital capabilities, expanding delivery options, and streamlining operations.

Summary

The Cheesecake Factory is a well-established brand in the casual dining sector, boasting a wide menu and loyal customer base. While its strengths lie in its brand recognition and dessert offerings, it faces challenges from increased competition, fluctuating costs, and changing consumer preferences. Its future success hinges on effective adaptation to market trends, efficient cost management, and continued menu innovation. Furthermore, improving on the restaurant's consistency will be important in moving forward.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings
  • Industry reports
  • Market research
  • News articles
  • Third-party data providers

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on available information and is subject to change. Financial data is approximate and may not be exact. Market share data is based on estimates and may vary. This is not financial advice.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About The Cheesecake Factory

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Calabasas, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 1992-09-17
Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. David M. Overton
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Restaurants
Full time employees 47900
Full time employees 47900

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates and licenses restaurants in the United States and Canada. The company operates bakeries that produce cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors. It operates restaurants under the brands comprising The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, Flower Child, and Fox Restaurant Concepts. The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Calabasas, California.