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Upturn AI Summary - About
Cadiz Inc(CDZI)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CDZI
10/27/2026: CDZI (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Cadiz Inc is a water resource management company focused on developing water storage and supply infrastructure in Southern California. The company's main strength lies in its significant groundwater and land rights in the Mojave Desert, which it aims to monetize through the Cadiz Water Project. Its primary growth story is built on addressing California's critical and persistent water scarcity, providing a private-sector solution to supply challenges. However, the investment involves substantial risks related to complex regulatory hurdles, long-standing environmental opposition, and binary project-permitting outcomes. This stock may suit speculative investors willing to navigate extreme volatility and high execution risk, and it is essential to monitor updates on regulatory approvals and litigation.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company is in a development stage with high binary outcomes dependent on regulatory success. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Investors may see short-term price movement on project news, but lack of revenue makes it speculative. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | Valuation is difficult to anchor given the lack of consistent earnings and long-term project risks. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay dividends and requires capital for project completion. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High volatility and long-term project uncertainty make this unsuitable for risk-averse portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock price is extremely sensitive to litigation and regulatory project developments. |
| Valuation risk | High | Valuation is speculative as it relies on the future net present value of water projects. |
| Competition risk (traditional utilities) | Medium | Public agencies and rate-regulated utilities have distinct competitive advantages in project permitting. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company holds significant assets, but they remain largely unmonetized. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | No dividends are paid, making this unsuitable for income-focused investors. |
| Execution risk | High | Regulatory and environmental challenges represent a constant threat to project execution. |
Price Behavior
Steep Decline
The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.
Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 42.7% | Avg. Invested days 38 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/27/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 367.50M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 10.33 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 10.33 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.4M shares | Beta 1.73 | 52 Weeks Range 2.87 - 6.96 | Updated Date 10/26/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 2.87 - 6.96 | Updated Date 10/26/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.5 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Water Infrastructure | Planned water storage, banking, and delivery services for municipal water providers. | The company aims to make money by selling water services once its infrastructure is fully approved and operational. |
| Land Management | Leasing and managing land holdings in the Mojave Desert for various industrial uses. | Secondary income is generated from the utilization of company-owned land assets. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 72.46 | Enterprise Value 481.72M | Price to Sales(TTM) 31.03 |
Enterprise Value 481.72M | Price to Sales(TTM) 31.03 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 40.67 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -25.12 | Shares Outstanding 84.68M | Shares Floating 56.90M |
Shares Outstanding 84.68M | Shares Floating 56.90M | ||
Percent Insiders 34.12 | Percent Institutions 48.58 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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