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The AES Corporation(AES)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
1-STAR RATING
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY for 89 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
+2.41% ▲
LAST CLOSE
$14.87
09/28/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for AES

09/28/2026: AES (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

The AES Corporation is a global utility provider shifting its focus from traditional power generation toward a renewable and energy storage-oriented model. Its core strengths include a diversified geographic footprint and early leadership in grid-scale battery storage through its Fluence business. The company's primary growth story relies on supplying clean power to large corporate customers and utilities, capitalizing on the broader energy transition. However, investors should monitor high leverage levels and exposure to emerging markets, which can cause earnings sensitivity. AES is best suited for income-focused investors who can tolerate some cyclical volatility while favoring long-term exposure to the renewable energy sector.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitWhile transitioning toward high-growth renewables, it remains a utility with slower core growth characteristics.
Momentum investorMixed fitPrice performance is often tied to macro energy trends and renewable policy sentiment.
Value investorStrong fitOften trades at valuation multiples consistent with infrastructure-heavy utility stocks.
Dividend investorStrong fitProvides consistent income potential common to the utility sector.
Low-risk investorMixed fitEmerging market exposure and high debt levels introduce risks higher than traditional domestic utilities.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMediumEnergy commodity prices and regulatory shifts can influence stock movement.
Valuation riskMediumCapital-intensive projects require favorable interest rate environments.
Competition risk (Renewables)Medium / highMany players are entering the space, putting pressure on project margins.
Business qualityMediumTransitioning from legacy assets creates execution complexity.
Dividend incomeMediumCapital reinvestment needs may temper dividend growth.
Execution riskMediumManaging large-scale construction projects across multiple countries is difficult.

Price Behavior

Flat / Range-Bound
PRICE PATH

Flat / Range-Bound

The stock price has been trading within a narrow range with minimal directional movement.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -17.77%
Avg. Invested days 43
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/28/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
AES receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid quantitative characteristics. The rating is constrained by soft unit economics, weak price momentum, and limited analyst upside.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
AES has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, growth and ownership metrics are mixed: negative earnings growth (-43.7%), weak cash generation (FCF margin -13.3%), slightly negative revenue growth (-0.4%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
AES's financial health is supported by moderate efficiency, including operating-expense and cost-of-revenue discipline (opex 2.0% of revenue). Liquidity is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is AES's strongest growth driver at +65.0% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, while revenue growth (-0.4%, slightly negative) and earnings growth (-43.7%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 91.6% and approximately 99.4% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.58%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 6.61%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 6.49%
State Street Corp 6.02%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 4.98%
Ameriprise Financial Inc 4.64%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
AES generates approximately $181 of gross profit, $161 of operating income, and $-133 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Negative free cash flow explains the 2-star rating, with weak cash conversion and strong capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: -905.00% (Tax Credit)

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
AES has a large-cap, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 10.61B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 5.57
1Y Target Price 15
Price to earnings Ratio 5.57
1Y Target Price 15
Volume (30-day avg) 7.8M shares
Beta 0.95
52 Weeks Range 12.35 - 17.23
Updated Date 09/27/2026
52 Weeks Range 12.35 - 17.23
Updated Date 09/27/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 4.74%
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.67

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Renewable EnergyWind, solar, and hydro generation contracts.AES earns money by selling clean power to utilities and large corporations under long-term agreements.
UtilitiesRegulated electrical distribution networks.Steady revenue generated from providing essential power services to regulated customers.
Energy Storage (Fluence)Battery technology and grid management software.Selling hardware and software solutions to help utilities balance power grids.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 5.57
Forward PE 6.58
Enterprise Value 40.83B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.81
Enterprise Value 40.83B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.81
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.13
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.7
Shares Outstanding 713.44M
Shares Floating 708.81M
Shares Outstanding 713.44M
Shares Floating 708.81M
Percent Insiders 0.58
Percent Institutions 91.59

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI Summary

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About The AES Corporation

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters Arlington, VA, United States
IPO Launch date 1991-06-25
CEO & Director Mr. Andres Ricardo Gluski Weilert Ph.D.
Sector Utilities
Industry Utilities - Diversified
Full time employees 8336
Full time employees 8336

The AES Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a power generation and utility company. It operates through four segments: Renewables, Utilities, Energy Infrastructure, and New Energy Technologies. The company owns and/or operates power plants to generate and sell power to customers, such as utilities, industrial users, and other intermediaries; owns and/or operates utilities to generate or purchase, distribute, transmit, and sell electricity to end-user customers in the residential, commercial, industrial, and governmental sectors; and generates and sells electricity on the wholesale market, as well as investments in technologies to support leading-edge greener energy solutions. It uses various fuels and technologies to generate electricity, such as solar, hydro, wind, coal, and gas, as well as renewables comprising energy storage and landfill gas. The company owns and/or operates a generation portfolio of approximately 34,740 megawatts and distributes power to 2.7 million customers. The company operates in the United States, Chile, Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Mexico, Bulgaria, Panama, Colombia, Argentina, Vietnam, Jordan, Puerto Rico, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Applied Energy Services, Inc. and changed its name to The AES Corporation in April 2000. The AES Corporation was incorporated in 1981 and is based in Arlington, Virginia.