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Certara Inc (CERT)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/07/2026: CERT (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $12.54
1 Year Target Price $12.54
| 4 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 6 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -8.67% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.52B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 136.71 | 1Y Target Price 12.54 |
Price to earnings Ratio 136.71 | 1Y Target Price 12.54 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 11 | Beta 1.47 | 52 Weeks Range 8.03 - 15.69 | Updated Date 01/7/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 8.03 - 15.69 | Updated Date 01/7/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.07 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.62% | Operating Margin (TTM) 6.53% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.26% | Return on Equity (TTM) 1.03% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 136.71 | Forward PE 17.67 | Enterprise Value 1569626237 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.67 |
Enterprise Value 1569626237 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.67 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.78 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.72 | Shares Outstanding 159273367 | Shares Floating 119106217 |
Shares Outstanding 159273367 | Shares Floating 119106217 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.51 | Percent Institutions 116.44 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Certara Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Certara Inc. was founded in 2001. It has grown through a series of acquisitions and organic expansion to become a leading provider of data, software, and advisory services for drug development and commercialization. Significant milestones include its IPO in 2021, which provided capital for further growth and acquisitions. The company's evolution has been driven by its commitment to accelerating the development of novel medicines.
Core Business Areas
- Software: Certara offers a suite of software solutions designed to aid in various aspects of drug development, including pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) modeling, trial design, regulatory submission preparation, and real-world evidence generation.
- Data & Analytics: The company provides access to de-identified patient data and advanced analytics capabilities to help pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies gain insights into disease progression, treatment efficacy, and market access.
- Consulting Services: Certara's expert consultants offer specialized advisory services in areas such as regulatory strategy, clinical pharmacology, pharmacometrics, and market access, assisting clients in navigating complex drug development pathways.
Leadership and Structure
Certara Inc. is led by a seasoned executive team with extensive experience in the life sciences and software industries. The organizational structure is typically aligned around its core business segments (Software, Data & Analytics, Consulting) to foster specialized expertise and efficient service delivery.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Product Name 1: Simcyp Simulator. Description: A physiologically-based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling and simulation software widely used for predicting drug behavior in diverse patient populations. It helps de-risk drug development by forecasting absorption, distribution, metabolism, and excretion (ADME) properties. Competitors include smaller simulation tools and internal client capabilities. Market share data is proprietary, but it's a leading PBPK platform.
- Product Name 2: Phoenix (WinNonlin). Description: A comprehensive platform for non-compartmental and compartmental analysis of pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic data. It's a de facto standard in the industry for bioanalytical data processing and regulatory submission support. Competitors include other statistical analysis software and in-house solutions. Widely adopted, holding a significant market share in its niche.
- Product Name 3: Certara Strategic Consulting. Description: Provides expert advice across the drug development lifecycle, from early-stage research to post-market analysis. Services include regulatory strategy, clinical trial design, pharmacometric modeling, and market access planning. Competitors are other specialized life science consulting firms. Market share is fragmented, but Certara is a prominent player.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
Certara operates within the broader life sciences technology and services market, specifically focusing on solutions for drug development and commercialization. This industry is characterized by rapid scientific advancements, increasing regulatory complexity, and a growing demand for data-driven decision-making. The push for personalized medicine and real-world evidence further fuels the need for advanced analytics and modeling tools.
Positioning
Certara is positioned as a leading provider of mission-critical software, data, and consulting services that accelerate the development of novel medicines. Its competitive advantages include a comprehensive suite of integrated solutions, deep scientific expertise, a strong regulatory track record, and a loyal customer base of pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies of all sizes. The company's ability to combine software with expert services provides a unique value proposition.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for drug development software, data, and consulting services is substantial and growing, estimated in the tens of billions of dollars globally. Certara is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this market, particularly in areas like PBPK modeling, clinical trial optimization, and regulatory consulting, by leveraging its integrated platform and deep domain expertise.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Deep scientific expertise and a highly skilled workforce.
- Comprehensive suite of integrated software, data, and consulting services.
- Strong customer relationships with leading pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies.
- Established reputation and credibility in the regulatory and scientific communities.
- Proprietary data and advanced analytical capabilities.
Weaknesses
- Potential reliance on a few key software products.
- Integration challenges from past acquisitions.
- Competition from larger, more diversified technology providers and specialized niche players.
- Sales cycles can be long and complex.
Opportunities
- Expanding into emerging markets and new therapeutic areas.
- Leveraging AI and machine learning to enhance existing offerings and develop new solutions.
- Increasing demand for real-world evidence (RWE) and its applications.
- Growth in the biopharmaceutical sector and increased R&D spending.
- Strategic acquisitions to expand technology portfolio and market reach.
Threats
- Changes in regulatory landscapes and approval processes.
- Increased competition and pricing pressures.
- Rapid technological advancements by competitors.
- Economic downturns affecting R&D budgets of clients.
- Data privacy and security concerns.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- IQVIA Inc. (IQV)
- Parexel International Corporation (PRXL) - now owned by EQT and Goldman Sachs Asset Management
- Syneos Health, Inc. (SYNH) - now part of Cinvestek Holdings
- Charles River Laboratories International, Inc. (CRL)
Competitive Landscape
Certara competes in a dynamic market with large CROs (Contract Research Organizations) and specialized software/data providers. Its advantage lies in its focused expertise in modeling, simulation, and regulatory science, as well as its integrated software and consulting approach. However, larger competitors may have broader service offerings and larger client bases. Certara's ability to innovate and maintain its specialized focus is key.
Major Acquisitions
Synchrogenix
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: To enhance Certara's capabilities in regulatory submission authoring and scientific communication, strengthening its end-to-end drug development support.
d3 Medicine
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: To expand Certara's expertise and service offerings in pediatrics and rare diseases, leveraging d3 Medicine's specialized knowledge.
Axerion
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: To bolster Certara's offerings in clinical trial optimization and patient recruitment, further enhancing its platform for clinical development.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Certara has experienced significant historical growth, fueled by its strategic acquisitions, expansion of its software and data offerings, and increasing demand from the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industries for its specialized services. The company has successfully integrated acquired entities and expanded its global reach.
Future Projections: Future growth projections for Certara are generally positive, driven by the continued expansion of the drug development market, the increasing adoption of advanced modeling and simulation techniques, and the growing importance of real-world evidence. Analyst estimates typically anticipate continued revenue growth and potential improvements in profitability.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives likely include the continued integration of acquired companies, development of new AI-powered features for its software platforms, expansion of its consulting service offerings, and strategic partnerships to enhance its market reach and product development capabilities.
Summary
Certara Inc. is a well-established leader in the drug development software, data, and consulting market, leveraging its deep scientific expertise and integrated offerings. The company demonstrates strong historical growth and a solid market position. Its primary strengths lie in its comprehensive solution suite and trusted client relationships. However, Certara needs to remain vigilant against intense competition and adapt quickly to evolving technological advancements and regulatory landscapes to sustain its growth trajectory.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company investor relations website
- SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Reputable financial news outlets
- Industry analysis reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Financial data is subject to change and should be verified from official sources. Market share data and acquisition prices are often estimates or not publicly disclosed in detail.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Certara Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Radnor, PA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2020-12-11 | CEO & Director Mr. Jon Resnick | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Health Information Services | Full time employees 1487 | Website https://www.certara.com |
Full time employees 1487 | Website https://www.certara.com | ||
Certara, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides technology-enabled services and software products for biosimulation in drug discovery, preclinical and clinical research, regulatory submissions, and market access. It offers solutions for model-informed drug development, as well as biosimulation solutions to predict pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics; Simcyp simulator, a mechanistic biosimulation platform for physiologically based pharmacokinetic simulation; Simcyp Discovery for scientists working on pre-investigational new drug and translational stages; Simcyp Biopharmaceutics for formulation scientists; and Simcyp Secondary Intelligence that integrates toxicology with quantitative analysis of large networks of molecular and functional biological changes. It also provides Phoenix WinNonlin, a platform for non-compartmental analysis; Phoenix Hosted, that offers a secured and validated Certara Amazon Web Services workspace; Phoenix NLME; and Pirana Modeling Workbench, which provides modelers with a structure to facilitate the iterative processes. In addition, it offers Chemaxon JChem engines; Chemaxon Compound Registration, that supports a streamlined lead optimization process workflow; Chemaxon Design Hub, a design and tracking platform for drug discovery teams and their external collaborators; Certara D360 software, a scientific informatics system for small molecule and biologics discovery research; and Chemaxon Marvin, a chemical drawing tool. Further, the company provides pinnacle 21, a cloud-based platform for clinical data automation, standardization, and validation; Pinnacle 21 Data Exchange to define data standards and specifications; Metadata Repository that enables study design using controlled and standardized data; CoAuthor software, which creates and assembles regulatory submissions and medical publications; and GlobalSubmit, a submissions management software. Certara Inc. was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Radnor, Pennsylvania.

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