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Certara Inc (CERT)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/05/2025: CERT (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $13.21
1 Year Target Price $13.21
| 4 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 6 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -8.67% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.47B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 131.71 | 1Y Target Price 13.21 |
Price to earnings Ratio 131.71 | 1Y Target Price 13.21 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 11 | Beta 1.46 | 52 Weeks Range 8.03 - 15.69 | Updated Date 12/7/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 8.03 - 15.69 | Updated Date 12/7/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.07 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.62% | Operating Margin (TTM) 6.53% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.26% | Return on Equity (TTM) 1.03% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 131.71 | Forward PE 27.17 | Enterprise Value 1598295443 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.53 |
Enterprise Value 1598295443 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.53 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.85 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.99 | Shares Outstanding 159273367 | Shares Floating 118911903 |
Shares Outstanding 159273367 | Shares Floating 118911903 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.51 | Percent Institutions 116.24 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Certara Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Certara Inc. was formed through the combination of several companies specializing in drug development software and services. Its origins can be traced back to Simcyp (founded in 2001) and Pharsight (founded in 2002), which were acquired by other entities before ultimately forming Certara. The company went public in 2021. Certara has grown through strategic acquisitions and organic expansion, solidifying its position as a leader in biosimulation and regulatory science.
Core Business Areas
- Biosimulation: Certara's biosimulation business provides advanced software and services that enable researchers to simulate and predict the behavior of drugs in biological systems. This includes pharmacokinetic (PK), pharmacodynamic (PD), and physiologically-based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling, which helps optimize drug development and reduce the need for extensive clinical trials.
- Regulatory Science: This segment focuses on providing solutions and expertise to navigate the complex regulatory landscape of drug approvals. It encompasses services like regulatory strategy, dossier preparation, and post-market surveillance, ensuring compliance and accelerating market access for pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies.
- Real-World Evidence (RWE): Certara leverages its data analytics and software capabilities to generate real-world evidence from diverse data sources. This helps assess drug effectiveness, safety, and value in routine clinical practice, informing decision-making for healthcare providers, payers, and regulatory agencies.
Leadership and Structure
Certara operates under a unified leadership team with specific executive roles overseeing different business functions and segments. The company is structured to deliver integrated solutions to its clients, leveraging expertise across its various service offerings. Key leadership roles typically include a CEO, CFO, Chief Scientific Officer, and heads of specific business units.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Description: A leading PBPK modeling and simulation software used for predicting drug behavior in humans. It supports various stages of drug development, from early discovery to clinical trial design and regulatory submissions. Competitors include companies offering standalone PBPK software or simulation services like **Certara's own PBPK solutions from other acquisitions/units**, **Knime** (though more general data analytics), and internal modeling efforts within large pharma companies. Market share is difficult to pinpoint precisely for specific software, but Simcyp is considered a dominant player in the PBPK segment. Users are primarily pharmaceutical and biotechnology researchers, toxicologists, and regulatory scientists.
- Product Name 1: Simcyp Simulator
- Description: A comprehensive software platform for non-clinical and clinical data analysis, including PK/PD analysis, statistical modeling, and data visualization. It's a cornerstone for pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic analysis in drug development. Competitors include **SAS**, **R**, **Python** (with specific libraries), and other specialized data analysis software for drug development. Certara Phoenix holds a significant market share in the specialized drug development analytics space due to its integrated nature and regulatory compliance features. Its user base includes bioanalytical scientists, pharmacometricians, and clinical data managers.
- Product Name 2: Certara Phoenix
- Description: Expert services guiding clients through the drug regulatory approval process, including submissions to agencies like the FDA and EMA. This involves a team of experienced regulatory affairs professionals. Competitors range from large CROs offering broader services to specialized regulatory consulting firms. Market share is fragmented, but Certara is a recognized provider. Clients are pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies of all sizes seeking regulatory expertise.
- Product Name 3: Certara's Regulatory Consulting Services
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
Certara operates within the pharmaceutical and biotechnology services sector, specifically focusing on drug development acceleration, regulatory compliance, and data analytics. The industry is characterized by increasing R&D complexity, stringent regulatory requirements, and a growing demand for efficient, data-driven decision-making. The adoption of biosimulation, RWE, and advanced analytics is on the rise as companies seek to de-risk drug development and optimize market access.
Positioning
Certara is positioned as a leading provider of integrated solutions for drug development and regulatory science. Its competitive advantages lie in its comprehensive suite of software and services, deep scientific expertise, strong customer relationships, and a history of strategic acquisitions that expand its capabilities. The company benefits from the increasing trend towards outsourcing of drug development services and the growing reliance on predictive modeling and data analytics.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The Total Addressable Market (TAM) for drug development services, including biosimulation, regulatory consulting, and RWE, is substantial and growing. While exact TAM figures vary depending on the scope, the global pharmaceutical outsourcing market alone is valued in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Certara is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this market due to its specialized offerings and integrated platform approach, addressing needs across the entire drug lifecycle.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Leading biosimulation and regulatory science software and services.
- Strong reputation and established customer base in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industries.
- Integrated suite of solutions covering multiple stages of drug development.
- Track record of successful acquisitions to expand capabilities.
- Deep scientific expertise and experienced leadership team.
Weaknesses
- Reliance on a few key software platforms.
- Potential for integration challenges with acquired companies.
- Competition from large CROs offering a broader range of services.
- The cyclical nature of R&D spending in the pharmaceutical industry.
Opportunities
- Increasing adoption of biosimulation and AI in drug discovery and development.
- Growing demand for Real-World Evidence (RWE) to support regulatory submissions and market access.
- Expansion into emerging markets and new therapeutic areas.
- Partnerships with academic institutions and other technology providers.
- Further consolidation within the drug development services market.
Threats
- Intensifying competition from established players and new entrants.
- Changes in regulatory requirements and government policies.
- Economic downturns affecting R&D budgets of pharmaceutical companies.
- Cybersecurity threats and data breaches.
- Difficulty in attracting and retaining highly skilled scientific talent.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- ICON plc (ICLR)
- IQVIA Holdings Inc. (IQV)
- PAREXEL International Corporation (PRXL)
- Syneos Health, Inc. (SYNH)
Competitive Landscape
Certara differentiates itself by its specialized focus on biosimulation and regulatory science, offering a deep level of scientific expertise and advanced software tools. While larger CROs like IQVIA and ICON offer broader contract research services, Certara's strength lies in its niche leadership. Its integrated platform and commitment to innovation provide a competitive edge in accelerating drug development timelines and improving regulatory outcomes.
Major Acquisitions
Vyasa
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: To enhance Certara's capabilities in real-world data analysis and evidence generation, further strengthening its position in the RWE market.
Elysium
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: To expand Certara's portfolio of scientific software and services, particularly in areas related to advanced analytics and data management for drug development.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Certara has experienced significant growth in its revenue and market presence over the past several years, largely driven by its strategy of acquiring complementary businesses and expanding its software and service offerings. The transition to a public company has provided access to capital for further expansion.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for Certara typically indicate continued revenue growth, driven by the increasing adoption of its solutions and expansion into new markets. Growth is expected to be supported by ongoing R&D investment, strategic partnerships, and further M&A activity. (Placeholder for analyst consensus EPS and Revenue projections).
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives likely include the integration of newly acquired companies, expansion of its biosimulation and AI capabilities, development of new software features, and efforts to enhance its Real-World Evidence offerings. The company may also be focusing on expanding its global reach and strengthening its customer support.
Summary
Certara Inc. is a strong player in the drug development services market, with leading positions in biosimulation and regulatory science software and services. Its integrated platform, deep scientific expertise, and strategic acquisitions have fueled consistent growth. The company needs to vigilantly monitor competitive pressures from larger CROs and continue investing in innovation, particularly in AI and RWE, to maintain its leadership and capitalize on the evolving pharmaceutical R&D landscape.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)
- Financial news and analysis websites (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters, Seeking Alpha)
- Industry research reports
- Company investor relations materials
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is an analysis based on publicly available information and does not constitute financial advice. Market share data and acquisition prices are estimates and may vary. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Certara Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Radnor, PA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2020-12-11 | CEO & Director Dr. William F. Feehery Ph.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Health Information Services | Full time employees 1487 | Website https://www.certara.com |
Full time employees 1487 | Website https://www.certara.com | ||
Certara, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides technology-enabled services and software products for biosimulation in drug discovery, preclinical and clinical research, regulatory submissions, and market access. It offers solutions for model-informed drug development, as well as biosimulation solutions to predict pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics; Simcyp simulator, a mechanistic biosimulation platform for physiologically based pharmacokinetic simulation; Simcyp Discovery for scientists working on pre-investigational new drug and translational stages; Simcyp Biopharmaceutics for formulation scientists; and Simcyp Secondary Intelligence that integrates toxicology with quantitative analysis of large networks of molecular and functional biological changes. It also provides Phoenix WinNonlin, a platform for non-compartmental analysis; Phoenix Hosted, that offers a secured and validated Certara Amazon Web Services workspace; Phoenix NLME; and Pirana Modeling Workbench, which provides modelers with a structure to facilitate the iterative processes. In addition, it offers Chemaxon JChem engines; Chemaxon Compound Registration, that supports a streamlined lead optimization process workflow; Chemaxon Design Hub, a design and tracking platform for drug discovery teams and their external collaborators; Certara D360 software, a scientific informatics system for small molecule and biologics discovery research; and Chemaxon Marvin, a chemical drawing tool. Further, the company provides pinnacle 21, a cloud-based platform for clinical data automation, standardization, and validation; Pinnacle 21 Data Exchange to define data standards and specifications; Metadata Repository that enables study design using controlled and standardized data; CoAuthor software, which creates and assembles regulatory submissions and medical publications; and GlobalSubmit, a submissions management software. Certara Inc. was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Radnor, Pennsylvania.

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