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CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$84.05
Delayed price
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/07/2025: CF (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -17.55%
Avg. Invested days 34
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/07/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 14.63B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 13.32
1Y Target Price 91.74
Price to earnings Ratio 13.32
1Y Target Price 91.74
Volume (30-day avg) 1994676
Beta 0.96
52 Weeks Range 68.30 - 98.25
Updated Date 02/9/2025
52 Weeks Range 68.30 - 98.25
Updated Date 02/9/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 2.38%
Basic EPS (TTM) 6.31

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-02-12
When After Market
Estimate 1.7
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 19.46%
Operating Margin (TTM) 26.5%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 7.84%
Return on Equity (TTM) 17.92%

Valuation

Trailing PE 13.32
Forward PE 13.4
Enterprise Value 15999375032
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.44
Enterprise Value 15999375032
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.44
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.67
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.64
Shares Outstanding 174020000
Shares Floating 172530318
Shares Outstanding 174020000
Shares Floating 172530318
Percent Insiders 0.76
Percent Institutions 97

AI Summary

Comprehensive Overview of CF Industries Holdings Inc. (CF)

Company Profile:

Detailed History and Background:

  • Founded in 1946 as Central Farmers Fertilizer Company.
  • 1995: Renamed CF Industries Holdings Inc.
  • 2005: Merged with Terra Industries Inc.
  • Today: Leading global manufacturer and distributor of nitrogen fertilizers.

Core Business Areas:

  • Manufacturing and distribution of nitrogen fertilizers and related products (e.g., urea, ammonia, UAN solutions).
  • Nitrogen fertilizer is vital for agricultural production, enhancing crop yields and nutrient content.
  • Company operates 24 manufacturing facilities across North America, Europe, and the UK.

Leadership Team:

  • CEO: Tony Will
  • President & COO: Jim Douglas
  • CFO: Christopher Beall
  • Board of Directors: Comprises individuals with diverse experience in agriculture, finance, and industry.

Top Products and Market Share:

  • Top Products: Urea, ammonia, UAN solutions, ammonium nitrate.
  • Global Market Share: 12% in urea, 3% in ammonia (as of 2022).
  • US Market Share: 25% in nitrogen fertilizers (as of 2022).
  • Competitive Performance: CF is the second-largest nitrogen fertilizer producer in the world and a leading player in the US market. Its products are known for their quality and reliability.

Total Addressable Market:

  • The global nitrogen fertilizer market was valued at $68.6 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach $89.8 billion by 2028 (CAGR of 5.7%).
  • This growth is driven by increasing demand for food, growing population, and rising fertilizer usage in developing economies.

Financial Performance:

  • Recent Financial Performance: In 2022, CF reported revenue of $10.6 billion and net income of $3.4 billion. EPS reached $11.24, with strong profit margins.
  • Year-over-Year Comparison: Compared to 2021, revenue and net income increased by 62% and 123%, respectively.
  • Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: The company has healthy cash flow and manageable debt, indicating financial strength.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

  • Dividend History: CF has a long history of paying dividends, with a current annualized dividend yield of 1.5%. The payout ratio is around 37%.
  • Shareholder Returns: Over the past 1 year, 5 years, and 10 years, CF stock has generated returns of 35%, 220%, and 1,200%, respectively.

Growth Trajectory:

  • Historical Growth: CF has experienced significant revenue and earnings growth over the past decade due to strong demand and favorable market conditions.
  • Future Growth: The company expects continued growth due to population growth, rising fertilizer usage, and potential acquisitions.
  • Strategic Initiatives: CF is focusing on expanding its production capacity, exploring new markets, and developing innovative products.

Market Dynamics:

  • Industry Trends: Increasing demand for food, government support for agriculture, and technological advancements are shaping the industry.
  • Market Position: CF is well-positioned to benefit from these trends due to its strong market position, diverse product portfolio, and commitment to innovation.

Competitors:

  • Key Competitors: Mosaic Company (MOS), Nutrien Ltd. (NTR), Yara International (YARA).
  • Market Share Comparison: CF holds a larger market share than Mosaic in nitrogen fertilizers but trails behind Nutrien and Yara globally.
  • Competitive Advantages: CF's advantages include its extensive production facilities, access to low-cost natural gas, and strong customer relationships.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

  • Challenges: Supply chain disruptions, volatile commodity prices, and environmental regulations pose challenges for CF.
  • Opportunities: Expanding into new markets, developing sustainable production methods, and strategic acquisitions present significant opportunities.

Recent Acquisitions:

  • 2021: Purchased a nitrogen fertilizer producer in Trinidad for $650 million to increase production capacity and expand its presence in the Central American market.
  • 2023: Acquired an ammonium nitrate producer in Canada for $300 million to strengthen its position in the North American explosives market.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

  • AI Rating: 8.5 out of 10
  • Justification: This rating is based on CF's strong financial position, market leadership, and future growth prospects. The company is considered a financially healthy, well-managed organization with a strong competitive position.

Sources and Disclaimers:

  • Sources: Company financials, industry reports, and news articles.
  • Disclaimer: This information is for informational purposes only and is not intended as financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.

About CF Industries Holdings Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Northbrook, IL, United States
IPO Launch date 2005-08-11
President, CEO & Director Mr. W. Anthony Will
Sector Basic Materials
Industry Agricultural Inputs
Full time employees 2700
Full time employees 2700

CF Industries Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of hydrogen and nitrogen products for energy, fertilizer, emissions abatement, and other industrial activities in North America, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Ammonia, Granular Urea, UAN, AN, and Other segments. The company's principal products include anhydrous ammonia, granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate, and ammonium nitrate products. It also offers diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, nitric acid, and aqua ammonia products. The company primarily serves cooperatives, independent fertilizer distributors, traders, wholesalers, and industrial users. CF Industries Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Northbrook, Illinois.

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