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Upturn AI SWOT - About
CF 
CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/28/2025: CF (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
21 Analysts rated it
Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.
1 Year Target Price $93.56
1 Year Target Price $93.56
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 18 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -16.2% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 08/28/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 13.99B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 11.32 | 1Y Target Price 93.56 |
Price to earnings Ratio 11.32 | 1Y Target Price 93.56 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 21 | Beta 0.92 | 52 Weeks Range 66.56 - 103.84 | Updated Date 08/27/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 66.56 - 103.84 | Updated Date 08/27/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.31% | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.63 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-08-06 | When - | Estimate 2.4 | Actual 2.37 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 20.2% | Operating Margin (TTM) 34.02% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 8.62% | Return on Equity (TTM) 19.8% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 11.32 | Forward PE 9.98 | Enterprise Value 15671717091 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.17 |
Enterprise Value 15671717091 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.17 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.43 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.32 | Shares Outstanding 161972992 | Shares Floating 160432592 |
Shares Outstanding 161972992 | Shares Floating 160432592 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.71 | Percent Institutions 105.4 |
Upturn AI SWOT
CF Industries Holdings Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. was formed in 1946 as a cooperative serving agricultural cooperatives. Over time, it transitioned to a publicly traded company, becoming a leading manufacturer and distributor of nitrogen and hydrogen products for clean energy, fertilizer, emissions abatement and other industrial activities.
Core Business Areas
- Nitrogen Fertilizer: Production and sale of ammonia, urea, urea ammonium nitrate (UAN) solutions, and ammonium nitrate. These products are used by farmers to increase crop yields.
- Hydrogen and Clean Energy: Producing Hydrogen for clean energy, emissions abatement and other industrial activities. The market includes demand for sustainable energy solutions,.
Leadership and Structure
CF Industries is led by President and CEO, Tony Will. The company has a board of directors and operates with a functional organizational structure, divided by business units (manufacturing, sales, distribution).
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Ammonia: Anhydrous ammonia is a key nitrogen fertilizer. CF Industries is one of the largest producers of ammonia globally. Market share data is not readily available, but CF is a major player. Competitors include Nutrien, Yara, and OCI.
- Urea and UAN: Urea and UAN solutions are also key nitrogen fertilizers, offering different application methods. CF is a major producer of these as well. Competitors include Nutrien, Yara, and OCI.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The nitrogen fertilizer industry is influenced by agricultural commodity prices, planting decisions, weather patterns, natural gas prices (a key input cost), and global trade dynamics.
Positioning
CF Industries is a leading North American nitrogen fertilizer producer with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments in production capacity. It benefits from access to North American natural gas, a key feedstock.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global fertilizer market is estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of dollars annually. CF Industries is positioned to capture a significant portion of the North American nitrogen fertilizer market and is expanding into hydrogen and clean energy.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large-scale production capacity
- Efficient manufacturing processes
- Access to North American natural gas
- Strong distribution network
- Focus on sustainable hydrogen production
Weaknesses
- Exposure to volatile natural gas prices
- Dependence on weather conditions
- Sensitivity to agricultural commodity prices
- Geographic concentration in North America
Opportunities
- Growing global population and food demand
- Increasing adoption of precision agriculture
- Expansion into hydrogen and clean energy markets
- Government incentives for sustainable agriculture
- Potential acquisitions of smaller fertilizer producers
Threats
- Fluctuations in natural gas prices
- Increased competition from global fertilizer producers
- Changes in government regulations
- Environmental concerns related to fertilizer use
- Geopolitical risks affecting trade
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- NTR
- YARA
- MOS
Competitive Landscape
CF Industries competes on cost, efficiency, and reliability of supply. It has advantages in North American natural gas access. Competitors like Nutrien have broader geographic reach and product portfolios. CF is focusing on sustainable ammonia production as a differentiator.
Major Acquisitions
Terra Nitrogen
- Year: 2010
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 7179
- Strategic Rationale: Increased CF's nitrogen production capacity in North America.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: CF Industries has historically grown through capacity expansions, operational improvements, and acquisitions. Growth has been cyclical, driven by agricultural commodity prices and fertilizer demand.
Future Projections: Analyst projections vary, but generally anticipate continued growth in nitrogen fertilizer demand, particularly in developing countries. CF's investments in hydrogen and clean energy are expected to drive future growth.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in green and blue ammonia production, partnerships with renewable energy providers, and expansion of distribution networks.
Summary
CF Industries is a strong player in the nitrogen fertilizer market, benefiting from efficient operations and access to North American natural gas. Expansion into hydrogen production offers growth opportunities. Volatility in natural gas prices and environmental concerns are key risks to watch. The company's focus on sustainable ammonia production positions it well for the future.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Industry reports
- Analyst research reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on individual circumstances and consultation with a qualified financial advisor.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About CF Industries Holdings Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Northbrook, IL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2005-08-11 | President, CEO & Director Mr. W. Anthony Will | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Agricultural Inputs | Full time employees 2800 | Website https://www.cfindustries.com |
Full time employees 2800 | Website https://www.cfindustries.com | ||
CF Industries Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of hydrogen and nitrogen products for energy, fertilizer, emissions abatement, and other industrial activities in North America, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Ammonia, Granular Urea, UAN, AN, and Other segments. Its principal products include anhydrous ammonia, granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate, and ammonium nitrate products. The company also offers diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, nitric acid, and aqua ammonia products. It primarily serves cooperatives, retailers, independent fertilizer distributors, traders, wholesalers, and industrial users. CF Industries Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Northbrook, Illinois.
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