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CF 
CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/31/2025: CF (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
21 Analysts rated it
Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.
1 Year Target Price $93.71
1 Year Target Price $93.71
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 18 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -22.68% | Avg. Invested days 33 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/31/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 13.49B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 10.92 | 1Y Target Price 93.71 |
Price to earnings Ratio 10.92 | 1Y Target Price 93.71 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 21 | Beta 0.92 | 52 Weeks Range 66.56 - 103.84 | Updated Date 11/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 66.56 - 103.84 | Updated Date 11/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.42% | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.63 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-11-05 | When After Market | Estimate 1.84 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 20.2% | Operating Margin (TTM) 34.02% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 8.83% | Return on Equity (TTM) 19.8% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 10.92 | Forward PE 11.25 | Enterprise Value 16191650277 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.09 |
Enterprise Value 16191650277 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.09 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.51 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.5 | Shares Outstanding 161972955 | Shares Floating 160430972 |
Shares Outstanding 161972955 | Shares Floating 160430972 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.71 | Percent Institutions 104.17 |
Upturn AI SWOT
CF Industries Holdings Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1946 as Central Farmers Fertilizer Company. Initially a cooperative owned by regional agricultural cooperatives, it evolved into a public company. Significant milestones include expanding production facilities and becoming a leading global manufacturer of nitrogen and hydrogen products. It has adapted to market changes and technological advancements over time.
Core Business Areas
- Nitrogen Fertilizer: CF Industries produces and sells nitrogen fertilizers in the form of anhydrous ammonia (NH3), granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate (UAN) solutions, and ammonium nitrate (AN).
- Hydrogen: CF Industries produces Hydrogen to produce ammonia as well as hydrogen for clean energy.
- Other Nitrogen Products: The company manufactures and sells other nitrogen products, including diesel exhaust fluid (DEF), nitric acid, and aqua ammonia.
Leadership and Structure
CF Industries is led by a board of directors and an executive management team. Tony Will serves as the President and Chief Executive Officer. The organizational structure includes various departments such as operations, sales, finance, and technology.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Anhydrous Ammonia (NH3): Anhydrous ammonia is used as a direct application fertilizer, as well as a building block for other nitrogen fertilizers. It accounts for a significant portion of CF's sales. Competitors include Yara, Nutrien, and Koch Industries. Difficult to estimate precise market share because this segment is very broad. CF Industries holds significant production capacity in North America.
- Urea Ammonium Nitrate (UAN): UAN solutions are liquid fertilizers that are widely used in agriculture. CF Industries is a major producer of UAN. Market Share is around 25%. Competitors include Nutrien, Koch Industries, and Trammo.
- Granular Urea: Granular Urea is a solid nitrogen fertilizer. CF Industries is a major producer of Granular Urea. Market Share is around 20%. Competitors include Nutrien, Koch Industries, and Trammo.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The nitrogen fertilizer industry is driven by global agricultural demand, crop prices, and planting activity. The industry is also influenced by energy prices (natural gas is a key input), government regulations, and environmental concerns.
Positioning
CF Industries is a leading North American nitrogen fertilizer manufacturer. It benefits from its extensive production capacity, efficient distribution network, and access to low-cost natural gas. Its competitive advantages include its scale, strategic asset locations, and strong customer relationships.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global nitrogen fertilizer market is estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of dollars. CF Industries is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this market, particularly in North America, by expanding its production capacity and leveraging its efficient distribution network.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large-scale, efficient production facilities
- Strategic locations with access to low-cost natural gas
- Extensive distribution network
- Strong customer relationships
- Vertical integration
Weaknesses
- Exposure to volatile natural gas prices
- Dependence on weather conditions and agricultural cycles
- Concentration of production in North America
- Environmental regulations and potential liabilities
Opportunities
- Increasing global population and food demand
- Expanding into new geographic markets
- Developing new fertilizer products and technologies
- Capturing share in the growing hydrogen economy
Threats
- Fluctuations in natural gas prices
- Changes in government regulations
- Increased competition from global producers
- Economic downturns impacting agricultural demand
- Geopolitical risks
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- NTR
- MOS
- IPI
Competitive Landscape
CF Industries has advantages in North American production and distribution. Nutrien has a broader global presence. Mosaic focuses on phosphate and potash. ICL focuses on potash.
Major Acquisitions
Terra Nitrogen, L.P.
- Year: 2010
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 4700
- Strategic Rationale: This acquisition increased CF Industries' nitrogen production capacity and market share significantly.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: CF Industries' growth has been driven by increasing global fertilizer demand and strategic investments in production capacity.
Future Projections: Future growth projections depend on analyst estimates and market conditions. Consult financial analysis platforms for up-to-date projections.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include expanding production capacity, investing in green ammonia projects, and optimizing its distribution network.
Summary
CF Industries is a leading nitrogen fertilizer producer with strong North American operations and efficient production facilities. Its exposure to volatile natural gas prices and agricultural cycles poses challenges. Strategic initiatives in green ammonia and capacity expansion could fuel future growth, but it must also manage competitive pressures and environmental regulations.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- CF Industries Investor Relations
- Financial News Outlets
- Industry Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be made based on individual circumstances and consultation with a qualified financial advisor. Market data and analyst estimates are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About CF Industries Holdings Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Northbrook, IL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2005-08-11 | President, CEO & Director Mr. W. Anthony Will | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Agricultural Inputs | Full time employees 2800 | Website https://www.cfindustries.com |
Full time employees 2800 | Website https://www.cfindustries.com | ||
CF Industries Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of hydrogen and nitrogen products for energy, fertilizer, emissions abatement, and other industrial activities in North America, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Ammonia, Granular Urea, UAN, AN, and Other segments. Its principal products include anhydrous ammonia, granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate, and ammonium nitrate products. The company also offers diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, nitric acid, and aqua ammonia products. It primarily serves cooperatives, retailers, independent fertilizer distributors, traders, wholesalers, and industrial users. CF Industries Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Northbrook, Illinois.
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