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Upturn AI SWOT - About
CF 
CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/17/2025: CF (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
21 Analysts rated it
Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.
1 Year Target Price $93.65
1 Year Target Price $93.65
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 18 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -16.2% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 09/17/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 13.76B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 11.13 | 1Y Target Price 93.65 |
Price to earnings Ratio 11.13 | 1Y Target Price 93.65 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 21 | Beta 0.94 | 52 Weeks Range 66.56 - 103.84 | Updated Date 09/16/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 66.56 - 103.84 | Updated Date 09/16/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.34% | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.63 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 20.2% | Operating Margin (TTM) 34.02% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 8.62% | Return on Equity (TTM) 19.8% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 11.13 | Forward PE 10.68 | Enterprise Value 15464391709 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.13 |
Enterprise Value 15464391709 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.13 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.4 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.25 | Shares Outstanding 161972992 | Shares Floating 160432592 |
Shares Outstanding 161972992 | Shares Floating 160432592 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.71 | Percent Institutions 105.2 |
Upturn AI SWOT
CF Industries Holdings Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. was formed in 1946 as Central Farmers Fertilizer Company, a cooperative serving agricultural producers. Over time, it evolved from a cooperative to a publicly traded company. A significant milestone was its IPO in 2005. The company has expanded its operations and product offerings, becoming a leading global manufacturer and distributor of nitrogen and hydrogen products.
Core Business Areas
- Nitrogen Fertilizer: Production and sale of ammonia, urea, urea ammonium nitrate (UAN) solutions, and ammonium nitrate. Used as fertilizers to enhance crop yields.
- Hydrogen: Production of hydrogen for clean energy and industrial applications.
Leadership and Structure
CF Industries is led by President and Chief Executive Officer, Tony Will. The organizational structure includes various departments such as operations, sales, finance, and technology, overseen by a board of directors.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Urea: A widely used nitrogen fertilizer. CF Industries is a major producer. Market share data varies, but they are consistently a top global supplier. Competitors include Nutrien and Yara.
- UAN Solutions: Liquid nitrogen fertilizer solution. CF Industries is a leading producer in North America. Competitors include Koch Industries and Trammo.
- Ammonia: A key ingredient in nitrogen fertilizers. CF Industries is one of the largest North American producers. Competitors include Yara and OCI.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The nitrogen fertilizer industry is influenced by factors like crop prices, weather patterns, government policies, and energy costs (natural gas is a key input). There's increasing focus on sustainable agriculture practices.
Positioning
CF Industries is a leading North American nitrogen fertilizer manufacturer with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments in production capacity. It holds a strong position due to its scale, efficient plants, and extensive distribution network.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global nitrogen fertilizer market is estimated to be worth over $80 billion. CF Industries is well positioned to capture a significant portion of this TAM due to its production capacity and efficient operations.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large-scale production capacity
- Efficient manufacturing facilities
- Strong distribution network
- Access to low-cost natural gas
- Focus on sustainability
Weaknesses
- Vulnerability to natural gas price fluctuations
- Dependence on weather conditions
- Exposure to environmental regulations
- Highly cyclical industry
Opportunities
- Increasing global population and food demand
- Growing demand for high-yield crops
- Expanding use of nitrogen fertilizers in developing countries
- Development of sustainable fertilizer technologies
- Government initiatives supporting agriculture
Threats
- Fluctuations in natural gas prices
- Increased competition from global producers
- Changes in government regulations
- Adverse weather conditions impacting crop yields
- Trade restrictions and tariffs
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- NTR
- MOS
- IFF
Competitive Landscape
CF Industries competes on scale, cost efficiency, and distribution capabilities. Advantages include its access to low-cost natural gas and strategically located production facilities. Disadvantages include its vulnerability to natural gas price fluctuations.
Major Acquisitions
Terra Nitrogen
- Year: 2010
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 4700
- Strategic Rationale: Increased nitrogen production capacity and expanded market presence in North America.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Growth has been driven by increased production capacity and higher fertilizer prices. Expansion projects have contributed to volume growth.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates depend on market conditions. Expectations are for continued growth, driven by increasing global demand for fertilizers, with some moderation as additional supply comes online. Significant capital expenditures on hydrogen production expected to be growth driver.
Recent Initiatives: Investments in new production capacity, including hydrogen production, strategic acquisitions, and expansion of its distribution network.
Summary
CF Industries is a major player in the nitrogen fertilizer industry, benefiting from its scale and efficient operations. Its reliance on natural gas prices and sensitivity to weather patterns pose challenges. Strategic investments in production and clean energy are positioning it for future growth. The company's financial performance is tied to fertilizer prices and global demand.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings (SEC)
- Industry reports
- Analyst reports
- Market research reports
- Company Investor Relations Website
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change. Investment decisions should be based on thorough research and consultation with a qualified financial advisor.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About CF Industries Holdings Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Northbrook, IL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2005-08-11 | President, CEO & Director Mr. W. Anthony Will | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Agricultural Inputs | Full time employees 2800 | Website https://www.cfindustries.com |
Full time employees 2800 | Website https://www.cfindustries.com | ||
CF Industries Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of hydrogen and nitrogen products for energy, fertilizer, emissions abatement, and other industrial activities in North America, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Ammonia, Granular Urea, UAN, AN, and Other segments. Its principal products include anhydrous ammonia, granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate, and ammonium nitrate products. The company also offers diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, nitric acid, and aqua ammonia products. It primarily serves cooperatives, retailers, independent fertilizer distributors, traders, wholesalers, and industrial users. CF Industries Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Northbrook, Illinois.
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