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CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/05/2025: CF (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $92.44
1 Year Target Price $92.44
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 18 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -23.64% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 12.61B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 9.42 | 1Y Target Price 92.44 |
Price to earnings Ratio 9.42 | 1Y Target Price 92.44 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 21 | Beta 0.68 | 52 Weeks Range 66.16 - 103.22 | Updated Date 12/7/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 66.16 - 103.22 | Updated Date 12/7/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.49% | Basic EPS (TTM) 8.27 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 20.47% | Operating Margin (TTM) 33.94% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 9.55% | Return on Equity (TTM) 21.97% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 9.42 | Forward PE 11.25 | Enterprise Value 13705305274 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.87 |
Enterprise Value 13705305274 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.87 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.03 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.42 | Shares Outstanding 155974644 | Shares Floating 154441413 |
Shares Outstanding 155974644 | Shares Floating 154441413 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.74 | Percent Institutions 105.69 |
Upturn AI SWOT
CF Industries Holdings Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1946 as a cooperative of agricultural cooperatives. It became a publicly traded company in 2001. CF Industries is a leading global manufacturer of nitrogen fertilizer and related products, playing a critical role in global food production. The company has grown significantly through organic expansion and strategic acquisitions, solidifying its position as a major player in the agricultural inputs market.
Core Business Areas
- Nitrogen Fertilizer Manufacturing: This segment involves the production and distribution of a wide range of nitrogen-based fertilizers, including anhydrous ammonia, urea, urea ammonium nitrate (UAN) solutions, and ammonium nitrate (AN). These products are essential for crop growth and are sold to farmers and agricultural retailers.
- Clean Energy Solutions: CF Industries is increasingly focused on developing and producing low-carbon ammonia, which is seen as a key fuel for decarbonization efforts across various industries, including transportation and power generation. This segment also includes investments in blue and green ammonia production.
Leadership and Structure
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is led by a Board of Directors and an executive management team. Key leadership roles include the Chief Executive Officer (CEO), Chief Financial Officer (CFO), and heads of various operational and strategic divisions. The company operates a decentralized structure with manufacturing facilities and distribution networks strategically located across North America and the UK.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Ammonia (Anhydrous and Aqueous): Ammonia is the foundational product for nitrogen fertilizers and also a key component in industrial applications. CF Industries is one of the largest producers of ammonia globally. Major competitors include Nutrien, Yara International, and Mosaic. Market share data for specific products is proprietary but CF Industries holds a significant share of the North American ammonia market.
- Urea: A solid nitrogen fertilizer produced by combining ammonia and carbon dioxide. It is widely used in agriculture. Competitors are similar to ammonia producers. CF Industries is a significant producer of urea in North America.
- Urea Ammonium Nitrate (UAN) Solution: A liquid nitrogen fertilizer that offers ease of application and nutrient efficiency. CF Industries is a leading North American producer. Competitors include Nutrien and Mosaic.
- Ammonium Nitrate (AN): Used as a fertilizer and in industrial applications, particularly mining explosives. Competitors include Orica and Dyno Nobel for industrial applications. CF Industries is a key producer in North America.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The nitrogen fertilizer industry is heavily influenced by agricultural cycles, commodity prices (especially natural gas, the primary feedstock for ammonia), government agricultural policies, and global food demand. The industry is also facing increasing scrutiny and opportunity related to sustainability and decarbonization, with a growing focus on low-carbon ammonia.
Positioning
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is positioned as a leading global manufacturer of nitrogen fertilizer with a strong North American presence and a growing focus on clean energy solutions. Its competitive advantages include its large-scale, efficient production facilities, strategic location of assets with access to low-cost natural gas, integrated distribution network, and increasing investment in low-carbon ammonia production.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for nitrogen fertilizers is substantial and tied to global agricultural output and demand for food. It is estimated to be in the tens of billions of dollars annually. The emerging market for low-carbon ammonia as a fuel and industrial feedstock represents a significant new growth area, with projections of hundreds of billions of dollars in the long term. CF Industries is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of both markets due to its existing infrastructure and expertise in ammonia production.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large-scale, low-cost production facilities
- Strategic access to abundant and low-cost natural gas
- Extensive distribution network
- Strong financial position
- Leadership in developing low-carbon ammonia technologies
- Experienced management team
Weaknesses
- Dependence on volatile natural gas prices
- Cyclicality of the agricultural market
- Significant capital expenditures required for expansion and modernization
- Environmental regulatory risks
Opportunities
- Growing global food demand
- Increasing demand for low-carbon ammonia as a clean fuel and industrial feedstock
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Acquisition of complementary businesses
- Technological advancements in fertilizer production and application
Threats
- Fluctuations in commodity prices (fertilizers, natural gas)
- Geopolitical instability impacting supply chains and energy prices
- Increased competition from new entrants and existing players
- Stricter environmental regulations and carbon pricing
- Changes in government agricultural policies
- Extreme weather events impacting agricultural demand
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Nutrien Ltd. (NTR)
- Yara International ASA (YARI.OL)
- The Mosaic Company (MOS)
- Koch Industries (Private)
Competitive Landscape
CF Industries competes in a mature but essential industry. Its advantages lie in its scale, efficient production, and strategic focus on low-carbon ammonia. Competitors like Nutrien have broader diversified agricultural retail operations. Yara is a global leader with a strong presence in Europe. Mosaic has a significant phosphate and potash business alongside nitrogen. The market is consolidating, and the development of sustainable products is becoming a key differentiator.
Major Acquisitions
GrowMark Inc.'s fertilizer assets
- Year: 2011
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 250
- Strategic Rationale: Strengthened CF Industries' market position in agricultural fertilizers and expanded its distribution network.
Terra Industries Inc.
- Year: 2010
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 4.7
- Strategic Rationale: Significantly increased CF Industries' nitrogen fertilizer production capacity and market share in North America and Europe.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: CF Industries has experienced significant growth over its history, driven by both organic expansion of its manufacturing capacity and strategic acquisitions. The company has consistently invested in upgrading and expanding its production facilities to meet growing global demand for fertilizers. Recent growth has also been fueled by its strategic pivot towards clean energy solutions, particularly low-carbon ammonia.
Future Projections: Future growth is projected to be driven by increasing global food demand, the burgeoning market for low-carbon ammonia as a clean fuel and industrial input, and potential further strategic acquisitions. Analyst estimates typically project continued revenue growth and increasing profitability, especially as the clean energy segment matures.
Recent Initiatives: Key recent initiatives include significant investments in producing low-carbon ammonia (both blue and green), expanding urea manufacturing capacity, and optimizing its existing production and distribution networks. The company has also been active in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to accelerate its clean energy ambitions.
Summary
CF Industries Holdings Inc. is a leading global nitrogen fertilizer producer with a strong market position in North America. Its core business is essential for global food security, and its strategic pivot towards low-carbon ammonia presents a significant growth opportunity in the clean energy sector. While facing cyclicality in agricultural markets and volatility in natural gas prices, the company's scale, efficiency, and focus on innovation position it well for future growth. Potential threats include increasing environmental regulations and competition, requiring continuous adaptation.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- CF Industries Holdings Inc. Investor Relations
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Industry Analysis Reports
- Financial News and Data Providers (e.g., Bloomberg, Refinitiv)
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Numerical data, market share figures, and financial performance metrics are estimates and subject to change. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Market share data is an estimation and can vary based on the methodology used and the specific product category. Acquisitions listed are examples and not exhaustive.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About CF Industries Holdings Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Northbrook, IL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2005-08-11 | President, CEO & Director Mr. W. Anthony Will | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Agricultural Inputs | Full time employees 2800 | Website https://www.cfindustries.com |
Full time employees 2800 | Website https://www.cfindustries.com | ||
CF Industries Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of hydrogen and nitrogen products for energy, fertilizer, emissions abatement, and other industrial activities in North America, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Ammonia, Granular Urea, UAN, AN, and Other segments. Its principal products include anhydrous ammonia, granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate, and ammonium nitrate products. The company also offers diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, nitric acid, and aqua ammonia products. It primarily serves cooperatives, retailers, independent fertilizer distributors, traders, wholesalers, and industrial users. CF Industries Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Northbrook, Illinois.

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