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Upturn AI SWOT - About
CF 
CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
07/08/2025: CF (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
21 Analysts rated it
Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.
1 Year Target Price $89.01
1 Year Target Price $89.01
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 18 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -8.12% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 07/08/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 15.42B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 12.59 | 1Y Target Price 89.01 |
Price to earnings Ratio 12.59 | 1Y Target Price 89.01 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 21 | Beta 0.95 | 52 Weeks Range 66.95 - 104.45 | Updated Date 07/7/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 66.95 - 104.45 | Updated Date 07/7/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.17% | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.56 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 21.8% | Operating Margin (TTM) 28.68% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 8.71% | Return on Equity (TTM) 20.79% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 12.59 | Forward PE 13.4 | Enterprise Value 17224248866 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.52 |
Enterprise Value 17224248866 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.52 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.81 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.88 | Shares Outstanding 162010000 | Shares Floating 160548695 |
Shares Outstanding 162010000 | Shares Floating 160548695 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.71 | Percent Institutions 103.9 |
Upturn AI SWOT
CF Industries Holdings Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
CF Industries Holdings Inc. was founded in 1946 as Central Farmers Fertilizer Company, a cooperative formed by regional agricultural cooperatives. Over time, it evolved into a publicly traded company, expanding its nitrogen production capacity and geographic reach through strategic acquisitions and expansions.
Core Business Areas
- Nitrogen Fertilizers: Production and distribution of ammonia, urea, urea ammonium nitrate (UAN) solutions, and ammonium nitrate. These products are used by farmers to improve crop yields.
- Other Nitrogen Products: Production and distribution of diesel exhaust fluid (DEF) and other nitrogen-based products used in various industrial applications.
Leadership and Structure
CF Industries is led by Tony Will (President & CEO). The organizational structure includes departments for operations, sales, finance, and other corporate functions. A Board of Directors governs the company.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Ammonia: Anhydrous ammonia is a primary nitrogen fertilizer. CF Industries is one of the largest producers globally. Market share data varies, but CF is a significant player. Competitors include Nutrien, Yara International, and Koch Industries.
- Urea Ammonium Nitrate (UAN): UAN is a liquid nitrogen fertilizer solution widely used in agriculture. CF Industries produces and distributes substantial amounts of UAN. Competitors include Nutrien and other regional fertilizer producers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The nitrogen fertilizer industry is influenced by factors such as crop prices, planting acreage, weather patterns, and global supply/demand dynamics. Geopolitical events and energy prices also play a significant role.
Positioning
CF Industries is positioned as a leading North American nitrogen fertilizer producer with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments to expand capacity and reduce production costs.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global nitrogen fertilizer market is estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of dollars. CF Industries is positioned to capture a significant portion of this market due to its large production capacity and distribution network.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large-scale production capacity
- Efficient manufacturing operations
- Extensive distribution network
- Strong customer relationships
- Vertically integrated production process
Weaknesses
- Sensitivity to natural gas prices
- Dependence on agricultural cycles
- Environmental regulations compliance costs
- Geographic concentration in North America
- Exposure to commodity price volatility
Opportunities
- Increasing global population and food demand
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Development of new nitrogen-based products
- Investments in green ammonia production
- Strategic acquisitions of smaller producers
Threats
- Fluctuations in natural gas prices
- Increased competition from foreign producers
- Changes in government regulations
- Unfavorable weather conditions impacting crop yields
- Global economic downturn affecting agricultural demand
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- NTR
- MOS
- IPI
Competitive Landscape
CF Industries competes primarily on production cost, distribution efficiency, and product quality. It holds an advantage due to its large scale and efficient operations but faces challenges from global competitors with lower production costs or access to cheaper natural gas.
Major Acquisitions
Terra Nitrogen Company, L.P.
- Year: 2010
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 7177
- Strategic Rationale: Increased CF Industries' nitrogen fertilizer production capacity and strengthened its position in the North American market.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historically, CF Industries has grown through capacity expansions, strategic acquisitions, and increased global demand for nitrogen fertilizers.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates suggest continued growth driven by increasing global food demand and strategic investments in capacity and efficiency.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in green ammonia production, capacity expansions at existing facilities, and acquisitions of complementary businesses.
Summary
CF Industries is a major player in the nitrogen fertilizer market, benefiting from efficient operations and strategic assets. However, it faces risks from volatile natural gas prices and cyclical agricultural demand. Recent initiatives in green ammonia could provide long-term growth. Careful management of costs and strategic investments are crucial for sustained success.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Investor Presentations
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Research Reports
- Company Press Releases
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly. Consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About CF Industries Holdings Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Northbrook, IL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2005-08-11 | President, CEO & Director Mr. W. Anthony Will | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Agricultural Inputs | Full time employees 2800 | Website https://www.cfindustries.com |
Full time employees 2800 | Website https://www.cfindustries.com | ||
CF Industries Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of hydrogen and nitrogen products for energy, fertilizer, emissions abatement, and other industrial activities in North America, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Ammonia, Granular Urea, UAN, AN, and Other segments. Its principal products include anhydrous ammonia, granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate, and ammonium nitrate products. The company also offers diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, nitric acid, and aqua ammonia products. It primarily serves cooperatives, retailers, independent fertilizer distributors, traders, wholesalers, and industrial users. CF Industries Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Northbrook, Illinois.
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