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CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/07/2026: CF (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $91.72
1 Year Target Price $91.72
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 18 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -23.64% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 12.87B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 9.61 | 1Y Target Price 91.72 |
Price to earnings Ratio 9.61 | 1Y Target Price 91.72 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 21 | Beta 0.68 | 52 Weeks Range 66.16 - 103.22 | Updated Date 01/6/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 66.16 - 103.22 | Updated Date 01/6/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.49% | Basic EPS (TTM) 8.27 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 20.47% | Operating Margin (TTM) 33.94% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 9.55% | Return on Equity (TTM) 21.97% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 9.61 | Forward PE 10.26 | Enterprise Value 14056248223 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.91 |
Enterprise Value 14056248223 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.91 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.09 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.53 | Shares Outstanding 155974644 | Shares Floating 154444533 |
Shares Outstanding 155974644 | Shares Floating 154444533 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.74 | Percent Institutions 105.75 |
Upturn AI SWOT
CF Industries Holdings Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
CF Industries Holdings Inc. was founded in 1946 as a cooperative owned by agricultural cooperatives. It became a publicly traded company in 2001. Its primary business is the manufacturing and distribution of nitrogen fertilizer products. Over the years, CF Industries has grown through strategic acquisitions and expansions, solidifying its position as a leading global nitrogen fertilizer producer.
Core Business Areas
- Nitrogen Fertilizers: Manufactures and distributes a wide range of nitrogen fertilizer products, including ammonia, urea, urea ammonium nitrate (UAN), and ammonium nitrate (AN). These products are essential for crop nutrition and are sold to agricultural customers globally.
- Ammonia: A primary product that serves as a feedstock for other nitrogen fertilizers and has industrial applications, such as in the production of plastics, explosives, and pharmaceuticals.
- Industrial Products and Services: Offers industrial nitrogen products, including ammonia for various industrial uses, and services related to the handling and application of these products.
Leadership and Structure
CF Industries Holdings Inc. is led by a Board of Directors and a senior management team. The company operates through various divisions and subsidiaries responsible for manufacturing, distribution, sales, and administrative functions across its global operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Ammonia: The foundational nitrogen fertilizer and industrial chemical. CF Industries is one of the largest ammonia producers globally. Competitors include Nutrien, Yara International, and Mosaic (for certain industrial applications).
- Urea Ammonium Nitrate (UAN): A liquid nitrogen fertilizer widely used in agriculture. CF Industries is a major producer and distributor of UAN. Competitors include Nutrien, Yara International, and many regional producers.
- Urea: A solid nitrogen fertilizer that is a key product for global agriculture. CF Industries has significant urea production capacity. Competitors include Nutrien, Yara International, and Chinese manufacturers.
- Ammonium Nitrate (AN): Primarily used as a fertilizer and also in explosives for mining and construction. Competitors include Orica, Dyno Nobel, and regional AN producers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The nitrogen fertilizer industry is cyclical, driven by agricultural demand, commodity prices (corn, wheat, soybeans), and energy costs (natural gas is a key feedstock for ammonia production). Global population growth and the need for increased food production are long-term drivers.
Positioning
CF Industries holds a strong position as one of the world's largest and most efficient producers of nitrogen fertilizers. Its competitive advantages include scale, integrated manufacturing facilities, low-cost production (leveraging North American natural gas), and an extensive distribution network.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global fertilizer market, including nitrogen, phosphate, and potash, is valued in the hundreds of billions of dollars annually. The nitrogen fertilizer segment alone represents a significant portion of this TAM. CF Industries is a dominant player within the nitrogen segment, particularly in North America, and has a substantial presence in other key agricultural markets.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large-scale, integrated manufacturing facilities.
- Access to low-cost natural gas feedstock in North America.
- Extensive distribution and logistics network.
- Strong balance sheet and financial discipline.
- Experienced management team with deep industry knowledge.
Weaknesses
- Exposure to volatile natural gas prices.
- Cyclicality of the agricultural market.
- Dependence on global commodity prices.
- Environmental regulations and carbon emissions concerns.
Opportunities
- Growing global demand for food and fertilizers.
- Expansion into low-carbon ammonia production (blue and green ammonia).
- Strategic acquisitions to enhance market position.
- Leveraging distribution network for new products and services.
- Increasing use of precision agriculture techniques.
Threats
- Fluctuations in agricultural commodity prices and crop yields.
- Increased competition from international producers.
- Stringent environmental regulations and potential carbon taxes.
- Geopolitical instability impacting trade and supply chains.
- Adverse weather patterns affecting agricultural demand.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Nutrien Ltd. (NTR)
- Yara International ASA (YAR.OL)
- The Mosaic Company (MOS)
Competitive Landscape
CF Industries benefits from its scale, cost leadership in ammonia production, and robust distribution network. Its primary competitors are large, diversified fertilizer companies with global reach. CF's advantage lies in its efficient North American operations and focus on nitrogen fertilizers, while it needs to continually innovate to address environmental concerns and remain competitive against diversified players.
Major Acquisitions
Columbus Nitrogen, LLC
- Year: 2007
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 378
- Strategic Rationale: Acquired to expand its nitrogen fertilizer production capacity and enhance its market position in the southeastern United States.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: CF Industries has exhibited consistent growth over the past decade, driven by organic expansions, strategic acquisitions, and favorable market dynamics in the agricultural sector. The company has focused on optimizing its production capabilities and expanding its market reach.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for CF Industries generally point to continued growth, supported by global population expansion and the increasing demand for food. Investments in decarbonization and low-carbon ammonia production are also expected to be future growth drivers.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include the continued focus on operational excellence, strategic investments in decarbonization technologies (e.g., blue and green ammonia projects), and optimization of its manufacturing and distribution footprint.
Summary
CF Industries Holdings Inc. is a strong player in the global nitrogen fertilizer market, leveraging efficient production and a vast distribution network. Its substantial market share and strategic focus on agriculture's fundamental needs provide a solid foundation. However, the company must navigate the inherent cyclicality of commodity markets and address growing environmental concerns, particularly regarding carbon emissions, to sustain its growth and leadership.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- CF Industries Holdings Inc. Investor Relations
- Company Annual Reports
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters)
- Industry Analysis Reports
- Financial Data Providers (e.g., Refinitiv, FactSet)
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is generated for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. The data presented is based on publicly available information and may not be exhaustive or completely up-to-date. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About CF Industries Holdings Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Northbrook, IL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2005-08-11 | CEO - | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Agricultural Inputs | Full time employees 2800 | Website https://www.cfindustries.com |
Full time employees 2800 | Website https://www.cfindustries.com | ||
CF Industries Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of hydrogen and nitrogen products for energy, fertilizer, emissions abatement, and other industrial activities in North America, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Ammonia, Granular Urea, UAN, AN, and Other segments. Its principal products include anhydrous ammonia, granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate, and ammonium nitrate products. The company also offers diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, nitric acid, and aqua ammonia products. It primarily serves cooperatives, retailers, independent fertilizer distributors, traders, wholesalers, and industrial users. CF Industries Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Northbrook, Illinois.

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